Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Laurel Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-4   EXA (1/11/8/6/2)-(1/11/8/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-6 $29.80 $9.80 49%
LRL-6   WIN (4/1/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  3 $11.40 $1.40 14%
    EXA (4/1/3/5/2)-(4/1/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-5 $41.60 $21.60 108%

Simulator Race results

 
LRL-1   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT-12:25
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:132     1:271   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMM ESS EH 6 1 1nk 11   1 1 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 1.20 62% 0.60 0.80 W
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AWESOME ELLE by AWESOME AGAIN)
ENEMYNUMBERNINE 5 4 32 21   2 2 (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 19.80  
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of ARCH ENEMY by ARCH)
BUCKIN' LUCKY 2 2 4 4   33 3 (robb j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00 5.30  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of RIMANISEMPREFORTE by ESKENDEREYA)
VIENNESE WALTZ 3 5 5 5   510½ 4 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.50 13% 6.50 3.50  
  (by HONOR CODE out of TANCA by POLISH NUMBERS)
SEVERN SPIRT 4 3 2nk 3   46 510¼ (lawrence l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 29.60  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of WHIMMYDIDDLE by BLAME)
HONEY B B 1 6 6 613½   620½ 644¼ (feliciano b)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00 3.50  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALPHA TAMMY by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
LRL-2   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:122 1:373   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOROLLA 2 8 99 910½ 8 6 1¾ (milosevic m)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00 2.80  
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) 1 2 21 4 55 3 2¾ (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 117 20.00 31.50  
LANGLEE AVENUE 8 5 4 3 43 4 3 (mckenzie da)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 5.00 12% 7.60 5.30 S
BALLYHOO PRINCE 4 1 31 2½ 1nk 1½ 4 (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 17% 4.80 9.90  
AWESOME STRIKE 7 7 76 55 3 5 53 (bailes rober)CEDENO CAROL 126 3.50 35% 1.80 2.90  
10  BOLD LICORICE 9 9 8 8 910¼ 87 64 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 126 8.00 17.50  
CROSSLAND 6 6 6 78 6 7 7 (eppler mar)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 15.00 6.20  
MOSLEY NATURAL 3 3 11 1½ 2nk 2½ 8 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00 8% 12.30 4.70  
LONG LIVE NOW 5 4 53 66 79 910 914½ (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 121 20.00 6% 16.20 16.30  
SCR  FEDERAL OFFENSE               (mcmullen maril)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00    
SCR  ROAN BURGUNDY               (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00    
 
LRL-3   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 1:26
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:13 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTH HIGHLAND 1 5 55 54 34 2 11 (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 121 3.50 8.20  
MONEY ROOM 2 6 32 21 13 1 21 (hohlbein ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 41% 1.40 0.90 P
THE LAST JUMPSTART 5 4 69 6 44 35 3 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 121 15.00 23.30  
SIR LUMPALOT 6 2 4 43 58 512 49 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 16% 5.40 3.20  
PRINS FIRE 3 3 1½ 11 23 411 518 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00 14.40  
SUSTENANCE 4 1 2½ 31 610 622 640¼ (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 2.50 10% 9.10 3.00  
SCR  BOBSWORTH               (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00    
 
LRL-4   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 1:56
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:134 1:261   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLAR LUTE 1 9 6 6 44 22 1¾ (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.00 36% 1.80 3.00 W
WIRED IN 6 10 3 4 1 12 2¾ (white ale)CARRASCO R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 7.40 P
LONGWORTH 4 2 45 33 87 56 3 (voss kathari)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00 4.20  
SWING SAMMY 9 11 1121½ 1018¾ 1012 6 43 (bailes rober)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00 4.00  
10  WE GOT LUCKY 10 3 57 5 33 34 53 (delgado p)DELGADO A 126 6.00 11.50  
HARNESS CREEK 7 5 816½ 813¾ 7 46 6 (rawlings amanda)MONTERREY R 126 15.00 18.50  
SOLOMON'S CHOICE 8 7 1019½ 913¾ 98 7 7 (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 20% 4.10 5.20  
12  PERFECT PEACE 11 8 7 7 6 8 8 (milose)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00 11.70  
SURF CITY GOLD 5 4 12 11 55 1015¼ 917½ (buckley)BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00 63.10  
KING JOEY 2 1 22 21 2 910¼ 1018½ (woodit joseph)ACOSTA D 121 20.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
ANNIESALLINCLUSIVE 3 6 917½ 1121¾ 1132 1139¼ 1143½ (delgado a)BETANCOURT R 117 50.00 62.10  
SCR  SNIP THE ROSES               (synnefias)CARRASCO R 121 20.00    
SCR  STORMING CHROME               (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE               (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 50.00    
 
LRL-5   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:233 :463 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUINCANNON 7 2 3½ 3½   32 1hd (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 6.00 8.20  
SALOON 6 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 2hd (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 1.60 55% 0.80 3.30 P
JUDY'S ARMY 2 6 42 5   44 31 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00 1.80  
IRISH WARLOCK 3 7 64 2nk   1½ 4 (walters j)DELGADO A 121 8.00 5% 19.00 4.50  
DISPUTED NOTION 1 4 7 74   7 5 (tapscot)BRICENO GREGOR 126 30.00 35.30  
BOLD HONOR 4 5 5 63   55 6 (salazar ma)URDANETA J 126 3.50 18% 4.60 2.90  
GLORIOUS MAHOMES 5 1 1nk 41   6 74 (dilodovic)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
 
LRL-6   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:231 :462 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TESTAMENT (ARG) 3 6 4 5   34 11 (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 20% 4.10 4.70 W
  (by INCURABLE OPTIMIST out of CREATION (ARG) by UNKNOWN)
PEACH TEA 5 1 5 43   23 21 (allen randy)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 8.00 18% 4.70 5.60 P
  (by IMAGINING out of GET'M UP PRONTO by KITALPHA)
ARIEL MOON 8 3 1½ 12   13 3 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00 11.20  
  (by MOSLER out of FIFTEEN MOONS by MALIBU MOON)
TALONNADE 4 9 9 9   68 4 (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 2.00 22% 3.50 4.10  
  (by TAPIT out of FIERCE BOOTS by TIZNOW)
TINA TINA TINA 1 4 8 6   57 5 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 4.00 20% 3.90 2.40  
  (by CONNECT out of COUSIN NEWYORK FAY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
ROANAN GODDESS 2 10 1014¾ 1011½   814 6 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00 13.80  
  (by LEOFRIC out of NIGHT MADAM by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
DETERMINED BLUE 9 2 2½ 22   47 7 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 120 8.00 4.60  
  (by KANTHAROS out of DRINKING DIXIE by QUALITY ROAD)
CUNDI 6 5 75 8   1016¼ 811¾ (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 120 50.00 52.50  
  (by GET STORMY out of MOSTBEAUTIFULSTORM by STORM BOOT)
10  MONSTER SUMMER 10 7 63 7   916 912½ (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 120 10.00 20.30  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MONSTER SLEEPING by ORATORY)
ROBBERY 7 8 31 32   710½ 1014¼ (doran carl)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 30.00 55.20  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
LRL-7   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:223 :451 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTIN'S MISSION 4 3 1 1   12 1 (servis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 1.80 28% 2.60 2.20 W
10  BOSS MAN J J 7 4 2 2   22 2 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50 2.80  
FREESTANDING 3 2 34 35   3 3 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 6.00 4.20  
BOURBON CURRENCY 1 1 6 6   4 4 (wolfe jr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.00 7.00  
MARATHONER 6 5 4 45   55 5 (montoya mar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 10.00 9.80  
MONSTER MASON 5 7 712 7   67 6 (mcfarlane brando)CRUZ ANGEL 123 30.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
PRINCE PERE 2 6 5 5   7 7 (stettinius suza)CENTENO E 123 8.00 26% 2.90 4.60  
SCR  BENNY HAVENS               (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 123 12.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT ICE               (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 10.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SPITBALL               (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 6.00    
 
LRL-8   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATS MR. MO 2 5 54 6   2nk 1¾ (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 10.00 16.80  
FRIGHTLAND 4 7 7 7   3.2 2¾ (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 32% 2.20 1.70 P
DIXIE'S TWO STENTS 5 4 6 5   7 3¾ (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50 3.00  
CAJUN DREAM 3 3 42 4   6 4 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00 8.60  
SEA TRIDENT 1 6 1nk 2nk   1nk 5 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 5% 17.80 4.50  
MY LAST MISSION 7 2 3½ 3.2   4¾ 64 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.00 33% 2.10 3.80  
PUDGE BOY PALACE 6 1 2nk 1nk   5¾ 7 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 20.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
 
LRL-9   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:133 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAILY PLANET 7 3 4 53 54 4¼ 1hd (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 5.00 8% 12.00 2.40 W
PERFECTLY GOLDEN 6 6 66 43 42 2nk 2hd (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.00 2.40  
CARMEL SUNRISE 2 2 3 21 2½ 1nk 3¼ (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 121 3.50 23% 3.40 5.80 S
PROPER STORM 5 7 810½ 88 8 6 42 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 10.00 17.30  
LADY MOSLER 3 1 2½ 32 32 5 53 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00 28% 2.50 7.80  
MY CAJUN LADY 4 8 77 75 65 85 6 (allard t)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 12.00 21.20  
FIVECOMMATWO 8 4 1½ 11 1½ 3.2 7 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 121 10.00 7.40  
CECILITA 1 5 56 6 77 7 8 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.50 12% 7.40 4.90  
SCR  LOOKING FOR WATER               (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.