Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Friday - August 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(4/5/6/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(8/5/9/4/6)-(2/7/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-2   WIN (8/5/9/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/9/4/6)-(8/5/9/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/6/8/9)-(4/5/6/8/9)-(4/5/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/9/4/6)-(2/7/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/5/9/4/6)-(2/7/4)-(1/8/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/7)-(1/2/6/8/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(1/8/6/2)-(6/4/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-4   WIN (1/8/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/2)-(1/8/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/8/11)-(1/2/6/8/11)-(1/2/6/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/6/8/11)-(3/4/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/2)-(6/4/5/3)-(4/1/3/5/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/5/6)-(1/2/3/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/3)-(4/1/3/5/2)-(6/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-6   WIN (4/1/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/1/3/5/2)-(4/1/3/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/4/5)-(1/2/3/4/5)-(1/2/3/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/2/3/4/5)-(2/6/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3/5/2)-(6/2/7)-(7/4/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-7   WIN (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/7)-(6/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/9)-(2/6/7/9)-(2/6/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/7/9)-(1/4/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/7)-(7/4/1/6)-(4/3/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (7/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7)-(1/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/7)-(2/3/4/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LRL-9   WIN (4/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8)-(4/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY B B         (feliciano b)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ALPHA TAMMY by GOLDEN MISSILE)
2  BUCKIN' LUCKY Jul14 Jun25 May05     (robb j)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 3.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of RIMANISEMPREFORTE by ESKENDEREYA)
3  VIENNESE WALTZ Jul22         (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TANCA by POLISH NUMBERS)
4  SEVERN SPIRT Jul22         (lawrence l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of WHIMMYDIDDLE by BLAME)
5  ENEMYNUMBERNINE         (corrales jose)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of ARCH ENEMY by ARCH)
6  EMM ESS EH Jul14         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 1.20 62% 0.60    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of AWESOME ELLE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
LRL-2   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROAN BURGUNDY Jun24 May29 Mar22 Mar04 Oct27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 2.00    
2  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Jul13 Jun16 May20 May05 Apr06 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 117 20.00    
3  SOROLLA Jul06 Jun03 May14 Nov04 Sep25 (milosevic m)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 4.00    
4  MOSLEY NATURAL Jul06 Jun03 Mar01 Dec16 Jul20 (kolb chris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 126 3.00 8% 12.30    
5  BALLYHOO PRINCE Jul06 May29 Oct23 Sep10 Aug23 (nuesch patrick)ACOSTA D 126 6.00 17% 4.80    
6  LONG LIVE NOW Jul14 Jun30       (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 121 20.00 6% 16.20    
7  CROSSLAND May05 Apr13 Feb25 Feb05 Jan27 (eppler mar)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 15.00    
8  AWESOME STRIKE Jul09 Jun18 Apr15 Apr01 Feb25 (bailes rober)CEDENO CAROL 126 3.50 35% 1.80    
9  LANGLEE AVENUE Jul23 Jun09 May20 Apr06   (mckenzie da)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 5.00 12% 7.60    
10  BOLD LICORICE Jul15 Jun10 May31 Nov19 Nov13 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 126 8.00    
SCR  FEDERAL OFFENSE Jun03 Mar18 Jan16 Dec29 Nov24 (mcmullen maril)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00    
 
LRL-3   08/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 1:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORTH HIGHLAND Jul22 Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 121 3.50    
2  MONEY ROOM Jul16 May13 May06 Apr15 Mar26 (hohlbein ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00 41% 1.40    
3  PRINS FIRE Jul30 Jul16 Jun17     (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00    
4  SUSTENANCE Jul13 Jun16 Sep01 Aug03   (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 2.50 10% 9.10    
5  THE LAST JUMPSTART Jul16 May26 May05     (aguirre anthon)BOYCE FOREST 121 15.00    
SCR  BOBSWORTH Jul14 May04 Apr01 Dec11   (gerali)LOPEZ EDUARDO 121 5.00    
7  SIR LUMPALOT Oct21 Oct02 Sep11     (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 3.00 16% 5.40    
 
LRL-4   08/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 35 ALL PT- 1:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLAR LUTE Jul23 Jul09 May31 May06 Oct07 (shuman mark)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  KING JOEY Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 May20   (woodit joseph)ROSADO JOHAN 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  ANNIESALLINCLUSIVE May11 Mar31 Feb20 Feb03 Jan13 (delgado a)BETANCOURT R 117 50.00    
4  LONGWORTH Jul09 Jun18 May27 Oct28 Oct07 (voss kathari)BARBOSA JEIRON 121 5.00    
5  SURF CITY GOLD Aug04 Jul14 May13 Jan20   (buckley)BRICENO GREGOR 122 30.00    
6  WIRED IN Jul07 Mar19 Feb04 Jan14 Dec16 (white ale)CARRASCO R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  HARNESS CREEK Jul21 Oct09 Sep24 Aug19   (rawlings amanda)MONTERREY R 126 15.00    
8  SOLOMON'S CHOICE Jul23 Jul07 Jun18 May27 Oct13 (geralis emanuel )CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 20% 4.10    
9  SWING SAMMY Jul08 Jun16 May25     (bailes rober)BOYCE FOREST 121 6.00    
10  WE GOT LUCKY Jul23 Jun17 Jun02 Jun24 Feb11 (delgado p)DELGADO A 126 6.00    
SCR  STORMING CHROME Jul23 Jul13 Jun16 Apr29 Apr01 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 3.50 20% 4.00    
12  PERFECT PEACE Jun23 Jun02 Nov24 Nov11 Oct06 (milose)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
SCR  SNIP THE ROSES Jul21 Jun23 May26 May05 Mar31 (synnefias)CARRASCO R 121 20.00    
SCR  TO LIVE IS TO LOVE Mar23 Feb15 Jan27 Dec17 Aug17 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 122 50.00    
 
LRL-5   08/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISPUTED NOTION Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (tapscot)BRICENO GREGOR 126 30.00    
2  JUDY'S ARMY Jul15 May07 Sep04 Aug06   (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 3.00    
3  IRISH WARLOCK Jul23 May18 May04 Apr01 Feb17 (walters j)DELGADO A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOLD HONOR Jul09 Jun18 May19 Apr29 Apr01 (salazar ma)URDANETA J 126 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  GLORIOUS MAHOMES Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 Feb26   (dilodovic)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SALOON Jun21 Oct15 Aug27 Jul13   (lynch cath)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 1.60 55% 0.80    
7  QUINCANNON Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 May11 Dec30 (cooney susa)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 6.00    
 
LRL-6   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TINA TINA TINA Jun17 May25       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
  (by CONNECT out of COUSIN NEWYORK FAY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  ROANAN GODDESS         (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of NIGHT MADAM by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  TESTAMENT (ARG)         (atras rob)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by INCURABLE OPTIMIST out of CREATION (ARG) by UNKNOWN)
4  TALONNADE         (motion g)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of FIERCE BOOTS by TIZNOW)
5  PEACH TEA Jul18         (allen randy)LYNCH FEARGAL 120 8.00 18% 4.70    
  (by IMAGINING out of GET'M UP PRONTO by KITALPHA)
6  CUNDI Jul26 Jul14 Jul01     (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 120 50.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of MOSTBEAUTIFULSTORM by STORM BOOT)
7  ROBBERY         (doran carl)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 30.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  ARIEL MOON Jul14         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 120 15.00    
  (by MOSLER out of FIFTEEN MOONS by MALIBU MOON)
9  DETERMINED BLUE         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 120 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DRINKING DIXIE by QUALITY ROAD)
10  MONSTER SUMMER         (feliciano ben)ALVELO C 120 10.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of MONSTER SLEEPING by ORATORY)
 
LRL-7   08/11/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON CURRENCY Jun11 May29 May05 Jan11 Dec21 (wolfe jr)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.00    
2  PRINCE PERE Jul23 Jun02 May11 Apr20 Nov04 (stettinius suza)CENTENO E 123 8.00 26% 2.90    
3  FREESTANDING Jul14 Jul02 Jun09 May25 Jul09 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 6.00    
SCR  SPITBALL Jul14 Jul06 Oct16 Sep25 Aug28 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 6.00    
SCR  BENNY HAVENS Jul23 Jul08 Jun09 May19 May05 (aguirre anthon)PEREZ XAVIER 123 12.00    
6  DESTIN'S MISSION Jul20 Jul02 Jun18 May01 Mar29 (servis john)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 1.80 28% 2.60    
7  MONSTER MASON Jul23 Jun11 May20 Feb12 Jan06 (mcfarlane bran)ROSADO JOHAN 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  MARATHONER Jul23 Jun20 Jun02 May05 Apr20 (montoya mar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 123 10.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT ICE Jun24 Jun11 May25 Mar31 Mar18 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 10.00 21% 3.80    
10  BOSS MAN J J Jul27 Jul02 Jun09 May11 Apr20 (salzman tim)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.50    
 
LRL-8   08/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA TRIDENT Jul22 Jun24 Jun09 Dec17 Nov18 (gonzalez cl)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 5% 17.80    
2  DATS MR. MO Jul23 Jun15 May25 Jan21   (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 118 10.00    
3  CAJUN DREAM Jul02 May27 May11 Feb23 Jan01 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00    
4  FRIGHTLAND Jul01 Jun11 May05 Apr13 Mar12 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.50 32% 2.20    
5  DIXIE'S TWO STENTS Jul04 May02 Jul05 Jun07 Apr23 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
6  PUDGE BOY PALACE Jul04 May20 Feb04 Jan06 Dec04 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY LAST MISSION Jul08 Jun17 May20 May02 Dec11 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 2.00 33% 2.10    
 
LRL-9   08/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LOOKING FOR WATER Jul22 Jun25 Jun10 May06 Apr21 (smith hamil)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 4.50    
2  CECILITA Jun24 Jun07 May20 Apr16 Feb16 (rubley)LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 4.50 12% 7.40    
3  CARMEL SUNRISE Jul09 Jun25 May29 Apr19 Mar18 (mcmahon i)ACOSTA D 121 3.50 23% 3.40    
4  LADY MOSLER Aug03 Jun09 May12 Apr07 Feb26 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 126 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  MY CAJUN LADY Jul19 Jul05 Nov01 Sep03 Aug12 (allard edward)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 12.00    
6  PROPER STORM Jul16 May26 Mar04 Feb03 Jan01 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 10.00    
7  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Jun10 May24 Apr22 Mar16 Feb26 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 121 4.00    
8  DAILY PLANET Jul14 Jun24 Jun03 May13 Jan13 (milosevic mila)BOYCE FOREST 122 5.00 8% 12.00    
9  FIVECOMMATWO Jul21 Jun23 May29 May13 May06 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.