Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
PEN-2   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
PEN-3   Win (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $6.00  
PEN-4   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
PEN-5   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
PEN-6   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
PEN-7   Win (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $15.20  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :453       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUNDLE OF JOY 4 1 14 12   13 1 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 41% 1.50 1.90 W
ORGANIZED CHAOS 3 4 24 22   23 2 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 1.00  
SHE'S DANCING 1 2 3 3   34 3 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 12% 7.10 2.30 S
MINDING MILLIE 2 3 46 4   48 413¼ (bennett juan)MENDOZA JHONATAN 120 12.00 14.00  
SCR  ALL THAT MAGIC               (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80    
SCR  NO EASY ANSWER               (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  SHOSHANAH               (horlacher kyle)ROJAS MARTINA 113 2.00    
SCR  TAPIT'S GIRL               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:222 :463 1:122 1:394   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEGANT TASTE 4 3 23 22 1nk 1½ 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 18% 4.70 2.20 W
BONITA LASSIE 5 4 35 3 2nk 2½ 2 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 3.20  
TEACHER DRAMA 1 2 57 5 510½ 510 314¾ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 4.00  
SASSY MARTINI 2 5 45 4 4 3 415½ (beattie sande)INIRIO J 120 2.50 18% 4.50 3.50  
FROSTED WILD RIDE 3 1 13 12 3 48 519¼ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 6.80  
FILLMORE EAST 6 6 611 612½ 617½ 617 627 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 44% 1.30 7.60  
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE               (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00    
SCR  KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS               (sinnefia paulina)LLOYD W 122 10.00    
 
PEN-3   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE 4 3 1nk 1½   1 1¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.50 2.00  
JACK'S LILLY 7 2 52 42   2 2¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 6.00 11% 8.20 8.60 P
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 6 1 3½ 2½   3 3 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 2.90  
HELLO GRACIE 1 6 4 5   43 4 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 113 3.00 27% 2.70 2.70  
IMAGISM 2 4 2nk 3½   5 510 (graci kimberl)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 22.00  
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL 3 7 7 7   6 614½ (johnson m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 7% 13.50 33.80  
KAREN'S WAY 5 5 6 64   7100 7100 (stites w)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 24% 3.20 4.30  
SCR  PRINCESS KAIRA               (synnefias panag)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:14 1:262   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIZE DEBATE 2 1 12 12 14 14 13 (rubley kell)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.60 W
BIG SIS NIC 1 2 32 32 24 24 23 (murtough step)INIRIO J 122 8.00 3.60  
FIRST SPIRIT GIRL 4 3 22 22 34 312 313¾ (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 30% 2.30 1.80 S
LALLYBROCH 3 4 4 412 429 4100 4100 (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00 22.60  
SCR  EXOTIC CAT               (pregman joh)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  IMAGINE RITA               (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50    
SCR  JUMP A FOX               (meister william)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
 
PEN-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:114 1:244   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOCIAL SUCCESS 3 4 2½ 1½ 1nk 13 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 1.00 53% 0.90 0.60 W
DOCTOR ABBIE 4 3 32 42 46 4 2 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
SWAN POINT 5 5 54 32 34 35 3 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50 4.30  
PERFECT HIDEAWAY 2 2 1½ 2½ 2nk 23 4 (beattie todd )INIRIO J 120 6.00 16% 5.30 5.20  
BUCKS SOME 1 1 42 54 58 5 5 (aristone ph)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 10.80  
SCR  HOP ON ME               (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 118 30.00    
 
PEN-6   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADI'S TUNE 5 1 22 1nk   18 117½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.60 39% 1.60 1.50 W
MISS MIA LIA 1 5 69 69   410 217½ (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00 14.80  
SYNDEY GIRL 2 4 32 32   28 319 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 21.40  
CHIMING IN 6 2 57 58   613½ 422½ (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 11% 7.90 20.80  
WIN FOR LAILA 3 6 46 45   3 522¾ (zalalas micha)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00 8.40  
PRINCESS WIGGY 4 3 12 2nk   510½ 633¾ (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 122 1.40 28% 2.60 0.80  
 
PEN-7   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS 7 1 2nk 11   13 1 (salvaggio m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 6.60  
BEAR OR BULL 6 5 42 33   33 2 (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.50 33% 2.00 3.10 P
BEJUCO 1 2 1nk 21   23 3 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 29.20  
BOOK RUNNER 4 4 77 7   79 4 (salinas jose)CORA D 122 15.00 26.20  
HARVEY SPECTER 3 7 3 4   45 510 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 28% 2.50 3.80  
SNIP THE ROSES 2 6 65 6   57 611½ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
TUNA N STAMPS 5 3 5 5   68 715¾ (alvarado diane)CHIAPPE R 124 4.50 14% 6.10 1.20  
SCR  I DON'T SEE COLORS               (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.