Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/1)-(7/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/1)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1)-(8/3/5)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/5)-(1/5/7/3)-(4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3)-(1/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/7/3)-(4/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7/3)-(4/7)-(4/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/7)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(4/2/5)-(5/4/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(5/4/6)-(7/4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/6)-(5/4/6)-(5/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/6)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2)-(7/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S DANCING Jul05 May22 Oct26 Oct12 Sep22 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 12% 7.10    
2  MINDING MILLIE May10 Mar28 Feb27 Jan17 Dec12 (bennett juanit)CEDENO CAROL 120 12.00    
SCR  TAPIT'S GIRL Jun21 May31 Dec14 Nov18 Nov04 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
4  ORGANIZED CHAOS Jul13 Jun02 May11 Apr20 Mar29 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
SCR  NO EASY ANSWER Jun30 May06 Mar16 Feb24 Jan12 (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  SHOSHANAH Jul05 May19 Nov05 Sep28 Jul28 (horlacher kyl)ROJAS MARTINA 113 2.00    
7  MUNDLE OF JOY Jun28 May26 Sep24 Aug26 Jul15 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  ALL THAT MAGIC Jun28 Jun09 May02 Mar21 Jan13 (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80    
 
PEN-2   07/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEACHER DRAMA Jun16 May24 May04 Mar17 Mar08 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00    
SCR  KAZ LUCKY NUMBERS Jun28 Jun15 May24 May05 Mar15 (sinnefia paulina)LLOYD W 122 10.00    
3  SASSY MARTINI Jul05 Jun22 Jun16 Jun02 May05 (beattie san)INIRIO J 120 2.50 18% 4.50    
4  FROSTED WILD RIDE May08 Apr26 Apr10 Mar21 Feb08 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
5  ELEGANT TASTE Jun30 Jun14 May18 Mar31 Mar10 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE Jun22 May31 May11 Apr27 Mar17 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 3.00    
7  BONITA LASSIE Jun21 Jun01 May11 Mar17 Feb22 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
8  FILLMORE EAST Nov22 Sep21 Aug31 Aug19 Jul01 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-3   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO GRACIE Jun22 May31 May17 Apr28 Apr20 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 113 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  IMAGISM Jun22 May24 May04 Mar31 Mar15 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
3  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Jul14 May31 Apr27 May20 Apr29 (johnson carlos )RODRIGUEZ E 120 10.00 7% 13.50    
4  ANOTHERWORLDINSIDE Jun28 Apr27 Mar30 Mar18 Jul27 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 3.50    
5  KAREN'S WAY Jul05 Jun22 May24 May12 Apr21 (stites w)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  ROSES FROM HEAVEN Jun14 May31 Apr27 Mar09 Feb09 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
7  JACK'S LILLY Jul05 Jun22 Jun14 May05 Feb22 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  PRINCESS KAIRA Jul05 Jun14 May24 May04 Mar24 (synnefias pan)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00    
 
PEN-4   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SIS NIC Jul06 Jun16 Aug06     (murtough st)INIRIO J 122 8.00    
SCR  EXOTIC CAT Jul01 May14 Aug20 Jul23 Jul03 (pregman j)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  JUMP A FOX Jul01 May01 Apr07 Feb24   (meister willi)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
4  PRIZE DEBATE Jun15 May12 Mar24 Mar02 Feb04 (rubley ke)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  LALLYBROCH Jul13 Jun22       (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  IMAGINE RITA Jul05 Jun10 Mar07 Feb20 Jan13 (hogan j)RUIZ ELISEO 115 3.50    
7  FIRST SPIRIT GIRL Jun15         (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-5   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUCKS SOME Jul03 Jun23 May17 May02 Apr12 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 6.00    
2  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Jun30 May25 Apr27 Mar24 Feb22 (beattie tod)INIRIO J 120 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  HOP ON ME May03 Apr12 Apr03 Mar15 Feb06 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 118 30.00    
4  SOCIAL SUCCESS Apr12 Mar06 Feb10 Jan20 Dec21 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 1.00 53% 0.90    
5  DOCTOR ABBIE Jun30 May26 Apr28 Apr12 Mar03 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  SWAN POINT Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 Nov30 Nov08 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.50    
 
PEN-6   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MIA LIA Jul07 Jun22 May19 May05 Apr20 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 10.00    
2  SYNDEY GIRL Jun22         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
3  WIN FOR LAILA Jun15 May25 May05 Apr26 Mar30 (zalalas mic)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 6.00    
4  PRINCESS WIGGY Jul06         (kulp brando)INIRIO J 122 1.40 28% 2.60    
5  MADI'S TUNE Jun22 May25       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.60 39% 1.60    
6  CHIMING IN         (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 11% 7.90    
 
PEN-7   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEJUCO Feb24 Feb10 Jan12 Nov29 Nov09 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
2  SNIP THE ROSES Jun23 May26 May05 Mar31 Mar10 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I DON'T SEE COLORS Jul12 Jun14       (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00    
4  HARVEY SPECTER Jun22         (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 28% 2.50    
5  BOOK RUNNER Jun29 May26 Mar31 Feb24 Feb01 (salinas jose)CORA D 122 15.00    
6  TUNA N STAMPS Jun01 Mar19 Jan11 Nov30 Nov18 (alvarado diane)CHIAPPE R 124 4.50 14% 6.10    
7  BEAR OR BULL Jun30 May03       (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  ONEOFTHEGOODGUYS Jun30         (salvaggio)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.