The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 1 $23.60 $23.60 11.60
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2-5 3 0 $28.10 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (1/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.40 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/6/9)-(1/2/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 8-1 2 0 $25.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6/9)-(1/2/6/9)-(1/2/6/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 8-1-10 3 0 $152.30 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(1/2/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-8 2 0 $69.80 -24.00
PEN-3   Win (5/6/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 -0.80
    Exacta (5/6/7/9)-(5/6/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-9 2 1 $22.20 $22.20 -1.80
    Trifecta (5/6/7/9)-(5/6/7/9)-(5/6/7/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-9-8 3 0 $24.20 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/9)-(5/6/7/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 8-5 2 0 $37.40 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(1/2/6/9)-(5/6/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-8-5 3 0 $62.85 -24.00
PEN-4   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $51.00 -6.00
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-5 2 0 $157.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5-3 3 0 $161.30 -6.00
    Daily Double (5/6/7/9)-(2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-1 2 0 $217.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (1/2/6/9)-(5/6/7/9)-(2/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 8-5-1 3 0 $284.05 -24.00
PEN-5   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $99.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2-4 3 0 $110.60 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(1/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-1 2 0 $400.40 -18.00
    Pick Three (5/6/7/9)-(2/5/6)-(1/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 5-1-1 3 0 $241.60 -18.00
PEN-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
    Exacta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 1 $19.00 $19.00 7.00
    Trifecta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5-4 3 0 $22.50 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(3/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-6 2 1 $31.60 $31.60 13.60
    Pick Three (2/5/6)-(1/4/5)-(3/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-1-6 3 0 $181.35 -13.50
PEN-7   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 7.20
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-6 2 0 $118.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-6-5 3 0 $136.80 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/5/6)-(2/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-3 2 1 $73.00 $73.00 55.00
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(3/5/6)-(2/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-6-3 3 1 $68.10 $68.10 54.60

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:252 :503 1:15 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANI PEDI 1 1 3 43 5 31(castillo michel)RIVERA D 124 8.00 10% 8.60 4.10 W
WICKED T 5 5 11 1½ 1nk 12(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 5.70 DQ↓3
LONDONDERRY 2 6 54 54 4 23(rodriguez m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.00 P
ARCTICA 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 44(flores l)FLORES E 124 12.00 34.40  
JUSTIN TIME 4 4 4 3 3.2 5510¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 24% 3.10 2.80  
MISS MORENO 6 3 66 67 610¼ 6617½ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 10.80  
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR               (jacklin the)VARGAS L 124 3.50    
 
PEN-2   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:241 :481 1:12 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLOR FORCE 6 1 1 11 1 12 13 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 4.00 3.70  
ALONG THE WAY 1 3 3 4 44 34 23 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.90 P
10  HIDDEN SPRINGS 8 5 2 21 2 22 3(graci kimberl)INIRIO J 118 8.00 33.80  
LADY BREXIT 5 4 43 3 3 46 4(pattershall ma)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00 27% 2.60 1.30  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 3 8 88 89 7 69 510¼ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 9.10  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 2 2 55 55 5 5611 (ferreira fern)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 42.00  
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL 7 7 77 78 8 7713 (johnson m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 9% 10.30 22.10  
HIT A HOMER HONEY 4 6 66 65 66 810½ 820 (miller a)AGUILAR M 118 12.00 25.10  
SCR  ALWAJD               (graci a)AGUILAR M 118 4.50    
SCR  CAR LADY               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
PEN-3   07/14/2023 5490ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:231 :462 1:101 1:344   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUTUP AND HANG ON 3 5 32 4 3 31¼ (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.60 W
CHELICHNA 7 4 42 3 2 2nk 2¼ (milosevic milan)ALVELO C 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.40 P
AFRICAN ANGEL 6 3 65 5 4 432 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50 2.70  
IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN 1 1 1 1 1 1nk 4(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 6.50  
SAYYIDA AL HURRA 4 6 54 66 69 510½ 513½ (bracho sher)VARGAS L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
DALLAS 2 7 712 713 714 717½ 618¾ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 44.60  
HOLD ME CLOSER 5 2 2 2 56 615½ 719½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
SCR  FINISHING TOUCH               (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
SCR  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY               (meister willi)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:221 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLA PRIMA 1 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1(rodriguez franklin)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 24.50  
KNICKERSINATWIST 5 1 3½ 31   2nk 2(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 38% 1.60 0.50 P
STAND BY YOU 3 6 67 6   432 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 5.40  
DATE NIGHT KISSES 2 2 1½ 1nk   3½ 4(allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.50 15% 5.60 4.10  
MOONSAFE 6 4 42 4   55(salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 14% 6.30 10.20  
QUEEN'S DREAM 4 5 56 55   667 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 12.90  
 
PEN-5   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:221 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHATTER ME 1 3 1 1   13 1(beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 13% 6.60 2.60 W
AMEN SYLVIA 2 6 5 5   42(shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00 19.30  
MISS CONVEYOR 4 1 3 2   23 3(kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 50% 1.00 1.10 S
ONTHISHARVESTMOON 3 2 4 4   33 4(crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 4.10  
EARLY FROST 6 5 6 6   65(ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 19.80  
POSITIVE FORCE 5 4 2 3   56(rozell ron)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 10% 8.60 4.80  
 
PEN-6   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:25 :492 1:132 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADY'S MUNNY 6 2 1 11 1 16 14 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.80 16% 5.30 2.20 W
PATTY'S BOY 5 4 64 65 4 26 24 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.20 P
PRATT 4 6 4 4 3 337 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 5.70  
CHARGING LION 1 1 2 21 2 4415½ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 1.80  
VISHNU 3 5 53 55 68 5519 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 7% 12.80 25.20  
HE CAME TRUE 2 3 3 3 5 6620¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 18.30  
 
PEN-7   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:22 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLSAR 3 6 4 2nk   13 1¾ (moreno-barban)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.00 12% 7.10 5.60 W
TRIPLE TITOS 6 1 611 6   42¾ (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 14.20  
CAJUN OCCASION 5 5 5 5   56 3(salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 48% 1.10 3.60 S
NORTHERN SPY 2 4 1nk 1nk   23 4(mcclellan eri)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 19% 4.30 0.40  
SPELLED WELL 1 2 2nk 3.2   359 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 32.50  
WICKED IRISHMAN 4 3 31 4   66 613 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00 26.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.