Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-2 $23.60 $11.60 97%
PEN-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.20 $1.20 20%
PEN-6   EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $19.00 $7.00 58%
    DD (4/1/5)-(5/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-6 $31.60 $13.60 76%
PEN-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $13.20 $7.20 120%
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-3 $73.00 $55.00 306%
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/6/3)-(5/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1-6-3 $68.10 $54.60 404%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:252 :503 1:15 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANI PEDI 1 1 32½ 43 53¼ 31½ 12¼ (castillo mich)RIVERA D 124 8.00 10% 8.60 4.10 W
5  WICKED T 5 5 11 1½ 1nk 11½ 22¼ (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00 5.70 DQ↓3
2  LONDONDERRY 2 6 54 54 42¼ 21½ 32¾ (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.00 P
3  ARCTICA 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 41¾ 45½ (flores l)FLORES E 124 12.00 34.40  
4  JUSTIN TIME 4 4 42½ 31½ 3.2 53¼ 510¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 24% 3.10 2.80  
7  MISS MORENO 6 3 66 67 610¼ 69¼ 617½ (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 10.80  
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR               (jacklin t)VARGAS L 124 3.50    
 
PEN-2   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:12 1:24   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  COLOR FORCE 6 1 11½ 11 11½ 12 13 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 4.00 3.70  
1  ALONG THE WAY 1 3 32½ 43½ 44 34 23 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.90 P
10  HIDDEN SPRINGS 8 5 21½ 21 21½ 22 33½ (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 118 8.00 33.80  
6  LADY BREXIT 5 4 43 32½ 33½ 46 47¾ (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00 27% 2.60 1.30  
4  MIKEY'S JEWEL 3 8 88 89 77½ 69 510¼ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 9.10  
2  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 2 2 55 55 55½ 58½ 611 (ferreira fe)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 42.00  
9  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL 7 7 77 78 87½ 79½ 713 (johnson carlos )RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 9% 10.30 22.10  
5  HIT A HOMER HONEY 4 6 66 65 66 810½ 820 (miller a)AGUILAR M 118 12.00 25.10  
SCR  ALWAJD               (graci a)AGUILAR M 118 4.50    
SCR  CAR LADY               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
PEN-3   07/14/2023 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:101 1:344   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHUTUP AND HANG ON 3 5 32 42½ 31½ 31½ 1¼ (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.60 W
9  CHELICHNA 7 4 42 32½ 21½ 2nk 2¼ (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.40 P
8  AFRICAN ANGEL 6 3 65 55½ 45½ 44½ 32 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50 2.70  
3  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN 1 1 11½ 11½ 11½ 1nk 43¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 6.50  
6  SAYYIDA AL HURRA 4 6 54 66 69 510½ 513½ (bracho sh)VARGAS L 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
4  DALLAS 2 7 712 713 714 717½ 618¾ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 44.60  
7  HOLD ME CLOSER 5 2 21½ 21½ 56 615½ 719½ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
SCR  FINISHING TOUCH               (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
SCR  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY               (meister wil)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
 
PEN-4   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA PRIMA 1 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 11¼ (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 24.50  
5  KNICKERSINATWIST 5 1 3½ 31   2nk 21¼ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 38% 1.60 0.50 P
3  STAND BY YOU 3 6 67 65½   42½ 32 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 5.40  
2  DATE NIGHT KISSES 2 2 1½ 1nk   3½ 42¾ (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.50 15% 5.60 4.10  
6  MOONSAFE 6 4 42 41½   52¾ 53¾ (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 14% 6.30 10.20  
4  QUEEN'S DREAM 4 5 56 55   65¾ 67 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00 12.90  
 
PEN-5   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHATTER ME 1 3 11½ 11½   13 12¾ (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 13% 6.60 2.60 W
2  AMEN SYLVIA 2 6 53¾ 53¾   43¼ 22¾ (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00 19.30  
4  MISS CONVEYOR 4 1 31½ 21½   23 33¼ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 50% 1.00 1.10 S
3  ONTHISHARVESTMOON 3 2 41¾ 41¾   33 45½ (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 4.10  
6  EARLY FROST 6 5 65¾ 65¾   67¾ 58¾ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 19.80  
5  POSITIVE FORCE 5 4 21½ 31½   56¼ 69¾ (rozell ron)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 10% 8.60 4.80  
 
PEN-6   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:25 :492 1:132 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ADY'S MUNNY 6 2 11½ 11 11½ 16 14 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.80 16% 5.30 2.20 W
5  PATTY'S BOY 5 4 64 65 46½ 26 24 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 2.50 40% 1.50 2.20 P
4  PRATT 4 6 42½ 43½ 35½ 36½ 37 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00 5.70  
1  CHARGING LION 1 1 21½ 21 21½ 47½ 415½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 1.80  
3  VISHNU 3 5 53 55 68 58½ 519 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 7% 12.80 25.20  
2  HE CAME TRUE 2 3 31½ 32½ 57½ 69½ 620¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 18.30  
 
PEN-7   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  POLSAR 3 6 42½ 2nk   13 1¾ (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.00 12% 7.10 5.60 W
6  TRIPLE TITOS 6 1 611 63¼   45½ 2¾ (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 14.20  
5  CAJUN OCCASION 5 5 59½ 53¼   56 31¾ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 48% 1.10 3.60 S
2  NORTHERN SPY 2 4 1nk 1nk   23 47¾ (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 19% 4.30 0.40  
1  SPELLED WELL 1 2 2nk 3.2   33½ 59 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 32.50  
4  WICKED IRISHMAN 4 3 31 41¼   66 613 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00 26.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.