Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(6/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(6/1/9/2)-(5/9/6/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/1/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/9/2)-(6/1/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/9/2)-(6/1/9/2)-(6/1/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/9/2)-(5/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/9/2)-(5/9/6/7)-(5/2/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/9/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/6/7)-(5/9/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/6/7)-(5/9/6/7)-(5/9/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/9/6/7)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/6/7)-(5/2/6)-(4/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/1/5)-(5/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/6/3)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANI PEDI Jun09 Jun02 May20 May03 Apr10 (castillo mich)RIVERA D 124 8.00 10% 8.60    
2  LONDONDERRY Jun28 May31 May09 Mar29 Mar13 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  ARCTICA Jun16 May25 May04 Apr19 Mar22 (flores l)FLORES E 124 12.00    
4  JUSTIN TIME Jun28 May25 May04 Mar22 Mar02 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
5  WICKED T Jun28 May25 May04 Apr19 Mar17 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.00    
SCR  SERENE WARRIOR Jun28 Jun14 May17 May04 Mar31 (jacklin t)VARGAS L 124 3.50    
7  MISS MORENO Jun28 May25 May11 Apr19 Apr07 (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00    
 
PEN-2   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALONG THE WAY Jun22 May24 May06 Apr19 Mar15 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
2  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Jun29 Jun14 May19 Apr28 Mar31 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALWAJD Jun22 Jun01 May05 Apr20 Apr12 (graci a)AGUILAR M 118 4.50    
4  MIKEY'S JEWEL May24 May11 Apr28 Apr19 Mar17 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00    
5  HIT A HOMER HONEY Jul05 Jun16 May25 May12 Nov25 (miller a)AGUILAR M 118 12.00    
6  LADY BREXIT Jun21 May31 Feb06 Jan11 Nov21 (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  CAR LADY Jun29 May24 Apr14 Mar23 Mar08 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
8  COLOR FORCE Jun28 May19 Jun30 May26 Apr06 (johnston rob)CORA D 120 4.00    
9  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL May31 Apr27 May20 Apr29 Apr08 (johnson c)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 9% 10.30    
10  HIDDEN SPRINGS May31 May04 Mar15 Feb10 Jan19 (graci kimbe)INIRIO J 118 8.00    
 
PEN-3   07/14/2023 5490ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FINISHING TOUCH Jun30 Jun22 Jun02 May06 Apr27 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 118 6.00    
SCR  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Jun20 May12 Apr20 Mar23 Feb16 (meister wil)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
3  IMNOTONETOCOMPLAIN Jun20 Jun04 May18 Nov22 Oct27 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00    
4  DALLAS Jun16 Mar18 Feb25 Jan14 Dec28 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
5  SHUTUP AND HANG ON Jun15 May25 Apr28 Mar22 Mar06 (houghton thoma)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  SAYYIDA AL HURRA Jun14 May25 Apr06     (bracho sherene)MENA E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOLD ME CLOSER Jul07 Jun10 Mar22 Feb09 Sep15 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  AFRICAN ANGEL Jun20 May15 Apr12 Mar03 Feb10 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 3.50    
9  CHELICHNA Jun24 Jun03 May06 Nov05 Oct27 (milosevic mil)ALVELO C 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
PEN-4   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA PRIMA Jun21 May06 Aug19 Aug03 Jul01 (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
2  DATE NIGHT KISSES Jun21 May29 Apr11 Feb13 Jan18 (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
3  STAND BY YOU May31 May06 Apr02 Mar11 Jan27 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00    
4  QUEEN'S DREAM Jun21 May25 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 12.00    
5  KNICKERSINATWIST Jun21 May25 May06 Apr21 Mar22 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.40 38% 1.60    
6  MOONSAFE Jun21 May31 May06 Mar02 Feb17 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
PEN-5   07/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHATTER ME May17 Apr21 Mar31 Mar09 Feb15 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 13% 6.60    
2  AMEN SYLVIA Jun02 May05 Jan19 Dec28 Dec02 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00    
3  ONTHISHARVESTMOON May22 May03 Apr12 Jul12 Jun11 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
4  MISS CONVEYOR Jun28 Jun02 May12 Apr21 Mar29 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 50% 1.00    
5  POSITIVE FORCE Jun28 Jun02 May12 Apr21 Mar31 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
6  EARLY FROST Jun16 Jun02 May06 Mar31 Mar23 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
 
PEN-6   07/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGING LION Jun21 May26 May06 Mar17 Mar03 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
2  HE CAME TRUE Jun21 May24 May05 Apr20 Mar25 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
3  VISHNU Jun21 May17 Apr21 Mar17 Mar01 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 7% 12.80    
4  PRATT Jun29 Jun09 May24 Apr26 Mar30 (stites p)CHIAPPE R 124 4.00    
5  PATTY'S BOY Jun16 May24 May06     (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  ADY'S MUNNY Jun09 May17 Apr19 Mar01 Jan11 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.80 16% 5.30    
 
PEN-7   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPELLED WELL Jun30 May06 Apr19 Mar17 Mar01 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
2  NORTHERN SPY May15 Mar17 Jan11     (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
3  POLSAR Jun30 Jun09 May27 May13 May05 (moreno-barb)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
4  WICKED IRISHMAN Jun29 Oct14 Sep16 Aug31 Aug05 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00    
5  CAJUN OCCASION Jun29 Jun15 May21 Apr07 Mar03 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
6  TRIPLE TITOS Jun30 May24 May04 Feb26 Feb01 (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.