Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-2   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.00 $1.00 13%
CNL-3   TRI (2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00  6-8-4 $300.40 $240.40 401%
    SFT (2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-8-4-2 $139.61 $127.61 1063%
CNL-4   EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2 $34.90 $28.90 482%
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2-3 $99.50 $93.50 1558%
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(2/6/8/3/4)-(3/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00  1-6-6/7 $105.70 $45.70 76%
CNL-9   WIN (4/2/11/14/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $118.20 $108.20 1082%
    DD (9/1/6/4/7)-(4/2/11/14/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00  6-5 $263.10 $238.10 952%
    PK3 (11/3/5/7/9)-(9/1/6/4/7)-(4/2/11/14/5) 125 $1.00 $125  2/11-6-5 $908.50 $783.50 627%
    PK4 (10/4/5/3/7)-(11/3/5/7/9)-(9/1/6/4/7)-(4/2/11/14/5) 625 $1.00 $625  8/10-2/11-6-5 $1708 $1083 173%
Simulator Race results
 
CNL-1   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOK TOK 2 5 55 56½   31 1½ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 2.50 46% 1.20 0.60 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of IN TUNE by IN CASE)
6  A G DIAMOND 5 2 22 22½   1nk 2½ (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 3.50 22% 3.50 3.60 P
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of QUEST FOR CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  RUDDY BUDDY 4 4 33½ 34   42 31½ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 40.90  
  (by MSHAWISH out of KATANGA by MAXIOS (GB))
8  BELTANE 7 3 43½ 44   53 44½ (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 119 10.00 15.70  
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SAUCY COUNTESS by TABASCO CAT)
1  GAMBLIN GEORGE 1 7 811½ 79½   79 55¼ (kelley a)ROCCO S 119 15.00 9.90  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ROYAL COPENHAGEN by INCHINOR)
7  IMPERIALTY 6 1 12 12½   2nk 65½ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 4.70  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SPRING DRAGON by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
9  GRAND KINGDOM 8 8 67 67   64 78¼ (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 30.60  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
3  SUPER ROCKY 3 6 710 811½   821 824½ (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 119 20.00 5% 19.00 40.80  
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of ROMANTIC SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  SHARDS               (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CYNTHIA'S FURY by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
CNL-2   07/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:111     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEWY'S BEAST 1 1 11 12   17 112 (danner k)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 18% 4.60 3.50 W
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LILIKOI by FREUD)
3  GLENBROOK GERRY 3 6 51¾ 22   27 212 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 1.80  
  (by DIALED IN out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
6  MARCUS GIFT 6 5 62¾ 54   311 312¼ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 7.80  
  (by BERNARDINI out of FOUR GIFTS by EVEN THE SCORE)
5  ASCENDANCE 5 3 31 43½   411½ 413¼ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.50 38% 1.60 2.30  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of YALISHA by RUN PRODUCTION)
2  DYNAMIC DEVOTION 2 4 21 32   513½ 523¾ (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 63.60  
  (by MO TOWN out of VIBRANT WORSHIP by LANGFUHR)
4  BAYTOWN CONNECTED 4 2 41¼ 64½   615½ 626¾ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 41.40  
  (by CONNECT out of PARTYIN by HENNY HUGHES)
7  CHACHACHING 7 7 73¼ 76½   719½ 742½ (asmussen stev)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 4.10  
  (by TAPIT out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
 
CNL-3   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:242 :502 1:144 1:27   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SKELLIG ISLAND 6 7 65 63½ 63½ 43 1½ (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 119 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40 W
8  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND 8 4 32½ 32 3½ 2nk 2½ (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
4  OLD FASHIONED GIRL 4 1 2nk 2½ 1½ 1nk 31¼ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 30.00 5% 19.00 34.50 S
2  KINGDOM FORCE 2 9 910½ 75½ 73¾ 53¼ 43 (cash l)ASHTON GAVIN 119 1.80 31% 2.20 5.80  
9  GRUMPY BROOKSIE 9 6 54 53 41 32 53¼ (brooks g)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 5.20  
3  ANOTHERDAYOFWORK 3 3 43½ 42½ 52½ 65¾ 611½ (brooks e)CRUZ ANGEL 116 30.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
5  MELODY WIN 5 8 810 97½ 912¾ 814¼ 721¼ (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 31.60  
1  DESTINO 1 2 1nk 1½ 2½ 77¼ 822½ (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 12.00 25.80  
7  MR. LEFTY 7 5 77 86½ 812¾ 915¼ 927¾ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 1.70  
 
CNL-4   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  POINT LIAM 6 5 51¼ 51¾   4¾ 1½ (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 2.50 14% 6.00 1.60 W
2  PROUD CIVILIAN 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (brinkman bret)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 22.30 P
3  VOCALIZE 3 2 2nk 2nk   3.2 31 (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 59% 0.70 2.10 S
4  FUN NOTION 4 6 63¼ 62   1nk 41 (white alexandra)DELGADO A 118 5.00 18.70  
5  BOSS MAN J J 5 4 41¼ 41¾   51¼ 52 (salzman timothy)CENTENO E 122 3.50 3.00  
1  JETAROS 1 1 31 31½   62¼ 65¼ (pompay terri)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50 4.30  
SCR  YAMIL               (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 15.00    
 
CNL-5   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:221 :45 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOLLYWOOD WALK 4 6 41½ 31   3.2 1½ (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00 8.30  
5  CHAMBEAU 5 1 1½ 1½   1nk 2½ (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.00 P
7  AFANDI 7 2 2½ 2½   2nk 3½ (dunham bernard )CENTENO E 122 4.50 13% 6.90 4.30 S
3  WHISPURRING KITTEN 3 5 52 61¾   41¼ 4¾ (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00 27% 2.80 3.20  
1  MOANAS POWER 1 3 31½ 41½   63¼ 53½ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00 18.80  
9  OUR STRONG VOWS 8 8 63 51½   52¾ 63¾ (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 43.50  
6  BAHAMIAN MOON 6 7 85½ 85¼   76¼ 76¼ (bowersock mari)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00 9% 9.70 17.50  
2  CANADA'S CUSTOMS 2 4 73½ 73¾   86¼ 89¾ (asmussen s)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 14.20  
SCR  SHOSHANAH               (horlacher ky)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
 
CNL-6   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:114 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WILLAKIA 9 6 11 11½ 12 11½ 16¼ (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.00 W
4  SURYA (ARG) 4 9 910 98½ 98¼ 74¼ 26¼ (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 11% 8.50 5.30 P
9  YOUENS 8 8 76½ 64 63¾ 42 36¾ (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 9.40  
2  COLOR CRUSH 2 7 44 53½ 42½ 21½ 47¼ (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 14.80  
5  FACCIA BELLA 5 1 54 43 32½ 32 58 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 8% 10.80 3.80  
1  CINDY'S SONG 1 3 21 21½ 22 52¼ 69½ (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 12.00 23.50  
3  BRUSHING 3 2 32½ 32½ 53½ 62¼ 710¼ (dunham bernard )CENTENO E 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
7  MARIA'S HONOR 7 5 87 85½ 77¾ 88¼ 813¾ (cibelli jane)ROCCO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
6  SAPPHIRE STAR 6 4 65½ 75 87¾ 99¼ 914¼ (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00 21.70  
SCR  ITALIAN DRESSING               (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
 
CNL-7   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:132 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  YANKEE DOLLAR 10 1 11½ 11 11 14 15¾ (vitali m)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 60% 0.70 1.50 W
4  MISTY MAUVE 3 10 108¼ 97¼ 84 54¼ 25¾ (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00 20.00  
7  LEA RO 6 2 21½ 32 42½ 24 36¾ (campbell micha)CASTANON L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 22.70 S
1  BALI KUTA 1 3 42½ 63½ 63¾ 65¼ 47½ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 6.00 2.10  
5  INANNA'S QUEST 4 7 52¾ 42½ 32½ 44¼ 57½ (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 125 3.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
3  PANOTTI 2 6 74¾ 85¼ 95 75½ 68¼ (o'connell kath)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50 12% 7.10 5.90  
8  BRUMMAGEM 7 4 31½ 21 21 34 78¾ (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 123 30.00 70.30  
6  NIBBLES 5 8 97¼ 107¾ 106 98 89¾ (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 33.40  
9  LADY DOMINANCE 8 5 63¼ 53½ 52¾ 87½ 910¾ (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
10  STARRY HOPE 9 9 86¾ 75 73¾ 108½ 1015 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 56.80  
SCR  TOUT ENSEMBLE               (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00    
 
CNL-8   07/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:112 1:37   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ARTEMUS BRIDGE 6 9 97¾ 96¾ 85½ 1nk 13¾ (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 18% 4.40 3.40 W
1  VELOCE 1 7 54½ 54 42½ 2nk 23¾ (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90 P
10  CANDY KINGDOM 10 8 86¾ 76 75 4¾ 37 (zook jeff)CARRASCO R 121 10.00 11.70  
4  MISTA DONZELLA 4 3 34 31 31½ 51¼ 49¼ (wasiluk peter )GOLIBRZUCH S 123 8.00 11% 8.10 17.50  
3  LUIS TWO GUNS 3 5 21 21 2½ 3½ 510¾ (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00 30.30  
2  ERIC THE SALESMAN 2 6 64¾ 65 64½ 61¼ 612¼ (zook w)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 12.30  
5  LOKOYA ROAD 5 10 108¼ 108¼ 1010½ 76¼ 714¼ (jones e)ACOSTA D 123 20.00 49.50  
7  SAVVY LAYLA 7 1 74¾ 86¼ 98½ 98 824¾ (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
9  JOE PHILLIPS 9 4 11 11 1½ 86½ 926 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 24% 3.10 4.20  
8  RESIDENT LIBERAL 8 2 44 42 52½ 109 1027¾ (walters j)DELGADO A 121 30.00 34.70  
 
CNL-9   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
1:07         1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WILL I PLAY 4 12 114½ 105   33½ 1¼ (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 58.10 W
13  BRIGHT MOON 12 11 127½ 128½   65 2¼ (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00 8.90  
11  MOLLIE TAPPER 10 9 93½ 52¼   1½ 3¼ (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.40 S
3  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) 2 10 51½ 62¼   54 42 (brown a)ACOSTA D 124 30.00 93.60  
10  LUNA AMARILLA 9 13 1311½ 1311½   97 52¼ (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 9.80  
4  BLUE TWIRLIN 3 2 3½ 41¼   44 63½ (casse ma)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 47% 1.10 1.70  
6  MS EXCUSE 5 7 71¾ 72½   76 73¾ (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00 29.10  
12  BEER BALI 11 3 2nk 1nk   2½ 85½ (gulick jam)ALONSO LUIS 119 4.50 6.00  
7  WELL RESTED 6 8 104 115½   108 96½ (pessanha )CARRASCO R 119 30.00 ######  
14  AIN'T NONCENTS 13 6 41 31   86½ 107¼ (duffy sean)MENESES MARCOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
8  DELIZIOSA 7 5 61¾ 95   118½ 118¼ (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 30.00 83.20  
9  ROMANCE IN HABANA 8 4 82 82½   1310 1212½ (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 20.00 26.00  
2  BURN THE BREEZE 1 1 1nk 2nk   129 1317¾ (romero rafael)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 24% 3.10 2.20  
SCR  TEA'S DREAM               (wasiluk peter )CASTANON L 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.