Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-2   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.00 $1.00 13%
CNL-3   TRI (2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00  6-8-4 $300.40 $240.40 401%
    SFT (2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4)-(2/6/8/3/4) 120 $0.10 $12.00  6-8-4-2 $139.61 $127.61 1063%
CNL-4   EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2 $34.90 $28.90 482%
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-2-3 $99.50 $93.50 1558%
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(2/6/8/3/4)-(3/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00  1-6-6/7 $105.70 $45.70 76%
CNL-9   WIN (4/2/11/14/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $118.20 $108.20 1082%
    DD (9/1/6/4/7)-(4/2/11/14/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00  6-5 $263.10 $238.10 952%
    PK3 (11/3/5/7/9)-(9/1/6/4/7)-(4/2/11/14/5) 125 $1.00 $125  2/11-6-5 $908.50 $783.50 627%
    PK4 (10/4/5/3/7)-(11/3/5/7/9)-(9/1/6/4/7)-(4/2/11/14/5) 625 $1.00 $625  8/10-2/11-6-5 $1708 $1083 173%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOK TOK   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 2.50 46% 1.20 0.60 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of IN TUNE by IN CASE)
A G DIAMOND   (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 3.50 22% 3.50 3.60 P
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of QUEST FOR CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
RUDDY BUDDY   (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 40.90  
  (by MSHAWISH out of KATANGA by MAXIOS (GB))
BELTANE   (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 119 10.00 15.70  
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SAUCY COUNTESS by TABASCO CAT)
GAMBLIN GEORGE   (kelley a)ROCCO S 119 15.00 9.90  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ROYAL COPENHAGEN by INCHINOR)
IMPERIALTY   (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00 4.70  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SPRING DRAGON by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
GRAND KINGDOM   (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 30.60  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
SUPER ROCKY   (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 119 20.00 5% 19.00 40.80  
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of ROMANTIC SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  SHARDS   (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CYNTHIA'S FURY by UTOPIA (JPN))
 
CNL-2   07/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEWY'S BEAST   (danner k)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 18% 4.60 3.50 W
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LILIKOI by FREUD)
GLENBROOK GERRY   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 1.80  
  (by DIALED IN out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
MARCUS GIFT   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 7.80  
  (by BERNARDINI out of FOUR GIFTS by EVEN THE SCORE)
ASCENDANCE   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.50 38% 1.60 2.30  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of YALISHA by RUN PRODUCTION)
DYNAMIC DEVOTION   (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 63.60  
  (by MO TOWN out of VIBRANT WORSHIP by LANGFUHR)
BAYTOWN CONNECTED   (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00 41.40  
  (by CONNECT out of PARTYIN by HENNY HUGHES)
CHACHACHING   (asmussen stev)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 4.10  
  (by TAPIT out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
 
CNL-3   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKELLIG ISLAND   (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 119 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40 W
DUSTIN THE DIAMOND   (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
OLD FASHIONED GIRL   (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 30.00 5% 19.00 34.50 S
KINGDOM FORCE   (cash l)ASHTON GAVIN 119 1.80 31% 2.20 5.80  
GRUMPY BROOKSIE   (brooks g)GALLARDO A 119 4.00 5.20  
ANOTHERDAYOFWORK   (brooks e)CRUZ ANGEL 116 30.00 5% 19.00 34.00  
MELODY WIN   (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 10.00 31.60  
DESTINO   (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 12.00 25.80  
MR. LEFTY   (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 1.70  
 
CNL-4   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POINT LIAM   (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 2.50 14% 6.00 1.60 W
PROUD CIVILIAN   (brinkman bret)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00 22.30 P
VOCALIZE   (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 59% 0.70 2.10 S
FUN NOTION   (white alexandra)DELGADO A 118 5.00 18.70  
BOSS MAN J J   (salzman timothy)CENTENO E 122 3.50 3.00  
JETAROS   (pompay terri)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50 4.30  
SCR  YAMIL   (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 15.00    
 
CNL-5   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLYWOOD WALK   (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00 8.30  
CHAMBEAU   (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.00 P
AFANDI   (dunham bernard )CENTENO E 122 4.50 13% 6.90 4.30 S
WHISPURRING KITTEN   (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00 27% 2.80 3.20  
MOANAS POWER   (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00 18.80  
OUR STRONG VOWS   (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00 43.50  
BAHAMIAN MOON   (bowersock mari)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00 9% 9.70 17.50  
CANADA'S CUSTOMS   (asmussen s)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00 14.20  
SCR  SHOSHANAH   (horlacher ky)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
 
CNL-6   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WILLAKIA   (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.00 W
SURYA (ARG)   (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 11% 8.50 5.30 P
YOUENS   (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 9.40  
COLOR CRUSH   (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00 14.80  
FACCIA BELLA   (raven ke)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 8% 10.80 3.80  
CINDY'S SONG   (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 12.00 23.50  
BRUSHING   (dunham bernard )CENTENO E 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
MARIA'S HONOR   (cibelli jane)ROCCO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00 20.90  
SAPPHIRE STAR   (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00 21.70  
SCR  ITALIAN DRESSING   (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
 
CNL-7   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  YANKEE DOLLAR   (vitali m)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 60% 0.70 1.50 W
MISTY MAUVE   (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00 20.00  
LEA RO   (campbell micha)CASTANON L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 22.70 S
BALI KUTA   (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 6.00 2.10  
INANNA'S QUEST   (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 125 3.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
PANOTTI   (o'connell kath)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50 12% 7.10 5.90  
BRUMMAGEM   (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 123 30.00 70.30  
NIBBLES   (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00 33.40  
LADY DOMINANCE   (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
10  STARRY HOPE   (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 56.80  
SCR  TOUT ENSEMBLE   (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00    
 
CNL-8   07/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTEMUS BRIDGE   (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 18% 4.40 3.40 W
VELOCE   (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90 P
10  CANDY KINGDOM   (zook jeff)CARRASCO R 121 10.00 11.70  
MISTA DONZELLA   (wasiluk peter )GOLIBRZUCH S 123 8.00 11% 8.10 17.50  
LUIS TWO GUNS   (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00 30.30  
ERIC THE SALESMAN   (zook w)AVILES YAN 121 15.00 12.30  
LOKOYA ROAD   (jones e)ACOSTA D 123 20.00 49.50  
SAVVY LAYLA   (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
JOE PHILLIPS   (raven ke)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 24% 3.10 4.20  
RESIDENT LIBERAL   (walters j)DELGADO A 121 30.00 34.70  
 
CNL-9   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL I PLAY   (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 58.10 W
13  BRIGHT MOON   (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00 8.90  
11  MOLLIE TAPPER   (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.40 S
CHANTILLY MOON (PER)   (brown a)ACOSTA D 124 30.00 93.60  
10  LUNA AMARILLA   (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 9.80  
BLUE TWIRLIN   (casse ma)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 47% 1.10 1.70  
MS EXCUSE   (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00 29.10  
12  BEER BALI   (gulick jam)ALONSO LUIS 119 4.50 6.00  
WELL RESTED   (pessanha )CARRASCO R 119 30.00 ######  
14  AIN'T NONCENTS   (duffy sean)MENESES MARCOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
DELIZIOSA   (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 30.00 83.20  
ROMANCE IN HABANA   (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 20.00 26.00  
BURN THE BREEZE   (romero rafael)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 24% 3.10 2.20  
SCR  TEA'S DREAM   (wasiluk peter )CASTANON L 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.