Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (2/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/9)-(5/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/9)-(5/1/2/4)-(2/6/3/4/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-2   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/2/4)-(2/6/3/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/4)-(2/6/3/4/8)-(3/7/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-3   WIN (2/6/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/4/8)-(2/6/3/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/4/8)-(2/6/3/4/8)-(2/6/3/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/3/4/8)-(3/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/4/8)-(3/7/2)-(3/5/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-4   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(3/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(3/5/7/6)-(10/4/5/3/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6)-(3/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/7/6)-(10/4/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/7/6)-(10/4/5/3/7)-(11/3/5/7/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CNL-6   WIN (10/4/5/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/3/7)-(10/4/5/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/3/7)-(10/4/5/3/7)-(10/4/5/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/5/3/7)-(11/3/5/7/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (10/4/5/3/7)-(11/3/5/7/9)-(9/1/6/4/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
CNL-7   WIN (11/3/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/5/7/9)-(11/3/5/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/5/7/9)-(11/3/5/7/9)-(11/3/5/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/5/7/9)-(9/1/6/4/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/3/5/7/9)-(9/1/6/4/7)-(4/2/11/14/5) 125 $1.00 $125 
CNL-8   WIN (9/1/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/6/4/7)-(9/1/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/6/4/7)-(9/1/6/4/7)-(9/1/6/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/6/4/7)-(4/2/11/14/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CNL-9   WIN (4/2/11/14/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/11/14/5)-(4/2/11/14/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/11/14/5)-(4/2/11/14/5)-(4/2/11/14/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAMBLIN GEORGE         (kelley a)ROCCO S 119 15.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of ROYAL COPENHAGEN by INCHINOR)
2  TOK TOK         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of IN TUNE by IN CASE)
3  SUPER ROCKY         (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of ROMANTIC SONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
4  RUDDY BUDDY         (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of KATANGA by MAXIOS (GB))
SCR  SHARDS Jun10         (danner ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 1.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CYNTHIA'S FURY by UTOPIA (JPN))
6  A G DIAMOND Jun17 Jun03       (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of QUEST FOR CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
7  IMPERIALTY         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SPRING DRAGON by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
8  BELTANE         (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
  (by OUTFLANKER out of SAUCY COUNTESS by TABASCO CAT)
9  GRAND KINGDOM         (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of PAT HAND by CAPE TOWN)
 
CNL-2   07/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEWY'S BEAST Jul01 Jun10       (danner k)GALLARDO A 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of LILIKOI by FREUD)
2  DYNAMIC DEVOTION         (mcentee paul)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of VIBRANT WORSHIP by LANGFUHR)
3  GLENBROOK GERRY         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
4  BAYTOWN CONNECTED         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of PARTYIN by HENNY HUGHES)
5  ASCENDANCE         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 1.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of YALISHA by RUN PRODUCTION)
6  MARCUS GIFT         (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FOUR GIFTS by EVEN THE SCORE)
7  CHACHACHING         (asmussen stev)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of BLINGISMYTHING by ARCH)
 
CNL-3   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINO Jul15 Jun03       (munoz ca)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 12.00    
2  KINGDOM FORCE Jul16 Jun30       (cash l)ASHTON GAVIN 119 1.80 31% 2.20    
3  ANOTHERDAYOFWORK May31 May23       (brooks e)CRUZ ANGEL 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  OLD FASHIONED GIRL Jul11         (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  MELODY WIN         (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 10.00    
6  SKELLIG ISLAND         (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 119 2.50 24% 3.20    
7  MR. LEFTY Jun03         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00    
8  DUSTIN THE DIAMOND         (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  GRUMPY BROOKSIE Jul19 Jun14 May31     (brooks g)GALLARDO A 119 4.00    
 
CNL-4   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JETAROS Jun10 May20 Apr23 Apr07   (pompay terri)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.50    
2  PROUD CIVILIAN Jul06 Oct08 Sep07 Aug18 Jul13 (brinkman bret)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  VOCALIZE Jun25 Oct13 Sep18 Aug29 Aug10 (de ho)CARRASCO R 122 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  FUN NOTION Jun09 May19       (white alexandra)DELGADO A 118 5.00    
5  BOSS MAN J J Jul02 Jun09 May11 Apr20 Mar19 (salzman timothy)CENTENO E 122 3.50    
SCR  YAMIL Jun30         (escobar al)MARQUEZ L 120 15.00    
7  POINT LIAM Jun10 May14 Apr21 Feb11 Dec17 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 118 2.50 14% 6.00    
 
CNL-5   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOANAS POWER Jul15 Jun03 May07 Mar09 Feb10 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 30.00    
2  CANADA'S CUSTOMS May08 Mar31 Feb18 Aug06 Jul22 (asmussen s)SANCHEZ J 122 6.00    
3  WHISPURRING KITTEN May28 Sep24 Aug22 Aug01 Jul03 (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 122 2.00 27% 2.80    
4  HOLLYWOOD WALK Jul01 May28 Dec18 Nov25 Oct23 (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 10.00    
5  CHAMBEAU Jul15 Oct02 Sep17 Sep07 Aug16 (aguirre antho)KARAMANOS A 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  BAHAMIAN MOON Jul07 Apr19 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (bowersock mari)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00 9% 9.70    
7  AFANDI Jun25 Jun02 Apr20 Sep17 Aug22 (dunham bernard )CENTENO E 122 4.50 13% 6.90    
SCR  SHOSHANAH Jul05 May19 Nov05 Sep28 Jul28 (horlacher ky)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
9  OUR STRONG VOWS Nov20 Oct30 Oct14 Sep07 Aug16 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00    
 
CNL-6   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINDY'S SONG May27 Apr28 Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 122 12.00    
2  COLOR CRUSH Jul13 May27 May06 Nov19 Sep18 (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
3  BRUSHING Jun07 Apr15 Jan22 Nov20 Oct22 (dunham bernard )CENTENO E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SURYA (ARG) Jul15 Jun03 May13 Oct20 Sep29 (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 122 3.50 11% 8.50    
5  FACCIA BELLA Jul15 Jun22 Apr15 Apr01 Mar11 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 118 4.50 8% 10.80    
6  SAPPHIRE STAR Jun15 May14 Apr08     (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00    
7  MARIA'S HONOR Jul13 Jun03 Mar26 Feb24 Feb01 (cibelli jane)ROCCO S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ITALIAN DRESSING Jun23 May19 Apr14 Mar26 Mar03 (smith a)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
9  YOUENS Jul14 Jun23 May20 Apr29 Oct23 (nixon justin)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
10  WILLAKIA Feb26 Apr15       (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
CNL-7   07/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALI KUTA Jun21 May27 Mar03 Jan28 Jan07 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 6.00    
SCR  TOUT ENSEMBLE Jul12 Jun05 May11 Apr08 Mar25 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 123 20.00    
3  PANOTTI Mar25 Feb25 Jan25 Jan07 Dec14 (o'connell kath)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50 12% 7.10    
4  MISTY MAUVE Jul15 May19 May13 Apr29 Apr07 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 123 8.00    
5  INANNA'S QUEST Jul13 Jul07 Jun14 May27 Mar25 (ashby lynn)AVILES YAN 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  NIBBLES Jun14 May28 May06 Apr06 Mar04 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 15.00    
7  LEA RO Jun21 Jun01 Mar12 Feb19 Feb05 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BRUMMAGEM Jul12 May25 Apr30 Nov05 Sep22 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 123 30.00    
9  LADY DOMINANCE Dec14 Aug29 Aug02 Jun18 May21 (schuh tim)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  STARRY HOPE Jul05 Jun10 May11 Apr20 Mar24 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00    
11  YANKEE DOLLAR Jun21 May31 Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
CNL-8   07/27/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VELOCE Jun17 May12 May06 Apr15 Mar25 (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
2  ERIC THE SALESMAN Jul15 Jun06 May30 Oct04 Sep18 (zook w)AVILES YAN 121 15.00    
3  LUIS TWO GUNS Jul01 Apr29 Feb22 Sep15 Aug30 (cascallares )MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00    
4  MISTA DONZELLA Jul01 May06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar26 (wasiluk peter )GOLIBRZUCH S 123 8.00 11% 8.10    
5  LOKOYA ROAD Jun23 Jun09 May20 May05 Mar31 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 123 20.00    
6  ARTEMUS BRIDGE Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 Jan04 Dec10 (klesaris s)SANCHEZ J 123 3.50 18% 4.40    
7  SAVVY LAYLA May27 Apr22 Apr08 Mar08 Feb15 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  RESIDENT LIBERAL Jun09 Dec11 Nov18 Nov07 Oct16 (walters j)CASTANON L 121 30.00    
9  JOE PHILLIPS Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 Feb17 Jan04 (raven ke)GALLARDO A 123 2.00 24% 3.10    
10  CANDY KINGDOM Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 May27 May13 (zook jeff)CARRASCO R 121 10.00    
 
CNL-9   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TEA'S DREAM Jun30 May06 Apr26 Apr08 Mar08 (wasiluk peter )CASTANON L 124 15.00    
2  BURN THE BREEZE Jun30 Jun16 Apr28 Apr12   (romero rafael)RUIZ JORGE 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Jun24 May27 May06 Apr27 Apr15 (brown a)ACOSTA D 124 30.00    
4  BLUE TWIRLIN Jun10 May13 Jun02 Apr30 Feb04 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
5  WILL I PLAY         (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
6  MS EXCUSE Jul13 Jun04 May05 Apr12 Mar12 (cascallares)CASIQUE URBARDO 119 20.00    
7  WELL RESTED Jul05 May24 May10 Apr19   (pessanha )CARRASCO R 119 30.00    
8  DELIZIOSA Jul13 Feb05 Jan14     (ochoa gerard)AVILES YAN 119 30.00    
9  ROMANCE IN HABANA Jul13 Jun03       (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 20.00    
10  LUNA AMARILLA Jul13 Jun30 Mar12 Feb24 Feb05 (marrero nestor)MENDEZ KEVIN 124 5.00    
11  MOLLIE TAPPER Jul19 Jun25       (sanchez-salom)ALVELO C 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
12  BEER BALI Jun10 May20 Apr29 Mar18 Feb25 (gulick jam)ALONSO LUIS 119 4.50    
13  BRIGHT MOON Jun25 Dec30 Dec04     (russell britta)BOYCE FOREST 119 8.00    
14  AIN'T NONCENTS Jul13         (duffy sean)MENESES MARCOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.