Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-3   WIN (2/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.20 $5.20 87%
CNL-4   DD (2/4/9)-(5/1/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-1 $17.00 $5.00 42%
CNL-5   WIN (3/8/7/12/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $11.20 $1.20 12%
    EXA (3/8/7/12/11)-(3/8/7/12/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-3 $25.60 $5.60 28%
    PK3 (2/4/9)-(5/1/9/6)-(3/8/7/12/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00  2-1/2/4/10-7 $73.20 $13.20 22%
CNL-6   WIN (4/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $11.60 $3.60 45%
    EXA (4/8/5/9)-(4/8/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-5 $26.70 $14.70 123%
    DD (3/8/7/12/11)-(4/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-9 $57.00 $37.00 185%
    PK3 (5/1/9/6)-(3/8/7/12/11)-(4/8/5/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00  1/2/4/10-7-9 $162.20 $82.20 103%
CNL-9   TRI (11/12/13/6/3)-(11/12/13/6/3)-(11/12/13/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00  12-6-3 $75.90 $15.90 27%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:22 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS BABE 7 5 4 31   1½ 1 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.40 15% 5.80 1.30 W
LOVIELEE 5 1 1½ 1½   2½ 2 (munoz carlos)MENESES MARCOS 122 20.00 10.50  
BIG TREAT 2 4 5 53   32 36 (silva pab)CASTANON L 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.00 S
MY SISTER CLURRIE 6 2 2½ 2½   42 4 (williams gary )ROCCO S 122 30.00 42.20  
PLATINUM GEM 1 3 31 41   53 59 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 8.00 10% 9.00 6.50  
IRISH LACE 3 6 74 6   65 610 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 114 20.00 12.60  
JACKIE FLASH 4 7 64 7   7 711½ (asmussen steve)ASHTON GAVIN 122 6.00 13% 6.70 5.30  
SCR  HIALEAH HOTTIE               (silva pa)KARAMANOS A 118 4.50    
 
CNL-2   08/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:08
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO GUNS 3 1 21 2½   11 1 (silva pab)CASTANON L 122 3.00 77% 0.30 0.50 W
TEXTPECTATION 5 4 5 5   4 2 (morzan e)RUIZ JORGE 122 30.00 5.30  
JUPITER BLUES 1 3 11 1½   21 3 (mcgoey monica)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 4.40 S
NO ME DIGAS 2 5 4 3   3 48 (davis samu)ALONSO LUIS 122 30.00 12.70  
COLONEL MIKE 4 2 33 44   55 513 (silva p)MENESES MARCOS 124 20.00 5% 19.00 4.60  
SCR  ALL FOOLS DAY               (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 20.00    
SCR  ARISTOCRATIC               (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 1.40    
SCR  BOONDOGGLE               (hester l)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
SCR  MR. MOX               (allen fe)SANCHEZ J 122 2.50    
 
CNL-3   08/04/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:104 1:362   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET GLIDE 2 3 2 3 3 1 1 (manning de)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00 40% 1.50 4.60 W
BRUCE BANNER 5 1 1 1 1 2 2 (campbell micha)CASTANON L 123 8.00 1.40  
GAMBLING TZAR 6 5 42 2 2 35 3 (alvarado diane)RUIZ JORGE 123 30.00 15% 5.60 3.00 S
RECONVENE 3 6 6 6 6 412 416¼ (lawrence james)ROCCO S 123 4.50 20% 4.00 4.20  
BOFFO KID 4 2 5 5 46 512 521¼ (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00 5.50  
HONOR MY WORLD 1 4 3 4 5 616 632½ (horner el)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 30.00 26.30  
SCR  BEE MAJOR               (de ho)CARRASCO R 123 3.50    
SCR  C MY MEISTER               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 2.50    
SCR  SEVILLE ROW               (stettinius su)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
 
CNL-4   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:124 1:393   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SHOW 3 3 2 21 2nk 1nk 1 (danner kelsey)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 39% 1.60 2.50 DQ↓6
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of INVITE by INCLUDE)
ELOPER 1 6 5 5 4 36 2 (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 4.00 15% 5.60 2.10 W
  (by ENTICED out of T'AS D'BEAUX YEUX by DESERT PARTY)
IDA BOSS 6 5 6 78 67 48 316 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 119 30.00 38.30  
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of GAME GIRL by CONGRATS)
FIFTH CIRCUIT 4 1 1 11 1nk 5 419¾ (mccutchen jas)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of NAWLINS KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
JANKA 7 7 7 6 55 611¼ 532½ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
TRANQUILA RUBY 5 2 4 43 712 731¼ 670¾ (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00 30.00  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of TRANQUIL MOON by MALIBU MOON)
MON CHOU CHOU (FR) 2 4 3 3 3 2nk 7100 (asmussen )HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 3.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SANS APPEL by FASTNET ROCK (AUS))
SCR  THE MYTH               (casse ma)GALLARDO A 119 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of HONEY TRAP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  WILMA FLINTSHIRE               (godsey d)ROCCO S 119 30.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WEATHER GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
SCR  YATTA               (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 119 2.50    
  (by YOSHIDA out of FINAL REWARD by ARCH)
 
CNL-5   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:39
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:111 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD 5 5 6 5 31 15 19 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 122 3.50 14% 6.10 4.60 W
VAX A NATION 2 10 5 4 4 25 29 (trombetta)CARRASCO R 118 4.50 28% 2.60 4.50 P
CENTURION 6 6 9 85 7 47 312 (schultz lindsa)BOYCE FOREST 118 6.00 24% 3.10 2.50 S
MASTER OF NONE 7 8 8 7 6 5 414 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 8.00 8.00  
LOOKINASSAH 1 9 10 1010 10 612¼ 519½ (pompay terri)MENESES MARCOS 118 10.00 8.80  
12  HASN'T HAD ENOUGH 10 1 1½ 11 11 37 622¾ (yanez mo)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 9% 10.50 3.90  
10  STOP THE SPREAD 8 2 3½ 21 21 713¾ 727¾ (caramori eduardo)AVILES YAN 122 30.00 27.90  
MOON SIGN 4 4 7 98 8 920¾ 827¾ (pradenas sergi)CASTANON L 118 12.00 20.50  
DEFINE 3 3 2½ 6 9 816¾ 931¾ (brinkman b)SANCHEZ J 118 30.00 47.50  
11  TAPADINE 9 7 4¾ 31 5 1025¾ 1038¼ (asmussen )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 15.00 5% 18.80 14.50  
SCR  BALLYHOO PRINCE               (nuesch patric)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00    
SCR  EVIE'S PRINCE               (morris r)AVILES YAN 122 12.00    
SCR  SOROLLA               (milosevic mila)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
 
CNL-6   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTACHE 6 5 53 54   2 1½ (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 4.80 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of RUMINATE by VINDICATION)
CHILDERS 2 1 1 1   1 2½ (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 3.50 6% 16.60 3.50 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of SHE CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
CATALINA EXPRESS 3 2 32 4   3 3 (rodriguez ang)CARDOSO DAVID 119 30.00 32.10  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of GILDED ARROW by GOLDEN MISSILE)
PARK PLACE 1 3 2 2   43 4 (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 124 1.80 48% 1.10 2.00  
  (by MASTERY out of CHUCKLING by DISTORTED HUMOR)
STUDY COMMITTEE 5 4 43 3   55 5 (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 4.50 22% 3.60 1.70  
  (by DOMINUS out of ANGEL GOODMORNING by MORNING LINE)
LORD OF MISCHIEF 4 6 76 77   7 6 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00 35.20  
  (by LORD NELSON out of TENACIOUS HEART by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  DITHER 7 7 64 6   68 712 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 119 20.00 11.00  
  (by ALGORITHMS out of DILLY by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  AIRBORNE ELITE               (preciado)GALLARDO A 119 6.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SERENE SOPHIA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SCARAB               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SHESAKITTY by TAPIT)
SCR  SHOT OF BOURBON               (cascallares n)FUENTES MARIO 119 30.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE (JPN) out of SOUL OF BOURBON by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
SCR  WINDSOR PARK               (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00    
  (by MASTERY out of CARRIAGE TRAIL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
CNL-7   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($87.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:11 1:224   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTINENTALCONGRES 6 2 2½ 2½ 1 18 111 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 4.50 1.20  
SIX THE HARD WAY 1 5 65 6 5 28 211 (sanchez-salomon )AVILES YAN 118 20.00 5% 19.00 7.40 P
DON'T TELL DEREN 5 4 5 43 4 3 312 (robb j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 20.00 13% 6.70 8.50 S
BODE'S HERITAGE 2 3 3 3 32 410 415½ (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 2.50 21% 3.80 3.50  
SAL'S BLUE JACKET 4 1 1½ 1½ 2 515 525½ (stidham mi)SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 43% 1.30 3.50  
MELITZA 3 7 77 7 613½ 625 634½ (pessanha ney)MENESES MARCOS 123 30.00 55.40  
12  WOODS HOLE 7 6 4 5 716½ 732 747 (chain pearl)ROCCO S 123 30.00 9.70  
SCR  AMPLIO ESQUEMA               (milosevic mil)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00    
SCR  CHELICHNA               (milosevic milan)RUIZ JORGE 123 6.00    
SCR  CLOUDS OF WHITE               (trombetta mich)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
SCR  DETERMINED GOLD               (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 8.00    
SCR  DETERMINED LILLY               (schoenth)GALLARDO A 118 30.00    
 
CNL-8   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:08
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPPER 3 4 4 4 2 1nk 14 (leitch da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 4.50 34% 2.00 0.90 W
PLEASE MARRY ME 4 1 1½ 11 1 2nk 24 (sanchez-salomon )RUIZ JORGE 123 20.00 15.60  
11  REACHING STRIDE 10 2 7 72 5 32 3 (morzan javie)MENESES MARCOS 125 15.00 20.30  
SUWANNEE CHICK 1 8 83 82 8 4 4 (parra hernan)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 20.00 18.10  
LA BRODY 2 5 3 31 43 5 512 (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 65.90  
HOT CHOICE 8 6 6 5 7 7 612¾ (howard c)AVILES YAN 123 20.00 5% 19.00 44.60  
10  INSIDE THE BOX 9 9 5 6 33 6 714½ (fout dougla)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 6% 15.60 3.50  
WICKED INTENT 6 11 1110 11 1116¾ 8 818½ (caramori caio)ROCCO S 123 8.00 18% 4.70 7.30  
REYNA DE VERANO 5 10 97 97 9 1015¾ 927½ (munoz carlos)CASTANON L 123 20.00 81.90  
12  DAISY BEE 11 3 2½ 21 6 914¾ 1029 (sweezey )GALLARDO A 125 3.00 22% 3.50 5.40  
BIONDA SUPRISE 7 7 107 108 1013¾ 1122¾ 1138¾ (yanez moises )CARDOSO DAVID 123 30.00 ######  
SCR  GLOSSAMER               (ashby lynn)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50    
SCR  PRETTY FLATTERING               (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:37
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:122 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  HOPE OVER FEAR 10 1 31 2½ 1nk 13 1 (gutierrez fausti)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.50 15% 5.60 1.60 W
BELIEVE IN FREEDOM 5 4 4 41 41 23 2 (bentley fennek)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00 10% 9.30 6.20 P
SHE'S JUST QUALITY 3 9 5 6 63 35 3 (alvarado d)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
LOTTACLASS LILSASS 7 8 1111¼ 11 9 4 4 (aguirre anthony )AVILES YAN 123 30.00 73.00  
10  SOME NIGHTS 8 11 10 9 74 610½ 512¾ (mccutchen jaso)ASHTON GAVIN 123 20.00 94.60  
TIPHARAH 1 10 9 8 8 711 617 (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 116 20.00 29.90  
11  ANDIE ONE 9 2 6 5 3½ 5 718½ (cazares )GALLARDO A 123 4.00 37% 1.70 3.00  
D'ORO BABY 4 5 1nk 1½ 2nk 811 821 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 30.00 18.60  
SUPERSNAKE 2 7 2nk 31 5 911½ 922¾ (murtaugh and)MENESES MARCOS 123 20.00 27.00  
13  MONEY TAKER 11 6 7 7 10 1016½ 1024½ (asmussen ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 14% 6.30 4.30  
QUITCHERSNIVELIN 6 3 8 10 11 1117 1127¾ (silva pab)CASTANON L 123 30.00 68.90  
SCR  C C'S FREEDOM               (russo anth)ALONSO LUIS 123 30.00    
SCR  SINGALONG (GB)               (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.