Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-2 $13.40 $1.40 12%
PID-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1 $18.00 $6.00 50%
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-1-3 $50.00 $38.00 317%
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-2 $25.60 $7.60 42%
PID-6   WIN (6/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    EXA (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $33.40 $9.40 39%
    TRI (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 24 $2.00 $48.00  6-3-2 $61.60 $13.60 28%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LOOKING FOR LOVE 5 4 11 11   11½ 13¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50 5.70  
1  LISA MARIE 1 3 54 53   53½ 23¼ (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.00 3.00  
6  CINCO DE MANDEE 6 1 21 21   21½ 34¾ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 7% 13.00 10.10 DQ↓5
2  CAN I GET AN AMEN 2 5 31½ 42   32 46¼ (rogers ronal)AYALA J 124 3.50 15% 5.50 1.50 S
3  MONEY AND HONEY 3 2 42½ 32   43½ 58¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00 22.80  
4  DEISE DELIGHT (IRE) 4 6 65 64½   67 618¼ (lyster stephe)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 44% 1.30 2.50  
 
PID-2   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AMERICAN UNION 4 6 64 53   31 1¾ (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 20% 4.00 2.30 W
2  JARETH 2 5 53½ 63¼   21 2¾ (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00 30% 2.30 1.40 P
3  KING ECLIPTICAL 3 1 1nk 11   11 31 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 8.00 17.20  
1  K'S LITTLE BILL 1 4 42½ 32   41½ 44¾ (martin willia)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 27% 2.70 4.60  
6  BIG CHICKEN MAN 6 2 2nk 21   51¾ 55½ (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 8.00 19.10  
5  HEATHER'S GOLD 5 3 32 42   63¾ 67½ (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50 3.80  
 
PID-3   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CASCADE PARK 2 2 54 31½ 31 3½ 11¾ (estvanko)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 24% 3.10 4.40 W
1  VILLAGE QUEEN 1 3 32½ 21 2nk 2½ 21¾ (potts g)SPIETH S 122 1.20 42% 1.40 1.10 P
3  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 3 1 11 11 1nk 1½ 32½ (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 4.50 6% 14.60 2.30 S
5  SINGLE LADY 5 5 21 41½ 53 43 43¾ (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 6.30  
4  HAPPY BEE 4 4 43 51¾ 42½ 53¼ 54½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.00 8.10  
 
PID-4   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:253 :503 1:153 1:28   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EMALTHA 2 1 12 11 1½ 11 11¾ (fennessy john)WALES GARY 119 10.00 20.80  
6  MULSANNE (IRE) 6 7 63½ 52¼ 2½ 21 21¾ (hendriks)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 41% 1.40 3.20 P
1  TOTAL SMOKESHOW 1 2 22 32 42 32½ 34 (calvo ke)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 1.60 S
5  EMPTY ENVELOPE 5 3 32 42 62½ 65 48¼ (rice kevin)ALLEN D 119 4.00 ★ 5.50  
3  GOLDEN PHASE 3 6 74 74¼ 52 75¼ 58½ (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00 12.00  
4  TEST YOUR FAITH 4 4 53 64¼ 74 55 69 (wade justi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 33.70  
7  AMARETTO SOUR 7 5 42½ 21 31 44½ 711 (maldonado jon)MORALES PABLO 124 2.00 35% 1.90 2.50  
 
PID-5   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FIELDER 4 3 21 2½   2nk 13¼ (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 3.10  
5  CHARLIE CHARLIE 5 1 42 52   32 23¼ (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 5.00 23% 3.30 6.90 P
1  LAWN DART 1 4 11 1½   1nk 33¼ (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 117 1.60 45% 1.20 1.00 S
2  TURNS 2 5 32 31½   42¼ 43½ (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00 20.40  
6  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO 6 2 52½ 63   53¼ 54 (hayes l)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50 5.40  
3  I ONCE STOOD ALONE 3 6 63½ 42   63¾ 67 (brooks e)ALLEN M 117 6.00 5% 19.00 5.80  
 
PID-6   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:134 1:263   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MIDNIGHT FROST 6 1 33 42 31 1nk 1½ (estvanko rich)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 33% 2.00 3.30 W
3  THISAINTJUMPSTREET 3 7 76½ 73¼ 63 5¾ 2½ (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 4.00 15% 5.50 5.40 P
2  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL 2 6 55 52½ 52 4¼ 32½ (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 30% 2.40 0.60 S
5  TREASURE THE STORM 5 3 43½ 32 2½ 3.2 44 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00 51.80  
1  KEYPIT 1 5 11 11 1½ 2nk 56¾ (pappada mi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
7  STRAIGHT MADNESS 7 2 66 63 41 63¼ 610¾ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00 15.30  
4  ANNIE UP BUCK 4 4 21 21 73¼ 75¾ 712 (guciardo john)RIQUELME J 122 10.00 15.00  
 
PID-7   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Satin Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:22 :444 :562     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MARISSA'S LADY 6 1 21½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (morey william)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 29% 2.40 1.20 W
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
6  CANCEL THIS 4 3 11½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (stidham )MARTINEZ A 118 12.00 32.30  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CATCH MY FANCY by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  NAPA CANDY 5 7 85¼ 85¼   52 31 (oliver victoria)SPIETH S 118 6.00 12.20  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CALISTOGA by CLAIM)
5  READY TO VENTURE (GB) 3 5 42½ 3½   41½ 43¼ (stidham )GALLARDO A 118 3.50 42% 1.40 6.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WONDERSTRUCK by STREET BOSS)
3  DO YOU LOVE ME 2 4 32½ 52   31 53½ (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 6.00 5.60  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
1  YUUGIRI 1 6 64 63½   63 64¾ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 125 4.00 ★ 3.60  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of YUZURU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  MAJESTIC D'ORO 8 2 53 41   73½ 75 (walsh brenda)CARROLL DECLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of COUNTESS D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  SWEET AMY 7 8 75 73¾   85 86½ (wismer s)ALLEN D 118 20.00 33.10  
  (by UPSTART out of TRISHA by FOREST CAMP)
SCR  BE LIKE WATER               (oliver victoria)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of MOUNT KELLETT by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN               (hernandez rey)MARTINEZ W 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of QUEEN'S AWARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
PID-8   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLOAT AWAY 3 4 11½ 11   11½ 11½ (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 1.60 45% 1.20 1.00 W
2  ANA L 2 8 75½ 75¾   42½ 21½ (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00 2.60  
7  LORI'S EYES 7 1 21½ 31   31½ 32 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 6.00 11.80  
1  REVEILLE SONG 1 6 32 21   21½ 42 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 110 3.50 16% 5.40 5.50  
6  FAMILY BAND 6 3 65 64¾   54½ 55 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 6% 16.20 34.40  
5  ORGANZA 5 7 86 86¾   76 66 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00 34.20  
8  SUPER STORMY 8 2 43 41¼   65 78 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 117 12.00 8% 12.00 6.30  
4  KEEN ON ME 4 5 54 53¾   86½ 810½ (tasso mark)SPIETH S 122 10.00 37.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.