Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Monday - August 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(2/1/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(2/1/4)-(1/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(1/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(1/2/3)-(6/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(6/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(6/7/1)-(1/5/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (6/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (6/7/1)-(6/7/1/5)-(6/7/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/1)-(1/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1)-(1/5/3)-(6/2/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(6/2/3/1)-(5/8/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1)-(6/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/3/1)-(5/8/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3/1)-(5/8/10)-(3/1/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (5/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/10)-(5/8/1/10) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (5/8/10)-(5/8/1/10)-(5/8/1/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/8/10)-(3/1/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (3/1/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6)-(3/1/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISA MARIE Aug02 Jul04 May29 Oct24 Oct11 (potts g)WALKER M 122 3.00    
2  CAN I GET AN AMEN Jul26 Jun30 Jun21 May31 May16 (rogers ronal)AYALA J 124 3.50 15% 5.50    
3  MONEY AND HONEY Aug02 Jul10 Jun19 Jun13 May15 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
4  DEISE DELIGHT (IRE) Jul10 Jun10 May23 Apr21 Jan25 (lyster stephe)MORALES PABLO 122 1.60 44% 1.30    
5  LOOKING FOR LOVE Jul10 Jun07 May23 Oct24 Oct03 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 4.50    
6  CINCO DE MANDEE Aug02 Jun12 Sep26 Aug22 Jul12 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
 
PID-2   08/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K'S LITTLE BILL Oct26 Oct12 Sep13 Aug01 Jul19 (martin willia)ROJAS MARTINA 117 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  JARETH Jul26 Jul12 Jun20 Jun05 May24 (barron ror)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
3  KING ECLIPTICAL Jul26 Jul10 Jun21 Oct25 Oct03 (stites w)STANLEY O 124 8.00    
4  AMERICAN UNION Jul12 Jun05 May15 Jan18 Dec28 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
5  HEATHER'S GOLD Jul12 Jun20 May15 Nov20 Nov05 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50    
6  BIG CHICKEN MAN Jul12 Jun20 May24 Oct25 Oct13 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 8.00    
 
PID-3   08/14/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VILLAGE QUEEN Jul26 Jul11 Jun21 Dec17 Oct26 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 1.20 42% 1.40    
2  CASCADE PARK Jul08 May09 Mar02 Dec22 Sep28 (estvanko)GALLARDO A 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Jul24 Jul05 Oct26 Oct20 Sep29 (carr-rozantz)AYALA J 122 4.50 6% 14.60    
4  HAPPY BEE Jul11 Jun20 May31 Apr13 Mar15 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 3.00    
5  SINGLE LADY Jul17 Jun19 Apr01 Feb22 Feb07 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PID-4   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL SMOKESHOW Jul29 Jul09 Jan16 Jan01 Dec15 (calvo ke)MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  EMALTHA Jul31 Jul18 Nov25     (fennessy john)WALES GARY 119 10.00    
3  GOLDEN PHASE Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 Feb17 Feb01 (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 117 5.00    
4  TEST YOUR FAITH Jul19 Jul09 Jun21 May29 Mar29 (wade justi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
5  EMPTY ENVELOPE Jul17 Jun21 Jun13 May17 Apr22 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 119 4.00 ★    
6  MULSANNE (IRE) Jul31 Jul12 Sep15 Aug27 Aug13 (hendriks)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
7  AMARETTO SOUR Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Oct28 Oct16 (maldonad)SANTANA JR 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
PID-5   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAWN DART Jul17 Jun26 Jun06 May17 Oct13 (stokes lance)MARTINEZ W 117 1.60 45% 1.20    
2  TURNS Jul24 Jul10 Jun21 May30 May17 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
3  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Jul26 Jul18 Jun21 Jun07 May26 (brooks e)ALLEN M 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIELDER Jul05 Jun14 May15 Apr16 Mar23 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
5  CHARLIE CHARLIE Aug01 Jul19 Oct25 Oct11 Sep26 (hayes w)SPIETH S 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
6  OLDZFOURFORTYTWO Jul05 Jun14 May24 Oct26 Oct12 (hayes l)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 3.50    
 
PID-6   08/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYPIT Jul31 Jun20 May31 May22 Mar01 (pappada mi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  RICHIES NOBLE GIRL Jul17 Jun14 May31 Apr19 Mar17 (rojas ed)GALLARDO A 122 1.60 30% 2.40    
3  THISAINTJUMPSTREET Jul31 Jul12 Jun20 May31 Oct26 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 4.00 15% 5.50    
4  ANNIE UP BUCK Jul19 Jan08 Dec24 Sep29 Sep13 (guciardo john)RIQUELME J 122 10.00    
5  TREASURE THE STORM Jul31 Jul05 Jun20 May23 Sep29 (depasqu)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 15.00    
6  MIDNIGHT FROST Jul31 Jul08 Jun22 Jun07 Feb23 (estvanko rich)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
7  STRAIGHT MADNESS Jul24 Jun27 Jun06 May29 May16 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 8.00    
 
PID-7   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Satin Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YUUGIRI Jul07 May07 Apr08 Feb25 Dec30 (brisset )SANTANA JR 125 4.00 ★    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of YUZURU by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  BE LIKE WATER Aug13 Jun24 Apr14 Mar11 Nov06 (oliver victoria)SPIETH S 118 20.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of MOUNT KELLETT by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  DO YOU LOVE ME Jul11 Jun21 May22 Apr23 Dec14 (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
SCR  MINER'S QUEEN Jul07 Jun10 May05 Apr15 Feb21 (hernandez rey)MARTINEZ W 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of QUEEN'S AWARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  READY TO VENTURE (GB) Jan28 Dec03 Oct26 Sep29 Aug22 (stidham )GALLARDO A 118 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WONDERSTRUCK by STREET BOSS)
6  CANCEL THIS Jul15 Jun18 May25 Nov27 Nov06 (stidham )MARTINEZ A 118 12.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of CATCH MY FANCY by YES IT'S TRUE)
7  NAPA CANDY Jul02 Jun03 Apr15 Nov27 Oct15 (oliver victoria)NO RIDER 118 6.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of CALISTOGA by CLAIM)
8  MARISSA'S LADY Jul05 May29 Jul16 May06 Mar26 (morey william)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARISSA'S JOY by CEE'S TIZZY)
9  SWEET AMY Jul05 Jun13 May31 Oct17 Oct06 (wismer s)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
  (by UPSTART out of TRISHA by FOREST CAMP)
10  MAJESTIC D'ORO Jul03 May05 Sep13 Aug08 Jul09 (walsh brenda)CARROLL DECLAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of COUNTESS D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
PID-8   08/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REVEILLE SONG Jul24 Jun21 May27 Jan26 Dec07 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 110 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  ANA L Jul26 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 May30 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 117 3.00    
3  FLOAT AWAY Jul24 Jul05 Jun19 May22 Oct03 (bourke joh)AYALA J 122 1.60 45% 1.20    
4  KEEN ON ME Jul26 Jul11 Jun13 May30 May15 (tasso mark)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
5  ORGANZA Jul26 Jul11 Dec11 Nov22 Nov06 (herrington ca)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
6  FAMILY BAND Jul17 May29 Apr23 Apr08 Dec29 (hamm timothy)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 6% 16.20    
7  LORI'S EYES Jul01 Jun03 Apr21 Apr14 Mar17 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 6.00    
8  SUPER STORMY Jul26 Jun20 May29 May10 Apr01 (brisset )SANTANA JR 117 12.00 8% 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.