Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (4/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.40  
PEN-2   Win (2/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $28.20  
PEN-3   Win (5/10/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
PEN-5   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
PEN-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.80  
PEN-7   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   07/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:214 :482 1:131 1:402   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CITY OF GOD 3 4 22 21 2½ 11½ 15 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 2.50 0.70  
1  HANFORD 1 1 34 32 31½ 21½ 25 (bennett juanita)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80 29% 2.50 1.30 P
2  SILK PRINCE 2 2 12 11 1½ 35½ 310¾ (rose orlando)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00 8.00  
8  UPTOWNJACOB BROWN 4 3 410 412 413½ 417½ 421¾ (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
SCR  BRADY               (rodriguez fran)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
SCR  FIFTH ELEMENT               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00    
SCR  HE'S FANCY FREE               (albright r)FLORES E 120 15.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF WARRIOR               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
 
PEN-2   07/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:464 1:112 1:371   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WILL E SUTTON 4 6 54½ 44 32 1½ 14 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 13.10  
8  TRENDING UP 5 5 67½ 56 54 32 24 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 25% 2.90 3.60 P
3  IRISH HONOR 2 2 43 67 67 54½ 38¾ (castillo mi)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 1.40 S
2  SUPREMACY 1 1 11½ 11 11½ 2½ 49 (hendriks rich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50 37% 1.70 2.30  
10  ROBBY'S RANSOM 7 4 32½ 31 21½ 43½ 515¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 13% 6.60 7.80  
6  WE DONT NEED ROADS 3 3 21½ 21 42 65 618 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 9.80  
9  PURPLE SHIRT 6 7 711½ 712 712 79 719¾ (harigeorgio)VARGAS L 120 15.00 74.70  
SCR  MIDNIGHT HAULER               (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.00    
SCR  ONCE A GIANT               (davis earl )RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
SCR  PAPAL LAW               (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   07/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:221 :451       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BRIT'S CANDYMAN 4 2 1nk 12   15 13 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 54% 0.90 1.20 W
3  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 2 5 67¼ 57½   35½ 23 (borges israel)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 10.60  
9  EMPIRE'S SCORE 6 6 46½ 46½   47 33¾ (bravo-estrada)RAMOS C 120 8.00 2.10  
1  STANHOPE 1 3 2nk 22   25 47¼ (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 10% 9.20 2.80 DH
6  ACT OF VALOR 5 4 57 68   610½ 47¼ (murtough st)VARGAS L 120 20.00 5% 19.00 21.90 DH
4  KING ECLIPTICAL 3 1 3½ 33½   58½ 610½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 6.00 21.60  
SCR  KASIM               (synnefias d)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY               (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL NATURE               (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPIKES SHIRL               (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
PEN-4   07/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:122 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXY JUNIOR 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 13 12¼ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 4.00 62% 0.60 0.40 W
6  ISTHATYOURHARLEY 3 3 31 32 3.2 23 22¼ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 2.60  
2  EARLY FROST 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 33½ 38¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 7% 14.20 6.30 S
7  MIKEY'S JEWEL 4 4 43½ 44 44¼ 47½ 413¾ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00 8.80  
SCR  MISS CONVEYOR               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
SCR  SUPER DUPER FLY               (perez flore)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
SCR  WILL TAKE ROSES               (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
 
PEN-5   07/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:123 1:252   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLONEL MOORHEAD 6 6 1nk 3.2 1½ 12 1nk (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 23% 3.40 2.20 W
2  SHANGHAI CANDY 2 4 65 66¼ 31 22 2nk (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 3.50  
1  LAKE NAKURU 1 5 54½ 54¼ 51½ 32 32¼ (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 122 6.00 13.40  
5  FEDERAL CASE 5 3 42½ 42¼ 61¾ 63¼ 43½ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 20% 4.10 5.60  
4  HIBACHI 4 2 2nk 2nk 2½ 42¼ 53¾ (flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00 2.60  
3  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA 3 1 31½ 1nk 41½ 52¾ 64¾ (shuchman allan)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 25% 3.00 4.30  
 
PEN-6   07/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:131 1:394   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 6 4 69¾ 512 34 2½ 1nk (ferreira fernando)AGUILAR M 124 6.00 5.90  
5  WICKED T 5 3 37½ 411½ 23 1½ 2nk (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50 6.20  
3  LONDONDERRY 3 5 59½ 311½ 45 33½ 33½ (rodriguez m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 33% 2.00 2.80 S
1  RIDGELYSREDHOT 1 2 27 210 57 44 412 (johnson carlos )TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 52.10  
4  GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL 4 6 49½ 612½ 67 67½ 513½ (johnson carlo)INIRIO J 124 5.00 12% 7.30 12.70  
2  PAYNT BY NUMBER 2 1 17 110 13 54½ 621 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 33% 2.00 0.70  
 
PEN-7   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :463 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SCOREBOARD LILY 4 1 1nk 13   14 14¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 52% 0.90 0.50 W
1  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 1 3 2nk 23   24 24¼ (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5.20  
4  UNCAPTURED GRACE 3 2 31½ 46   34 34¼ (lingenfelter thomas)BAKER J 122 3.50 15% 5.70 3.90 S
6  SIMPLE JUSTICE 5 5 55 34   49 413 (montford leslie)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 8% 10.90 10.40  
2  CHARLYS WILD ANGEL 2 4 43 58   511 518½ (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 7.50  
SCR  GEMMA'S CURLS               (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.