Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - July 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-2   Win (2/8/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-6   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   07/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANFORD Jun29 May26 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 (bennett juanita)CONNER TYLER 124 1.80 29% 2.50    
SILK PRINCE Jul09 Jun17 May26 Apr15 Mar31 (rose orlando)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 10.00    
SCR  HE'S FANCY FREE Jul19 Jun28 May26 May05 Apr19 (albright r)FLORES E 120 15.00    
SCR  MISCHIEF WARRIOR Jun29 Jun14 May18     (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
SCR  BRADY Jul12 Sep18       (rodriguez fran)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
CITY OF GOD Jun29 Jun16 May26 Apr21 Feb02 (kreiser c)CORA D 122 2.50    
SCR  FIFTH ELEMENT Jun29 May26 Mar08 Feb01 Jan19 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00    
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN Jun29 Jun14 Oct06 Sep22 Jul28 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   07/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MIDNIGHT HAULER Jun02 Oct22 Sep24 Aug19 Jul21 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.00    
SUPREMACY Sep28 Aug21 Jul17 Jun10 Apr16 (hendriks rich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50 37% 1.70    
IRISH HONOR Jul03 Jun09 May17 Apr25 Mar19 (castillo mi)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONCE A GIANT Jun29 May19 Apr27 Mar15 Feb17 (davis earl )RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
SCR  PAPAL LAW Jul09 Jun18 May29 Oct30 Oct16 (wolfe jr)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00    
WE DONT NEED ROADS Feb18 Jan21 Nov04 Oct01 Sep08 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00    
WILL E SUTTON Jun29 Jun01 Apr21 Mar25 Mar15 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
TRENDING UP Jun29 Jun02 May17 Apr20 Mar22 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 25% 2.90    
PURPLE SHIRT Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 Jun01 May17 (harigeorgiou )VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 15.00    
10  ROBBY'S RANSOM Jul03 May17 Oct25 Oct11 Sep29 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
PEN-3   07/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANHOPE Jul05 Jun21 May17 Apr24 Nov15 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 May10 Apr26 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jul15 Jun28 May19 Jan04 Nov30 (borges israel)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
KING ECLIPTICAL Jul10 Jun21 Oct25 Oct03 Sep23 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 6.00    
BRIT'S CANDYMAN Jun28 Jun14 Apr07 Mar16 Feb18 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 54% 0.90    
ACT OF VALOR Jul05 Jun21 May17 Mar23 Mar08 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAUTICAL NATURE Jul05 Jun21 Mar23 Mar02 Dec21 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KASIM Jul05 Mar11 Feb17 Jan22 Dec15 (synnefias d)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
EMPIRE'S SCORE Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 May24 May16 (bravo-estrada)RAMOS C 120 8.00    
SCR  SPIKES SHIRL Jul05 Jun21 May17 Apr26 Mar23 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
PEN-4   07/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY JUNIOR Jun15 May06 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 4.00 62% 0.60    
EARLY FROST Jul14 Jun16 Jun02 May06 Mar31 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 7% 14.20    
SCR  SUPER DUPER FLY Jul22 Jun03 May13 Apr12 Mar21 (perez flore)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
SCR  WILL TAKE ROSES Jun16 May26 May06 Mar31 Feb23 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50    
SCR  MISS CONVEYOR Jul14 Jun28 Jun02 May12 Apr21 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50    
ISTHATYOURHARLEY Mar22 Feb09 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Jul14 May24 May11 Apr28 Apr19 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   07/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE NAKURU Jul05 Jun09 May12 May04 Mar24 (ferreira fern)INIRIO J 122 6.00    
SHANGHAI CANDY Jul05 Jun14 May19 May04 Mar29 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Jul05 Apr21 Mar29 Mar02 Feb01 (shuchman allan)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
HIBACHI Jul13 Jun16 May24 May16 Apr25 (flores-coba felix)RUIZ ELISEO 117 6.00    
FEDERAL CASE Jul12 Jun21 May17 Apr19 Mar23 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
COLONEL MOORHEAD Jun15 May26 Mar16 Feb10 Jan19 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-6   07/26/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDGELYSREDHOT Jun28 May25 May11 Apr19 Dec07 (johnson carlos )TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
PAYNT BY NUMBER Mar15 Feb09 Jan11 Dec02 Oct19 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
LONDONDERRY Jul14 Jun28 May31 May09 Mar29 (rodriguez mig)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
GIMME'S GOLDENGIRL Jul21 Jul14 May31 Apr27 May20 (johnson m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 5.00 12% 7.30    
WICKED T Jul14 Jun28 May25 May04 Apr19 (bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 4.50    
DANCE A LITTLE JIG Jul14 Jun29 Jun14 May19 Apr28 (ferreira fern)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
 
PEN-7   07/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 May24 May06 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
CHARLYS WILD ANGEL Jun30 May24 Apr17 Mar29 Mar21 (beattie san)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00    
SCR  GEMMA'S CURLS Feb10 Aug06 Jun26     (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 113 1.60    
UNCAPTURED GRACE Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 Apr27 Mar30 (lingenfelter thomas)BAKER J 122 3.50 15% 5.70    
SCOREBOARD LILY Jul12 Jun30 Jun22 May18 May06 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
SIMPLE JUSTICE Jul12 Jun29 May24 May05 Feb22 (montford leslie)TUNON JORDANO 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.