The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $13.40 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-2 2 0 $50.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 5-2-6 3 0 $175.90 -24.00
PEN-2   Win (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
    Exacta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-6 2 1 $12.60 $12.60 -11.40
    Trifecta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-6-3 3 0 $28.80 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 5-1 2 0 $24.80 -32.00
PEN-3   Win (5/7/9/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $35.60 $35.60 25.60
    Exacta (5/7/9/10/11)-(5/7/9/10/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 5-9 2 1 $215.00 $215.00 175.00
    Trifecta (5/7/9/10/11)-(5/7/9/10/11)-(5/7/9/10/11) 60 $1.00 $60.00 5-9-11 3 1 $109.00 $109.00 49.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/6)-(5/7/9/10/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-5 2 1 $78.20 $78.20 38.20
    Pick Three (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/6)-(5/7/9/10/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 5-1-5 3 0 $108.95 -40.00
PEN-4   Win (3/4/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -6.60
    Exacta (3/4/5/6/9)-(3/4/5/6/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 4-7 2 0 $10.80 -40.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5/6/9)-(3/4/5/6/9)-(3/4/5/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 4-7-9 3 0 $21.50 -60.00
    Daily Double (5/7/9/10/11)-(3/4/5/6/9) 25 $2.00 $50.00 5-4 2 1 $65.60 $65.60 15.60
    Pick Three (1/2/4/6)-(5/7/9/10/11)-(3/4/5/6/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 1-5-4 3 1 $41.25 $41.25 -8.75
PEN-5   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 11.40
    Exacta (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2-5 2 0 $34.60 -4.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5/6/9)-(2/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00 4-2 2 1 $35.20 $35.20 15.20
    Pick Three (5/7/9/10/11)-(3/4/5/6/9)-(2/3) 50 $0.50 $25.00 5-4-2 3 1 $186.35 $186.35 161.35
PEN-6   Win (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $39.60 $39.60 31.60
    Exacta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-2 2 1 $407.40 $407.40 383.40
    Trifecta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-2-7 3 0 $325.20 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/3)-(1/2/3/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00 2-1 2 1 $132.20 $132.20 116.20
    Pick Three (3/4/5/6/9)-(2/3)-(1/2/3/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 4-2-1 3 1 $102.85 $102.85 82.85
PEN-7   Win (2/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $61.40 -8.00
    Exacta (2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-6 2 0 $274.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8)-(2/4/7/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 1-6-4 3 0 $602.10 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/5)-(2/4/7/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-1 2 0 $683.20 -32.00
    Pick Three (2/3)-(1/2/3/5)-(2/4/7/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 2-1-1 3 0 $454.80 -16.00
PEN-8   Win (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-8 2 0 $63.60 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-8-7 3 0 $139.50 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/4/7/8)-(1/2/4/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-2 2 0 $172.80 -32.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/5)-(2/4/7/8)-(1/2/4/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 1-1-2 3 0 $668.25 -32.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:213 :442 :562     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEAN VALJEAN 5 5 3 1½   11(hendriks mclane)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5.70  
BIG BROWN SHOES 2 3 2nk 2½   22(diaz jor)GONZALEZ JR 122 3.50 7% 13.50 4.40 P
KISS THEM DEADLY 6 1 1nk 3½   337 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 11.70  
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 1 6 55 4   46 4(kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.60  
BUCKS ARE MOVING 4 7 711 79   57 5(arce josue)RAMOS C 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
ZOOMSTER 3 4 67 68   6613¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 15.30  
BALI'S SHADE 8 8 812 810½   7715 (murtaugh a)BUTTERFLY L 120 15.00 60.60  
NOBLE JON 7 2 43 55   810 822½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 27% 2.70 2.70  
 
PEN-2   07/12/2023 3300ft TURF YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:223 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAHOLIC 1 3 42 21   21¼ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 1.40 41% 1.40 0.80 W
WARRIOR'S CAUSE 6 2 11 11   12¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 17% 5.00 4.80 P
HARBOR OF GOLD 3 6 77 6   43(crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 6.00  
ONE TRUTH 2 8 55 5   54(dimitriou harr)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
GOOD FORTUNE 8 4 3 33   35 510¼ (beattie todd )INIRIO J 122 10.00 40.50  
BLAME B B 4 7 89 810   89 611¼ (aguirre an)BUTTERFLY L 119 4.50 19% 4.30 3.70  
BRADY 7 1 21 4   6711¾ (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 15.00 43.40  
J W RUNTOTHEBANK 5 5 65 7   7816¾ (cifarelli f)VARGAS L 113 30.00 78.20  
 
PEN-3   07/12/2023 5280ft TURF YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:231 :464 1:102 1:224   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MESA 3 2 12 13 17 18 1(stites flint )INIRIO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80 W
HUSHEMUP 7 7 77 59 511 32(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
11  CLARA BELLE 9 8 89 811 613 510 3(brion keri)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 43% 1.30 1.80 S
SUPERSNAKE 2 4 4 4 4 444 (murtaugh a)BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00 9.10  
ELEVENMONTHSLATER 1 1 65 6 713 611½ 5(bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 2.20  
HI HEELED WARRIOR 5 5 22 23 27 28 619½ (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 26% 2.80 10.40  
LET'S GO MO 6 6 3 3 38 712½ 724½ (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 27.90  
SKIPOVER 4 9 917 919 924 815½ 824¾ (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 50.00 61.20  
10  WARISHA 8 3 5 710½ 820 940½ 958½ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
SCR  BLUEBERRY PIE               (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
SCR  RAMADHAAN (IRE)               (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00    
 
PEN-4   07/12/2023 5490ft TURF YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:234 :473 1:111 1:352   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P H FACTOR 4 1 12 12 12 12 1(delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 63% 0.60 0.70 W
CRAZY KATER 7 3 55 54 4 42(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 5.70  
MY FRIEND FRANK 9 4 3 22 22 22 33 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 8% 10.80 3.90 S
JO JO KATZ 3 7 4 4 32 34(graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 7% 13.40 5.10  
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 8 2 22 32 53 54 57 (smith m)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 80.00  
PANADERO 6 5 67 66 6 667 (santaell)GONZALEZ JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 57.30  
HOLD THE IRISH 2 6 710 711 7 77(martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 53.30  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 1 8 813 814 812½ 813½ 821 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 118 50.00 ######  
WHAT SAY YOU 5 9 920 921 914½ 914½ 924½ (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
 
PEN-5   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:241 :473 1:114 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRIS AND DAVE 1 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 1hd (graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 49% 1.00 6.70 W
COOL COMEDIAN 3 2 2 21 2nk 2nk 2hd (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 0.90  
KAZ SUGAR BANK 4 3 32 33 32 331 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 1.00  
FORECLOSURE 2 4 44 44 44 44 4(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 19% 4.30 12.40  
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH               (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  ODDS ON               (maymo j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:222 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC SPIN 1 3 1 12   12 1¼ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 21% 3.80 18.80 W
YES IT'S ROO 2 6 3 22   22 2¼ (jacklin s)CORA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00 30.70 P
GRAND WISER 7 1 65 4   33 3(maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 0.50  
ANNAMATED MOON 4 7 7 64   44 46 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 21.30  
MR. PETE 3 5 5 7   56 5(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 30% 2.30 2.30  
GRAB THE GOLD 5 4 2 33   6614½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 21% 3.90 10.70  
TOMATER GATOR 6 2 43 5   714½ 719¾ (rodriguez m)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 30.40  
 
PEN-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT PASS 1 5 3 3   21 1¼ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 30.00 29.70  
FEDERAL CASE 5 4 55 5   32¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 4.90  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 4 3 11 11   11 3¾ (graci a)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 6% 17.00 2.90 S
MAD GENIUS 6 2 21 21   43 45 (kreiser timoth)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 18% 4.60 2.10  
I LOVE JAXSON 3 7 713 7   65(englehart j)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 3.80  
CALCULATED THINKIN 7 1 4 4   566 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 45% 1.20 4.80  
ROCKET BLAST 2 6 67 6   77(kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 8% 11.20 17.90  
SCR  WILD CARAMELO               (fields kevi)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
 
PEN-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
:224 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOP TO A DECISION 2 8 6 5   41¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.00 W
MASKED HEROINE 8 1 5 7   33 2¼ (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 13.50  
UNCAPTURED GRACE 7 6 7 6   73(lingenfelter thomas)BAKER J 122 3.00 6.40  
SIMPLE JUSTICE 5 7 810 8   842 (montford leslie)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 18.50  
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 3 3 4 4   55(lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 18.30  
GUSSIE'S NOTION 6 5 3 3.2   11 6(shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 10.00 16% 5.30 6.50  
SCOREBOARD LILY 4 4 2 2nk   21 7(kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 1.80 23% 3.30 1.60  
IOANNA 1 2 1 1nk   65 820 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.