Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-3   WIN (11/7/9/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $35.60 $25.60 256%
    EXA (11/7/9/5/10)-(11/7/9/5/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-9 $215.00 $175.00 438%
    TRI (11/7/9/5/10)-(11/7/9/5/10)-(11/7/9/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00  5-9-11 $109.00 $49.00 82%
    DD (1/4/6/2)-(11/7/9/5/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-5 $78.20 $38.20 96%
PEN-4   DD (11/7/9/5/10)-(4/9/3/5/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00  5-4 $65.60 $15.60 31%
PEN-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $15.40 $11.40 285%
    DD (4/9/3/5/6)-(2/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00  4-2 $35.20 $15.20 76%
    PK3 (11/7/9/5/10)-(4/9/3/5/6)-(2/3) 50 $0.50 $25.00  5-4-2 $186.35 $161.35 645%
PEN-6   WIN (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $39.60 $31.60 395%
    EXA (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $407.40 $383.40 1598%
    DD (2/3)-(3/1/5/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00  2-1 $132.20 $116.20 726%
    PK3 (4/9/3/5/6)-(2/3)-(3/1/5/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00  4-2-1 $102.85 $82.85 414%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:213 :442 :562     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JEAN VALJEAN 5 5 31½ 1½   11½ 12¾ (hendriks mclan)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5.70  
2  BIG BROWN SHOES 2 3 2nk 2½   21½ 22¾ (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 3.50 7% 13.50 4.40 P
6  KISS THEM DEADLY 6 1 1nk 3½   34½ 37 (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 11.70  
1  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 1 6 55 44½   46 48¼ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.60  
4  BUCKS ARE MOVING 4 7 711 79   57 59¾ (arce josue)RAMOS C 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
3  ZOOMSTER 3 4 67 68   68½ 613¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 15.30  
8  BALI'S SHADE 8 8 812 810½   79½ 715 (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 120 15.00 60.60  
7  NOBLE JON 7 2 43 55   810 822½ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 27% 2.70 2.70  
 
PEN-2   07/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAHOLIC 1 3 42 21   21½ 1¼ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 1.40 41% 1.40 0.80 W
6  WARRIOR'S CAUSE 6 2 11 11   11½ 2¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 17% 5.00 4.80 P
3  HARBOR OF GOLD 3 6 77 67½   45½ 35¼ (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 6.00  
2  ONE TRUTH 2 8 55 55½   55½ 46¾ (dimitriou ha)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
8  GOOD FORTUNE 8 4 31½ 33   35 510¼ (beattie tod)INIRIO J 122 10.00 40.50  
4  BLAME B B 4 7 89 810   89 611¼ (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 119 4.50 19% 4.30 3.70  
7  BRADY 7 1 21 44½   67½ 711¾ (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 15.00 43.40  
5  J W RUNTOTHEBANK 5 5 65 78½   78½ 816¾ (cifarelli)VARGAS L 113 30.00 78.20  
 
PEN-3   07/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:102 1:224   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWEET MESA 3 2 12 13 17 18 12¾ (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80 W
9  HUSHEMUP 7 7 77 59 511 38½ 22¾ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
11  CLARA BELLE 9 8 89 811 613 510 33¼ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 43% 1.30 1.80 S
3  SUPERSNAKE 2 4 44½ 46½ 49½ 49½ 44 (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00 9.10  
2  ELEVENMONTHSLATER 1 1 65 69½ 713 611½ 57½ (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 2.20  
7  HI HEELED WARRIOR 5 5 22 23 27 28 619½ (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 26% 2.80 10.40  
8  LET'S GO MO 6 6 32½ 33½ 38 712½ 724½ (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 27.90  
6  SKIPOVER 4 9 917 919 924 815½ 824¾ (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 50.00 61.20  
10  WARISHA 8 3 54½ 710½ 820 940½ 958½ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
SCR  BLUEBERRY PIE               (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
SCR  RAMADHAAN (IRE)               (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00    
 
PEN-4   07/12/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:111 1:352   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  P H FACTOR 4 1 12 12 12 12 12¼ (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 63% 0.60 0.70 W
7  CRAZY KATER 7 3 55 54 42½ 43½ 22¼ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 5.70  
9  MY FRIEND FRANK 9 4 33½ 22 22 22 33 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 8% 10.80 3.90 S
3  JO JO KATZ 3 7 44½ 42½ 32 32½ 44¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 7% 13.40 5.10  
8  EYE OF GUNFIGHTER 8 2 22 32 53 54 57 (smith lawrence )BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 80.00  
6  PANADERO 6 5 67 66 63½ 64½ 67 (santae)GONZALEZ JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 57.30  
2  HOLD THE IRISH 2 6 710 711 78½ 76½ 79¾ (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 53.30  
1  ALWAYS FORGIVEN 1 8 813 814 812½ 813½ 821 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 118 50.00 ######  
5  WHAT SAY YOU 5 9 920 921 914½ 914½ 924½ (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
 
PEN-5   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:114 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CHRIS AND DAVE 1 1 11½ 11 1nk 1nk 1hd (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 49% 1.00 6.70 W
5  COOL COMEDIAN 3 2 21½ 21 2nk 2nk 2hd (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 0.90  
6  KAZ SUGAR BANK 4 3 32 33 32 32½ 31 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 1.00  
3  FORECLOSURE 2 4 44 44 44 44 45¾ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 19% 4.30 12.40  
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH               (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  ODDS ON               (maymo jorge)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:222 :451 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGIC SPIN 1 3 11½ 12   12 1¼ (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 21% 3.80 18.80 W
2  YES IT'S ROO 2 6 32½ 22   22 2¼ (jacklin s)CORA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00 30.70 P
7  GRAND WISER 7 1 65 43½   33 31¾ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 0.50  
4  ANNAMATED MOON 4 7 76½ 64   44 46 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 21.30  
3  MR. PETE 3 5 53½ 74½   56 57¼ (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 30% 2.30 2.30  
5  GRAB THE GOLD 5 4 21½ 33   69½ 614½ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 21% 3.90 10.70  
6  TOMATER GATOR 6 2 43 53½   714½ 719¾ (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 30.40  
 
PEN-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIOLENT PASS 1 5 32½ 32½   21 1¼ (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 30.00 29.70  
6  FEDERAL CASE 5 4 55 54½   32½ 2¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 4.90  
4  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 4 3 11 11   11 3¾ (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 6% 17.00 2.90 S
7  MAD GENIUS 6 2 21 21   43 45 (kreiser timo)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 18% 4.60 2.10  
3  I LOVE JAXSON 3 7 713 77¼   64½ 55¼ (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 3.80  
8  CALCULATED THINKIN 7 1 44½ 42½   54½ 66 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 45% 1.20 4.80  
2  ROCKET BLAST 2 6 67 64¾   76½ 77¾ (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 8% 11.20 17.90  
SCR  WILD CARAMELO               (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
 
PEN-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:224 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HOP TO A DECISION 2 8 68½ 55¼   43½ 1¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.00 W
8  MASKED HEROINE 8 1 56½ 78¼   33 2¼ (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 13.50  
7  UNCAPTURED GRACE 7 6 79½ 67¾   75¼ 31½ (lingenfelter thom)BAKER J 122 3.00 6.40  
5  SIMPLE JUSTICE 5 7 810 89¼   87¼ 42 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 18.50  
3  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 3 3 43½ 45¼   53½ 52¾ (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 18.30  
6  GUSSIE'S NOTION 6 5 32½ 3.2   11 62¾ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 10.00 16% 5.30 6.50  
4  SCOREBOARD LILY 4 4 21½ 2nk   21 73¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 1.80 23% 3.30 1.60  
1  IOANNA 1 2 11½ 1nk   65 820 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.