Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-3   WIN (11/7/9/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $35.60 $25.60 256%
    EXA (11/7/9/5/10)-(11/7/9/5/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  5-9 $215.00 $175.00 438%
    TRI (11/7/9/5/10)-(11/7/9/5/10)-(11/7/9/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00  5-9-11 $109.00 $49.00 82%
    DD (1/4/6/2)-(11/7/9/5/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-5 $78.20 $38.20 96%
PEN-4   DD (11/7/9/5/10)-(4/9/3/5/6) 25 $2.00 $50.00  5-4 $65.60 $15.60 31%
PEN-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $15.40 $11.40 285%
    DD (4/9/3/5/6)-(2/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00  4-2 $35.20 $15.20 76%
    PK3 (11/7/9/5/10)-(4/9/3/5/6)-(2/3) 50 $0.50 $25.00  5-4-2 $186.35 $161.35 645%
PEN-6   WIN (3/1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $39.60 $31.60 395%
    EXA (3/1/5/2)-(3/1/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-2 $407.40 $383.40 1598%
    DD (2/3)-(3/1/5/2) 8 $2.00 $16.00  2-1 $132.20 $116.20 726%
    PK3 (4/9/3/5/6)-(2/3)-(3/1/5/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00  4-2-1 $102.85 $82.85 414%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEAN VALJEAN   (hendriks mclan)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5.70  
BIG BROWN SHOES   (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 3.50 7% 13.50 4.40 P
KISS THEM DEADLY   (sarson alisa )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 11.70  
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.60  
BUCKS ARE MOVING   (arce josue)RAMOS C 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
ZOOMSTER   (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 15.30  
BALI'S SHADE   (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 120 15.00 60.60  
NOBLE JON   (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 27% 2.70 2.70  
 
PEN-2   07/12/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNAHOLIC   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 1.40 41% 1.40 0.80 W
WARRIOR'S CAUSE   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 17% 5.00 4.80 P
HARBOR OF GOLD   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 6.00  
ONE TRUTH   (dimitriou ha)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 10.10  
GOOD FORTUNE   (beattie tod)INIRIO J 122 10.00 40.50  
BLAME B B   (aguirre )BUTTERFLY L 119 4.50 19% 4.30 3.70  
BRADY   (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 15.00 43.40  
J W RUNTOTHEBANK   (cifarelli)VARGAS L 113 30.00 78.20  
 
PEN-3   07/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 YIELDING Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET MESA   (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.80 W
HUSHEMUP   (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 P
11  CLARA BELLE   (brion ker)CARRASCO R 122 4.00 43% 1.30 1.80 S
SUPERSNAKE   (murtaugh)BUTTERFLY L 122 15.00 9.10  
ELEVENMONTHSLATER   (bedard alan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 2.20  
HI HEELED WARRIOR   (kulp l)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 26% 2.80 10.40  
LET'S GO MO   (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00 27.90  
SKIPOVER   (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 50.00 61.20  
10  WARISHA   (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
SCR  BLUEBERRY PIE   (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50    
SCR  RAMADHAAN (IRE)   (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00    
 
PEN-4   07/12/2023 5490ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P H FACTOR   (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 63% 0.60 0.70 W
CRAZY KATER   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 5.70  
MY FRIEND FRANK   (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 8% 10.80 3.90 S
JO JO KATZ   (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 7% 13.40 5.10  
EYE OF GUNFIGHTER   (smith lawrence )BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 80.00  
PANADERO   (santae)GONZALEZ JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00 57.30  
HOLD THE IRISH   (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 53.30  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN   (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 118 50.00 ######  
WHAT SAY YOU   (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.40  
 
PEN-5   07/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHRIS AND DAVE   (graci kim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 49% 1.00 6.70 W
COOL COMEDIAN   (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 0.90  
KAZ SUGAR BANK   (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 1.80 1.00  
FORECLOSURE   (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00 19% 4.30 12.40  
SCR  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH   (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
SCR  ODDS ON   (maymo jorge)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC SPIN   (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 21% 3.80 18.80 W
YES IT'S ROO   (jacklin s)CORA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00 30.70 P
GRAND WISER   (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.00 0.50  
ANNAMATED MOON   (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 21.30  
MR. PETE   (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 30% 2.30 2.30  
GRAB THE GOLD   (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 21% 3.90 10.70  
TOMATER GATOR   (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 30.40  
 
PEN-7   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT PASS   (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 30.00 29.70  
FEDERAL CASE   (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 4.90  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT   (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 6% 17.00 2.90 S
MAD GENIUS   (kreiser timo)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 3.00 18% 4.60 2.10  
I LOVE JAXSON   (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 3.80  
CALCULATED THINKIN   (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 45% 1.20 4.80  
ROCKET BLAST   (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 8% 11.20 17.90  
SCR  WILD CARAMELO   (fields ke)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50    
 
PEN-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOP TO A DECISION   (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.00 W
MASKED HEROINE   (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 13.50  
UNCAPTURED GRACE   (lingenfelter thom)BAKER J 122 3.00 6.40  
SIMPLE JUSTICE   (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 18.50  
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN   (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 120 15.00 18.30  
GUSSIE'S NOTION   (shea lydee)INIRIO J 122 10.00 16% 5.30 6.50  
SCOREBOARD LILY   (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 1.80 23% 3.30 1.60  
IOANNA   (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 5% 19.00 14.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.