Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $27.80 $19.80 248%
    EXA (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-8 $100.80 $88.80 740%
    TRI (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-8-4 $420.10 $408.10 3401%
MTH-3   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $5.60 $1.60 40%
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00  6-5 $4.60 $2.60 130%
MTH-4   WIN (1/7/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $12.60 $2.60 26%
MTH-5   WIN (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.80 $4.80 60%
    EXA (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $12.60 $0.60 5%
MTH-7   EXA (7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-6 $18.80 $6.80 57%
    TRI (7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-7 $26.60 $14.60 122%
MTH-10   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $19.10 $13.10 218%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:213 :443 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MUNDO MIX 3 1 21 11½   11½ 11 (bailey r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.90 W
8  HANALEI'S HOUDINI 8 4 44 34½   21½ 21 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 124 3.50 17% 5.10 3.00 P
4  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD 4 5 57½ 57   44 35¾ (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.20 S
1  JUPI'S LIGHTNING 1 3 34 47   56 47¼ (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 5.00 19.90  
2  ZIGGY MON 2 2 11 21½   33½ 511 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 119 3.00 60% 0.70 1.70  
7  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 7 6 811 610   68 611 (borges israel)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00 16.70  
5  CAMPTOWN RACES 5 8 710½ 711   710 717½ (torres pa)VARGAS A 124 4.50 3.90  
6  CAJUN MANDATE 6 7 68½ 812   815 825 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 124 5.00 6.90  
 
MTH-2   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:224 :474       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PACK PLAYS 5 2 1½ 2nk   1½ 12½ (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 37% 1.70 1.20 W
5  AVES MAKIN' WAVES 4 1 31½ 31½   41½ 22½ (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50 4.40  
3  OUTCAT 2 3 43 42   2½ 33¼ (ortega leopold)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00 9.90  
7  MIRACLE TRIP 6 4 2½ 1nk   3½ 43¼ (d'angelo jos)BATISTA A 118 3.50 18% 4.70 2.10  
4  SPECTACULAR LUCK 3 6 57½ 59   59½ 511½ (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 118 8.00 15% 5.50 12.60  
1  THE FUNK PHENOMENA 1 5 69½ 612   616½ 636 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 9.90  
SCR  CATALINA KID               (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00    
 
MTH-3   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:144 1:403   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  OUR FANTASY 4 4 42 42 2nk 11 13¾ (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 21% 3.80 1.80 W
5  ROSE E HOLIDAY 3 2 31 21 1nk 21 23¾ (hernandez jose)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 50% 1.00 1.00 P
4  BLIND SIGHT 2 3 2½ 31 32 36 312 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.50 7.40  
3  KNOT ANYMORE 1 1 1½ 11 44 421 448¼ (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 122 5.00 3.10  
SCR  GYPSY JANIE               (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 115 2.50    
SCR  PURE ELEGANCE               (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  REINA LA KELSY               (ovando melvi)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
 
MTH-4   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 2:06
See original race card.
:222 :471       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PRINCESS INDY 8 4 32 1nk   13 15 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 5.00 5% 19.00 5.30 W
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
10  LACONIA 10 6 52¾ 42¼   23 25 (delgado )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00 9.40  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SPA TREATMENT by BERNARDINI)
5  UTOPIA ROSE 5 8 75¼ 75¼   44½ 36½ (spina charles)FERRER C 117 10.00 5.40 DH
  (by OUTWORK out of PARADISE BOUND by PULPIT)
6  FACTORBELLA 6 7 64¾ 53¼   34 36½ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00 13.80 DH
  (by THE FACTOR out of MARIGLIANELLA by STEPHANOTIS)
7  I'M A CUTIE PIE 7 1 42½ 63¾   68½ 514¼ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50 30% 2.30 4.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ADORABLE by SMART STRIKE)
1  MARINA VILLAGE 1 3 1nk 2nk   56½ 615½ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 39% 1.50 2.30  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FOUR WISHES by MORE THAN READY)
2  OUT OF NEW YORK 2 10 96¾ 85¼   79 715¾ (cash russe)RIVERA R 112 15.00 5% 19.00 42.60  
  (by LEOFRIC out of OUT OF NOWHERE by GIROLAMO)
4  SHE'S A LAKER 4 9 107¾ 96¼   912 820¾ (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00 6.90  
  (by LAOBAN out of HOBOKEN HONEY by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
9  GOLD ALLIANCE 9 2 2nk 3.2   811 923 (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 117 8.00 6% 14.90 15.30  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HEATHER'S VISION by ZENSATIONAL)
3  CHARLUCHE 3 5 85¾ 108¼   1020 1035¾ (crowell l)JUAREZ NIK 117 12.00 22.60  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
 
MTH-5   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:221 :452 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER 2 4 42½ 41½   3.2 1nk (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 29% 2.40 5.40 W
7  BEL PENSIERO 6 2 2½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (margotta antho)MOYA F 115 4.00 29% 2.40 0.50 P
4  RANDOM LUCK 3 6 54½ 54½   42¾ 3¼ (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00 37.20  
5  SEA MAIDEN 4 5 31 2nk   2nk 41¾ (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 115 4.00 15% 5.60 10.30  
8  WICKED JANE 7 1 68½ 66½   65¾ 53 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
1  RACHEL CAROLINE 1 7 78½ 77½   78¾ 68½ (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00 33.70  
6  AMAZING GRACES JOY 5 3 1½ 3½   54¾ 711¼ (mazza w)FERRER C 120 3.00 4.50  
SCR  FIXED ODDS               (simoff andrew)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
 
MTH-6   07/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13 1:403   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TOWER BRIDGE 5 4 41 4¾ 1½ 12½ 17¼ (brown c)OLVER MADISON 111 2.50 46% 1.20 1.20 W
  (by STREET SENSE out of LONDON MIST by AFLEET ALEX)
4  KISS ME HARDY 4 6 3½ 2nk 2½ 22½ 27¼ (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 3.10  
  (by LORD NELSON out of MOON MEDAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  NOTABLE QUEEN 2 5 2nk 3½ 34½ 312½ 325¼ (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.00 16% 5.10 2.70 S
  (by LORD NELSON out of SLICED BREAD by NOONMARK)
1  EXHALATION 1 1 52 51¾ 46½ 414½ 426 (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 15% 5.60 29.60  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BELTERRA by UNBRIDLED)
6  CHERU 6 3 63 63¼ 57½ 516½ 534¾ (dobles elizabeth)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.50 8.00  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TENGGARA by SUPER SAVER)
3  VITA DE VITO 3 2 1nk 1nk 67½ 620½ 664¼ (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50 7.80  
  (by WEST COAST out of MARGATE GARDENS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION               (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 123 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
 
MTH-7   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:121 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BLETCHLEY GIRL 5 3 63¼ 75 74¾ 31 1nk (cibelli jane)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00 11% 8.40 2.50 W
6  FAST MULE 6 6 53 64 54 41½ 2nk (schult)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 8.00 10% 8.70 5.30 P
7  LOST LUGGAGE 7 4 41½ 43 43 2nk 33¾ (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 29% 2.50 1.20 S
4  HOLY BERRIES 4 2 11 1½ 12 1nk 45¾ (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00 16.00  
3  MYSTIC DREAMS 3 8 88¼ 85½ 84¾ 64 56 (mazza jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00 26.80  
1  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY 1 1 31½ 32 32 53 66¾ (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 121 3.50 24% 3.20 5.80  
2  SMART RED 2 7 76¼ 54 64½ 76 78¾ (captan bassam)RIVERA D 119 20.00 38.40  
8  GENERAL ROBINSON 8 5 21 2½ 22 86¼ 812¾ (delgado jo)RIVERA R 112 6.00 16.70  
SCR  ESCANDALO               (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 20.00    
 
MTH-8   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  THE BEARRISH ONE 6 2 64¼ 73¾ 45½ 33 1¾ (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 6.00 3.10  
5  GOING IN STYLE 5 4 2nk 1nk 11½ 13 2¾ (avila ca)OLVER MADISON 110 6.00 9.10  
2  TAPATERM 2 8 85¾ 61¾ 21½ 23 36¾ (mara)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 9% 10.00 15.00 S
4  FATHER GLADO 4 5 51¾ 41¼ 57½ 49 411¼ (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50 15% 5.50 2.70  
8  PLEASANT VALIANT 8 6 75¼ 86¾ 710½ 613 515¼ (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 117 5.00 6.50  
3  SAILOR'S RETURN 3 7 41¼ 31 35½ 510 626¼ (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 49% 1.00 1.80  
7  GIVE IT A GO 7 1 1nk 2nk 68½ 718 731¾ (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.60  
1  SHOW EM THE LIGHTS 1 3 31 51¼ 811½ 820 832½ (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 30.00 48.60  
SCR  TIEMPO PERFECTO               (hogan william )LUZZI J 117 30.00    
 
MTH-9   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Blue Sparkler Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:213 :441 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEAUTY OF THE SEA 2 5 33 32   2½ 1nk (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 116 5.00 13.10  
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELONG TO SEA by BELONG TO ME)
8  MY SWEET AFFAIR 7 1 43 53½   31½ 2nk (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 116 4.00 22% 3.50 2.50 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ILLICIT AFFAIR by ROMANTICO)
1  LOVE APPEALS 1 8 64½ 64½   42½ 3¼ (clement chri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.50 S
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GIOIA STELLA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  PLENTITUDE 8 2 53½ 43   53½ 43 (clement c)VARGAS A 118 5.00 8.80  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YELLOW AGATE by GEMOLOGIST)
3  BOSSERATI 3 3 1½ 11½   1½ 54 (russell brittany)JUAREZ NIK 122 4.00 12% 7.20 5.50  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of CANDY STRIPER by TWIRLING CANDY)
7  DREAM CONCERT 6 7 85¾ 74½   64½ 64¼ (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 6.00 10% 8.90 7.10  
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of SPANISH CONCERT by CONCERTO)
5  TALK TO THE JUDGE 4 6 75½ 85½   76½ 78¾ (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 116 20.00 50.60  
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TALKIN SMACK by TALK NICE)
6  LADY IRVINE 5 4 2½ 21½   87½ 810¾ (delgado jorge)FERRER C 116 6.00 4.70  
  (by ACCELERATE out of JOYERIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  CAROLINE KRYSTYNA               (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 116 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TIDE IS HIGH by WHISKEY WISDOM)
SCR  CORA PEARL               (brinkman brett)JUAREZ NIK 116 20.00    
  (by ASTERN out of PEARL DE VERE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
 
MTH-10   07/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:251 :504 1:164 1:434   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DAD'S ON A ROLL 5 4 31½ 53½ 41¾ 2nk 14½ (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 4.00 14% 6.40 5.20 W
6  WIN NO JOKE 6 2 41½ 42½ 2nk 1nk 24½ (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 123 3.50 29% 2.50 1.20 P
4  MOMENT AT SEA 4 1 2½ 31½ 1nk 31½ 37¾ (foglia anthony)LUZZI J 118 20.00 28.40  
1  MAD MAGIC 1 5 51¾ 1nk 52¾ 43 49 (baker cha)VARGAS A 123 3.00 35% 1.80 2.20  
3  VEGAS PLAYBOY 3 3 1½ 2nk 3.2 53½ 510¼ (sacco greg)RIVERA R 113 5.00 6.20  
2  BRANDON'S SMILE 2 6 64¼ 66½ 64¼ 65½ 610¼ (avil)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 8.00 7.90  
SCR  CACIO E PEPE               (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.