Handicappers' Racing Form

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Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MTH-1   Win (2/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-2   Win (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MTH-3   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MTH-4   Win (1/7/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MTH-5   Win (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-6   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MTH-7   Win (7/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-8   Win (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-9   Win (1/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
MTH-10   Win (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MTH-1   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUPI'S LIGHTNING Jul03 Jun23 May20 May13 Apr04 (flores-coba fe)HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 5.00    
ZIGGY MON Jun24 May28 Apr27     (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 119 3.00 60% 0.70    
MUNDO MIX Jun23 May28 Apr22 Mar22 Jan25 (bailey ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Jun23 Jun02 May20 Apr28 Apr14 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAMPTOWN RACES Jun24 Jun11 May29 Apr19 Mar18 (torres pabl)VARGAS A 124 4.50    
CAJUN MANDATE Jun03 Apr19 Jan18 Nov18 Oct05 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 124 5.00    
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jun28 May19 Jan04 Nov30 Oct27 (borges israel)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00    
HANALEI'S HOUDINI Jan28 Nov23 Oct27 Aug08 Jul18 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 124 3.50 17% 5.10    
 
MTH-2   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE FUNK PHENOMENA Jul02         (hogan willia)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
SCR  CATALINA KID         (sacco gregory )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00    
OUTCAT Jul02         (ortega leopoldo )MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
SPECTACULAR LUCK         (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
AVES MAKIN' WAVES Jul08 Jun19 Jun03     (crowel)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50    
PACK PLAYS         (david a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
MIRACLE TRIP         (d'angelo jose )BATISTA A 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
MTH-3   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REINA LA KELSY Jun30 Jun17 Jun01 Nov03 Oct12 (ovando melvin )BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  PURE ELEGANCE Jun04 Apr14 Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 (torres p)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
KNOT ANYMORE May20 Mar29 Jan12 Dec15 Jul27 (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 122 5.00    
BLIND SIGHT Jul05 Jun17 Jun02 May12 Apr26 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.50    
ROSE E HOLIDAY Jun17 May27 Mar17 Feb24 Jan26 (hernandez a)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
OUR FANTASY Jun21 May31 Apr26 Apr08 Mar19 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  GYPSY JANIE Jun04 May18 Apr13 Jun14 May13 (falcone robert )OLVER MADISON 115 2.50    
 
MTH-4   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 2:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARINA VILLAGE         (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 39% 1.50    
OUT OF NEW YORK         (cash russell)RIVERA R 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHARLUCHE         (crowell l)JUAREZ NIK 117 12.00    
SHE'S A LAKER         (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
UTOPIA ROSE Jun16 Jun03       (spina charles)FERRER C 117 10.00    
FACTORBELLA         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
I'M A CUTIE PIE Jun16         (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50 30% 2.30    
PRINCESS INDY         (gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD ALLIANCE Jul02         (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 117 8.00 6% 14.90    
10  LACONIA         (delgado jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00    
 
MTH-5   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACHEL CAROLINE Jun23 Jun02 Sep23 Aug28 Aug06 (frangella james)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00    
ODDSONDUSTYMILLER Jun23 Jun04 May20 Oct05 Aug28 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  FIXED ODDS Jun23 May20 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 (simoff andrew)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
RANDOM LUCK Jul02 May20 Apr25 Apr11 Mar29 (cole-davis t)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
SEA MAIDEN Jun17 Jun02 May13 Sep11 Aug21 (huston k)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 4.00 15% 5.60    
AMAZING GRACES JOY Jun16 Jun02 May13 Sep18 Aug28 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 3.00    
BEL PENSIERO Jun23 Jan07 Dec10 Oct03 Aug28 (margotta anthony)MOYA F 115 4.00 29% 2.40    
WICKED JANE Jul01 Jun10 May27 Jan16 Jan04 (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   07/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXHALATION May31 May13       (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
NOTABLE QUEEN Jun04 May27       (camejo j)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
VITA DE VITO Jun23 Apr21       (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50    
KISS ME HARDY May13 Apr19 Mar01 Feb08 Jan23 (servis c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00    
TOWER BRIDGE May28         (brown c)OLVER MADISON 111 2.50 46% 1.20    
CHERU Jun23 May13 Mar26 Feb17 Dec14 (dobles l)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.50    
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION Apr14 Mar24 Jan22 Dec29 Dec11 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 123 12.00    
 
MTH-7   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Jun30 Jun02 Apr26 Apr01 Mar15 (o'connell kath)BATISTA A 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
SMART RED Jun30 Jun02 Oct07 Sep02 Aug20 (captan bassam)RIVERA D 119 20.00    
MYSTIC DREAMS Jun30 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 (mazza jose)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
HOLY BERRIES Jul08 Jun02 Apr23 Mar18 Feb19 (gonzalez)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00    
BLETCHLEY GIRL Jun09 May13 Mar09 Feb02 Oct28 (cibelli jane)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00 11% 8.40    
FAST MULE Jun18 May27 Nov07 Oct13 Sep19 (schultz )MARAGH RAMSAY 117 8.00 10% 8.70    
LOST LUGGAGE Jun30 Jun07 May18 Apr12 Feb07 (servis c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 29% 2.50    
GENERAL ROBINSON Jun02 Mar25 Feb03 Jan21 Dec16 (delgado jorg)RIVERA R 112 6.00    
SCR  ESCANDALO Jun07 May22 May08 Apr17 Mar21 (brown howard )WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 20.00    
 
MTH-8   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW EM THE LIGHTS Jun23 May15 Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 (flores-coba fe)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 30.00    
TAPATERM Jun03 May13 Apr23 Apr08 Mar10 (maragh)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 9% 10.00    
SAILOR'S RETURN Jul08 Jun10 May28 May21 Apr20 (delgado h)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
FATHER GLADO Jun15 May04 Feb22 Dec30 Aug05 (d'angelo jose )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
GOING IN STYLE Jun01 May14 Apr02 Jan01 Dec04 (avila carl)OLVER MADISON 110 6.00    
THE BEARRISH ONE Jun23 May28 Apr28 Apr07 Mar25 (gonzalez cla)RIVERA R 112 6.00    
GIVE IT A GO Jun23 Jun04 May21 Apr14 Mar01 (gonzalez cla)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
PLEASANT VALIANT Jun17 May28 Apr26 Mar19 Feb17 (o'connell kath)BATISTA A 117 5.00    
SCR  TIEMPO PERFECTO Jun24 Jun10 May29 May14 Apr19 (hogan j)LUZZI J 117 30.00    
 
MTH-9   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Blue Sparkler Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE APPEALS Apr27 Apr01 Feb16     (clement christophe)NO RIDER 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
BEAUTY OF THE SEA Jun03 May05 Apr07 Oct21   (orseno f)RENDON JAIRO 116 5.00    
BOSSERATI Jun18 Jun02 May12 Jan28 Jan07 (russell t)NO RIDER 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  CORA PEARL Jun15 Apr01 Feb24 Dec08 Oct22 (brinkman brett)JUAREZ NIK 116 20.00    
TALK TO THE JUDGE Jun01 Apr24 Nov01 Sep28 Aug23 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 116 20.00    
LADY IRVINE Jul02 May27 Feb12 Jan15   (delgado jorge)FERRER C 116 6.00    
DREAM CONCERT Jun03 Apr22 Mar26 Mar11   (o'connell kath)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 6.00 10% 8.90    
MY SWEET AFFAIR Jun18 May03 Apr14 Mar05   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 116 4.00 22% 3.50    
PLENTITUDE Jun16 Apr28       (clement chr)VARGAS A 118 5.00    
SCR  CAROLINE KRYSTYNA Jun18 May19       (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 116 8.00    
 
MTH-10   07/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAD MAGIC Jul01 May11 Apr15 Mar24 Feb02 (baker charl)VARGAS A 123 3.00 35% 1.80    
BRANDON'S SMILE Jun16 Mar29 Dec18     (avila )HUAYAS (JASON) 111 8.00    
VEGAS PLAYBOY Jul01 Jun02 May13 Apr07   (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 113 5.00    
MOMENT AT SEA Jun28 May30 Sep27     (foglia m)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
DAD'S ON A ROLL Jun25 Jun16 Jun03 May13 Apr23 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 4.00 14% 6.40    
WIN NO JOKE Jun17 May28 Apr26 Jun18 May21 (o'connell kath)BATISTA A 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  CACIO E PEPE         (breen j)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.