Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (2/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3)-(2/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4)-(6/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-4   WIN (1/7/9/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/8/2)-(1/7/9/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/8/2)-(1/7/9/8/2)-(1/7/9/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (7/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (3/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7)-(3/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (1/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7)-(1/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-10   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUPI'S LIGHTNING Jul03 Jun23 May20 May13 Apr04 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 5.00    
2  ZIGGY MON Jun24 May28 Apr27     (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 119 3.00 60% 0.70    
3  MUNDO MIX Jun23 May28 Apr22 Mar22 Jan25 (bailey r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Jun23 Jun02 May20 Apr28 Apr14 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAMPTOWN RACES Jun24 Jun11 May29 Apr19 Mar18 (torres pa)VARGAS A 124 4.50    
6  CAJUN MANDATE Jun03 Apr19 Jan18 Nov18 Oct05 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 124 5.00    
7  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Jun28 May19 Jan04 Nov30 Oct27 (borges israel)OLVER MADISON 117 6.00    
8  HANALEI'S HOUDINI Jan28 Nov23 Oct27 Aug08 Jul18 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 124 3.50 17% 5.10    
 
MTH-2   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE FUNK PHENOMENA Jul02         (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
SCR  CATALINA KID         (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00    
3  OUTCAT Jul02         (ortega leopold)MARIN SAMUEL 118 5.00    
4  SPECTACULAR LUCK         (dini mike)TORRES JOMAR 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
5  AVES MAKIN' WAVES Jul08 Jun19 Jun03     (crow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.50    
6  PACK PLAYS         (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
7  MIRACLE TRIP         (d'angelo jos)BATISTA A 118 3.50 18% 4.70    
 
MTH-3   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REINA LA KELSY Jun30 Jun17 Jun01 Nov03 Oct12 (ovando melvi)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  PURE ELEGANCE Jun04 Apr14 Mar19 Feb19 Jan28 (torres)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 12.00    
3  KNOT ANYMORE May20 Mar29 Jan12 Dec15 Jul27 (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 122 5.00    
4  BLIND SIGHT Jul05 Jun17 Jun02 May12 Apr26 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 124 4.50    
5  ROSE E HOLIDAY Jun17 May27 Mar17 Feb24 Jan26 (hernandez jose)TORRES JOMAR 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
6  OUR FANTASY Jun21 May31 Apr26 Apr08 Mar19 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  GYPSY JANIE Jun04 May18 Apr13 Jun14 May13 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 115 2.50    
 
MTH-4   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 2 F PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARINA VILLAGE         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 39% 1.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FOUR WISHES by MORE THAN READY)
2  OUT OF NEW YORK         (cash russe)RIVERA R 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of OUT OF NOWHERE by GIROLAMO)
3  CHARLUCHE         (crowell l)JUAREZ NIK 117 12.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
4  SHE'S A LAKER         (david a)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of HOBOKEN HONEY by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  UTOPIA ROSE Jun16 Jun03       (spina charles)FERRER C 117 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of PARADISE BOUND by PULPIT)
6  FACTORBELLA         (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 6.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MARIGLIANELLA by STEPHANOTIS)
7  I'M A CUTIE PIE Jun16         (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ADORABLE by SMART STRIKE)
8  PRINCESS INDY         (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
9  GOLD ALLIANCE Jul02         (einhorn kim)LUZZI J 117 8.00 6% 14.90    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of HEATHER'S VISION by ZENSATIONAL)
10  LACONIA         (delgado )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 10.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SPA TREATMENT by BERNARDINI)
 
MTH-5   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACHEL CAROLINE Jun23 Jun02 Sep23 Aug28 Aug06 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 113 8.00    
2  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER Jun23 Jun04 May20 Oct05 Aug28 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  FIXED ODDS Jun23 May20 Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 (simoff andrew)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
4  RANDOM LUCK Jul02 May20 Apr25 Apr11 Mar29 (cole-davis)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 8.00    
5  SEA MAIDEN Jun17 Jun02 May13 Sep11 Aug21 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 115 4.00 15% 5.60    
6  AMAZING GRACES JOY Jun16 Jun02 May13 Sep18 Aug28 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 3.00    
7  BEL PENSIERO Jun23 Jan07 Dec10 Oct03 Aug28 (margotta antho)MOYA F 115 4.00 29% 2.40    
8  WICKED JANE Jul01 Jun10 May27 Jan16 Jan04 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-6   07/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXHALATION May31 May13       (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BELTERRA by UNBRIDLED)
2  NOTABLE QUEEN Jun04 May27       (camejo)ROJAS EDUARDO 118 4.00 16% 5.10    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SLICED BREAD by NOONMARK)
3  VITA DE VITO Jun23 Apr21       (gargan danny)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of MARGATE GARDENS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  KISS ME HARDY May13 Apr19 Mar01 Feb08 Jan23 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MOON MEDAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  TOWER BRIDGE May28         (brown c)OLVER MADISON 111 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LONDON MIST by AFLEET ALEX)
6  CHERU Jun23 May13 Mar26 Feb17 Dec14 (dobles elizabeth)JUAREZ NIK 118 4.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TENGGARA by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  MISCHIEF MOTION Apr14 Mar24 Jan22 Dec29 Dec11 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 123 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
 
MTH-7   07/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEUNCAPTUREDLADY Jun30 Jun02 Apr26 Apr01 Mar15 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  SMART RED Jun30 Jun02 Oct07 Sep02 Aug20 (captan bassam)RIVERA D 119 20.00    
3  MYSTIC DREAMS Jun30 Apr01 Mar15 Mar01 Feb08 (mazza jo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 10.00    
4  HOLY BERRIES Jul08 Jun02 Apr23 Mar18 Feb19 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 8.00    
5  BLETCHLEY GIRL Jun09 May13 Mar09 Feb02 Oct28 (cibelli jane)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 3.00 11% 8.40    
6  FAST MULE Jun18 May27 Nov07 Oct13 Sep19 (schult)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 8.00 10% 8.70    
7  LOST LUGGAGE Jun30 Jun07 May18 Apr12 Feb07 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 2.00 29% 2.50    
8  GENERAL ROBINSON Jun02 Mar25 Feb03 Jan21 Dec16 (delgado jo)RIVERA R 112 6.00    
SCR  ESCANDALO Jun07 May22 May08 Apr17 Mar21 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 20.00    
 
MTH-8   07/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOW EM THE LIGHTS Jun23 May15 Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 (flores-coba )HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 30.00    
2  TAPATERM Jun03 May13 Apr23 Apr08 Mar10 (mara)HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00 9% 10.00    
3  SAILOR'S RETURN Jul08 Jun10 May28 May21 Apr20 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 1.80 49% 1.00    
4  FATHER GLADO Jun15 May04 Feb22 Dec30 Aug05 (d'angelo jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50 15% 5.50    
5  GOING IN STYLE Jun01 May14 Apr02 Jan01 Dec04 (avila ca)OLVER MADISON 110 6.00    
6  THE BEARRISH ONE Jun23 May28 Apr28 Apr07 Mar25 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 112 6.00    
7  GIVE IT A GO Jun23 Jun04 May21 Apr14 Mar01 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  PLEASANT VALIANT Jun17 May28 Apr26 Mar19 Feb17 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 117 5.00    
SCR  TIEMPO PERFECTO Jun24 Jun10 May29 May14 Apr19 (hogan william )LUZZI J 117 30.00    
 
MTH-9   07/15/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM Blue Sparkler Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE APPEALS Apr27 Apr01 Feb16     (clement christophe)NO RIDER 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GIOIA STELLA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  BEAUTY OF THE SEA Jun03 May05 Apr07 Oct21   (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 116 5.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELONG TO SEA by BELONG TO ME)
3  BOSSERATI Jun18 Jun02 May12 Jan28 Jan07 (russell t)NO RIDER 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of CANDY STRIPER by TWIRLING CANDY)
SCR  CORA PEARL Jun15 Apr01 Feb24 Dec08 Oct22 (brinkman brett)JUAREZ NIK 116 20.00    
  (by ASTERN out of PEARL DE VERE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
5  TALK TO THE JUDGE Jun01 Apr24 Nov01 Sep28 Aug23 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 116 20.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TALKIN SMACK by TALK NICE)
6  LADY IRVINE Jul02 May27 Feb12 Jan15   (delgado jorge)FERRER C 116 6.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of JOYERIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  DREAM CONCERT Jun03 Apr22 Mar26 Mar11   (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 6.00 10% 8.90    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of SPANISH CONCERT by CONCERTO)
8  MY SWEET AFFAIR Jun18 May03 Apr14 Mar05   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 116 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ILLICIT AFFAIR by ROMANTICO)
9  PLENTITUDE Jun16 Apr28       (clement c)VARGAS A 118 5.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YELLOW AGATE by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  CAROLINE KRYSTYNA Jun18 May19       (brion keri)CEDENO CAROL 116 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of TIDE IS HIGH by WHISKEY WISDOM)
 
MTH-10   07/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAD MAGIC Jul01 May11 Apr15 Mar24 Feb02 (baker cha)VARGAS A 123 3.00 35% 1.80    
2  BRANDON'S SMILE Jun16 Mar29 Dec18     (avil)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 8.00    
3  VEGAS PLAYBOY Jul01 Jun02 May13 Apr07   (sacco greg)RIVERA R 113 5.00    
4  MOMENT AT SEA Jun28 May30 Sep27     (foglia anthony)LUZZI J 118 20.00    
5  DAD'S ON A ROLL Jun25 Jun16 Jun03 May13 Apr23 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 111 4.00 14% 6.40    
6  WIN NO JOKE Jun17 May28 Apr26 Jun18 May21 (o'connell ka)BATISTA A 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  CACIO E PEPE         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.