Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.04 $5.04  
ELP-2   Win (8/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.98 $5.98  
ELP-3   Win (10/5/2/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $15.32  
ELP-4   Win (4/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 0 $13.30  
ELP-5   Win (6/9/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $6.40 $6.40  
ELP-6   Win (6/2/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $123.06  
ELP-7   Win (5/8/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $15.38 $15.38 5.38
ELP-8   Win (4/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 1.40
ELP-9   Win (5/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $40.34  
ELP-10   Win (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $17.10 $17.10 9.10
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:103 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OSCAR ECLIPSE 4 3 21½ 22 11½ 13½ 16¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 118 1.60 49% 1.10 1.52 W
6  MO'S TREASURE 6 5 43 43 21½ 23½ 26¾ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 15.51  
5  QUATERNION 5 7 66½ 54½ 43 35 38 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 2.21  
2  MIACOMET 2 4 55 65 66 58 413 (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 4.44  
1  CAN'T HUSH THIS 1 1 11½ 12 31½ 46 518¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 8.00 10.26  
7  FUNNY UNCLE 7 6 77 77 77½ 610½ 620¼ (vance d)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 5% 19.00 23.69  
3  TAKE THE CHARGE 3 2 32½ 32 55½ 711 724 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 28% 2.60 6.65  
 
ELP-2   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:13 1:361   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAKE THE BOYS WINK 2 7 75½ 84½ 62¼ 3½ 12½ (walsh p)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 25% 3.00 1.99 W
7  ROBIN SAGE 6 3 43 42 41 1½ 22½ (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 41.83  
5  MINDFUL 4 1 32 31½ 51¼ 51½ 33¼ (devaux cher)TORRES A 124 4.50 2.85  
2  ANIMAL FRIES 1 6 53½ 53 72¾ 64 45¼ (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 23.45  
9  ENGLISH TREASURE 8 8 64½ 63 3½ 2½ 55½ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 19% 4.20 6.68  
4  MO DIVINE 3 5 85½ 73½ 82¾ 84¾ 65¾ (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 24.03  
8  JENNIFER MY LOVE 7 4 11½ 1½ 1nk 41 79 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 34% 2.00 2.01  
6  GUNS N' LILIES 5 2 21½ 2½ 2nk 74¼ 89¾ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 17.72  
SCR  LADY DYNAMO               (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
 
ELP-3   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:12     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  LIBERAL ARTS 11 2 41½ 42½   2nk 11 (medina robe)TORRES A 119 5.00 6.66  
9  OTTO THE CONQUEROR 9 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 21 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 23.08 P
3  ALLIED VICTORY 3 10 94½ 74¼   55½ 39¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 19.22  
1  LEAD FOOT 1 7 74 85¼   67 49¾ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 30.69  
6  COLLINS 6 5 1½ 1nk   32½ 510½ (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 7.28  
5  B WAYNE 5 6 84½ 95¾   89 611½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 22% 3.50 0.97  
10  BRIAN 10 1 31 32   44½ 712 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 27% 2.70 5.93  
4  WARP NINE 4 8 106 108¼   78½ 812½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 24.41  
7  NEW BERN 7 11 119 1110¾   1114 924¾ (asmussen m)LANERIE J 119 15.00 19.58  
2  GOTTANEEDFORSPEED 2 4 52 53½   99½ 1027½ (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 22% 3.60 12.13  
8  NUEVO AMANECER 8 9 62½ 63¾   1013 1138¾ (bahena ismael)CANNON DECLAN 114 20.00 5% 19.00 42.46  
 
ELP-4   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:244 :501 1:142 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  AUSTERE 11 5 43 44 62¾ 1½ 11 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 ★ 5.65  
7  PLUMERIA 7 4 54 66 42 32½ 21 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 8.00 13.15  
10  WEIGHTED AVERAGE 10 10 97 109½ 96¼ 74¾ 31 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 30% 2.30 3.91 S
2  FUN LOVING 2 12 107½ 87½ 74¼ 52¾ 41¼ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 6.79  
3  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 3 7 117¾ 1112½ 1110¾ 107¼ 53 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 28.57  
6  CAIRO STREET 6 3 21½ 22 2nk 2½ 63½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00 9.14  
9  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY 9 9 75 77½ 85¼ 96¼ 75¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 6.22  
4  KESSEL 4 1 32½ 33 31 42½ 87¼ (barkley jason)LANERIE J 119 4.50 47% 1.10 3.56  
1  LADY OF DEVON 1 2 64 55 52½ 85¾ 97½ (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 119 15.00 22.08  
5  ROCK STAR DOCTOR 5 6 86 99 107¼ 118¼ 108¼ (kenneally eddie)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.72  
12  GLOSSY LIFE 12 8 11½ 12 1nk 64¼ 1114¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 23.40  
8  MENDEE 8 11 129¼ 1213 1220¾ 1243¼ 1272¾ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 17.95  
SCR  GOLD DEL MAR               (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
SCR  PHAROAH'S WINE               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.00    
SCR  SESSA SISU               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  YOU'RE KITTEN ME               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-5   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Debutante Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:103     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  HOT BEACH 9 2 42 3½   12 12 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 21% 3.70 2.20 W
1  RIPERTON 1 6 52½ 63   57 22 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.26 P
6  YOUALMOSTHADME 5 8 63½ 52   44 32¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.60 28% 2.60 0.96 S
9  TX WOMEN FOR ARTS 8 1 31½ 41½   34 43 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 27% 2.70 23.83  
8  TWIRLING QUEEN 7 3 2nk 1½   22 54½ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00 18.34  
4  EDISTRUDIS 3 9 96½ 74   68½ 65¾ (gutierrez faustio)BEJARANO R 120 30.00 60.55  
3  GRACE GIVEN 2 7 86 84¼   79½ 77¾ (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 14.32  
7  EASY RED 6 5 74 95¼   810 812 (o'neill dou)TORRES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 11.11  
5  INTERMITTENT FAST 4 4 1nk 2½   910¼ 915¾ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 63.82  
SCR  DANCING PRINCESS               (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 118 50.00    
 
ELP-6   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Juvenile Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:112     1:251   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX 9 1 52½ 41½   32½ 12½ (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 120 30.00 60.53  
5  COULDITBEMAJIC 5 9 74¼ 53   44½ 22½ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 8% 12.10 9.23 P
2  CALL ME ANDY 2 5 2nk 2nk   2½ 33 (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 120 1.60 29% 2.40 2.65 S
3  OMEX 3 7 64 63¼   54½ 44 (walsh p)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 3.13  
6  BALTA 6 4 3½ 1nk   1½ 54½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80 31% 2.20 2.79  
1  HAM SANDWICH 1 6 84¼ 97¼   67 69¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
8  LET'S GO MARK 8 2 41½ 73¾   711 719½ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00 10% 8.80 9.88  
7  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 7 8 95¾ 85¾   813½ 821½ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00 36.23  
4  DUNPHY 4 3 1nk 31   918½ 968 (ennis john)TORRES A 118 30.00 38.51  
 
ELP-7   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Audubon Oaks Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :452 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  POSITANO SUNSET 3 8 76 75   41 11 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 9% 9.80 6.69 W
4  FLAMAND 4 6 52½ 52   3½ 21 (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 40.89  
7  SANTA FE GOLD 7 5 21 2½   2nk 31½ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00 28.42  
5  MERLAZZA 5 3 63 63½   62¼ 42 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 41% 1.40 2.00  
9  MAGICAL LUTE 9 7 910 97   84¼ 52¼ (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.64  
8  TOPSY 8 1 41½ 41½   72¾ 64¼ (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 21% 3.70 4.03  
2  PADMA 2 9 88 85½   95¼ 77 (mott i)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7% 13.50 13.09  
6  BLACK FOREST 6 2 11 1½   1nk 87¼ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 20.00 11.09  
1  RUTHLESS RUA 1 4 31½ 31½   51¼ 97¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 3.78  
 
ELP-8   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Derby Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:104 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUMBARUMBA 1 2 43½ 43 31½ 3½ 1¾ (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00 3.70 W
7  TRANSECT 7 7 32½ 31 1½ 1½ 2¾ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 3.50 20% 4.00 6.22 P
4  LOYAL COMPANY 4 3 66 65 42 2½ 3¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 45% 1.20 3.21 S
3  DENINGTON 3 6 89 89 53 52 41¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 4.00 4.31  
5  BLUE LIGHT 5 4 22 2½ 2½ 41 55¼ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5.56  
8  HOW DID HE DO THAT 8 8 76 76½ 74½ 66 68¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 4.38  
6  RELEASE MCCRAKEN 6 5 54½ 54½ 84¾ 87½ 714½ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 8% 11.90 13.43  
2  OLAZABAL 2 1 12 1½ 63 77 815 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 25.00 34.31  
 
ELP-9   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:104 1:231   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STAGE RAIDER 2 2 41½ 31½ 52½ 2nk 12 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 19.17  
3  BIG BLUE LINE 3 3 63½ 63 62¾ 52¼ 22 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 5% 19.00 14.55 P
7  SEIZE THE NIGHT 5 5 52½ 73¼ 41½ 41¾ 32¼ (lukas way)TORRES A 126 10.00 7.63  
5  BEST ACTOR 4 4 2nk 1½ 31 3.2 42½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 8.00 40% 1.50 1.32  
8  HERE MI SONG 6 7 74 41½ 11 1nk 54 (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 126 4.50 32% 2.10 2.66  
1  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) 1 1 1nk 52 73¼ 73¾ 66¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 8.77  
9  KUPUNA 7 6 3½ 2½ 21 63¼ 76¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 7% 12.60 4.61  
SCR  INJUNCTION               (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00    
SCR  ZOZOS               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 126 1.00    
 
ELP-10   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Groupie Doll Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:112 1:234   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FALCONET 3 3 31½ 51¾ 42 2nk 11¼ (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 13% 6.70 7.55 W
7  HIDDEN CONNECTION 5 4 41½ 31½ 2½ 1nk 21¼ (calhoun wil)TORRES A 122 5.00 8.20  
5  INTERSTATEDAYDREAM 4 6 52½ 73¼ 73½ 71¾ 31¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.80 48% 1.10 0.61 S
9  ICE ORCHID 6 5 63 61¾ 52 61¾ 43½ (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 6.95  
2  COASTAL CHARM 2 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 3½ 55½ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 12.38  
11  BE LIKE WATER 7 7 73½ 41½ 63 51¼ 66¼ (oliver victoria)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 24.75  
1  NON VIOLENCE 1 2 1½ 1½ 31 4¾ 78 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 10% 8.80 6.70  
SCR  MALLOY               (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 30.00    
SCR  NAPA CANDY               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
SCR  SHE CAN'T SING               (block chris)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
SCR  SOUL OF AN ANGEL               (james gerald)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.