Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (8/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (10/5/2/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (4/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (6/9/10/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (6/2/8/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (5/8/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (4/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (5/8/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-10   Win (5/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T HUSH THIS Jul21 Jun29 Jun10 Jan08 Dec11 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 8.00    
2  MIACOMET May28 Apr26 Feb11 Jan08 Dec16 (shirer matt)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TAKE THE CHARGE Jul13 Jun10 Dec19 Nov20 Oct20 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 28% 2.60    
4  OSCAR ECLIPSE Jul09 Jun04 Aug27 Jul24   (lynch brian)TORRES A 118 1.60 49% 1.10    
5  QUATERNION Jul09 Jun10 May06 Mar18 Feb18 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
6  MO'S TREASURE Jul21 Jan20 Nov26 Oct12 Sep22 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
7  FUNNY UNCLE Jul08 May06 Mar25 Mar09 Feb19 (vance d)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-2   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY DYNAMO Jul08 May29 Apr19 Mar12   (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
2  ANIMAL FRIES Jul22 Jun25       (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
3  MAKE THE BOYS WINK Jul09 Apr19 Mar16 Feb05 Jan08 (walsh p)BEJARANO R 118 2.00 25% 3.00    
4  MO DIVINE Mar09 Feb08 Dec03 Nov12 Oct16 (hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
5  MINDFUL Jul09 Mar23       (devaux cher)TORRES A 124 4.50    
6  GUNS N' LILIES Jun29 May20 Mar18 Nov12 Oct12 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  ROBIN SAGE Jul20 Jun29 May24 May03 Apr07 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
8  JENNIFER MY LOVE Jul09 Jun25       (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 34% 2.00    
9  ENGLISH TREASURE Dec01 Oct21 Jul23 May29 May04 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
 
ELP-3   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAD FOOT Jul21 Jul01       (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
2  GOTTANEEDFORSPEED Jun29         (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  ALLIED VICTORY         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
4  WARP NINE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
5  B WAYNE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 22% 3.50    
6  COLLINS Jul08         (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50    
7  NEW BERN         (asmussen m)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
8  NUEVO AMANECER Jul21 Jun23 Jun06 May11   (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  OTTO THE CONQUEROR         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BRIAN Jul15         (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 27% 2.70    
11  LIBERAL ARTS Jul01 May25       (medina robe)TORRES A 119 5.00    
 
ELP-4   08/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY OF DEVON Jul16         (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
2  FUN LOVING         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
4  KESSEL Jul09 Jun15       (barkley jason)LANERIE J 119 4.50 47% 1.10    
5  ROCK STAR DOCTOR         (kenneally eddie)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  CAIRO STREET Jul07         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 15.00    
7  PLUMERIA         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 8.00    
8  MENDEE         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
9  CRYSTAL SYMPHONY May26         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00    
10  WEIGHTED AVERAGE         (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 30% 2.30    
11  AUSTERE         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 ★    
12  GLOSSY LIFE Jul09         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
SCR  GOLD DEL MAR Jul23 Jun29       (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
SCR  SESSA SISU         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
SCR  PHAROAH'S WINE Jul23 Jun30       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.00    
SCR  YOU'RE KITTEN ME Jul23 Jun29 Jun15 May11   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
 
ELP-5   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Debutante Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIPERTON Jul22         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DANCING PRINCESS Jun25 Jun10       (spicer t)BECKMAN ALICE 118 50.00    
3  GRACE GIVEN Jul22 Jun30       (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
4  EDISTRUDIS Jul30 Jun10       (gutierrez faustio)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
5  INTERMITTENT FAST Jun21 May26 Apr28     (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00    
6  YOUALMOSTHADME May04 Apr19       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.60 28% 2.60    
7  EASY RED Jul02 May27       (o'neill dou)TORRES A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TWIRLING QUEEN Jun25         (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 120 12.00    
9  TX WOMEN FOR ARTS Jul07 Jun15 May19     (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
10  HOT BEACH Jul07         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 21% 3.70    
 
ELP-6   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Juvenile Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAM SANDWICH Jul15 Jun10       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CALL ME ANDY Jul02 Jun01       (walsh p)GARCIA MARTIN 120 1.60 29% 2.40    
3  OMEX Jul21 Jun15       (walsh p)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
4  DUNPHY Jul22 Jun04 May11 Apr26   (ennis john)TORRES A 118 30.00    
5  COULDITBEMAJIC Jul15 Jun24       (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
6  BALTA Jul23 Jun17       (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80 31% 2.20    
7  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON Jul08 Jun15 May25 May03 Apr07 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 15.00    
8  LET'S GO MARK Jun24 May03 Apr13     (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 120 10.00 10% 8.80    
9  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX Jul12 Jun24 May29     (mcentee paul)HEARD TYLER 120 30.00    
 
ELP-7   08/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST Audubon Oaks Purse ($150K) 3 F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUTHLESS RUA Jul16 Nov24 Oct22     (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
2  PADMA Jul07 Jun11 May05 Feb04 Jan01 (mott i)LANERIE J 118 8.00 7% 13.50    
3  POSITANO SUNSET Apr07 Mar04 Feb04 Nov18 Oct16 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 9% 9.80    
4  FLAMAND Jul08 Jun17 Apr28 Apr02 Feb25 (lopez elias)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
5  MERLAZZA Jul08 May19 Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  BLACK FOREST Jun29 Jun01 Apr07 Jan22 Nov27 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 20.00    
7  SANTA FE GOLD Jul01 May29 Apr22 Mar25 Jan27 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
8  TOPSY Jul08 Jun11 May19 Mar25 Feb25 (asmussen m)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
9  MAGICAL LUTE Jun24 Jun02 Apr21 Sep16 Jul04 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-8   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ellis Park Derby Purse ($250K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUMBARUMBA Jul02 Jun04 Apr23 Mar11 Feb11 (lynch a)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  OLAZABAL Aug04 May06 Apr16 Mar25 Jan19 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 25.00    
3  DENINGTON Jul08 Jun11 May20 Apr15 Mar25 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 118 4.00    
4  LOYAL COMPANY Jul08 Jun03 Apr28 Mar11   (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 45% 1.20    
5  BLUE LIGHT Jun25 May21 Apr08 Mar11   (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
6  RELEASE MCCRAKEN Jul08 Apr29 Mar25 Dec03 Nov17 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 8% 11.90    
7  TRANSECT Jul08 May22 Mar04 Feb10 Jan20 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
8  HOW DID HE DO THAT Jul08 May29 Mar26 Jan29 Jan01 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50    
 
ELP-9   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) Jun30 May14 Dec31 Nov12 Sep04 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
2  STAGE RAIDER Jun15 Apr16 Jul23 May28 Apr13 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
3  BIG BLUE LINE Jun30 Mar24 Feb18 Jan14 Nov27 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  INJUNCTION Nov25 Oct01 Aug06 Jul04 Jun05 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00    
5  BEST ACTOR Jun30 Sep25 Aug23 Jul09 Jun12 (cox h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 8.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ZOZOS Jul02 May06 Mar02 Jan21 Dec17 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 126 1.00    
7  SEIZE THE NIGHT Jul02 Jun11 Apr22 Apr07 Mar16 (lukas way)TORRES A 126 10.00    
8  HERE MI SONG Jul22 May06 Apr08 Mar11 Feb04 (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 126 4.50 32% 2.10    
9  KUPUNA Jun30 May27 May06 Apr20 Mar18 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
 
ELP-10   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Groupie Doll Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NON VIOLENCE Jul23 Jun30 May25 Apr27 Feb12 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
2  COASTAL CHARM Jul07 Jun15 Apr29 Apr07 Mar12 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  FALCONET May19 Apr02 Feb18 Jan01 Nov25 (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  NAPA CANDY Jul02 Jun03 Apr15 Nov27 Oct15 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
5  INTERSTATEDAYDREAM Jun24 May19 Apr21 Mar11 Aug23 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 1.80 48% 1.10    
SCR  SHE CAN'T SING Aug10 Jul20 Jun21 Mar25 Jan28 (block chris)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
7  HIDDEN CONNECTION Jun24 Jun03 Apr21 Mar11 Jan28 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 122 5.00    
SCR  SOUL OF AN ANGEL Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 May05 (james gerald)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 30.00    
9  ICE ORCHID Jul07 Mar12 Feb04 Jan07 Nov19 (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
SCR  MALLOY Jul13 Apr01 Oct08 Aug07 Jul02 (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 30.00    
11  BE LIKE WATER Jun24 Apr14 Mar11 Nov06 Oct09 (oliver victoria)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.