Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.20 $1.20 30%
HAW-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $12.80 $6.80 113%
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-1 $10.30 $4.30 72%
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-1-6 $10.10 $7.10 237%
    DD (5/1)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $19.40 $13.40 223%
HAW-4   WIN (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    EXA (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $12.60 $0.60 5%
    TRI (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-4-6 $21.85 $9.85 82%
    SFT (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80  3-4-6-1 $20.90 $16.10 335%
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-3 $19.10 $7.10 59%
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/6/4)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4/5/6-4-3 $42.45 $30.45 254%
HAW-5   PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/1/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4-3-3/4 $61.05 $37.05 154%
    PK4 (5/1)-(1/6/4)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/1/2/7) 96 $0.50 $48.00  4/5/6-4-3-3/4 $115.85 $67.85 141%
HAW-6   EXA (8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-7 $67.10 $47.10 236%
    TRI (8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-7-12 $226.90 $196.90 656%
    SFT (8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2) 120 $0.20 $24.00  8-7-12-9 $374.30 $350.30 1460%
HAW-8   EXA (10/4/2/1/5)-(10/4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-5 $21.20 $1.20 6%
    PK6 (1/6/4)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/1/2/7)-(8/9/12/7/2)-(5/2/6/8)-(10/4/2/1/5) 4800 $0.50 $2400  4-3-3/4-5/8/11-5-1/3 $2740.65 $340.65 14%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   08/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:113 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMAVIR 8 6 4 43 43 22 1nk (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00 16.90  
DAPPER DUDE 1 3 77 6 6 3 2nk (block chri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 34% 2.00 3.00 P
PAINTSVILLE 2 1 1nk 1nk 12 12 3 (gonzalez lil)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 2.50  
ELECTRIC CHARGE 4 8 8 810¾ 78 5 42 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.00 44% 1.30 4.00  
ICE VORTEX 3 4 54 5 3 4 5 (perez manny)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
HANDSOFFTHEGOODS 6 7 6 7 89 711½ 610 (block chris)COLON H 120 6.00 10.40  
DARK SOLUTION 7 5 3½ 2nk 22 610 715 (weir geor)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
INDIO GUAPO 5 2 2nk 3½ 54 816½ 827¼ (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 120 20.00 46.00  
SCR  PAPA GEEB               (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 119 30.00    
 
HAW-2   08/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:254 :491 1:124 1:382   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEYIST 4 2 1 1½ 11 13 17 (boyce michele)COLON H 124 3.00 51% 0.90 1.60 W
COTTON CANDY ANNIE 3 3 2 2½ 21 23 27 (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 1.60  
QUILTING PARTY 1 1 3 44 4 38 313 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 19% 4.30 4.50 S
ZING 2 4 4 34 36 49 413 (claire alexis)FELIX E 124 5.00 3.90  
SCR  RAINY MOUNTAIN               (kirby j)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
SCR  WHITE LIES               (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50    
 
HAW-3   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:212 :444 :58     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALAGO 3 2 2 23   21 1hd (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 14% 6.30 5.40 W
STOPSHOPPINGAMY 1 5 3 3   31 2hd (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.60 46% 1.20 0.30 P
GETTIN DOWN 5 1 1 13   11 3 (witthauer )WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 3.00 20% 4.00 4.10 S
RANK AND FILE 2 4 48 4   47 4 (hughes w)COLON H 122 6.00 34.30  
NIFF 4 3 5 511   510 512¼ (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 5.00 35.00  
SCR  HALLIE'S RAINBOW               (breaux danit)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
 
HAW-4   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:112 1:402   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELESS GLORY 3 3 33 3 1½ 13 1 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 18% 4.50 3.50 W
ON A TOUR 4 7 7 67 5 23 2 (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 32% 2.10 2.10 P
BERTRADA 6 6 5 45 34 3 3 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 9% 10.00 2.80 S
COUGER 1 1 11 1 2½ 4 4 (perez manny)COLON H 124 4.00 15% 5.80 4.30  
KITTEN ROCKS 7 5 6 77 6 56 5 (cook brian)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00 23.40  
LINDALOUIMAGE 5 4 4 56 7 67 610¾ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00 12.30  
CAIRO SUMMER 2 2 21 2 44 78 711 (rosas rigo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00 23.60  
 
HAW-5   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:221 :464       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO MARGIE GO 3 2 2½ 21   1nk 1¾ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 31% 2.20 1.50 W
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
BEEHIVE 5 3 3½ 31   3 2¾ (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00 7.60  
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
DEVIL 1 1 1½ 11   2nk 3 (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 119 6.00 27% 2.70 1.60 S
  (by FAST ANNA out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
SHE CAN SCAT 6 4 42 42   53 4 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 119 4.50 7% 13.50 10.10  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATMEIFUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
SWEET SMILA 2 5 53 5   4 5 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 119 3.50 14% 6.20 7.20  
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of SMILA'SSENSEOFSNOW by TRAPPE SHOT)
REALISTIC GOAL 7 6 67 6   67 6 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00 38.50  
  (by THE FACTOR out of REALGOODLOOKIN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
DESPERATE TIMES 4 7 7 712½   713 725¼ (bright derrick)REYES FRANK 119 12.00 47.30  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ALASHIR'S WORLD by SPINNING WORLD)
SCR  RICHIE'S GAL               (rivelli larry)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of RAVIN'S RICH GIRL by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
 
HAW-6   08/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Romacaca Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:102 1:341   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATIE M'LADY 7 2 11 11 1 14 1 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 5.00 48% 1.10 1.50 W
  (by DOMINUS out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
WAVE OF GOODNESS 6 8 9 97 9 8 2 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 115 15.00 5% 19.00 30.60 P
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MANDALAY BEACH by LONHRO (AUS))
12  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD 10 9 8 6 7 36 3 (block chri)CORRALES GERARDO 117 12.00 5% 19.00 13.10 S
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
SHE CAN'T SING 8 3 31 21 2 24 4 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 123 3.50 26% 2.80 5.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DISTORTED MUSIC by DISTORTED HUMOR)
TAKNTOTHECLEANERS 4 1 21 3 3 46 5 (west w)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00 3.90  
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of GOLDEN LADY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB) 1 4 42 5 4 6 6 (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 116 10.00 7.40  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LIPSTICK ROSE by DREAM AHEAD)
10  BHOMA 9 7 6 85 8 5 7 (catalano wayne)LEZCANO ABEL 116 6.00 15.50  
  (by BERNARDINI out of MOM'S DEPUTY by WAR CHANT)
MACADAMIA (FR) 2 5 7 75 65 7 89 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT (GB) out of ELDACAR by VERGLAS (IRE))
RUSSIAN MAFIA 5 10 10 1010 10 910¾ 911¼ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 30.00 66.60  
  (by SKIPSHOT out of MY MACH FOUR by MACHIAVELLIAN)
BEYOND PROPER 3 6 5 4 5 1014¾ 1019¼ (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 114 30.00 85.80  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
SCR  PRINCESS THEOREM               (walsh p)EMIGH A 120 4.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of PRINCESS HAYA by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  TIMELESS ROSE               (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 117 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZASMITTENKITTEN by CATIENUS)
 
HAW-7   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:222 :463 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMISSIONER GULCH 5 7 31 2½   1 1 (becker scott)EMIGH A 120 1.80 35% 1.80 1.00 W
  (by COMMISSIONER out of GUIDDY GULCH by THUNDER GULCH)
JOYZELLA 1 4 42 32   3 2 (spagnola ida)TAVARES JAVIER 120 4.50 4.10  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
FREEDOM ATTACK 4 3 6 75   4 3 (childers vance)FELIX E 124 3.00 6.70  
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
NO NAP NEEDED 2 1 1½ 1½   2 4 (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 28% 2.60 5.60  
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of WHISPER INTHE WIND by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
TOUR DE' PORT 3 6 7 43   55 511¼ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 27.90  
  (by TOURIST out of LEISURELY RENNY by SIR LOREN)
FEATURED POWER 7 5 8 8   7 617½ (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00 68.20  
  (by GREYTAP out of SAM'S FARIT by WHEATON)
LADY WHITE SOX 8 8 52 53   6 718 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00 5% 19.00 24.90  
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of LADY'S QUEST by RAINBOW QUEST)
GO ON GIRL 6 2 2½ 64   812 826½ (hughes w)COLON H 120 10.00 9% 10.70 10.30  
  (by LORD NELSON out of HOLLARFORADOLLAR by BRING THE HEAT)
 
HAW-8   08/10/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGHTROPE 1 5 1 1   15 1 (dobbsjr robe)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 8% 11.30 2.00 W
REAL NEWS 4 8 7 68   5 2 (martinez ralp)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.80 P
LAND MARK DEAL 7 9 911¼ 911½   7 3 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 6.50  
MISTER KELLY 3 7 5 55   6 410½ (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 16% 5.30 20.10  
IAN GLASS 2 6 4 45   4 511 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 11% 7.90 3.60  
10  SMOKIN RICHIE 9 3 2 2   25 611¼ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 44% 1.30 2.50  
GREELEYS ICE 6 1 3 3   3 713¾ (reyes martin)REYES FRANK 122 30.00 ######  
LUCKY SHOT 5 2 8 811   914¼ 815 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 66.70  
PAYSTER 8 4 6 7   814¼ 915¼ (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00 ######  
SCR  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE)               (vanden br)COLON H 122 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.