Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (4/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/3)-(5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/3)-(5/1)-(1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/6/4)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/1/2/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/6)-(4/1/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/6)-(4/1/2/7)-(8/9/12/7/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/1/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7)-(4/1/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/7)-(8/9/12/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/7)-(8/9/12/7/2)-(5/2/6/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-6   WIN (8/9/12/7/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2)-(8/9/12/7/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/12/7/2)-(5/2/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/12/7/2)-(5/2/6/8)-(10/4/2/1/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-7   WIN (5/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8)-(5/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/8)-(10/4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (10/4/2/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/2/1/5)-(10/4/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/2/1/5)-(10/4/2/1/5)-(10/4/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   08/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAPPER DUDE         (block chri)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
2  PAINTSVILLE Nov30 Oct19       (gonzalez lil)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50    
3  ICE VORTEX Jul12 Jun07 May21 Sep25 Aug26 (perez manny)BOWEN ROCCO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  ELECTRIC CHARGE Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 May21 Apr30 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  INDIO GUAPO Jul23 Jun14 Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 120 20.00    
SCR  PAPA GEEB Jul27         (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 119 30.00    
7  HANDSOFFTHEGOODS Jun07         (block chris)COLON H 120 6.00    
8  DARK SOLUTION Jul26 Jun14       (weir geor)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  ARMAVIR Jul19 Jul12 May28 May18   (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
 
HAW-2   08/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUILTING PARTY Jun18 May31 May07 Apr20 Dec31 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
2  ZING Jul27 Jul05 Apr19 Mar11 Feb12 (claire alexis)FELIX E 124 5.00    
3  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Jun08 May23 Jan21 Dec26 Nov27 (hernandez )CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
SCR  WHITE LIES Jul06 Jun14 May21 Apr30 Dec02 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.50    
5  JOURNEYIST Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 May07 Apr23 (boyce michele)COLON H 124 3.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  RAINY MOUNTAIN Jun14 Jun01 May14 Apr23 Mar30 (kirby j)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
 
HAW-3   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOPSHOPPINGAMY Aug03 Jun07 May28 Apr30 Apr09 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.60 46% 1.20    
2  RANK AND FILE Jul27 Jul16 Jun29 Jun18 Jun04 (hughes w)COLON H 122 6.00    
SCR  HALLIE'S RAINBOW Jul11 Jun10 May27 Dec04 Nov18 (breaux danit)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00    
4  PALAGO Nov25 Nov11 Oct09 Aug19 Aug02 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 14% 6.30    
5  NIFF Jul30 Jun11 May25 May07 Apr29 (witthauer john )REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
6  GETTIN DOWN Jul16 Jun15 May25 Apr27   (witthauer )WEATHERLY BAILEY 110 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
HAW-4   08/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUGER Jul20 Jul06 May28 May04 Apr16 (perez manny)COLON H 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
2  CAIRO SUMMER Jul16 Jun25 Jun07 May25 May18 (rosas rigo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 112 8.00    
3  TIMELESS GLORY Jul12 Jun25 Jun11 Apr26 Apr14 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
4  ON A TOUR Jul12 Jun11 May04 Mar26 Feb15 (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  LINDALOUIMAGE Jul22 Jul04 Jun13 May18 May04 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
6  BERTRADA Jul12 Jun11 May25 May07 Apr13 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 9% 10.00    
7  KITTEN ROCKS Jul30 Jun29 Jun18 Jun07 May18 (cook brian)BOWEN ROCCO 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   08/10/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL Jul09         (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 119 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by FAST ANNA out of SPEED DEVIL by BRILLIANT SPEED)
2  SWEET SMILA Jul23         (robertson hugh)FELIX E 119 3.50 14% 6.20    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of SMILA'SSENSEOFSNOW by TRAPPE SHOT)
SCR  RICHIE'S GAL Jul09         (rivelli larry)HERNANDEZ K 119 8.00    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of RAVIN'S RICH GIRL by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
4  GO MARGIE GO         (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LIL SUPER BEAR by SUPER SAVER)
5  DESPERATE TIMES         (bright derrick)EMIGH A 119 12.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ALASHIR'S WORLD by SPINNING WORLD)
6  BEEHIVE         (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
7  SHE CAN SCAT Jul23         (winebaugh cher)COLON H 119 4.50 7% 13.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of SCATMEIFUCAN by SCAT DADDY)
8  REALISTIC GOAL Jul23         (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of REALGOODLOOKIN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
HAW-6   08/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Romacaca Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUENTE OVEJUNA (GB) Jul08 Jun18 May02 Mar26 Feb08 (walsh brendan )ELLIOTT JANE 116 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LIPSTICK ROSE by DREAM AHEAD)
2  MACADAMIA (FR) Jun22 May10 Feb15 Dec21 Nov03 (lobo h)MACHADO LUAN 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WOOTTON BASSETT (GB) out of ELDACAR by VERGLAS (IRE))
3  BEYOND PROPER Jun21 Dec02 Nov04 Oct08 Aug20 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 114 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
4  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS Jul01 May29 Mar10 Dec28 Sep22 (west w)BOWEN ROCCO 117 6.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of GOLDEN LADY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  TIMELESS ROSE Jul19 Jun21 May31 Oct23 Oct13 (grani)ULLOA PATRICIO 117 12.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEZASMITTENKITTEN by CATIENUS)
6  RUSSIAN MAFIA Jul13 Jun22 May31 Mar25 Mar10 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 30.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of MY MACH FOUR by MACHIAVELLIAN)
7  WAVE OF GOODNESS Jul20 May21 Jan21 Dec26 Oct23 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of MANDALAY BEACH by LONHRO (AUS))
8  KATIE M'LADY Jul06 May31 Oct23 Oct08   (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 5.00 48% 1.10    
  (by DOMINUS out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
9  SHE CAN'T SING Jul20 Jun21 Mar25 Jan28 Nov19 (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 123 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DISTORTED MUSIC by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  BHOMA Jul14 May18 Apr12 Mar10 Mar05 (catalano wayne)LEZCANO ABEL 116 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of MOM'S DEPUTY by WAR CHANT)
SCR  PRINCESS THEOREM Aug06 May20 Apr01 Mar04 Feb08 (walsh p)EMIGH A 120 4.50    
  (by NYQUIST out of PRINCESS HAYA by STREET CRY (IRE))
12  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Jul06 May31 Apr21 Mar25 Feb18 (block chri)CORRALES GERARDO 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
 
HAW-7   08/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOYZELLA Aug03 Jul16 Jun22 Jun07 May14 (spagnola ida)TAVARES JAVIER 120 4.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
2  NO NAP NEEDED         (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 115 6.00 28% 2.60    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of WHISPER INTHE WIND by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  TOUR DE' PORT Jul25 Jul11 Jun07     (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00    
  (by TOURIST out of LEISURELY RENNY by SIR LOREN)
4  FREEDOM ATTACK Jul20 Jun21 Jun07 May21 May04 (childers vance)FELIX E 124 3.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of LUCKY LIPSTICK by LUCKY LIONEL)
5  COMMISSIONER GULCH Jul19 Jun13 May30 May16   (becker scott)EMIGH A 120 1.80 35% 1.80    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of GUIDDY GULCH by THUNDER GULCH)
6  GO ON GIRL Jul26 Jul09 Jun21 May25 May04 (hughes w)COLON H 120 10.00 9% 10.70    
  (by LORD NELSON out of HOLLARFORADOLLAR by BRING THE HEAT)
7  FEATURED POWER Jul20 Jul09 Jun25 Jun25 Jun10 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
  (by GREYTAP out of SAM'S FARIT by WHEATON)
8  LADY WHITE SOX Jul20 Jul11 Jun25 Sep19 Jun24 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of LADY'S QUEST by RAINBOW QUEST)
 
HAW-8   08/10/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGHTROPE Jun22 May15 Apr08 Feb25 Jan27 (dobbsjr robe)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 8% 11.30    
2  IAN GLASS Jul19 Jun01 May21 Mar18 Jan28 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 5.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  NEVER HAVE I EVER (IRE) Jul21 May16 Nov26 Oct20 Oct07 (vanden br)COLON H 122 3.50    
4  MISTER KELLY Jul05 Jun15 Jun01 Nov18 Sep25 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  REAL NEWS Jul19 Dec16 Nov27 Oct13 Sep05 (martinez ralp)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LUCKY SHOT Jul26 Jul12 Jun04 May14 May07 (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00    
7  GREELEYS ICE Jul16 Jul05 Jun25 Jun14 May28 (reyes martin)REYES FRANK 122 30.00    
8  LAND MARK DEAL Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 Feb24 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
9  PAYSTER Jul12 Jun22 Dec14 Dec06 Nov23 (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
10  SMOKIN RICHIE Jul21 May03 Oct25 Oct07 Sep13 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 44% 1.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.