Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $14.40 $8.40 140%
HAW-5   WIN (6/3/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $24.80 $14.80 148%
    EXA (6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-6 $53.60 $33.60 168%
    TRI (6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-6-1 $179.70 $149.70 499%
    SFT (6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1) 120 $0.20 $24.00  9-6-1-4 $417.88 $393.88 1641%
HAW-6   EXA (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $19.70 $7.70 64%
    TRI (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-1-3 $55.25 $43.25 360%
    DD (6/3/4/9/1)-(2/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-7 $39.70 $19.70 99%
HAW-7   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    PK3 (6/3/4/9/1)-(2/7/1/3)-(4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-7-2 $46.85 $16.85 56%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   07/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:15 1:401   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY 4 3 32½ 32 31 13½ 14¼ (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 11% 8.00 2.00 W
5  ELECTRIC CHARGE 5 6 55 54¾ 52¼ 23½ 24¼ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 2.50 48% 1.10 2.60 P
2  RUSSIAN STANDARD 2 2 21 2nk 2nk 35 37¼ (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.50 8.90  
1  LITTLE STEVEN 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 57 48¾ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 120 4.00 20% 3.90 2.10  
7  ARMAVIR 7 7 75½ 76¼ 64¼ 45½ 59½ (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 113 6.00 31.00  
3  CHERRY ORCHARD 3 5 44 42¼ 41¼ 68½ 612½ (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
6  MARCHING ORDERS 6 4 65 65¾ 78¾ 714½ 725 (wainwright john)EMIGH A 120 15.00 17.10  
 
HAW-2   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BLOW TORCH 2 2 42 44   2nk 12 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 124 2.00 43% 1.30 3.40 W
1  FAITHFUL RULER 1 1 11½ 11   1nk 22 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.50 16% 5.40 5.70 P
3  PLAUSIBLE DENILE 3 3 31½ 33   42½ 33 (divito james)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 1.00  
4  DASH TO THE CASH 4 5 59 57   53 43½ (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 122 8.00 7.80  
6  TIMEHASCOME 5 4 21½ 21   31½ 54½ (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 5.00 11% 8.50 5.30  
SCR  TEE BURNS               (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
 
HAW-3   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:221 :454 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PINBALLER 4 1 2nk 1½   11½ 11½ (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 3.50  
2  UNCLE NICK 2 3 42 44½   35 21½ (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 12.40  
7  TEA AFTER BALLET 7 6 610½ 69½   45 32 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 115 15.00 78.10  
1  SANTINO'S FANTASY 1 4 1nk 2½   21½ 42 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.00  
3  FAITHFUL KING 3 5 53½ 55   56½ 53¼ (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00 12% 7.70 16.80  
5  IRONMAN RICHIE 5 2 31 31½   69½ 626½ (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 12% 7.40 12.10  
6  TEA WITH LEMON 6 7 713½ 719½   724½ 732¼ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 18% 4.50 3.90  
 
HAW-4   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:12 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SONO GRATO 5 7 78¾ 64¼ 1½ 14 1½ (scalcione )SIMPSON M 122 4.50 3.70  
6  EMPTY HOLSTER 6 5 68½ 75¾ 63½ 34 2½ (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00 24% 3.10 23.20 P
2  SOUPER FORTUNE 2 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 24 36 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 3.00 20% 4.00 4.80 S
1  STORM BORN 1 1 31½ 31½ 42½ 45 47 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 11.10  
7  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE 7 6 2½ 2½ 32 57½ 511¾ (gonzalez lili)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00 11.30  
4  FLYING SAMURAI 4 4 52½ 51¾ 52½ 67¾ 613 (ryan a)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 15% 5.80 3.50  
3  MOVE ON OVER 3 3 41½ 41½ 77 714¾ 729½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.50 18% 4.50 2.00  
 
HAW-5   07/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:221 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GRAND HIDEAWAY 8 5 53 54   52¼ 1¼ (reid r)COLON H 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40 W
6  IAN GLASS 6 3 31 31½   31 2¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 35% 1.80 3.20 P
1  MALPAIS 1 1 1nk 11   11 32½ (villa franci)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.30 S
4  REAL NEWS 4 4 42½ 43   21 43 (martinez ralp)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 8% 11.30 4.50  
5  STALLONE 5 8 75½ 65½   66¼ 53¼ (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00 50.40  
11  ONE PUTT RICHIE 10 9 64½ 75½   77¼ 63¾ (laux clay)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 12.30  
8  NILES CHANNEL 7 6 87½ 88½   98¾ 74¼ (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 24.30  
2  SIERRA HOTEL 2 7 109½ 910   88¼ 86½ (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 6.00 10.30  
3  UPBEAT MELODY 3 2 2nk 21   42 97¼ (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 3.50 33% 2.00 5.10  
10  AZRAEL 9 10 99 1011   1011¾ 1010 (bahena fer)SIMPSON M 115 20.00 36.60  
SCR  TWO WORLDS               (vanden bri)REYES ANGEL 122 6.00    
 
HAW-6   07/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IT'S MAGIC 7 6 611½ 67½   44½ 1½ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 120 2.50 15% 5.90 1.40 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HONOUR ISABEL by HONOUR AND GLORY)
1  ANGEL EXPRESS 1 3 11 11   13 2½ (childers )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 6% 17.10 8.80 P
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of HI HANNAH by BERNSTEIN)
3  COMMISSIONER GULCH 3 4 55½ 33   23 31½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 120 8.00 5% 18.60 36.30 S
  (by COMMISSIONER out of GUIDDY GULCH by THUNDER GULCH)
5  BORDER STAR 5 2 45½ 55½   57½ 48½ (manley steve)ORM CORY 124 8.00 37.80  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of HARD TO READ by ALPHABET SOUP)
2  GUSTAVI 2 5 21 21   34 59½ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 1.80 53% 0.90 1.40  
  (by TAPWRIT out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
4  GOLD OAK 4 1 34½ 44½   68 613½ (reavis l)FELIX E 120 6.00 5.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIVE OAKS LEGACY by GULCH)
6  FLYING COMET 6 7 713 78½   711 718 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 72.10  
  (by DIALED IN out of STRIKE UPA SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
HAW-7   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:104 1:362   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NOTARY 2 1 48 46½ 31½ 1nk 11¼ (mason ingrid)FELIX E 124 4.00 9% 10.10 2.50 W
4  BUCK MOON 4 2 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 21¼ (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 P
3  SILVER QUARTERS 3 6 516 516½ 617 411 311¼ (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 8.00 41.80  
1  MILLARD'S SMILE 1 5 620 619½ 516½ 511¼ 411¼ (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 60.20  
6  EMPIRE BUILDER 6 3 32 31½ 2½ 36 512½ (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 31% 2.30 2.00  
5  TREASURY 5 4 2½ 21 44½ 616¼ 634¼ (forster g)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 7.80  
SCR  LYKAN               (mason ingrid)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
 
HAW-8   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:134 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  STORM'S REFLECTION 3 2 74¾ 87¼ 65 42 12 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 35% 1.80 1.40 W
8  LAWMAKER 6 5 21½ 42½ 3½ 1½ 22 (manley st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 20% 3.90 3.30 P
11  KINGSBURRY ATTACK 9 9 85¼ 77¼ 75½ 64½ 32½ (childers vance)FELIX E 122 10.00 9% 10.40 7.30 S
2  BRODY'S FLY 1 1 42½ 32½ 42½ 2½ 43 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 23.50  
7  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN 5 6 99¼ 99¾ 98½ 97¼ 54¼ (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 6% 14.60 51.50  
10  PAYNT BY LETTERS 8 8 53½ 66¼ 53½ 31½ 65½ (manley steve)ORM CORY 118 15.00 63.60  
3  STRIKE PRICE 2 3 64½ 56 86 53½ 76¾ (shephard )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 11.70  
6  BAILEYS RUN 4 4 11½ 11½ 1nk 87 88 (granitz anth)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 8% 11.50 7.50  
9  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 7 7 32½ 21½ 2nk 74½ 911¼ (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 122 8.00 8.00  
SCR  ARROW STRIKE               (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  IZEONDEC               (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 15.00    
SCR  KING ZION               (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
SCR  ROUGH JUSTICE               (rodriguez h)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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