The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Hawthorne
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
    Exacta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-5 2 1 $8.40 $8.40 -3.60
    Trifecta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-5-2 3 0 $20.10 -12.00
HAW-2   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
    Exacta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1 2 1 $14.40 $14.40 8.40
    Trifecta (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-1-3 3 0 $13.95 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/5)-(1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-2 2 1 $10.90 $10.90 -1.10
HAW-3   Win (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $9.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-2 2 0 $32.50 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-2-7 3 0 $229.15 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $27.10 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/3/4/5)-(1/2/6)-(1/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-2-4 3 0 $25.75 -24.00
HAW-4   Win (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $9.40 -8.00
    Exacta (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $48.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-6-2 3 0 $83.35 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5/6)-(2/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-5 2 0 $25.60 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/2/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(2/3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 2-4-5 3 0 $43.90 -24.00
HAW-5   Win (1/3/4/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $24.80 $24.80 14.80
    Exacta (1/3/4/6/9)-(1/3/4/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 9-6 2 1 $53.60 $53.60 33.60
    Trifecta (1/3/4/6/9)-(1/3/4/6/9)-(1/3/4/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 9-6-1 3 1 $179.70 $179.70 149.70
    Daily Double (2/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 5-9 2 0 $45.30 -20.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 4-5-9 3 0 $138.15 -40.00
HAW-6   Win (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-1 2 1 $19.70 $19.70 7.70
    Trifecta (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-1-3 3 1 $55.25 $55.25 43.25
    Daily Double (1/3/4/6/9)-(1/2/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 9-7 2 1 $39.70 $39.70 19.70
    Pick Three (2/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6/9)-(1/2/3/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 5-9-7 3 0 $47.20 -40.00
HAW-7   Win (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
    Exacta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 1 $10.80 $10.80 4.80
    Trifecta (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-4-3 3 0 $24.90 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/7)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 1 $10.10 $10.10 -1.90
    Pick Three (1/3/4/6/9)-(1/2/3/7)-(2/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 9-7-2 3 1 $46.85 $46.85 16.85
HAW-8   Win (4/6/7/8/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -5.20
    Exacta (4/6/7/8/11)-(4/6/7/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 4-8 2 1 $7.00 $7.00 -13.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7/8/11)-(4/6/7/8/11)-(4/6/7/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-8-11 3 1 $18.95 $18.95 -11.05
    Daily Double (2/4/6)-(4/6/7/8/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 2-4 2 1 $13.10 $13.10 -1.90
    Pick Three (1/2/3/7)-(2/4/6)-(4/6/7/8/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 7-2-1/4/5/12/13 3 1 $12.95 $12.95 -17.05

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   07/19/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
:242 :50 1:15 1:401   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY 4 3 3 32 31 11(block chris)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 11% 8.00 2.00 W
ELECTRIC CHARGE 5 6 55 5 5 22(quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 2.50 48% 1.10 2.60 P
RUSSIAN STANDARD 2 2 21 2nk 2nk 35 3(perez manny)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.50 8.90  
LITTLE STEVEN 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 57 4(winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 120 4.00 20% 3.90 2.10  
ARMAVIR 7 7 7 7 6 45(perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 113 6.00 31.00  
CHERRY ORCHARD 3 5 44 4 4 6612½ (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
MARCHING ORDERS 6 4 65 6 7 714½ 725 (wainwright john)EMIGH A 120 15.00 17.10  
 
HAW-2   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
:221 :452 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOW TORCH 2 2 42 44   2nk 12 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 124 2.00 43% 1.30 3.40 W
FAITHFUL RULER 1 1 1 11   1nk 22 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.50 16% 5.40 5.70 P
PLAUSIBLE DENILE 3 3 3 33   433 (divito p)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 1.00  
DASH TO THE CASH 4 5 59 57   53 4(lindsay rick)EMIGH A 122 8.00 7.80  
TIMEHASCOME 5 4 2 21   35(hernandez armand)COLON H 122 5.00 11% 8.50 5.30  
SCR  TEE BURNS               (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
 
HAW-3   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
:221 :454 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINBALLER 4 1 2nk 1½   11(poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 3.50  
UNCLE NICK 2 3 42 4   35 2(rodriguez edua)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 12.40  
TEA AFTER BALLET 7 6 610½ 6   45 32 (zawitz joel)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 115 15.00 78.10  
SANTINO'S FANTASY 1 4 1nk 2½   242 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.00  
FAITHFUL KING 3 5 5 55   55(watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00 12% 7.70 16.80  
IRONMAN RICHIE 5 2 31 3   6626½ (rodriguez eduar)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 12% 7.40 12.10  
TEA WITH LEMON 6 7 713½ 719½   724½ 732¼ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 18% 4.50 3.90  
 
HAW-4   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
:233 :464 1:12 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONO GRATO 5 7 7 6 1½ 14 1½ (scalcione pe)SIMPSON M 122 4.50 3.70  
EMPTY HOLSTER 6 5 6 7 6 34 2½ (martinez ralp)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00 24% 3.10 23.20 P
SOUPER FORTUNE 2 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 24 36 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 3.00 20% 4.00 4.80 S
STORM BORN 1 1 3 3 4 45 47 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 11.10  
MEATLOAF'S CHANCE 7 6 2½ 2½ 32 5511¾ (gonzalez lilia)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00 11.30  
FLYING SAMURAI 4 4 5 5 5 6613 (ryan a)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 15% 5.80 3.50  
MOVE ON OVER 3 3 4 4 77 714¾ 729½ (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.50 18% 4.50 2.00  
 
HAW-5   07/19/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
:221 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND HIDEAWAY 8 5 53 54   51¼ (reid r)COLON H 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40 W
IAN GLASS 6 3 31 3   31 2¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 4.00 35% 1.80 3.20 P
MALPAIS 1 1 1nk 11   11 3(villa francisc)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.30 S
REAL NEWS 4 4 4 43   21 43 (martinez ralph )HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 8% 11.30 4.50  
STALLONE 5 8 7 6   65(retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00 50.40  
11  ONE PUTT RICHIE 10 9 6 7   76(laux clay)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 12.30  
NILES CHANNEL 7 6 8 8   97(tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 24.30  
SIERRA HOTEL 2 7 10 910   88(rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 6.00 10.30  
UPBEAT MELODY 3 2 2nk 21   42 9(manley steve)ORM CORY 122 3.50 33% 2.00 5.10  
10  AZRAEL 9 10 99 1011   1011¾ 1010 (bahena ferna)SIMPSON M 115 20.00 36.60  
SCR  TWO WORLDS               (vanden britt)REYES ANGEL 122 6.00    
 
HAW-6   07/19/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
:223 :451 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S MAGIC 7 6 611½ 6   41½ (winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 120 2.50 15% 5.90 1.40 W
ANGEL EXPRESS 1 3 11 11   13 2½ (childers va)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 6% 17.10 8.80 P
COMMISSIONER GULCH 3 4 5 33   23 3(becker scott)EMIGH A 120 8.00 5% 18.60 36.30 S
BORDER STAR 5 2 4 5   54(manley steve)ORM CORY 124 8.00 37.80  
GUSTAVI 2 5 21 21   34 5(lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 1.80 53% 0.90 1.40  
GOLD OAK 4 1 3 4   68 613½ (reavis l)FELIX E 120 6.00 5.40  
FLYING COMET 6 7 713 7   711 718 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 72.10  
 
HAW-7   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
:231 :461 1:104 1:362   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTARY 2 1 48 4 3 1nk 1(mason ingrid)FELIX E 124 4.00 9% 10.10 2.50 W
BUCK MOON 4 2 1½ 11 1½ 2nk 2(rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 P
SILVER QUARTERS 3 6 516 516½ 617 411 311¼ (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 8.00 41.80  
MILLARD'S SMILE 1 5 620 619½ 516½ 511¼ 411¼ (rodriguez eduar)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 60.20  
EMPIRE BUILDER 6 3 32 3 2½ 36 512½ (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 31% 2.30 2.00  
TREASURY 5 4 2½ 21 4 616¼ 634¼ (forster gra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 7.80  
SCR  LYKAN               (mason ingrid)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
 
HAW-8   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
:24 :481 1:134 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM'S REFLECTION 3 2 7 8 65 42 12 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 35% 1.80 1.40 W
LAWMAKER 6 5 2 4 3½ 1½ 22 (manley stev)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 20% 3.90 3.30 P
11  KINGSBURRY ATTACK 9 9 8 7 7 63(childers vance)FELIX E 122 10.00 9% 10.40 7.30 S
BRODY'S FLY 1 1 4 3 4 2½ 43 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 23.50  
CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN 5 6 9 9 9 95(young r)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 6% 14.60 51.50  
10  PAYNT BY LETTERS 8 8 5 6 5 36(manley steve)ORM CORY 118 15.00 63.60  
STRIKE PRICE 2 3 6 56 86 57(shephard jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 11.70  
BAILEYS RUN 4 4 1 1 1nk 87 88 (granitz anthon)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 8% 11.50 7.50  
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 7 7 3 2 2nk 7911¼ (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 122 8.00 8.00  
SCR  ARROW STRIKE               (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  IZEONDEC               (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 15.00    
SCR  KING ZION               (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
SCR  ROUGH JUSTICE               (rodriguez hug)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.