Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Wednesday - July 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $14.40 $8.40 140%
HAW-5   WIN (6/3/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $24.80 $14.80 148%
    EXA (6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-6 $53.60 $33.60 168%
    TRI (6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-6-1 $179.70 $149.70 499%
    SFT (6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1)-(6/3/4/9/1) 120 $0.20 $24.00  9-6-1-4 $417.88 $393.88 1641%
HAW-6   EXA (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $19.70 $7.70 64%
    TRI (2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-1-3 $55.25 $43.25 360%
    DD (6/3/4/9/1)-(2/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-7 $39.70 $19.70 99%
HAW-7   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $10.80 $4.80 80%
    PK3 (6/3/4/9/1)-(2/7/1/3)-(4/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-7-2 $46.85 $16.85 56%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   07/19/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY   (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 3.00 11% 8.00 2.00 W
ELECTRIC CHARGE   (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 2.50 48% 1.10 2.60 P
RUSSIAN STANDARD   (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.50 8.90  
LITTLE STEVEN   (winebaugh cher)COLON H 120 4.00 20% 3.90 2.10  
ARMAVIR   (perez manny)HERNANDEZ K 113 6.00 31.00  
CHERRY ORCHARD   (hughes w)ORTIZ ALVIN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
MARCHING ORDERS   (wainwright john)EMIGH A 120 15.00 17.10  
 
HAW-2   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOW TORCH   (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 124 2.00 43% 1.30 3.40 W
FAITHFUL RULER   (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.50 16% 5.40 5.70 P
PLAUSIBLE DENILE   (divito james)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 1.00  
DASH TO THE CASH   (lindsay rick)EMIGH A 122 8.00 7.80  
TIMEHASCOME   (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 5.00 11% 8.50 5.30  
SCR  TEE BURNS   (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
 
HAW-3   07/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINBALLER   (poulos dee)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.50 3.50  
UNCLE NICK   (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 12.40  
TEA AFTER BALLET   (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 115 15.00 78.10  
SANTINO'S FANTASY   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 2.50 35% 1.90 1.00  
FAITHFUL KING   (watkins m)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 8.00 12% 7.70 16.80  
IRONMAN RICHIE   (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 12% 7.40 12.10  
TEA WITH LEMON   (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 18% 4.50 3.90  
 
HAW-4   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONO GRATO   (scalcione )SIMPSON M 122 4.50 3.70  
EMPTY HOLSTER   (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00 24% 3.10 23.20 P
SOUPER FORTUNE   (campbell joel)COLON H 122 3.00 20% 4.00 4.80 S
STORM BORN   (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 11.10  
MEATLOAF'S CHANCE   (gonzalez lili)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00 11.30  
FLYING SAMURAI   (ryan a)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00 15% 5.80 3.50  
MOVE ON OVER   (becker scott)EMIGH A 122 3.50 18% 4.50 2.00  
 
HAW-5   07/19/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND HIDEAWAY   (reid r)COLON H 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40 W
IAN GLASS   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 4.00 35% 1.80 3.20 P
MALPAIS   (villa franci)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00 3.30 S
REAL NEWS   (martinez ralp)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 8% 11.30 4.50  
STALLONE   (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00 50.40  
11  ONE PUTT RICHIE   (laux clay)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 12.30  
NILES CHANNEL   (tracy tanner)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 24.30  
SIERRA HOTEL   (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 124 6.00 10.30  
UPBEAT MELODY   (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 3.50 33% 2.00 5.10  
10  AZRAEL   (bahena fer)SIMPSON M 115 20.00 36.60  
SCR  TWO WORLDS   (vanden bri)REYES ANGEL 122 6.00    
 
HAW-6   07/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S MAGIC   (winebaugh cher)COLON H 120 2.50 15% 5.90 1.40 W
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HONOUR ISABEL by HONOUR AND GLORY)
ANGEL EXPRESS   (childers )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 5.00 6% 17.10 8.80 P
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of HI HANNAH by BERNSTEIN)
COMMISSIONER GULCH   (becker scott)EMIGH A 120 8.00 5% 18.60 36.30 S
  (by COMMISSIONER out of GUIDDY GULCH by THUNDER GULCH)
BORDER STAR   (manley steve)ORM CORY 124 8.00 37.80  
  (by BIRDSTONE out of HARD TO READ by ALPHABET SOUP)
GUSTAVI   (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 1.80 53% 0.90 1.40  
  (by TAPWRIT out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
GOLD OAK   (reavis l)FELIX E 120 6.00 5.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIVE OAKS LEGACY by GULCH)
FLYING COMET   (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 12.00 72.10  
  (by DIALED IN out of STRIKE UPA SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
HAW-7   07/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTARY   (mason ingrid)FELIX E 124 4.00 9% 10.10 2.50 W
BUCK MOON   (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 P
SILVER QUARTERS   (manley steve)ORM CORY 122 8.00 41.80  
MILLARD'S SMILE   (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 60.20  
EMPIRE BUILDER   (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 3.50 31% 2.30 2.00  
TREASURY   (forster g)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.50 7.80  
SCR  LYKAN   (mason ingrid)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00    
 
HAW-8   07/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM'S REFLECTION   (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.00 35% 1.80 1.40 W
LAWMAKER   (manley st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 5.00 20% 3.90 3.30 P
11  KINGSBURRY ATTACK   (childers vance)FELIX E 122 10.00 9% 10.40 7.30 S
BRODY'S FLY   (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 23.50  
CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN   (young terry )GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 6% 14.60 51.50  
10  PAYNT BY LETTERS   (manley steve)ORM CORY 118 15.00 63.60  
STRIKE PRICE   (shephard )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 11.70  
BAILEYS RUN   (granitz anth)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 8% 11.50 7.50  
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN   (robertson hugh)EMIGH A 122 8.00 8.00  
SCR  ARROW STRIKE   (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 12.00    
SCR  IZEONDEC   (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 122 15.00    
SCR  KING ZION   (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 30.00    
SCR  ROUGH JUSTICE   (rodriguez h)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.