Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-3   WIN (6/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $10.20 $2.20 28%
HAW-5   EXA (4/7/2/3)-(4/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $12.60 $0.60 5%
HAW-6   WIN (6/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $13.20 $5.20 65%
    EXA (6/1/4/2)-(6/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-6 $24.40 $12.40 103%
    DD (4/7/2/3)-(6/1/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-4 $27.50 $11.50 72%
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(4/7/2/3)-(6/1/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1/7-7-4 $26.95 $2.95 12%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GHAALEB'S MAGIC 4 5 41 3½   11 16½ (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.00 34% 1.90 0.60 W
2  ARCH FLYER 1 1 2nk 1nk   21 26½ (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 27% 2.70 2.70 P
4  RANK AND FILE 3 3 52½ 55   35 37½ (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 10.30  
3  TAP N TWINE 2 2 3½ 42   45½ 410¼ (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 19.90  
6  COOKIN ROSES 5 4 1nk 2nk   57 516½ (quinonez max)COLON H 122 5.00 17% 4.90 6.60  
SCR  HER GOLD MINE               (meraz antoni)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.00    
 
HAW-2   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LYKAN 5 1 31 2nk   13½ 1¾ (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 2.50 1.40  
2  TRY TRY AGAIN 1 5 42 42   44 2¾ (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 8.30  
5  GAME BOY BENNY 4 6 62½ 53   55 32¾ (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
4  LATIN CASINO 3 3 2½ 1nk   34 43 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 63% 0.60 2.20  
3  MEDICINE TAIL 2 4 1½ 3½   23½ 54¾ (rosin w)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00 12% 7.50 5.70  
7  YOU'RE IN COREY 6 2 52½ 64   69½ 68 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 31.20  
SCR  BASEBALL POLITICS               (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50    
 
HAW-3   07/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:14 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WICKED SUPRISE 3 2 21 24½ 23½ 21½ 1¾ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.50 5% 17.90 4.10 W
1  SEQUAYA 1 1 11 14½ 13½ 11½ 2¾ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 117 5.00 6.30  
2  STOLICH 2 3 66½ 58 510 45½ 32¾ (witthauer jo)GILES EMMANUEL 113 4.00 29% 2.50 1.70 S
6  BRODY'S FLY 6 6 42 35½ 47½ 35½ 43½ (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 46% 1.20 2.50  
4  MASQUERADE BALL 4 4 76¾ 710¾ 610 69 56 (rosas rigo)LOPEZ A 122 15.00 18.10  
5  KING ZION 5 5 32 45½ 36½ 56½ 69¼ (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 28.40  
7  BLUE TEARDROPS 7 7 55 610½ 713 717 724¾ (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
 
HAW-4   07/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:134 1:393   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOONE'S PATH 6 4 21½ 11 1nk 14½ 14¾ (young ter)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 2.00 25% 3.00 0.50 W
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INDIAN CARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  MERLOTTI 5 5 32½ 32 2nk 24½ 24¾ (wainwright john)FELIX E 120 2.50 47% 1.10 8.80 P
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS JUNE by MORE THAN READY)
2  ICE AXE 1 2 65 64½ 54¼ 57½ 38 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.00 3.80  
  (by BERNARDINI out of YOU GO WEST GIRL by MR. GREELEY)
5  MANEUVER 4 6 43 43½ 44 47½ 410½ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
  (by STREET BOSS out of YOU SHOULD BE HERE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
4  EIGHT MAY 3 1 11½ 21 3½ 37 516 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 10.00 19.70  
  (by V. E. DAY out of CITY ROYALE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
3  PAPA GEEB 2 3 54 53½ 69¼ 619½ 643½ (clay pat)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 34.10  
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  RICKY'S BEST               (mitchell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SMILING GAMBLER by WILD GAMBLER)
 
HAW-5   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:214 :444 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PLUS CHIC 7 2 12 13½   11½ 11 (boyce michel)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 20% 4.00 3.00 W
4  MY LIPS ARE SEALED 4 4 44½ 34   21½ 21 (block chris)EMIGH A 122 2.50 28% 2.50 2.00 P
6  CHROME ATTACK 6 5 55 56½   34 33¾ (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 11.00  
1  JUST A WONDER 1 7 77½ 78   57 45¾ (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 9.00  
3  RACEDAY ATTIRE 3 6 66 67½   67 56½ (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 11% 7.70 32.40  
2  JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL 2 1 22 23½   46½ 67¼ (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50 17% 5.00 3.00  
5  LIPLINER 5 3 32½ 44   78½ 710¾ (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 8.50  
 
HAW-6   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Work All Week Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
See original race card.
:224 :442 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  W W CANDY 4 7 64½ 62½   34 1¼ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 115 4.00 8% 12.10 5.60 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TINCA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  TAPE TO TAPE 6 1 11 1½   12½ 2¼ (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 122 2.50 45% 1.20 1.80 P
  (by UNCAPTURED out of TRIPPI HONOR by TRIPPI)
3  WENT WEST 3 6 42½ 41½   22½ 31¾ (roussel loui)CENTENO ALEXIS 114 8.00 10.30  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SPECTACULAR SKY by SKY MESA)
5  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 5 2 31½ 31   66 43¾ (hernandez javi)COLON H 114 10.00 16.70  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ENQUETE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  DEVIL'S TOWER 7 3 53½ 52   44½ 55 (hernande)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 3.20  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of QUATREFOIL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  NAVY SEAL (IRE) 2 5 74½ 75   77½ 66¾ (knott s)HERNANDEZ K 115 8.00 7% 12.50 14.10  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of COPPERELLE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
1  KAVOD 1 4 21 2½   56 78¾ (hartman chr)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.50 17% 4.80 4.30  
  (by LEA out of WEEKEND CONNECTION by PULPIT)
 
HAW-7   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MIZZEN ASH 3 5 611½ 515½ 510½ 33½ 12½ (granitz j)FELIX E 122 4.00 9.70  
5  COMMAND POINT 4 4 35 310 37 2½ 22½ (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50 19% 4.30 0.90 P
1  PRANCIPANTS 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 33½ (witthauer jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 26% 2.80 7.30 S
2  WAY TOO SMARTE 2 2 48½ 413½ 48½ 55 44¾ (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 33.30  
7  CHARGE ACCOUNT 6 6 510 616 611 67½ 58¾ (gutierrez fa)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 31% 2.30 2.60  
6  TAPERINEA 5 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 45 69¾ (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
8  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 7 7 712½ 719 719 719½ 726 (rodriguez hugo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 29.70  
SCR  MORRIE'S JOY               (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.