Handicappers' Race Results

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Hawthorne
Thursday - July 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
HAW-2   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.80  
HAW-3   Win (6/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 2.20
HAW-4   Win (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
HAW-5   Win (4/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
HAW-6   Win (6/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
HAW-7   Win (7/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $21.40  

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHAALEB'S MAGIC 4 5 41 3½   11 1 (witthauer k)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.00 34% 1.90 0.60 W
ARCH FLYER 1 1 2nk 1nk   21 2 (zawitz joel)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 27% 2.70 2.70 P
RANK AND FILE 3 3 5 55   35 3 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 10.30  
TAP N TWINE 2 2 3½ 42   4 410¼ (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 19.90  
COOKIN ROSES 5 4 1nk 2nk   57 516½ (quinonez max)COLON H 122 5.00 17% 4.90 6.60  
SCR  HER GOLD MINE               (meraz antonio)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.00    
 
HAW-2   07/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:23 :461 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LYKAN 5 1 31 2nk   1 1¾ (mason ingrid)FELIX E 122 2.50 1.40  
TRY TRY AGAIN 1 5 42 42   44 2¾ (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 8.30  
GAME BOY BENNY 4 6 6 53   55 3 (winebaugh cher)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
LATIN CASINO 3 3 2½ 1nk   34 43 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 63% 0.60 2.20  
MEDICINE TAIL 2 4 1½ 3½   2 5 (rosin w)ROMAN KEVIN 122 5.00 12% 7.50 5.70  
YOU'RE IN COREY 6 2 5 64   6 68 (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 31.20  
SCR  BASEBALL POLITICS               (manley steve)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.50    
 
HAW-3   07/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:14 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED SUPRISE 3 2 21 2 2 2 1¾ (winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 122 3.50 5% 17.90 4.10 W
SEQUAYA 1 1 11 1 1 1 2¾ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 117 5.00 6.30  
STOLICH 2 3 6 58 510 4 3 (witthauer john)GILES EMMANUEL 113 4.00 29% 2.50 1.70 S
BRODY'S FLY 6 6 42 3 4 3 4 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 122 1.60 46% 1.20 2.50  
MASQUERADE BALL 4 4 7 710¾ 610 69 56 (rosas rigo)LOPEZ A 122 15.00 18.10  
KING ZION 5 5 32 4 3 5 6 (perez manny)REYES FRANK 124 12.00 28.40  
BLUE TEARDROPS 7 7 55 610½ 713 717 724¾ (manley steve)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 12.90  
 
HAW-4   07/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:134 1:393   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOONE'S PATH 6 4 2 11 1nk 1 1 (young terry)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 2.00 25% 3.00 0.50 W
MERLOTTI 5 5 3 32 2nk 2 2 (wainwright john)FELIX E 120 2.50 47% 1.10 8.80 P
ICE AXE 1 2 65 6 5 5 38 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.00 3.80  
MANEUVER 4 6 43 4 44 4 410½ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.90  
EIGHT MAY 3 1 1 21 3½ 37 516 (watkins james )CENTENO ALEXIS 124 10.00 19.70  
PAPA GEEB 2 3 54 5 6 619½ 643½ (clay pat)LOPEZ A 124 12.00 34.10  
SCR  RICKY'S BEST               (mitchell an)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
 
HAW-5   07/27/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:214 :444 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUS CHIC 7 2 12 1   1 11 (boyce michele)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 20% 4.00 3.00 W
MY LIPS ARE SEALED 4 4 4 34   2 21 (block chris)EMIGH A 122 2.50 28% 2.50 2.00 P
CHROME ATTACK 6 5 55 5   34 3 (childers vance)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 11.00  
JUST A WONDER 1 7 7 78   57 4 (manley steve)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 6.00 9.00  
RACEDAY ATTIRE 3 6 66 6   67 5 (witthauer k)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00 11% 7.70 32.40  
JUJU'S SPECIALGIRL 2 1 22 2   4 6 (hernandez )RODRIGUEZ A 117 4.50 17% 5.00 3.00  
LIPLINER 5 3 3 44   7 710¾ (childers vance)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 8.50  
 
HAW-6   07/27/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Work All Week Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
See original race card.
:224 :442 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
W W CANDY 4 7 6 6   34 1¼ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 115 4.00 8% 12.10 5.60 W
TAPE TO TAPE 6 1 11 1½   1 2¼ (rivelli larry)EMIGH A 122 2.50 45% 1.20 1.80 P
WENT WEST 3 6 4 4   2 3 (roussel louis )CENTENO ALEXIS 114 8.00 10.30  
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 5 2 3 31   66 4 (hernandez javier)COLON H 114 10.00 16.70  
DEVIL'S TOWER 7 3 5 52   4 55 (hernandez )RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.00 3.20  
NAVY SEAL (IRE) 2 5 7 75   7 6 (knott s)HERNANDEZ K 115 8.00 7% 12.50 14.10  
KAVOD 1 4 21 2½   56 7 (hartman chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.50 17% 4.80 4.30  
 
HAW-7   07/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:50
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:102 1:232   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZEN ASH 3 5 611½ 515½ 510½ 3 1 (granitz j)FELIX E 122 4.00 9.70  
COMMAND POINT 4 4 35 310 37 2½ 2 (block chris)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 3.50 19% 4.30 0.90 P
PRANCIPANTS 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 3 (witthauer john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 6.00 26% 2.80 7.30 S
WAY TOO SMARTE 2 2 4 413½ 4 55 4 (pompell rob)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 33.30  
CHARGE ACCOUNT 6 6 510 616 611 6 5 (gutierrez faus)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 31% 2.30 2.60  
TAPERINEA 5 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 45 6 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 7 7 712½ 719 719 719½ 726 (rodriguez hugo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 29.70  
SCR  MORRIE'S JOY               (miller patti )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.