Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - July 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $12.80 $8.80 220%
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00  4-2 $15.40 $13.40 670%
HAW-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    DD (2/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-2 $32.00 $26.00 433%
HAW-3   PK3 (2/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-2-3 $28.70 $19.70 219%
HAW-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $27.40 $21.40 357%
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-6 $72.30 $66.30 1105%
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-6-4 $227.90 $224.90 7497%
    DD (2/3/5)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-2 $14.00 $5.00 56%
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/3/5)-(2/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50  2-3-2 $37.40 $23.90 177%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   07/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:123 1:39   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  KING ZION 3 2 1½ 11 11½ 13½ 15½ (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 5.00 19% 4.10 5.40 W
2  CHERRY ORCHARD 1 1 31½ 21 21½ 23½ 25½ (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 119 2.50 50% 1.00 0.80 P
3  JACKPOT BOY 2 3 47½ 46 45 36 36¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.00 3.50  
6  ONE ACE 4 4 2½ 31½ 32 412 439 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.50 3.40  
SCR  ANCIENT MAN               (hughes earl)ORTEGA O 124 3.00    
SCR  VOSTRA               (jones jef)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 114 6.00    
 
HAW-2   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:234 :462 1:111 1:372   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AQUACAT 2 2 31 33½ 11 15 12½ (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.00 33% 2.00 2.70 W
5  LITTLE STEVEN 5 3 2nk 2nk 31 25 22½ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 119 6.00 4.70  
4  ELECTRIC CHARGE 4 5 510½ 513 57½ 47½ 33½ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 5.00 16% 5.10 2.00 S
1  MINING CAMP 1 1 1nk 1nk 21 35 47 (slager leona)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 27% 2.70 2.10  
3  MARE'S GUNNER 3 4 43½ 47 47 513½ 520 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 119 10.00 19.30  
SCR  MARCHING ORDERS               (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
SCR  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY               (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50    
SCR  NOBLE CREEKER               (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 12.00    
 
HAW-3   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:22 :443       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 3 2 41¼ 41¼   2nk 12¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 13% 6.80 0.40 W
4  MISTER KELLY 4 3 2nk 11   1nk 22¼ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.00 6.00  
2  LATIN CASINO 2 1 1nk 31   33 36 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.80 58% 0.70 5.40 S
5  LAKE MILLS 5 5 31 21   43¼ 47¼ (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
1  ROGER MCQUEEN 1 4 52¾ 54¼   55¾ 58½ (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 4.50 11.30  
 
HAW-4   07/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:132 1:374   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STORM BORN 2 1 11 11 11 13 15 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 22% 3.60 12.70 W
6  WICKED SUPRISE 6 2 31 31 21 23 25 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 124 4.00 20% 4.10 5.50 P
4  KEEN RESPONSE 4 5 43 54 57 49½ 310½ (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00 19% 4.30 13.40 S
5  STOLICH 5 6 53¼ 43 45½ 59½ 410¾ (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 2.00 1.50  
1  FABRICATOR 1 4 21 21 32½ 36½ 511½ (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 1.90  
3  UNCLE DICK 3 3 611¼ 69 610 614½ 620¾ (gonzalez lil)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 8.20  
 
HAW-5   07/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:221 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KENNESAW 5 4 45 45½   33½ 1hd (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 3.10  
7  GREELEYS ICE 4 1 13½ 15   13½ 2hd (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 21.60  
2  AZRAEL 1 2 34½ 35½   23½ 32 (bahena fern)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00 6% 15.10 15.90 S
3  MEDAL OF FACT 2 3 23½ 25   45 43½ (rodriguez j)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00 5% 17.30 2.50  
10  STAR OF KODIAK 6 6 68½ 68¾   66¼ 53¾ (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 2.30  
5  DRAGON DREW 3 5 58 58½   56 64¼ (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 5.00 53% 0.90 3.80  
SCR  EXPROMPT (FR)               (campbell joel)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS               (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50    
SCR  GRAND HIDEAWAY               (reid r)COLON H 122 4.00    
SCR  WEST WARPATH               (clay pat)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00    
 
HAW-6   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:22 :443 :561     1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUEENS UP 2 3 11 11   13½ 16 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 1.20 35% 1.80 0.60 W
5  BERAVINA 5 1 21 21   35½ 26 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 6.00 10.00  
1  RACEDAY ATTIRE 1 2 31½ 31   23½ 37½ (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 6.70  
3  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR 3 5 48½ 411   510½ 48¾ (rodriguez hugo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 8% 10.90 30.40  
4  RONAN 4 4 58½ 511¼   410½ 59¼ (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 19% 4.40 6.90  
6  STYLE 6 6 69½ 611¼   612½ 611¼ (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 4.50 5.30  
 
HAW-7   07/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER 1 3 44½ 55½   31 1nk (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 3.80  
5  BORN AGAIN GEORGE 5 2 2nk 2½   2nk 2nk (clay pat)FELIX E 124 4.50 10% 9.10 4.10 P
2  WILDWOOD SECRET 2 1 1nk 1½   1nk 31 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 10% 9.50 3.10 S
7  NYOMAN 7 6 31 32   42½ 41¾ (villa franc)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00 53% 0.90 3.10  
3  IDEA MAN 3 5 77 78   53 52 (reid r)COLON H 122 8.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
6  KING TITO 6 8 65½ 66½   86 63½ (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 14.30  
4  GOOD ONE 4 4 55 45½   64 73¾ (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 21.50  
8  TRIPLE CHROME 8 7 87½ 88¼   75 84½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 6.00 10.90  
 
HAW-8   07/05/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:25 :482 1:123 1:373   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE 3 1 11½ 13½ 13½ 11½ 1nk (gonzalez lil)TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00 8.00  
10  STORM'S REFLECTION 5 4 33½ 34 34 33½ 2nk (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 49% 1.00 1.40 P
6  BRODY'S FLY 4 3 21½ 23½ 23½ 21½ 35¾ (lopez elias)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70 S
2  LAWMAKER 2 5 514 515½ 414 48½ 411 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50 27% 2.70 1.20  
1  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE 1 2 47 414 515½ 514½ 520½ (ryan chris )ORTEGA O 122 20.00 31.40  
SCR  BAILEYS RUN               (granitz j)EMIGH A 122 4.00    
SCR  BLEEDING BLUE               (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 122 30.00    
SCR  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN               (young ter)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
SCR  DASTARDLY DEEDS               (flores j)COLON H 122 20.00    
SCR  STORM APPROACHING               (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 117 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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