Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Wednesday - July 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-2   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/3/5)-(2/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(2/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(2/6/4)-(5/2/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(5/2/3)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/4/3)-(7/5/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(10/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/2/3)-(10/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (10/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/6)-(10/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (10/2/6)-(10/2/6)-(10/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANCIENT MAN Jun07 May04 Apr13 Mar05 Feb16 (hughes earl)ORTEGA O 124 3.00    
2  CHERRY ORCHARD Jun25 Jun15 Jun07 May21 May04 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
3  JACKPOT BOY Jun15 Jun07 Apr02 Mar16 Mar05 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 4.00    
4  KING ZION Jun15 Apr27 Apr02 Mar23 Dec04 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 5.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  VOSTRA Jun22 Jun03 May14 Dec16 Nov26 (jones jef)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 114 6.00    
6  ONE ACE Jun15 Jun07 May21 Feb17   (quinonez max)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 4.50    
 
HAW-2   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINING CAMP Jun18 May21 May11 Apr23 Apr13 (slager leona)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  AQUACAT Jun07 May21 Jan11 Dec17 Sep25 (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
3  MARE'S GUNNER Jun18 May28       (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 119 10.00    
4  ELECTRIC CHARGE Jun08 May21 Apr30 Apr02 Mar16 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
5  LITTLE STEVEN Jun01 Apr14 Jan21 Dec16   (winebaugh cher)COLON H 119 6.00    
SCR  MARCHING ORDERS Jun10 May27 Apr30     (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
SCR  NOBLE CREEKER Jun07 May20 May04 Apr22 Nov17 (retana gabe)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 12.00    
SCR  MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY Jun07 Nov27 Oct22     (block chris)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50    
 
HAW-3   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROGER MCQUEEN Jun04 Apr01 Mar15 Feb15 Jan26 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 4.50    
2  LATIN CASINO Jun15 Jun03 Apr25 Apr13 Mar16 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.80 58% 0.70    
3  LIKE A SALTSHAKER May14 Mar10 Jan01 Dec16 Nov09 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 2.50 13% 6.80    
4  MISTER KELLY Jun15 Jun01 Nov18 Sep25 Aug22 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 122 3.00    
5  LAKE MILLS Jun15 Apr30 Apr13 Mar16 Dec30 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   07/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABRICATOR Jun14 May25 Apr30 Mar11 Feb15 (watkins jame)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00    
2  STORM BORN Jun01 May18 Dec17 Dec09 Nov19 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
3  UNCLE DICK Jun18 May31 May04 Apr02 Mar16 (gonzalez lil)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
4  KEEN RESPONSE May30 May11 Apr06 Feb11 Dec17 (mosier haro)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 5.00 19% 4.30    
5  STOLICH Jun27 Jun13 May11 Apr27 Apr01 (bahena fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 117 2.00    
6  WICKED SUPRISE Jun15 May21 May04 Apr27 Apr09 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
 
HAW-5   07/05/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEST WARPATH Jun07 May18 Apr30 Mar16 Feb02 (clay pat)LEZCANO ABEL 124 6.00    
2  AZRAEL Nov18 Oct22 Jul01 Jun24 May24 (bahena fern)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00 6% 15.10    
3  MEDAL OF FACT Jun15 May09 Apr23 Apr02 Mar16 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  EXPROMPT (FR) Jun14 Jul10 May15 Jan23 Jan08 (campbell joel)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
5  DRAGON DREW Jun14 May28 Apr02 Feb03 Jan18 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 5.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  GRAND HIDEAWAY May28 Mar30 Dec17 Nov26 Nov13 (reid r)COLON H 122 4.00    
7  GREELEYS ICE Jun25 Jun14 May28 May04 Mar05 (reyes martin)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
8  KENNESAW Jun22 May21 Apr06 Mar12 Feb23 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00    
SCR  FOLLOW THE SIGNS Jun14 May18 Apr23 Apr02 Mar23 (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50    
10  STAR OF KODIAK Jun22 Jun01 May16 Apr13 Mar12 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
 
HAW-6   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RACEDAY ATTIRE Jun11 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 Feb14 (witthauer jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00    
2  QUEENS UP Mar12 Feb12 Dec30 Aug14 Jul30 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 1.20 35% 1.80    
3  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR May26 Mar12 Jan16 Jan01 Dec17 (rodriguez hugo)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
4  RONAN Jun07 May21 May14 Apr30 Apr13 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
5  BERAVINA Jun18 May23 Dec09 Nov11 Oct23 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 6.00    
6  STYLE Jun01 Apr21 Feb12 Jan28 Dec30 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 4.50    
 
HAW-7   07/05/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Jun18 Jun04 May04 Apr16 Mar26 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00    
2  WILDWOOD SECRET May28 May04 Apr18 Mar30 Dec17 (rodriguez jo)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 10% 9.50    
3  IDEA MAN Jun18 May28 May11 Apr19 Sep13 (reid r)COLON H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOOD ONE Jun15 May20 Apr07 Feb11 Dec21 (clay pat)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
5  BORN AGAIN GEORGE Jun08 May21 May11 Apr21 Mar24 (clay pat)FELIX E 124 4.50 10% 9.10    
6  KING TITO Jun08 May21 Apr22 Apr09 Mar19 (quinonez max)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
7  NYOMAN Jun18 May31 May09 Mar23 Feb22 (villa franc)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00 53% 0.90    
8  TRIPLE CHROME Jun08 May18 May04 Apr20 Mar26 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 124 6.00    
 
HAW-8   07/05/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE Jun18 May31 May14 Apr23 Mar23 (ryan chris )ORTEGA O 122 20.00    
2  LAWMAKER Jun07 May15 Apr29 Nov19 Oct29 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN Jun18 May14 Dec30 Dec18 Nov27 (young ter)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00    
4  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE Jun07 May18 May08 Mar30 Feb17 (gonzalez lil)TAVARES JAVIER 122 20.00    
SCR  STORM APPROACHING Jun07 May06 Mar31 Feb24 Jan06 (rosin w)HERNANDEZ K 117 5.00    
6  BRODY'S FLY Apr06 Feb24 Jan26 Dec29 Nov19 (lopez elias)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLEEDING BLUE May27 Apr29 Nov12 Sep16 Sep09 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 122 30.00    
SCR  DASTARDLY DEEDS Jun21 Jun14 Apr06 Mar23 Dec29 (flores j)COLON H 122 20.00    
SCR  BAILEYS RUN Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jun01 May11 (granitz j)EMIGH A 122 4.00    
10  STORM'S REFLECTION Jun07 May18 Apr06 Mar19 Dec18 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.