Handicappers' Race Results

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Hawthorne
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
HAW-2   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.20  
HAW-3   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
HAW-4   Win (5/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
HAW-5   Win (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $30.80  
HAW-6   Win (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
HAW-7   Win (3/10/2/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $11.00  

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:214 :444       1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME SUNDAY 4 2 1 1   16 1 (vanden brittan)FELIX E 118 3.00 35% 1.90 0.70 W
RUNNERS HEAT 5 1 32 2   26 2 (wilson sharon )GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.00 9.20  
SHADOW BELLE 3 5 5 510   512 3 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.50 23% 3.30 4.70 S
LOONA LUV 1 3 45 4   410½ 4 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 23.00  
MY LADY SLEW 2 4 2 3   3 5 (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 1.80 17% 5.00 3.10  
 
HAW-2   07/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:134 1:40   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOK AWAY 3 6 610 6 6 3 1 (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 1.60  
MISTER CHARMING 2 2 32 3 3.2 1 2 (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 115 4.50 27% 2.70 3.80 P
KRAMDEN 4 3 56 53 4 4 3 (castro isid)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 6.40  
POWERFUL MAN 1 1 43 42 1nk 2 4 (bahena fernando)FELIX E 122 6.00 7.30  
OPTION 5 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 53 512 (meraz antonio)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 16% 5.40 4.60  
MITZRAYIM 6 4 1nk 1½ 5 613 631½ (clay pat)MOJICA O 122 1.60 30% 2.30 7.70  
 
HAW-3   07/16/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12 1:382   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENUMBRAS MAKER 1 6 3 31 2 21 1hd (gutierrez faus)TAVARES JAVIER 120 2.50 60% 0.70 0.10 W
SPICY ITALIAN 2 1 1 11 1 11 2hd (catalano wayne)GILES EMMANUEL 115 10.00 9.50  
LIL CARRIE D 4 5 5 42 4 34 35 (slager mike)ORM CORY 120 15.00 70.70  
WILDWOOD ENOUGH 5 2 2 21 3 4 4 (becker scott)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 15% 5.80 9.00  
JOYZELLA 6 4 6 6 57 5 515¾ (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 113 15.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
THEMISCHIEVOUSONE 3 3 4 5 610½ 616½ 629 (block chris)COLON H 120 8.00 18.20  
SCR  DREAM FLY               (ward a)MOJICA O 124 1.80    
SCR  GUSTAVI               (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50    
SCR  J Z'S FINE WINE               (zawitz joel)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
SCR  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY               (ramirez carlos)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00    
 
HAW-4   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:213 :452 :581     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GETTIN DOWN 6 1 1 1   1 1 (rivelli larry)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 2.50 17% 4.80 1.20 W
SEQUAYA 7 7 69 610¾   5 2 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 115 3.50 3.70  
HEY MA 1 4 3 3   2 3 (reyes marti)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 13.90  
OPALINE 3 2 2 2   3 4 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 4.50 10.40  
LUNARCHY 5 5 4 4   46 5 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 35% 1.80 3.70  
BELLS OF JOY 4 6 7 712¾   6 6 (reavis l)FELIX E 122 4.00 22% 3.60 12.10  
SHINY SHOES 2 3 57 510½   711¾ 715½ (meraz antonio)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
 
HAW-5   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:12 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COALMINER'S KITTEN 4 3 5 5 5 23 1½ (quinonez ma)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 15.00 14.40  
SIMPLE LOGIC 2 2 3.2 3.2 1 13 2½ (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50 66% 0.50 0.50 P
RUSSIAN HAMMER 6 6 6 6 6 4 3 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 13.20  
BAKENEKO 5 4 4¾ 4¾ 4 3 4 (rodriguez hugo)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 10% 8.60 7.30  
SHARP AZ NAILS 1 1 1nk 2nk 3 6 513¼ (winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 118 20.00 3.90  
MAN ON ATTACK 3 5 2nk 1nk 2 5 615¾ (childers vance)GILES EMMANUEL 113 30.00 5% 19.00 33.80  
SCR  DEGREE OF RISK               (harty eoin)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 0.80    
SCR  FREDDY J               (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 12.00    
SCR  SON OF GRACE               (hughes w)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
HAW-6   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE MAGIC 6 4 3½ 31   31 1hd (banks chris)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.60 24% 3.20 2.40 W
HER GOLD MINE 7 1 2nk 2nk   21 2hd (meraz antonio)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 11.80  
AUNT STELLA 4 7 5 53   5 3 (castro isidro)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 22% 3.60 7.40 S
ARCH FLYER 5 2 1nk 1nk   11 43 (zawitz joel)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 31% 2.20 1.00  
AH LEAH 1 3 4 42   4 5 (schlenk k)MOJICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
RANK AND FILE 3 6 6 64   6 6 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 19.00  
CAIRO SUMMER 2 5 74 7   7 7 (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 115 8.00 17.20  
 
HAW-7   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:212 :451 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDAL OF FACT 6 6 4 4   5 1¾ (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 8.00 4.50  
10  MALIGATOR 8 9 99 911   7 2¾ (reid r)COLON H 124 10.00 14% 6.20 4.90 P
11  MUD ISLAND 9 8 2 21   1nk 3¾ (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 122 12.00 13.20  
RISKY BOY 4 7 7 57   6 4 (shephard jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 33.10  
KENNESAW 1 3 55 68   4 5 (rodriguez eduar)HERNANDEZ K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
GREELEYS ICE 7 2 3 3   2nk 6 (reyes martin)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
CHOPPER 5 1 1 11   3.2 75 (cook brian)ORTEGA O 115 30.00 62.00  
FOLLOW THE SIGNS 3 5 8 811   85 8 (reavis michael)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 62% 0.60 2.60  
D'ARCHER 2 4 6 79   96 9 (childers vance)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  CLEAR N CONVINCING               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
SCR  DRAGON DREW               (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
SCR  EXPROMPT (FR)               (campbell joel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.