Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:214 :444       1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AWESOME SUNDAY 4 2 11½ 13½   16 14¾ (vanden britt)FELIX E 118 3.00 35% 1.90 0.70 W
5  RUNNERS HEAT 5 1 32 23½   26 24¾ (wilson sharo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 4.00 9.20  
3  SHADOW BELLE 3 5 58½ 510   512 36½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 2.50 23% 3.30 4.70 S
1  LOONA LUV 1 3 45 48½   410½ 48½ (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 23.00  
2  MY LADY SLEW 2 4 21½ 33½   37½ 58¾ (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 1.80 17% 5.00 3.10  
 
HAW-2   07/16/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:134 1:40   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LOOK AWAY 3 6 610 66½ 64¾ 31½ 13¼ (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 1.60  
2  MISTER CHARMING 2 2 32 31½ 3.2 11½ 23¼ (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 115 4.50 27% 2.70 3.80 P
4  KRAMDEN 4 3 56 53 42¾ 42½ 33¼ (castro is)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 6.40  
1  POWERFUL MAN 1 1 43 42 1nk 21½ 44½ (bahena fernando)FELIX E 122 6.00 7.30  
5  OPTION 5 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 53 512 (meraz antoni)GILES EMMANUEL 117 3.50 16% 5.40 4.60  
6  MITZRAYIM 6 4 1nk 1½ 53¾ 613 631½ (clay pat)MOJICA O 122 1.60 30% 2.30 7.70  
 
HAW-3   07/16/2023 4950ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($38K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12 1:382   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENUMBRAS MAKER 1 6 32½ 31 21½ 21 1hd (gutierrez fa)TAVARES JAVIER 120 2.50 60% 0.70 0.10 W
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BALAYAGE by WAR FRONT)
2  SPICY ITALIAN 2 1 11½ 11 11½ 11 2hd (catalano way)GILES EMMANUEL 115 10.00 9.50  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SILVER KITTY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  LIL CARRIE D 4 5 53½ 42 43½ 34 35 (slager mike)ORM CORY 120 15.00 70.70  
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of MOONLIGHT ESCAPADE by LION HEART)
5  WILDWOOD ENOUGH 5 2 21½ 21 32½ 45½ 48¼ (becker scott)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00 15% 5.80 9.00  
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of ELLENVILLE by CARSON CITY)
8  JOYZELLA 6 4 63¾ 64½ 57 58½ 515¾ (spagnola ida)HERNANDEZ K 113 15.00 5% 19.00 28.90  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
3  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE 3 3 42½ 52½ 610½ 616½ 629 (block chris)COLON H 120 8.00 18.20  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MADISON MAYHEM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  DREAM FLY               (ward a)MOJICA O 124 1.80    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of BOMBO GENESIS by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  GUSTAVI               (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 120 4.50    
  (by TAPWRIT out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
SCR  J Z'S FINE WINE               (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 12.00    
  (by V. E. DAY out of JO JO'S WINE by D'WILDCAT)
SCR  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY               (ramirez carlo)HERNANDEZ K 124 20.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
HAW-4   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:213 :452 :581     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GETTIN DOWN 6 1 13½ 13½   14½ 12½ (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 2.50 17% 4.80 1.20 W
7  SEQUAYA 7 7 69 610¾   56¼ 22½ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 115 3.50 3.70  
1  HEY MA 1 4 33½ 33½   24½ 35¼ (reyes mar)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00 13.90  
3  OPALINE 3 2 23½ 23½   34½ 45¾ (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 118 4.50 10.40  
5  LUNARCHY 5 5 44½ 44½   46 57½ (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00 35% 1.80 3.70  
4  BELLS OF JOY 4 6 79½ 712¾   69¾ 69¾ (reavis l)FELIX E 122 4.00 22% 3.60 12.10  
2  SHINY SHOES 2 3 57 510½   711¾ 715½ (meraz antoni)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
 
HAW-5   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:12 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COALMINER'S KITTEN 4 3 52¼ 51¼ 51¾ 23 1½ (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 15.00 14.40  
4  SIMPLE LOGIC 2 2 3.2 3.2 11½ 13 2½ (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50 66% 0.50 0.50 P
9  RUSSIAN HAMMER 6 6 64¼ 61¾ 63¼ 45½ 32¾ (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 13.20  
8  BAKENEKO 5 4 4¾ 4¾ 41¾ 35½ 45¼ (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 10% 8.60 7.30  
3  SHARP AZ NAILS 1 1 1nk 2nk 31½ 68¾ 513¼ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 118 20.00 3.90  
5  MAN ON ATTACK 3 5 2nk 1nk 21½ 58½ 615¾ (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 113 30.00 5% 19.00 33.80  
SCR  DEGREE OF RISK               (harty eoin)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 0.80    
SCR  FREDDY J               (tracy tanner)FELIX E 122 12.00    
SCR  SON OF GRACE               (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
 
HAW-6   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PALACE MAGIC 6 4 3½ 31   31 1hd (banks chris)LEZCANO ABEL 122 1.60 24% 3.20 2.40 W
7  HER GOLD MINE 7 1 2nk 2nk   21 2hd (meraz antoni)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 11.80  
4  AUNT STELLA 4 7 52½ 53   52¼ 31¾ (castro isidr)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.50 22% 3.60 7.40 S
5  ARCH FLYER 5 2 1nk 1nk   11 43 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.00 31% 2.20 1.00  
1  AH LEAH 1 3 41½ 42   41¼ 53¾ (schlenk k)MOJICA O 122 20.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
3  RANK AND FILE 3 6 63½ 64   63¼ 63¾ (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00 19.00  
2  CAIRO SUMMER 2 5 74 74¼   75¼ 76¼ (cook brian)CENTENO ALEXIS 115 8.00 17.20  
 
HAW-7   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:212 :451 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MEDAL OF FACT 6 6 44½ 46½   51¼ 1¾ (rodriguez g)MOJICA O 122 8.00 4.50  
10  MALIGATOR 8 9 99 911   74¾ 2¾ (reid r)COLON H 124 10.00 14% 6.20 4.90 P
11  MUD ISLAND 9 8 21½ 21   1nk 3¾ (meraz antonio)LOPEZ A 122 12.00 13.20  
4  RISKY BOY 4 7 75¼ 57   61¾ 41¾ (shephard )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00 33.10  
1  KENNESAW 1 3 55 68   41¼ 53¼ (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 2.50  
9  GREELEYS ICE 7 2 31½ 32½   2nk 63½ (reyes martin)GILES EMMANUEL 117 20.00 5% 19.00 26.00  
5  CHOPPER 5 1 11½ 11   3.2 75 (cook brian)ORTEGA O 115 30.00 62.00  
3  FOLLOW THE SIGNS 3 5 88¾ 811   85 85¼ (reavis micha)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 62% 0.60 2.60  
2  D'ARCHER 2 4 65¼ 79   96 95½ (childers vance)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  CLEAR N CONVINCING               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
SCR  DRAGON DREW               (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 10.00    
SCR  EXPROMPT (FR)               (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.