Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $7.50 $1.50 25%
HAW-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $12.80 $6.80 113%
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-2-6 $14.55 $11.55 385%
HAW-6   EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $22.10 $16.10 268%
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-5-8 $33.40 $30.40 1013%
HAW-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $8.50 $2.50 42%
    DD (4/8/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-1 $13.50 $4.50 50%
    PK3 (5/7/6/3)-(4/8/5)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-1/4/6-1 $18.80 $0.80 4%

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:132 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORRAINE'S LEGACY 5 6 5 5 4 1nk 13 (block chris)MOJICA O 117 2.00 61% 0.60 0.90 W
DESSERT FIRST 6 5 32 31 3.2 31 23 (lopez elias)COLON H 117 2.50 8% 11.00 2.50 P
GOTTA B KITTEN ME 3 3 1nk 2nk 1nk 2nk 3 (gonzalez li)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00 58.10  
LOTTA ROSES 4 4 4 4 6 5 47 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.00 4.20  
INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU 1 1 2nk 1nk 2nk 4 5 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 6% 17.00 18.00  
GYURZA 2 2 6 6 5 6 611½ (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 11.80  
 
HAW-2   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:213 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL'S TOWER 5 5 33 3   4¼ 12 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.00 31% 2.20 2.30 W
W W HOTSHOT 4 1 2nk 2nk   2nk 22 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 1.60 32% 2.10 1.40 P
HELA 2 3 4 4   1nk 3 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 37.30  
BOCA BOY 1 2 1nk 1nk   3.2 4 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00 2.20  
MEDICINE TAIL 3 4 5 5   5 520¼ (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 12% 7.00 8.70  
 
HAW-3   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER CHILLER 1 1 11 11   1 1 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 2.50 1.50  
  (by PROTONICO out of KEL'S SILVER CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
GOD GUNS N GUTS 2 2 32 3   35 2 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 23% 3.40 5.90 P
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SARAH'S MIND by LIKE MINDED)
LIL RIVER 4 3 21 21   2 3 (cristel j)FELIX E 114 4.00 22% 3.60 2.30 S
  (by ORB out of EXQUISITE LADY by POSSE)
AMBER EDGE 3 5 410 410½   49 411½ (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00 34.00  
  (by TIZNOW out of MY LADY MUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
LAUREATE 5 4 514½ 522½   529 540 (perez manny)MOJICA O 119 6.00 22% 3.60 2.60  
  (by UNIFIED out of SOUTHERN DRIFTER by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  WICKED WOW               (young r)FELIX E 119 3.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HOLY WOW by PUT IT BACK)
 
HAW-4   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:222 :46 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM STREAK 5 5 52 31   2nk 1 (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 8% 11.40 3.00 W
BALI DREAMIN 2 3 1nk 11   1nk 2 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 5.00 10% 8.60 3.00 P
STYLE 6 6 69 65   5 32 (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.50 60% 0.70 2.70 S
I DON'T KNOW MARGO 1 1 2nk 21   3½ 42 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00 15.40  
SALLY'S SUPRISE 3 2 41 4   6 5 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 117 6.00 25.00  
LOVE OF MY LIFE 4 4 3½ 53   43 6 (correas iv)MOJICA O 122 2.00 2.60  
 
HAW-5   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:214 :45 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR 7 3 3½ 21   1½ 11 (berndt joel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.50 14% 5.90 4.40 DQ↓2
G T FIVE HUNDRED 5 6 5 3   2½ 21 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 117 3.00 48% 1.10 1.40 W
BALADINE 3 7 7 78   42 3 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 5.00 5% 19.00 2.40 S
GALLANT BUCK 4 1 1½ 11   3½ 4 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 117 6.00 5.90  
CHAD'S FLASH 1 4 4 4   5 5 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 117 8.00 45.00  
TABLE MONEY 2 5 6 5   6 6 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 112 6.00 13.50  
MAGIC MONDAY 6 2 2½ 66   7 720½ (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 11% 8.50 41.10  
 
HAW-6   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Black Tie Affair Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:12 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READTHECLIFFNOTES 3 2 35 44 1nk 1 11 (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 118 4.50 47% 1.10 1.10 W
  (by READ THE FOOTNOTES out of LIL CORA TEE by LIL E. TEE)
LAND MARK DEAL 4 4 4 3 32 2 21 (manley steve)ORM CORY 116 15.00 5% 19.00 12.90 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TEMPER TANTRUM 6 5 5 5 5 44 37 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 4.00 27% 2.70 3.50 S
  (by FLASHBACK out of COZZY TEMPER by COZZENE)
HUEY ATTACK 5 3 2nk 1 2nk 32 49 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00 17.70  
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of FACELIFT by MATTSANICE)
WILDWOOD SICILIAN 1 1 1nk 2 4 59 513¾ (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 6.00 2.20  
  (by GHAALEB out of SICILIAN by STORM BOOT)
IOYA AGAIN 2 6 614½ 612½ 6 69 614 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 113 20.00 67.40  
  (by FORT PRADO out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY               (block chris)MOJICA O 124 1.40    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
SCR  POWER THROUGH               (block chris)FELIX E 115 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of RADIANT ROCKET by PETESKI)
 
HAW-7   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:122     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE TEARDROPS 1 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 1½ (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.00 33% 2.00 3.40 W
UNCAPTURED DREAM 3 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 2½ (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 119 1.60 34% 1.90 0.90 P
NOBLE CREEKER 2 2 5 3   3 3 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 10.00 25.30  
JACKPOT BOY 6 6 613¾ 611¼   5 4 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00 22.90  
BLACK RUSSIAN 5 5 4 4   4 5 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 6.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
DEVLISH HOUR 4 1 3 5   616½ 626½ (robertson hugh)FELIX E 124 3.00 3.80  
SCR  FLYING CRICKET               (witthauer john)COLON H 124 15.00    
 
HAW-8   07/13/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:122 1:372   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALLOY 4 4 21 2 1nk 12 1 (catalano m)EMIGH A 122 8.00 1.20  
INDICIA 3 3 3 4 4 45 2 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00 19% 4.10 11.60 P
RUSSIAN MAFIA 1 1 4 3 3.2 22 3 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 43% 1.30 2.70 S
PLUS CHIC 2 2 11 1 2nk 3 4 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 5.00 1.90  
SCR  JUST A WONDER               (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
SCR  KATHAAN               (block chris)COLON H 122 3.00    
SCR  MY LIPS ARE SEALED               (block chris)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
SCR  SAY CHEESE               (mcdonnell be)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.