Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(4/5/3)-(2/4/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/4/5)-(6/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(6/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(6/2/5)-(5/7/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/7/6/3)-(4/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3)-(5/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/3)-(4/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/3)-(4/8/5)-(4/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/5)-(4/8/5)-(4/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/8/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5)-(4/1/6)-(1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
HAW-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
HAW-8   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Jul06 Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Dec28 (cook brian)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 6% 17.00    
2  GYURZA Jun15 Jun01 May14 Apr27 Apr20 (perez man)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
3  GOTTA B KITTEN ME Jun11 May25 May07 Apr27   (gonzalez li)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 6.00    
4  LOTTA ROSES Jun29 Jun04 May14 Apr30 Apr02 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.00    
5  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Jun08 Mar12 Dec16 Nov26 Oct15 (block chris)MOJICA O 117 2.00 61% 0.60    
6  DESSERT FIRST Jun08 Jun01 May04 Feb10 Jan22 (lopez elias)COLON H 117 2.50 8% 11.00    
 
HAW-2   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOCA BOY Jun14 May25 Apr06 Mar04 Jan14 (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00    
2  HELA May28 Apr30 Apr06 Dec30 Dec02 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
3  MEDICINE TAIL Jun12 Apr29 Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 12% 7.00    
4  W W HOTSHOT Jun14 May28 Mar30 Mar12 Nov26 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 1.60 32% 2.10    
5  DEVIL'S TOWER May26 Apr20 Mar24 Mar12 Feb10 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
 
HAW-3   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER CHILLER Jun18 May28 May07 Apr16 Mar26 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 2.50    
  (by PROTONICO out of KEL'S SILVER CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
2  GOD GUNS N GUTS Jun17         (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SARAH'S MIND by LIKE MINDED)
3  AMBER EDGE Jun11         (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 119 8.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of MY LADY MUNNINGS by MUNNINGS)
4  LIL RIVER         (cristel mark)GILES EMMANUEL 114 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by ORB out of EXQUISITE LADY by POSSE)
5  LAUREATE         (perez manny)MOJICA O 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
  (by UNIFIED out of SOUTHERN DRIFTER by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  WICKED WOW Jun18         (young r)FELIX E 119 3.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HOLY WOW by PUT IT BACK)
 
HAW-4   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I DON'T KNOW MARGO Jun21 Jun08 May14 Apr20 Mar30 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
2  BALI DREAMIN Jun23 May27 May20 Feb19 Feb05 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
3  SALLY'S SUPRISE Jun29 Jun14 May11 Apr27   (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 117 6.00    
4  LOVE OF MY LIFE Jun10 May13 Mar23 Feb05 Dec14 (correas iv)MOJICA O 122 2.00    
5  DREAM STREAK Jun10 May14 Apr29 Mar31 Mar10 (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 8% 11.40    
6  STYLE Jul05 Jun01 Apr21 Feb12 Jan28 (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
HAW-5   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAD'S FLASH Jun14 May28 Apr13 Mar26 Mar10 (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 117 8.00    
2  TABLE MONEY Jun07 May06 Apr16 Mar25 Feb25 (haran john)GILES EMMANUEL 112 6.00    
3  BALADINE Jun15 May31 May14 Apr13 Mar16 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  GALLANT BUCK Jun07 May11 Feb17 Jan06 Dec16 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 117 6.00    
5  G T FIVE HUNDRED May28 May04 Apr16 Mar23 Feb24 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 117 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  MAGIC MONDAY Apr20 Oct30 Oct09 Jul14   (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 11% 8.50    
7  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Sep17 Aug12 Jul08 Jun19 May29 (berndt joel)TAVARES JAVIER 122 2.50 14% 5.90    
 
HAW-6   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Black Tie Affair Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANOTHER MYSTERY May20 Apr22 Mar25 Jan28 Dec17 (block chris)MOJICA O 124 1.40    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
2  WILDWOOD SICILIAN Jun14 May28 Apr30 Apr06 Nov13 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 116 6.00    
  (by GHAALEB out of SICILIAN by STORM BOOT)
3  IOYA AGAIN Jun29 Jun11 May21 Apr23 Mar24 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 113 20.00    
  (by FORT PRADO out of IOYA TWO by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
4  READTHECLIFFNOTES Jun22 Jun01 Jan27 Nov13 Oct29 (boyce michel)TAVARES JAVIER 118 4.50 47% 1.10    
  (by READ THE FOOTNOTES out of LIL CORA TEE by LIL E. TEE)
5  LAND MARK DEAL Jun22 Jun01 Feb24 Feb12 Jan19 (manley steve)ORM CORY 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of GIANT DEDUCTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  POWER THROUGH Jun04 Nov12 Oct15 Oct07 Aug31 (block chris)FELIX E 115 8.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of RADIANT ROCKET by PETESKI)
7  HUEY ATTACK Jun11 May28 Nov27 Oct29 Oct08 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of FACELIFT by MATTSANICE)
8  TEMPER TANTRUM Jun15 Dec26 Oct15 Aug07 Jul16 (hernandez armando)EMIGH A 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by FLASHBACK out of COZZY TEMPER by COZZENE)
 
HAW-7   07/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE TEARDROPS Jun20 May25 May11 Mar17   (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 4.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  FLYING CRICKET Jul06 Jun07 May07 Mar26   (witthauer john)COLON H 124 15.00    
3  NOBLE CREEKER Jun07 May20 May04 Apr22 Nov17 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 10.00    
4  UNCAPTURED DREAM Jun25 Jun07 May25 Apr29 Apr19 (watkins jame)GILES EMMANUEL 119 1.60 34% 1.90    
5  DEVLISH HOUR Jun25 May21 Apr07 Dec16 Sep15 (robertson hugh)FELIX E 124 3.00    
6  BLACK RUSSIAN Jun25 Jun07 May25 Apr30   (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  JACKPOT BOY Jul05 Jun15 Jun07 Apr02 Mar16 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 124 8.00    
 
HAW-8   07/13/2023 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUSSIAN MAFIA Jun22 May31 Mar25 Mar10 Feb18 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  KATHAAN Jun22 May31 Apr22 Jan19 Nov25 (block chris)COLON H 122 3.00    
3  PLUS CHIC Jun07 Dec18 Nov25 Oct16 Sep23 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 5.00    
4  INDICIA Jun13 May06 Apr09 Mar08 Feb12 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 8.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  SAY CHEESE Aug19 Jun24 Jun10 May10 Apr23 (mcdonnell be)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
6  MALLOY Apr01 Oct08 Aug07 Jul02 Jun11 (catalano m)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
SCR  JUST A WONDER Jun18 May20 Apr25 Apr09 Mar23 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00    
SCR  MY LIPS ARE SEALED Jun22 Jun01 Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.