Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/1/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $7.28 $7.28  
ELP-2   Win (9/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.46 $10.46 2.46
ELP-3   Win (6/2/5/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 5.00
ELP-4   Win (9/6/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $18.68 $18.68 10.68
ELP-5   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.36  
ELP-6   Win (10/9/6/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $4.42 $4.42  
ELP-7   Win (2/9/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $4.88 $4.88  
ELP-8   Win (4/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.54 $4.54  
ELP-9   Win (11/8/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $34.00 $34.00 24.00
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:112 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTERTOWN 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 12½ 13½ (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00 27% 2.80 2.64 W
3  TRICOLOUR 3 2 75½ 64 43½ 34 23½ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 16% 5.40 4.28 P
7  ROUNDBALL ROCK 7 6 42 31½ 2nk 22½ 33¾ (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 118 10.00 18.14  
2  ORESTES 2 8 64½ 53½ 54½ 54½ 46 (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 111 12.00 5% 19.00 42.83  
4  MO MOVES 4 3 2nk 2½ 32½ 44½ 57 (medina robert)RAMOS D 118 2.50 36% 1.80 4.34  
5  CAMBIASO 5 4 911¾ 99 76¼ 66½ 69 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00 19.63  
6  GOOD NEWS ROCKET 6 5 31 42 66 710½ 717¾ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 3.50  
8  VALUABLE CARGO 8 7 53½ 74 88¼ 811½ 819¼ (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 14.89  
9  REPREHEND 9 9 85¾ 84½ 99¾ 913½ 926¼ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
 
ELP-2   08/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:112 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COOL RAGS 2 4 42¼ 31½ 31½ 2nk 1¾ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 9% 9.90 4.23 W
4  TREATY 4 3 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¾ (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.50 2.94  
1  LUCKY BOSS 1 1 89¾ 87½ 63¾ 41¾ 3¾ (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 123 20.00 13.70  
8  LONGSHADOW 7 8 67¼ 64½ 52¼ 53¼ 45 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 8.00 8.62  
9  COASTAL DEFENSE 8 7 53¾ 42 2nk 31½ 55¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 50% 1.00 2.40  
5  LIAM THE BRAVE 5 2 2nk 2½ 41¾ 63¾ 68 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 12% 7.50 10.31  
3  JOB SECURITY 3 5 79¼ 77½ 74¼ 76¼ 755¾ (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 16.80  
6  STONEVICIOUS 6 6 32 53½ 819¼ 8100 8100 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00 5.36  
SCR  MADISON LUVS DUKE               (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00    
 
ELP-3   08/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:212 :434 :554     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OUR DOTSIE 5 7 74¼ 73¾   42 1nk (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 9% 10.00 6.50 W
6  SCATLIE 6 8 31½ 31½   3½ 2nk (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 43% 1.30 1.14 P
8  FANCY CABER NEIGH 8 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 3½ (sharp joe)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 8.55  
10  SNOW PRINCESS 10 5 96¼ 97¼   94¼ 4¾ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 9.69  
9  HAPPY AM I 9 1 41¾ 42½   63¼ 52¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 9.14  
3  CALM COOL 3 9 107¼ 107¾   105¼ 62¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 119 20.00 38.45  
14  FIRST HILL 12 4 52¾ 53½   73¼ 73 (medina robe)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 26.21  
1  CARIBBEAN BEAUTY 1 6 63¾ 63¾   53 83¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 7% 13.20 13.85  
7  CANDY BAR 7 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 93¾ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 119 30.00 39.48  
2  WILD IRIS 2 10 85¾ 86¼   83¾ 104½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 15% 5.60 6.17  
12  MIDNIGHT SONATA 11 11 1215¼ 1216¾   1215¾ 1115 (walker paul)HESS SARA 114 50.00 85.55  
4  FANCY PRANCE 4 12 119¼ 1110¾   1113¾ 1215¼ (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 109 50.00 85.70  
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO               (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
SCR  LADY ARAMINTA               (holden darragh)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE SISTER SUE               (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
SCR  RESPECT AND HONOUR               (walker paul)HESS SARA 109 50.00    
 
ELP-4   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GETTYSBURG ADDRESS 5 6 31½ 31   21 1¾ (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00 25% 3.00 8.34 W
3  HANDSOME HERB 3 3 2nk 1nk   11 2¾ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00 31.45  
2  HEDGE THE RISK 2 11 63¾ 41¼   32½ 34¼ (brown chad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 3.05  
9  SHAKIN LOOSE 8 5 53½ 53¾   55 45¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 46% 1.20 5.21  
1  REMEMBER THE FEAR 1 2 1nk 2nk   42½ 59¼ (catalano way)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 7.95  
12  FARM TEAM 11 1 84¾ 75¾   67½ 611½ (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 23.39  
10  UNCLE HAPPY 9 8 105¾ 97¾   79 713 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 ★ 5.91  
11  TIFAREEH 10 9 95¾ 86¾   911 817 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 2.65  
4  STRASSE 4 10 117¾ 109¼   1011½ 920 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 50.08  
7  BEKHAMBOY 6 7 74¼ 64¼   89½ 1020¼ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 86.35  
8  TIME MUSE 7 4 42½ 1113¼   1126½ 1146¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 14.39  
SCR  FEEL THE MAGIC               (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
SCR  MR. LEASURE               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  NEW SPELL               (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00    
 
ELP-5   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:223 :453 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALTERED SHOT 1 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 1nk (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 3.68  
3  FASHION RAGE 2 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 2nk (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 27% 2.80 9.99 P
4  LOVE OF MY HEART 3 4 63½ 64¾   44 33¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 12.09  
5  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 4 2 3½ 3½   32½ 44½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 16% 5.10 1.19  
7  MY KENTUCKY GIRL 6 5 51½ 52¾   67 55 (engler jeff)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00 24% 3.20 3.56  
6  JAG WARRIOR 5 6 41 42½   55½ 66 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 5.37  
SCR  DEVIOUS DAME               (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50    
SCR  KANT BELIEVE IT               (divito jame)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
SCR  KLOEPATRA               (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00    
 
ELP-6   08/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Turf Sprint Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:211 :432 :544     1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  ONE TIMER 7 2 2½ 2½   2nk 11 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.21 W
2  LET MY PEOPLE GO 2 6 55½ 54   3½ 21 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 7.74  
10  BAD BEAT BRIAN 8 4 43½ 42½   42 31½ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 4.00 40% 1.50 4.01 S
4  OCEANIC 3 8 77½ 75¾   52½ 41½ (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00 5.74  
7  CHARCOAL 6 7 65½ 64¼   73¼ 52¾ (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 17.19  
6  EXCESS MAGIC 5 9 99¾ 97¼   95¼ 63 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 9% 10.50 24.85  
1  JUST MIGHT 1 3 1½ 1½   1nk 73¾ (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.57  
11  PURE PANIC 9 1 32 32½   62¾ 84¼ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 122 25.00 42.30  
5  BAKERS BAY 4 10 1011¼ 107¾   83¾ 94½ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 5% 19.00 9.07  
13  MAILMAN MONEY 10 5 87¾ 85¾   105¾ 104¾ (hartman chri)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00 39.62  
SCR  CHISELER               (foley greg)LANERIE J 120 10.00    
SCR  COLLABORATE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
SCR  RED HOT ROD               (hernandez re)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  REMUDA               (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
 
ELP-7   08/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Ladies Turf M Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:094 1:212   1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  NEW YEAR'S EVE 9 10 118¼ 105¾ 64 62¾ 1¾ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 23% 3.30 1.44 W
4  FOR THE FLAG 4 1 11 11 1nk 11 2¾ (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 126 12.00 5% 19.00 4.29 P
7  SINFILTRE 7 8 42 32 42 41¼ 31 (pletcher to)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 15.00 9.69  
8  QUEROBIN DOURADA 8 4 53½ 63½ 53½ 52¾ 41¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00 11.15  
1  GLENALL (IRE) 1 5 31½ 42 31½ 31 53 (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00 43.82  
2  HENRIETTA TOPHAM 2 11 86½ 85 128½ 84½ 63¼ (mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 126 2.50 44% 1.30 3.76  
3  FANCY MARTINI 3 9 63½ 52½ 95¼ 74¼ 73¼ (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 36.36  
14  ARM CANDY (IRE) 12 12 128¾ 116¾ 106¾ 116½ 83½ (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 50.55  
5  SWEET DANI GIRL 5 2 21 21 2nk 21 93½ (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00 11.23  
10  LADY HIDEAWAY 10 6 96¾ 126¾ 117 95½ 104 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 57.55  
11  PRINCESS THEOREM 11 7 106¾ 95¼ 85¼ 106 115¾ (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 19.21  
6  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 6 3 75 74 74¼ 1213½ 1215¾ (decker anna)MOJICA JR 122 50.00 79.65  
SCR  BHOMA               (catalano way)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS               (west w)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
 
ELP-8   08/06/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pucker Up Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:114 1:344   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SAFEEN 3 3 41½ 3½ 3½ 21 1½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 39% 1.50 1.27 W
1  BLING 1 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 11 2½ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 15% 5.70 3.46 P
9  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 8 6 83¾ 84¾ 83¾ 54½ 32 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 5.84  
5  HANG THE MOON 4 5 62¾ 73¾ 63 33 43½ (stidham mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00 20.90  
7  LILY POO 6 4 52½ 52½ 52 44½ 55¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 18% 4.50 11.04  
2  FRONTAL ATTACK 2 2 2½ 1nk 2nk 64¾ 67¼ (brown c)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.68  
8  CHAMPAGNE CALLING 7 7 72¾ 63½ 73½ 77¾ 713¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 34.16  
6  WONDERFULL LADY (FR) 5 8 31½ 41½ 41½ 89¼ 815¾ (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 29.34  
SCR  TIME TO RACE               (nihei michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/06/2023 6600ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Turf Cup Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:111 1:34   1:58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ME AND MR. C 6 107 97½ 87¼ 74¾ 62¼ 1¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 11% 7.90 16.00 W
3  CELLIST 2 21 21½ 21 2½ 3½ 2¼ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00 11.43  
10  SIEGE OF BOSTON 9 75½ 54 52¾ 41½ 52¼ 31 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 3.58  
4  GET SMOKIN 3 11 11½ 11 1½ 1½ 41 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50 2.30  
1  WAR CAMPAIGN 1 43 32½ 32½ 31½ 2½ 51½ (sims a)LANERIE J 122 20.00 14.83  
9  MCLOVIN 8 86 86 75¾ 63¼ 42 61¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00 5% 19.00 34.40  
12  CAMP HOPE 11 53½ 64½ 64¼ 53 73¾ 73 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 10.10  
6  MOUNT RUNDLE 5 96 108½ 1010¼ 108¾ 96 84¼ (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00 42.88  
11  SPOOKY CHANNEL 10 118½ 1110½ 1112¼ 1110¾ 107 95¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 124 2.00 34% 1.90 4.34  
8  KITODAN 7 64½ 76 97¼ 96¼ 85¾ 108¾ (foster eric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 16% 5.20 12.31  
5  KING CAUSE 4 32 43 42½ 85¼ 1113 1116¼ (maker j)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00 14% 6.00 10.61  
SCR  ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE)               (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
SCR  F FIVE               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT               (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.