Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/1/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-2   Win (9/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (6/2/5/1/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (9/6/4/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (10/9/6/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (2/9/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (4/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (11/8/5/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHTERTOWN Jun15 May21 Feb26 Jan21 Dec24 (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 5.00 27% 2.80    
2  ORESTES         (hamilton sarah)NAVAS YOEL 111 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRICOLOUR Jul21 Jul07 Jun21 May30 Feb16 (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 16% 5.40    
4  MO MOVES May18 Mar23 Feb25 Jan20 Nov18 (medina robert)RAMOS D 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  CAMBIASO Jun17 Jun07 May25 Apr29 Mar10 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
6  GOOD NEWS ROCKET Jul02 Sep03 Aug20     (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50    
7  ROUNDBALL ROCK Jul22         (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 118 10.00    
8  VALUABLE CARGO Jul09 Jun22 Apr27 Jan06   (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
9  REPREHEND Jun23 May25 Apr26 Feb04 Dec31 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-2   08/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BOSS Jun10 May13 Apr02 Mar10 Nov24 (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 123 20.00    
2  COOL RAGS Jul02 Jun01 Apr27 Mar30 Mar11 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00 9% 9.90    
3  JOB SECURITY Jun24 May26 Apr23 Feb11 Nov24 (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  TREATY Jun15 Mar19 Feb12 Jan14 Jul10 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 3.50    
5  LIAM THE BRAVE Jul19 Jun10 May24 May08 Mar04 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 123 8.00 12% 7.50    
6  STONEVICIOUS May19 May11 Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 123 6.00    
SCR  MADISON LUVS DUKE Jul14 Jun24 Jun02 May12 Apr26 (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 10.00    
8  LONGSHADOW Jul22 Jun22 May26 Apr19 Mar17 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 123 8.00    
9  COASTAL DEFENSE Jun22 May06 Mar04 Nov23   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
ELP-3   08/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARIBBEAN BEAUTY         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 7% 13.20    
2  WILD IRIS         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 15% 5.60    
3  CALM COOL Jul09 Feb26 Feb09     (stall m)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
4  FANCY PRANCE         (pittman bonnie)CALLEJA ANDRES 109 50.00    
5  OUR DOTSIE Mar12 Sep14       (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 9% 10.00    
6  SCATLIE Jul08 Jun02       (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  CANDY BAR Jul09         (calhoun wil)HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00    
8  FANCY CABER NEIGH Jun27 Jun02 Apr19 Mar25 Feb18 (sharp joe)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00    
9  HAPPY AM I Jul01 May28 May02     (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00    
10  SNOW PRINCESS Jul09 Jun03 Apr23 Mar16   (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LITTLE SISTER SUE Jun11 May29 Mar31 Feb25 Jan21 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 124 15.00    
12  MIDNIGHT SONATA         (walker paul)HESS SARA 114 50.00    
SCR  LADY ARAMINTA         (holden darragh)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00    
14  FIRST HILL Jun08 May06 Apr20 Mar09 Feb16 (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO Jun27 Dec17 Nov22 Oct27 Oct04 (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 20.00    
SCR  RESPECT AND HONOUR Jul22         (walker paul)HESS SARA 109 50.00    
 
ELP-4   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMEMBER THE FEAR         (catalano way)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
2  HEDGE THE RISK         (brown chad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
3  HANDSOME HERB         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
4  STRASSE         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FEEL THE MAGIC Jul01         (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 8.00    
6  GETTYSBURG ADDRESS         (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  BEKHAMBOY Jul15         (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
8  TIME MUSE         (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
9  SHAKIN LOOSE Jul01 Jun17       (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
10  UNCLE HAPPY         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 ★    
11  TIFAREEH         (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
12  FARM TEAM         (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NEW SPELL         (simms jr)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00    
SCR  MR. LEASURE         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
ELP-5   08/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KLOEPATRA Oct08 Sep10 Aug22 Aug01 Jul16 (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00    
2  ALTERED SHOT Jun22 May12 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 (foley greg)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
3  FASHION RAGE Jul08 Jun09 Apr23 Mar09 May08 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 124 8.00 27% 2.80    
4  LOVE OF MY HEART Jun23 May13 Jun25 May05 Mar19 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
5  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM Jun30 May13 Apr01 Oct28 Aug26 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 16% 5.10    
6  JAG WARRIOR Jun11 May05 Feb19 Jan28 Nov24 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00    
7  MY KENTUCKY GIRL Jun11 May13 Apr15 Mar16 Jan04 (engler jeff)NAVAS YOEL 115 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  KANT BELIEVE IT Jul08 Jun22 Mar09 Jan21 Jan01 (divito jame)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00    
SCR  DEVIOUS DAME Aug21 Jun09 May05     (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.50    
 
ELP-6   08/06/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Turf Sprint Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST MIGHT Jul07 May26 May06 Apr22 Mar18 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  LET MY PEOPLE GO Jun25 May29 Apr16 Dec02 Nov17 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
SCR  COLLABORATE Jul02 Jun09 May04 Apr01 Mar16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00    
4  OCEANIC Jul01 May23 May06 Apr08 Nov05 (blair jordan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
5  BAKERS BAY Apr08 Mar23 Feb17 Jan18 Dec16 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  EXCESS MAGIC Jun24 May29 Apr23 Mar18 Jul16 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 9% 10.50    
7  CHARCOAL Jul07 Jun18 May23 May02 Feb17 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00    
SCR  CHISELER Jul08 May20 Mar09 Jan19 Dec28 (foley greg)LANERIE J 120 10.00    
9  ONE TIMER Jul01 Jun01 Sep10 Aug20 Jul17 (rivelli larry)BAIRD T 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
10  BAD BEAT BRIAN May26 May06 Apr08 Mar11 Jan18 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
11  PURE PANIC Jul15 May16 Apr16 Mar18 Feb25 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 122 25.00    
SCR  RED HOT ROD Jul15 Apr21 Mar25 May01   (hernandez re)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
13  MAILMAN MONEY Jun30 Jun04 May05 Mar24 Mar02 (hartman chri)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
SCR  REMUDA Aug05 Jun16 Apr16 Jan15 Nov23 (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 122 12.00    
 
ELP-7   08/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Ladies Turf M Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLENALL (IRE) Jun24 May29 Apr01 Feb04 Dec26 (caramori caio)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00    
2  HENRIETTA TOPHAM Jul08 Jun04 May21 Apr16 Nov05 (mulcahy geoff)GRAHAM J 126 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  FANCY MARTINI Jul01 May18 Mar02 Jan21 Nov25 (hartman chris)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FOR THE FLAG Jun18 Apr23 Mar12     (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SWEET DANI GIRL Jul08 Jun04 May05 Mar26 Mar04 (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE Jul14 Jun22 May28 May12 Apr16 (decker anna)MOJICA JR 122 50.00    
7  SINFILTRE Jul01 May27 Apr16 Mar03 Jan14 (pletcher to)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 126 15.00    
8  QUEROBIN DOURADA Jun15 Apr15 Feb24 Dec30 Dec01 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 15.00    
9  NEW YEAR'S EVE Jun09 May05 Mar25 Sep05 Aug07 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 23% 3.30    
10  LADY HIDEAWAY Jul02 Jun04 Apr16 Sep13 Aug11 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
11  PRINCESS THEOREM May20 Apr01 Mar04 Feb08 Dec31 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS Jul01 May29 Mar10 Dec28 Sep22 (west w)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
SCR  BHOMA Jul14 May18 Apr12 Mar10 Mar05 (catalano way)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
14  ARM CANDY (IRE) Jun15 May21 Apr21 Apr01 Jan26 (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00    
 
ELP-8   08/06/2023 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pucker Up Purse ($300K) 3 F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLING Jul07 May17 Nov04 Oct07 Aug20 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 15% 5.70    
2  FRONTAL ATTACK Jun23 Apr19       (brown c)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIME TO RACE Jul20 Apr23 Apr13 Mar09 Jan11 (nihei michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 118 20.00    
4  SAFEEN Jul01 May17 Apr14 Nov20 Oct27 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 39% 1.50    
5  HANG THE MOON Jul15 May19 Mar11 Jan22 Dec26 (stidham mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
6  WONDERFULL LADY (FR) Jul01 May29 Apr14     (walsh brend)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
7  LILY POO Jul08 Jun03 Apr29 Mar27 Dec02 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 18% 4.50    
8  CHAMPAGNE CALLING Jun17 May05 Feb11 Jan07 Jun17 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
9  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) Jul08 May29 Apr23 Nov20 Oct01 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
 
ELP-9   08/06/2023 6600ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Turf Cup Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAR CAMPAIGN Jul02 May25 Apr20 Mar16 Nov19 (sims a)LANERIE J 122 20.00    
SCR  F FIVE May13 Apr12 Dec23 Nov19   (lynch a)BEJARANO R 122 20.00    
3  CELLIST Dec17 Oct14 Aug13 Jul27 May21 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
4  GET SMOKIN Jul01 Jun03 May04 Apr02 Sep17 (casse mark)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.50    
5  KING CAUSE Jun24 May06 Mar25 Jan28 Dec31 (maker j)DIAZ RENE 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  MOUNT RUNDLE Jul16 May20 Apr19 Mar10 Oct26 (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 122 20.00    
7  ME AND MR. C Jul08 Jun11 May14 Mar26 Jan21 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
8  KITODAN Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 Jun04 May15 (foster eric)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
9  MCLOVIN Jul08 Sep10 Jun03 Apr24 Feb13 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  SIEGE OF BOSTON Jun18 May05 Mar25 Feb12 Nov10 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00    
11  SPOOKY CHANNEL May06 Mar25 Jan28 Dec26   (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 124 2.00 34% 1.90    
12  CAMP HOPE Jul01 Jun01 May04 Apr07 Mar25 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
SCR  VINTAGE PRINT Jul15 May11 Oct23 Sep28 Aug26 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
SCR  ARTURO TOSCANINI (IRE) Aug03 Jun20 Nov13 Oct02 Aug21 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.