Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.04  
ELP-2   Win (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  
ELP-3   Win (7/10/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $11.98 $11.98 1.98
ELP-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.88 $2.88  
ELP-5   Win (1/6/9/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.38 $4.38  
ELP-6   Win (10/3/7/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $9.34 $9.34  
ELP-7   Win (9/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.02 $6.02  
ELP-8   Win (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $5.90 $5.90  
ELP-9   Win (5/10/7/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $6.94 $6.94  

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :471 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNPHY 3 1 1 13   18 1 (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.00 1.52  
MY BROTHER CHARLIE 4 4 45 3   28 2 (waltz brian)COURT K 119 8.00 14% 6.10 8.24 P
I FEELUCKY TONITE 2 3 3 4   411½ 314¾ (hancock a)STEVENS C 119 8.00 14% 6.10 8.52 S
PROFESSIONAL GRADE 5 2 2 23   39 415¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 5.00 30% 2.30 2.27  
RUN CECIL 1 5 520 532½   5100 5100 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 2.34  
SCR  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE               (ennis john)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.20    
 
ELP-2   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORDIC LIGHT 4 6 32 2½ 2½ 1½ 1¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 6% 17.10 2.10 W
LONGSHADOW 2 2 4 4 1½ 2½ 2¼ (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 2.09  
HEY BOSS 6 7 76 7 56 45 3 (gibson dewa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 3.87  
SANTA CRUISER 5 3 2 1½ 3 3 48 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.00 38% 1.60 7.89  
BOLDISH 1 5 5 55 43 5 59 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 29% 2.50 6.60  
CRIMINAL DEFENSE 3 1 6 6 710 610½ 619¾ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 19.86  
EASY BIG BOY 7 4 1 3 6 710½ 721 (hewitt michae)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
 
ELP-3   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING ME 2 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 4.99 W
BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS 7 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (walsh p)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 41% 1.50 2.82 P
AUTOCRAT 5 2 32 43   43 3 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.72  
MOUNT KISCO 6 1 84 6   3 4 (howell jessic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 5% 19.00 27.08  
OWN THE FIELD 4 3 6 8   7 5 (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 7.37  
RATE CONFIRMATION 1 7 5 7   6 6 (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 4.50 5% 19.00 8.05  
ZAPHOD 9 8 7 5   8 77 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 7.41  
10  PASS LINE 10 6 4 32   54 8 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 31% 2.20 2.56  
ACE THE RACE 3 9 9 910¼   9 910¼ (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 61.98  
FLINT EAST WOULD 8 10 1010½ 1010¾   1011¼ 1015¼ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 54.70  
SCR  BATTLE BORN               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
SCR  MO MOVES               (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
 
ELP-4   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:11 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLGA ISABEL 3 1 1½ 11 11 14 1 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 1.00 51% 1.00 0.44 W
PIGALLE 2 2 33 3 3 35 2 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 8% 11.10 4.21 P
EAST SHORE 5 5 45 4 4 4 3 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 19.72  
AIN'T BROKE 1 3 2½ 21 21 24 410¼ (calhoun b)LANERIE J 123 5.00 3.79  
HOTHEADED PRINCESS 4 4 5 5 58 59 513¼ (castillo richa)RAMOS D 120 12.00 14% 6.30 12.95  
SCR  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD               (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00    
SCR  MO TOWN MAYHEM               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:25 :48 1:12 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 1 1 2½ 21 1½ 1½ 1½ (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 1.80 37% 1.70 1.19 W
THE CLUB 8 5 5 55 5 32 2½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00 10.55  
CHARLEE O 3 2 1½ 11 2½ 2½ 3 (waltz brian)LANERIE J 123 15.00 11.94  
GHOSTLY GIRL 6 6 6 6 66 54 4 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 32% 2.10 4.76  
MINT EDITION 4 4 31 33 43 65 5 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00 28.18  
CARIBBEAN NIGHT 9 7 7 77 76 7 6 (drury thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00 8% 12.30 14.20  
BEL ARIA 7 3 4 43 3 44 74 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00 12.67  
CLOUDY BAY 5 9 9 89 8 8 8 (davis christopher)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
I FEEL THE NEED 2 8 8 911 911¾ 9 9 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00 9.32  
SCR  HASHTAG WINNER               (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE DIXIE               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  TWIRLING PATTI               (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 15.00    
 
ELP-6   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPERTON 3 8 2½ 2½   1 1 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 3.67 W
GRACE GIVEN 7 3 6 43   3 2 (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 9% 10.50 2.88 P
SAVANNAMARIE 1 9 53 53   2 3 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00 3.63  
IUKA MISS 4 10 9 76   78 411½ (stall m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 18.70  
SIMPLY STRIKING 2 7 1½ 1½   43 515 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 13.60  
11  UMEBOSHI 11 2 10 8   911¼ 616¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.32  
SHAKE IT BABY 6 4 32 3   55 716¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 19.42  
12  FORESEEN 12 1 8 6   6 817¼ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 13.07  
ABOVE THE SUN 9 12 11 11   811 917½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 25.00 5% 19.00 55.08  
10  SHE'S A SHOPPER 10 6 7 109   1012¾ 1019½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 24% 3.20 10.53  
HASINI 5 5 43 9   1113¼ 1124¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 8.22  
BLAME THE GELATO 8 11 1210 1213¾   1219¼ 1234½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 21.22  
SCR  PURE CONNECTION               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  SABRES               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
ELP-7   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :45 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY GOLDSTART 8 1 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50 48% 1.10 2.01 W
CURRENT CLIMATE 7 2 21 2nk   2nk 2hd (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 19.00 6.62 P
LAURA'S CHARM 3 4 42 4   3 3 (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00 3.01  
STREET JAM 4 5 7 6   55 4 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.58  
MADRILENA (ARG) 5 3 31 3.2   4 57 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 21% 3.80 3.50  
WILLOW BEND 2 7 66 7   7 6 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 15.29  
PRINCESS ELIN 6 6 5 5   6 7 (hammond kim)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 37.28  
ABOUKIR BAY 1 8 817¼ 815¾   811¼ 8 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 6.30  
SCR  ALTERED SHOT               (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
SCR  LILIESFORMILLIE               (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
 
ELP-8   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Hall Memorial Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:094     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE MI SONG 6 3 3½ 1   1 1¼ (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.00 36% 1.80 1.95 W
O BESOS 2 5 5 3   2 2¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 2.50 3.17  
TUT'S REVENGE 5 1 1nk 2   3 3 (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 8% 12.10 15.42 S
CHASING TIME 1 4 4 4   4 4 (asmussen st)TORRES A 126 8.00 26% 2.90 1.68  
SOLIDIFY 3 6 6 6   5 5 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 122 50.00 24.85  
GO WEST 4 2 2nk 54   611 618 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 15.00 5.13  
SCR  CLASSIER               (magee kieron)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
SCR  DROPPIN G'S               (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
SCR  NECKER ISLAND               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00    
 
ELP-9   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :462 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIANA 6 3 11 1½   1 1 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 11% 8.40 2.47 W
HEARTSTRUCK 3 2 3 4   2 2 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 4.30  
PHAT CHANCE FANCY 7 1 21 2½   32 3 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 26.23  
ANIMAL FRIES 5 7 53 52   4 43 (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 15.77  
EYES OF GOLD 8 5 42 3   5 54 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 8% 11.70 3.21  
MY LILY MAE 4 4 6 6   76 6 (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 48% 1.10 3.93  
10  BLUE TOPAZ 9 6 74 7   6 7 (flenner andrea)RAMOS D 119 8.00 13% 6.60 14.20  
HOLD MY HALO 2 9 912½ 9   8 8 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 7.66  
RESPECT AND HONOUR 1 8 810½ 8   9 910 (walker paul)HESS SARA 109 30.00 51.96  
SCR  CARIBBEAN BEAUTY               (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO               (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES               (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 114 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRST HILL               (medina robe)TORRES A 119 5.00    
SCR  UNCORKED (AUS)               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 124 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.