The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.04 -6.00
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 3-4 2 0 $31.54 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-4-2 3 0 $26.37 -3.00
ELP-2   Win (1/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80
    Exacta (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-2 2 0 $20.52 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/4/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-2-6 3 0 $15.20 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(1/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-4 2 0 $15.14 -12.00
ELP-3   Win (1/2/6/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $11.98 $11.98 1.98
    Exacta (1/2/6/7/10)-(1/2/6/7/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 2-7 2 1 $50.96 $50.96 10.96
    Trifecta (1/2/6/7/10)-(1/2/6/7/10)-(1/2/6/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 2-7-5 3 0 $137.85 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5/7)-(1/2/6/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 4-2 2 1 $35.97 $35.97 15.97
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(1/4/5/7)-(1/2/6/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 3-4-2 3 0 $50.67 -30.00
ELP-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.88 $2.88 -3.12
    Exacta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 1 $6.98 $6.98 -5.02
    Trifecta (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-3-7 3 0 $10.06 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/7/10)-(3/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 2-5 2 1 $8.15 $8.15 -6.85
    Pick Three (1/4/5/7)-(1/2/6/7/10)-(3/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-2-5 3 1 $29.48 $29.48 -0.52
ELP-5   Win (1/5/6/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.38 $4.38 -5.62
    Exacta (1/5/6/7/9)-(1/5/6/7/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-8 2 0 $27.94 -40.00
    Trifecta (1/5/6/7/9)-(1/5/6/7/9)-(1/5/6/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 1-8-3 3 0 $44.49 -30.00
    Daily Double (3/5/6)-(1/5/6/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 5-1 2 1 $2.40 $2.40 -12.60
    Pick Three (1/2/6/7/10)-(3/5/6)-(1/5/6/7/9) 75 $0.50 $37.50 2-5-1 3 1 $10.77 $10.77 -26.73
ELP-6   Win (3/7/9/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $9.34 $9.34 -0.66
    Exacta (3/7/9/10/11)-(3/7/9/10/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00 3-7 2 1 $42.70 $42.70 2.70
    Trifecta (3/7/9/10/11)-(3/7/9/10/11)-(3/7/9/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 3-7-1 3 0 $30.41 -30.00
    Daily Double (1/5/6/7/9)-(3/7/9/10/11) 25 $1.00 $25.00 1-3 2 1 $12.01 $12.01 -12.99
    Pick Three (3/5/6)-(1/5/6/7/9)-(3/7/9/10/11) 75 $0.50 $37.50 5-1-3 3 1 $8.20 $8.20 -29.30
ELP-7   Win (5/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.02 $6.02 -1.98
    Exacta (5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 9-8 2 1 $44.22 $44.22 20.22
    Trifecta (5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9)-(5/6/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 9-8-4 3 0 $45.49 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/7/9/10/11)-(5/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 3-9 2 1 $20.17 $20.17 0.17
    Pick Three (1/5/6/7/9)-(3/7/9/10/11)-(5/6/8/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 1-3-9 3 1 $14.02 $14.02 -35.98
ELP-8   Win (1/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $5.90 $5.90 -0.10
    Exacta (1/8/9)-(1/8/9) 6 $2.00 $12.00 9-2 2 0 $19.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/8/9)-(1/8/9)-(1/8/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 9-2-8 3 0 $29.55 -3.00
    Daily Double (5/6/8/9)-(1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-9 2 1 $9.52 $9.52 -2.48
    Pick Three (3/7/9/10/11)-(5/6/8/9)-(1/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 3-9-9 3 1 $25.32 $25.32 -4.68
ELP-9   Win (5/7/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.94 $6.94 -1.06
    Exacta (5/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-4 2 0 $38.86 -24.00
    Trifecta (5/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/10)-(5/7/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-4-8 3 0 $143.74 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/8/9)-(5/7/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-7 2 1 $12.58 $12.58 0.58
    Daily Double (1/8/9)-(5/7/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-11 2 0 $2.82 -12.00
    Pick Three (5/6/8/9)-(1/8/9)-(5/7/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 9-9-7 3 1 $16.57 $16.57 -7.43
    Pick Three (5/6/8/9)-(1/8/9)-(5/7/9/10) 48 $3.00 $144.00 1-9-7 3 0 $78.54 -144.00
    Pick Three (5/6/8/9)-(1/8/9)-(5/7/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 9-9-11 3 0 $4.26 -24.00
    Pick Three (5/6/8/9)-(1/8/9)-(5/7/9/10) 48 $3.00 $144.00 1-9-11 3 0 $17.13 -144.00
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
:233 :471 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUNPHY 3 1 12½ 13   18 16¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.00 1.52  
4  MY BROTHER CHARLIE 4 4 45 34½   28 26¼ (waltz brian)COURT K 119 8.00 14% 6.10 8.24 P
2  I FEELUCKY TONITE 2 3 34½ 47½   411½ 314¾ (hancock a)STEVENS C 119 8.00 14% 6.10 8.52 S
5  PROFESSIONAL GRADE 5 2 22½ 23   39 415¼ (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 5.00 30% 2.30 2.27  
1  RUN CECIL 1 5 520 532½   5100 5100 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 2.34  
SCR  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE               (ennis john)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.20    
 
ELP-2   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
:241 :472 1:121 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NORDIC LIGHT 4 6 32 2½ 2½ 1½ 1¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 6% 17.10 2.10 W
2  LONGSHADOW 2 2 42½ 42½ 1½ 2½ 2¼ (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 2.09  
6  HEY BOSS 6 7 76 76½ 56 45 35½ (gibson dewa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 3.87  
5  SANTA CRUISER 5 3 21½ 1½ 31½ 31½ 48 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.00 38% 1.60 7.89  
1  BOLDISH 1 5 55½ 55 43 55½ 59 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 29% 2.50 6.60  
3  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 3 1 65½ 66½ 710 610½ 619¾ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 19.86  
7  EASY BIG BOY 7 4 11½ 31½ 68½ 710½ 721 (hewitt michae)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
 
ELP-3   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
:222 :461 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KING ME 2 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 4.99 W
7  BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS 7 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (walsh p)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 41% 1.50 2.82 P
5  AUTOCRAT 5 2 32 43   43 33¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 10.72  
6  MOUNT KISCO 6 1 84 63¾   32½ 43¼ (howell jessic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 5% 19.00 27.08  
4  OWN THE FIELD 4 3 63¾ 85¼   75¼ 54¾ (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 7.37  
1  RATE CONFIRMATION 1 7 52¾ 75¼   64¼ 65½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 4.50 5% 19.00 8.05  
9  ZAPHOD 9 8 73¾ 53¼   85¼ 77 (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 7.41  
10  PASS LINE 10 6 42¼ 32   54 87¼ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 31% 2.20 2.56  
3  ACE THE RACE 3 9 98½ 910¼   99¼ 910¼ (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 61.98  
8  FLINT EAST WOULD 8 10 1010½ 1010¾   1011¼ 1015¼ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 54.70  
SCR  BATTLE BORN               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
SCR  MO MOVES               (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
 
ELP-4   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
:234 :463 1:11 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OLGA ISABEL 3 1 1½ 11 11 14 17¼ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 1.00 51% 1.00 0.44 W
3  PIGALLE 2 2 33 34½ 33½ 35 27¼ (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 8% 11.10 4.21 P
7  EAST SHORE 5 5 45 45½ 46½ 45½ 39½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 19.72  
2  AIN'T BROKE 1 3 2½ 21 21 24 410¼ (calhoun b)LANERIE J 123 5.00 3.79  
6  HOTHEADED PRINCESS 4 4 55½ 56½ 58 59 513¼ (castillo richa)RAMOS D 120 12.00 14% 6.30 12.95  
SCR  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD               (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00    
SCR  MO TOWN MAYHEM               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/22/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
:25 :48 1:12 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 1 1 2½ 21 1½ 1½ 1½ (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 1.80 37% 1.70 1.19 W
8  THE CLUB 8 5 52½ 55 54½ 32 2½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00 10.55  
3  CHARLEE O 3 2 1½ 11 2½ 2½ 31¼ (waltz brian)LANERIE J 123 15.00 11.94  
6  GHOSTLY GIRL 6 6 64½ 66½ 66 54 42½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 32% 2.10 4.76  
4  MINT EDITION 4 4 31 33 43 65 53¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00 28.18  
9  CARIBBEAN NIGHT 9 7 74¾ 77 76 75¼ 63¼ (drury thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00 8% 12.30 14.20  
7  BEL ARIA 7 3 42½ 43 32½ 44 74 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00 12.67  
5  CLOUDY BAY 5 9 98¾ 89 86¼ 87¼ 86¼ (davis christopher)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
2  I FEEL THE NEED 2 8 87¾ 911 911¾ 98¾ 97¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00 9.32  
SCR  HASHTAG WINNER               (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE DIXIE               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  TWIRLING PATTI               (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 15.00    
 
ELP-6   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
:223 :461 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIPERTON 3 8 2½ 2½   11½ 11½ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 3.67 W
7  GRACE GIVEN 7 3 63¼ 43   31½ 21½ (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 9% 10.50 2.88 P
1  SAVANNAMARIE 1 9 53 53   21½ 32½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00 3.63  
4  IUKA MISS 4 10 96¼ 76   78 411½ (stall m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 18.70  
2  SIMPLY STRIKING 2 7 1½ 1½   43 515 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 13.60  
11  UMEBOSHI 11 2 107¼ 86½   911¼ 616¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.32  
6  SHAKE IT BABY 6 4 32 31½   55 716¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 19.42  
12  FORESEEN 12 1 84¼ 63½   67½ 817¼ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 13.07  
9  ABOVE THE SUN 9 12 119¾ 119¼   811 917½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 25.00 5% 19.00 55.08  
10  SHE'S A SHOPPER 10 6 74¼ 109   1012¾ 1019½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 24% 3.20 10.53  
5  HASINI 5 5 43 97½   1113¼ 1124¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00 8.22  
8  BLAME THE GELATO 8 11 1210 1213¾   1219¼ 1234½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 21.22  
SCR  PURE CONNECTION               (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  SABRES               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
 
ELP-7   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
:22 :45 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LADY GOLDSTART 8 1 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50 48% 1.10 2.01 W
8  CURRENT CLIMATE 7 2 21 2nk   2nk 2hd (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 19.00 6.62 P
4  LAURA'S CHARM 3 4 42 41¾   31½ 32¾ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00 3.01  
5  STREET JAM 4 5 76¼ 65¾   55 46¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.58  
6  MADRILENA (ARG) 5 3 31 3.2   42½ 57 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 21% 3.80 3.50  
2  WILLOW BEND 2 7 66 75¾   75¼ 68¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 15.29  
7  PRINCESS ELIN 6 6 54½ 54¾   65¼ 78½ (hammond kim)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 37.28  
1  ABOUKIR BAY 1 8 817¼ 815¾   811¼ 89¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 6.30  
SCR  ALTERED SHOT               (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
SCR  LILIESFORMILLIE               (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
 
ELP-8   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Jeff Hall Memorial Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:231 :461 1:094     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HERE MI SONG 6 3 3½ 11½   11½ 1¼ (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.00 36% 1.80 1.95 W
2  O BESOS 2 5 51¾ 31½   21½ 2¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 2.50 3.17  
8  TUT'S REVENGE 5 1 1nk 21½   31½ 32¾ (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 8% 12.10 15.42 S
1  CHASING TIME 1 4 41½ 42½   43½ 44¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 126 8.00 26% 2.90 1.68  
5  SOLIDIFY 3 6 63¾ 65½   55½ 58¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 122 50.00 24.85  
6  GO WEST 4 2 2nk 54   611 618 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 15.00 5.13  
SCR  CLASSIER               (magee kieron)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
SCR  DROPPIN G'S               (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
SCR  NECKER ISLAND               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00    
 
ELP-9   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
:222 :462 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DRIANA 6 3 11 1½   11½ 11¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 11% 8.40 2.47 W
4  HEARTSTRUCK 3 2 31½ 41½   21½ 21¼ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 4.30  
8  PHAT CHANCE FANCY 7 1 21 2½   32 31¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 26.23  
6  ANIMAL FRIES 5 7 53 52   43½ 43 (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 15.77  
9  EYES OF GOLD 8 5 42 31½   54½ 54 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 8% 11.70 3.21  
5  MY LILY MAE 4 4 63½ 62¼   76 65¼ (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 48% 1.10 3.93  
10  BLUE TOPAZ 9 6 74 72¾   65½ 75½ (flenner andrea)RAMOS D 119 8.00 13% 6.60 14.20  
2  HOLD MY HALO 2 9 912½ 99¼   87½ 88¼ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 7.66  
1  RESPECT AND HONOUR 1 8 810½ 87¼   99½ 910 (walker paul)HESS SARA 109 30.00 51.96  
SCR  CARIBBEAN BEAUTY               (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO               (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES               (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 114 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIRST HILL               (medina robe)TORRES A 119 5.00    
SCR  UNCORKED               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 124 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.