Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-3   WIN (7/10/1/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $11.98 $1.98 20%
    EXA (7/10/1/6/2)-(7/10/1/6/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-7 $50.96 $10.96 27%
    DD (5/1/4/7)-(7/10/1/6/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-2 $35.97 $15.97 80%
ELP-6   EXA (10/3/7/9/11)-(10/3/7/9/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00  3-7 $42.70 $2.70 7%
ELP-7   EXA (9/6/8/5)-(9/6/8/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-8 $44.22 $20.22 84%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:233 :471 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUNPHY 3 1 12½ 13   18 16¼ (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.00 1.52  
4  MY BROTHER CHARLIE 4 4 45 34½   28 26¼ (waltz brian)COURT K 119 8.00 14% 6.10 8.24 P
2  I FEELUCKY TONITE 2 3 34½ 47½   411½ 314¾ (hancock a)STEVENS C 119 8.00 14% 6.10 8.52 S
5  PROFESSIONAL GRADE 5 2 22½ 23   39 415¼ (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 5.00 30% 2.30 2.27  
1  RUN CECIL 1 5 520 532½   5100 5100 (newton troy)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 2.34  
SCR  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE               (ennis joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.20    
 
ELP-2   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121 1:251   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NORDIC LIGHT 4 6 32 2½ 2½ 1½ 1¼ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 6% 17.10 2.10 W
2  LONGSHADOW 2 2 42½ 42½ 1½ 2½ 2¼ (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50 2.09  
6  HEY BOSS 6 7 76 76½ 56 45 35½ (gibson de)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 3.87  
5  SANTA CRUISER 5 3 21½ 1½ 31½ 31½ 48 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.00 38% 1.60 7.89  
1  BOLDISH 1 5 55½ 55 43 55½ 59 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 29% 2.50 6.60  
3  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 3 1 65½ 66½ 710 610½ 619¾ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 19.86  
7  EASY BIG BOY 7 4 11½ 31½ 68½ 710½ 721 (hewitt mich)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
 
ELP-3   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:222 :461 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KING ME 2 4 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 4.99 W
  (by THE FACTOR out of EVEN SONG by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS 7 5 2nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (walsh p)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 41% 1.50 2.82 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  AUTOCRAT 5 2 32 43   43 33¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00 10.72  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ONE TUF KITTY by BERNARDINI)
6  MOUNT KISCO 6 1 84 63¾   32½ 43¼ (howell jess)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 5% 19.00 27.08  
  (by ARROGATE out of PRINCESS KAREN by STAY THIRSTY)
4  OWN THE FIELD 4 3 63¾ 85¼   75¼ 54¾ (amoss thomas )GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00 7.37  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of TERMINOLOGY by BERNARDINI)
1  RATE CONFIRMATION 1 7 52¾ 75¼   64¼ 65½ (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 4.50 5% 19.00 8.05  
  (by CONNECT out of ECHO DUST by BERNARDINI)
9  ZAPHOD 9 8 73¾ 53¼   85¼ 77 (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 7.41  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING ANNA by CUVEE)
10  PASS LINE 10 6 42¼ 32   54 87¼ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 31% 2.20 2.56  
  (by STRAIGHT LINE out of OVER AGAIN by SHARP HUMOR)
3  ACE THE RACE 3 9 98½ 910¼   99¼ 910¼ (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00 61.98  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of NEW TWIST MISS by TALE OF THE CAT)
8  FLINT EAST WOULD 8 10 1010½ 1010¾   1011¼ 1015¼ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 54.70  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of PRINCESS AUBREY by ATTICUS)
SCR  BATTLE BORN               (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MINE FOR KEEPS by KOKAND)
SCR  MO MOVES               (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of CLOSING MOVE by BERNARDINI)
 
ELP-4   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:11 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OLGA ISABEL 3 1 1½ 11 11 14 17¼ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 1.00 51% 1.00 0.44 W
3  PIGALLE 2 2 33 34½ 33½ 35 27¼ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 8% 11.10 4.21 P
7  EAST SHORE 5 5 45 45½ 46½ 45½ 39½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00 19.72  
2  AIN'T BROKE 1 3 2½ 21 21 24 410¼ (calhoun william)LANERIE J 123 5.00 3.79  
6  HOTHEADED PRINCESS 4 4 55½ 56½ 58 59 513¼ (castillo ric)RAMOS D 120 12.00 14% 6.30 12.95  
SCR  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD               (heitzman e)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00    
SCR  MO TOWN MAYHEM               (casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:25 :48 1:12 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES 1 1 2½ 21 1½ 1½ 1½ (d'amato phi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 1.80 37% 1.70 1.19 W
8  THE CLUB 8 5 52½ 55 54½ 32 2½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00 10.55  
3  CHARLEE O 3 2 1½ 11 2½ 2½ 31¼ (waltz brian)LANERIE J 123 15.00 11.94  
6  GHOSTLY GIRL 6 6 64½ 66½ 66 54 42½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 32% 2.10 4.76  
4  MINT EDITION 4 4 31 33 43 65 53¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00 28.18  
9  CARIBBEAN NIGHT 9 7 74¾ 77 76 75¼ 63¼ (drury thom)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00 8% 12.30 14.20  
7  BEL ARIA 7 3 42½ 43 32½ 44 74 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00 12.67  
5  CLOUDY BAY 5 9 98¾ 89 86¼ 87¼ 86¼ (davis christophe)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
2  I FEEL THE NEED 2 8 87¾ 911 911¾ 98¾ 97¾ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00 9.32  
SCR  HASHTAG WINNER               (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
SCR  LITTLE DIXIE               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  TWIRLING PATTI               (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 15.00    
 
ELP-6   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RIPERTON 3 8 2½ 2½   11½ 11½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 23% 3.30 3.67 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of KIMBERLEA K by INDIAN EVENING)
7  GRACE GIVEN 7 3 63¼ 43   31½ 21½ (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 9% 10.50 2.88 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
1  SAVANNAMARIE 1 9 53 53   21½ 32½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00 3.63  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LENAMARIE by PAYNTER)
4  IUKA MISS 4 10 96¼ 76   78 411½ (stall albert )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 18.70  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LAID BACK LADY by HOLD ME BACK)
2  SIMPLY STRIKING 2 7 1½ 1½   43 515 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 13.60  
  (by ENTICED out of SPEIGHTSY HEART by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
11  UMEBOSHI 11 2 107¼ 86½   911¼ 616¾ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.32  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SWEETGRASS by KOKAND)
6  SHAKE IT BABY 6 4 32 31½   55 716¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 19.42  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of JOY FILLED by PULPIT)
12  FORESEEN 12 1 84¼ 63½   67½ 817¼ (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00 13.07  
  (by UNCLE MO out of IMPRECATION by FIRST DEFENCE)
9  ABOVE THE SUN 9 12 119¾ 119¼   811 917½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 25.00 5% 19.00 55.08  
  (by BERNARDINI out of MAKIN' SENSE by STREET SENSE)
10  SHE'S A SHOPPER 10 6 74¼ 109   1012¾ 1019½ (lukas wayne)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 24% 3.20 10.53  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of WINDOW SHOPPER by DYNAFORMER)
5  HASINI 5 5 43 97½   1113¼ 1124¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 119 6.00 8.22  
  (by MITOLE out of BRILLIANT FUTURE by FORLI)
8  BLAME THE GELATO 8 11 1210 1213¾   1219¼ 1234½ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 21.22  
  (by BLAME out of BIANCO TARTUFO by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  PURE CONNECTION               (asmussen )TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by CONNECT out of CARINHOSA by SKY MESA)
SCR  SABRES               (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of POTESTA by MACHO UNO)
 
ELP-7   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :45 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LADY GOLDSTART 8 1 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50 48% 1.10 2.01 W
8  CURRENT CLIMATE 7 2 21 2nk   2nk 2hd (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 19.00 6.62 P
4  LAURA'S CHARM 3 4 42 41¾   31½ 32¾ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00 3.01  
5  STREET JAM 4 5 76¼ 65¾   55 46¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00 17.58  
6  MADRILENA (ARG) 5 3 31 3.2   42½ 57 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 21% 3.80 3.50  
2  WILLOW BEND 2 7 66 75¾   75¼ 68¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 15.29  
7  PRINCESS ELIN 6 6 54½ 54¾   65¼ 78½ (hammond ki)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 37.28  
1  ABOUKIR BAY 1 8 817¼ 815¾   811¼ 89¾ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 6.30  
SCR  ALTERED SHOT               (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
SCR  LILIESFORMILLIE               (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
 
ELP-8   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Hall Memorial Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:094     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HERE MI SONG 6 3 3½ 11½   11½ 1¼ (stinson william)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.00 36% 1.80 1.95 W
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MI VIERA by DEHERE)
2  O BESOS 2 5 51¾ 31½   21½ 2¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 2.50 3.17  
  (by ORB out of SNUGGS AND KISSES by SOTO (VEN))
8  TUT'S REVENGE 5 1 1nk 21½   31½ 32¾ (stuart sh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 8% 12.10 15.42 S
  (by ESKENDEREYA out of CAT FIVE' O by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
1  CHASING TIME 1 4 41½ 42½   43½ 44¾ (asmussen )TORRES A 126 8.00 26% 2.90 1.68  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of RACE HUNTER by DIXIE UNION)
5  SOLIDIFY 3 6 63¾ 65½   55½ 58¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 122 50.00 24.85  
  (by TAPIZAR out of ELABORATE by GILDED TIME)
6  GO WEST 4 2 2nk 54   611 618 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 15.00 5.13  
  (by STREET SENSE out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  CLASSIER               (magee kier)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of CLASS WILL TELL by BERNARDINI)
SCR  DROPPIN G'S               (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
  (by KLIMT out of ZOOEY by ZAFARRANCHO (ARG))
SCR  NECKER ISLAND               (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of JENNY'S ROCKET by MR. GREELEY)
 
ELP-9   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :462 :574     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DRIANA 6 3 11 1½   11½ 11¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 11% 8.40 2.47 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of MARCELLINA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  HEARTSTRUCK 3 2 31½ 41½   21½ 21¼ (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 4.30  
  (by NYQUIST out of PERFECT FOR YOU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  PHAT CHANCE FANCY 7 1 21 2½   32 31¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 26.23  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SPARKLING CITY by CAPE TOWN)
6  ANIMAL FRIES 5 7 53 52   43½ 43 (newton tro)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 15.77  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of R NAJA by EXCHANGE RATE)
9  EYES OF GOLD 8 5 42 31½   54½ 54 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 8% 11.70 3.21  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MS TRISH S. by SMOKE WARNING)
5  MY LILY MAE 4 4 63½ 62¼   76 65¼ (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 48% 1.10 3.93  
  (by SKY MESA out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
10  BLUE TOPAZ 9 6 74 72¾   65½ 75½ (flenner andr)RAMOS D 119 8.00 13% 6.60 14.20  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CAROLINE COUNTY by TAPIZAR)
2  HOLD MY HALO 2 9 912½ 99¼   87½ 88¼ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 7.66  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MODENA BAY by VOLKSRAAD)
1  RESPECT AND HONOUR 1 8 810½ 87¼   99½ 910 (walker paul)HESS SARA 109 30.00 51.96  
  (by BAL A BALI out of ABOUT RESPECT by WOODMAN)
SCR  CARIBBEAN BEAUTY               (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FRESIA by EL PRADO (IRE))
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO               (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of TATERBUG by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES               (pittman )RODRIGUEZ A 114 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of GOLDEN WIN DREAMS by PHILADREAM)
SCR  FIRST HILL               (medina ro)TORRES A 119 5.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SINGLET by REAL QUIET)
SCR  UNCORKED (AUS)               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 124 3.50    
  (by PIERRO out of PIAF by PROUD BIRDIE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.