Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (7/10/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (1/6/9/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (10/3/7/9/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (9/6/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (5/10/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN CECIL         (newton troy)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
2  I FEELUCKY TONITE         (hancock a)STEVENS C 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
3  DUNPHY Jun04 May11 Apr26     (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 3.00    
4  MY BROTHER CHARLIE         (waltz brian)COURT K 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
5  PROFESSIONAL GRADE         (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 5.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  WHO'S SNOW TROUBLE Jul12 Jun16 May04     (ennis john)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 1.20    
 
ELP-2   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLDISH Apr15 Feb04 Nov16 Nov02 Sep25 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 29% 2.50    
2  LONGSHADOW Jun22 May26 Apr19 Mar17 Sep08 (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 3.50    
3  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Jun24 Mar22 Feb26 Feb03 Dec19 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 123 6.00    
4  NORDIC LIGHT Jun10 Apr29 Apr13 Mar15 Feb11 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 6% 17.10    
5  SANTA CRUISER Jul08 Jun17 May14 Mar05 Feb17 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 116 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  HEY BOSS Jun10 Apr02 Feb17 Feb01 Nov27 (gibson dewa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50    
7  EASY BIG BOY Jun24 Jun10 May28 Mar10 Oct02 (hewitt michae)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-3   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATE CONFIRMATION Jun16 May03 Mar24 Mar11 Jan20 (foley greg)LANERIE J 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  KING ME Jun18 Sep30       (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ACE THE RACE         (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 114 30.00    
4  OWN THE FIELD Jun10 May13 Nov23 Aug31   (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 119 8.00    
5  AUTOCRAT         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 6.00    
6  MOUNT KISCO Oct22 Sep22 Aug21 Aug07 Jul03 (howell jessic)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  BIRTHDAY MUNNINGS Nov27 Oct30 Sep24 Aug12   (walsh p)BEJARANO R 119 2.00 41% 1.50    
8  FLINT EAST WOULD         (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
9  ZAPHOD Jun24 Jun04       (catalano way)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
10  PASS LINE Jul02 Jun15       (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  MO MOVES May18 Mar23 Feb25 Jan20 Nov18 (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
SCR  BATTLE BORN Apr22 Mar04 Jan26 Dec28   (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MO TOWN MAYHEM Jun24 May28 Apr01     (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50    
2  AIN'T BROKE Jun25 Jun02 Apr27 Mar15 Feb16 (calhoun b)LANERIE J 123 5.00    
3  PIGALLE Jun24 Jun01 Mar16 Feb16 Jan18 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 10.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD Jun16 May29 May02 Apr13 Feb09 (heitzman eri)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 20.00    
5  OLGA ISABEL Oct29 Oct07 May06 Mar05   (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 1.00 51% 1.00    
6  HOTHEADED PRINCESS Jun29 May29       (castillo richa)RAMOS D 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
7  EAST SHORE Jun11 May25 Apr07 Nov27 Oct30 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-5   07/22/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES Jun25 Jun02 May07 Apr09 Mar13 (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 1.80 37% 1.70    
2  I FEEL THE NEED Jun16 Apr28 Apr15 Mar30 Mar04 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00    
3  CHARLEE O Jun10 Mar09 Jan05 Dec14 Oct03 (waltz brian)LANERIE J 123 15.00    
4  MINT EDITION Jun22 Jun02 Apr23 Mar29 Mar08 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 15.00    
5  CLOUDY BAY Jun30 May29 Apr27 Mar12 Feb12 (davis christopher)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GHOSTLY GIRL Jun01 May11 Apr22 Mar30 Feb17 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  BEL ARIA Jun30 Jun17 Apr16 Mar31 Mar09 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  THE CLUB May20 Apr22 Mar26 Jan18 Nov23 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 5.00    
9  CARIBBEAN NIGHT Jan04 Dec08 Oct13 Sep09 Aug06 (drury thomas)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 15.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  TWIRLING PATTI May26 May03 Feb15 Aug07 Jun02 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 15.00    
SCR  LITTLE DIXIE Jun11 Apr23 Mar03 Jan21   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
SCR  HASHTAG WINNER Jun23 May27 Apr22 Apr13 Mar25 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 10.00    
 
ELP-6   07/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAVANNAMARIE Jun16         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
2  SIMPLY STRIKING         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
3  RIPERTON         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.00 23% 3.30    
4  IUKA MISS         (stall m)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00    
5  HASINI         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 6.00    
6  SHAKE IT BABY Jun16         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
7  GRACE GIVEN Jun30         (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 9% 10.50    
8  BLAME THE GELATO         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
9  ABOVE THE SUN         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 25.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHE'S A SHOPPER         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
11  UMEBOSHI         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  FORESEEN         (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 8.00    
SCR  SABRES         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
SCR  PURE CONNECTION Jun16         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 12.00    
 
ELP-7   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ABOUKIR BAY Jun22 Feb21 Jan14 Oct19 Sep03 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 122 5.00    
2  WILLOW BEND May17 Apr01 Mar10 Feb03 Nov27 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
SCR  LILIESFORMILLIE Feb11 Dec31 Dec07 Oct22   (hamilton sarah)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00    
4  LAURA'S CHARM Jun22 May28 Jan13 Dec22 Nov19 (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 4.00    
5  STREET JAM May13 Apr15 Mar24 Jan26 Dec14 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  MADRILENA (ARG) May28 Apr29 Mar16 Nov17 Sep13 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 21% 3.80    
7  PRINCESS ELIN Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 Sep09 Jun28 (hammond kim)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00    
8  CURRENT CLIMATE Jun11 Apr15 Mar16 Jan25 Jan12 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  LADY GOLDSTART Jul07 Jun16 May14 Jan29 Dec09 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
SCR  ALTERED SHOT Jun22 May12 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
 
ELP-8   07/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Hall Memorial Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING TIME Jun30 Jun01 May04 Apr08 Feb25 (asmussen st)TORRES A 126 8.00 26% 2.90    
2  O BESOS Nov05 Oct01 Apr09 Feb19 Jan02 (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 2.50    
SCR  NECKER ISLAND Jun18 Apr15 Apr01 Mar18 Feb17 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 4.00    
SCR  DROPPIN G'S Jun30 Jan01 Dec21 Nov17 Nov04 (antonuik jerry)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
5  SOLIDIFY Jun23 Jun10 May13 May04 Mar31 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 122 50.00    
6  GO WEST May29 Apr28 Apr01 Feb25 Feb05 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 15.00    
SCR  CLASSIER Jul08 May25 Apr29 Apr07 Mar19 (magee kieron)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
8  TUT'S REVENGE Jul01 May06 Apr15 Feb11 Jan27 (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 8% 12.10    
9  HERE MI SONG May06 Apr08 Mar11 Feb04 Dec17 (stinson j)ACHARD ALEX 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
ELP-9   07/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESPECT AND HONOUR         (walker paul)HESS SARA 109 30.00    
2  HOLD MY HALO         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
SCR  UNCORKED (AUS) Jul16 Jul01 Jun17 May28 May27 (engler jeff)LANERIE J 124 3.50    
4  HEARTSTRUCK         (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00    
5  MY LILY MAE Jul10 May24 Mar31 Mar11 Aug14 (kinmon keith)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
6  ANIMAL FRIES Jun25         (newton troy)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00    
7  DRIANA Jun17 May20       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 11% 8.40    
8  PHAT CHANCE FANCY Jul09 Jun17       (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
9  EYES OF GOLD Nov24 Oct22 Sep22 Aug13 Jul04 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 5.00 8% 11.70    
10  BLUE TOPAZ Apr27 Mar31       (flenner andrea)RAMOS D 119 8.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  ELEGANT MOVES         (pittman bo)RODRIGUEZ A 114 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CARIBBEAN BEAUTY         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 2.50    
SCR  CATCHA LATER MO Jun27 Dec17 Nov22 Oct27 Oct04 (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
SCR  FIRST HILL Jun08 May06 Apr20 Mar09 Feb16 (medina robe)TORRES A 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.