Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-3   WIN (3/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $10.42 $4.42 74%
    EXA (3/8/2)-(3/8/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-3 $25.84 $13.84 115%
    DD (2/6/3)-(3/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-8 $13.19 $4.19 47%
ELP-4   WIN (5/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.08 $4.08 51%
    DD (3/8/2)-(5/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-8 $39.03 $27.03 225%
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(3/8/2)-(5/8/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-8-8 $22.59 $4.59 26%
ELP-5   DD (5/8/3/6)-(3/8/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-4 $31.57 $15.57 97%
    PK3 (3/8/2)-(5/8/3/6)-(3/8/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-8-4 $61.75 $37.75 157%
    PK4 (2/6/3)-(3/8/2)-(5/8/3/6)-(3/8/4/7) 144 $0.50 $72.00  1/2/6-8-8-4 $182.18 $110.18 153%
ELP-6   DD (3/8/4/7)-(5/9/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-5 $17.31 $1.31 8%
    PK3 (5/8/3/6)-(3/8/4/7)-(5/9/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00  8-4-5 $36.77 $4.77 15%
    PK4 (3/8/2)-(5/8/3/6)-(3/8/4/7)-(5/9/7/6) 192 $0.50 $96.00  8-8-4-1/4/5/10 $133.96 $37.96 40%
ELP-7   EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-3 $20.56 $8.56 71%
ELP-8   WIN (6/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $11.66 $3.66 46%
    EXA (6/1/5/7)-(6/1/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-7 $99.46 $75.46 314%
ELP-9   WIN (4/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $11.06 $3.06 38%
    DD (6/1/5/7)-(4/8/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-9 $43.12 $27.12 170%
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(6/1/5/7)-(4/8/7/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-6-9 $35.22 $11.22 47%
    PK4 (5/9/7/6)-(1/4/3)-(6/1/5/7)-(4/8/7/9) 192 $0.50 $96.00  1/4/5/10-1/5-6-9 $168.91 $72.91 76%
    PK5 (3/8/4/7)-(5/9/7/6)-(1/4/3)-(6/1/5/7)-(4/8/7/9) 768 $0.50 $384  4-1/4/5/10-1/5-6-9 $465.80 $81.80 21%
    PK6 (5/8/3/6)-(3/8/4/7)-(5/9/7/6)-(1/4/3)-(6/1/5/7)-(4/8/7/9) 3072 $0.20 $614  8-4-1/4/5/10-1/5-6-9 $953.07 $338.67 55%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE COOL DUDE   (blair jord)MICHEL MICKAELLE 122 8.00 15.91  
ETERNALLY GRATEFUL   (diodoro r)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 54% 0.80 3.74 P
LEND IT TEWMEY   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 122 5.00 2.01  
VALE   (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 4.00 13% 6.40 2.56  
LOUISIANIMAL   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 29.94  
HILLBILLY LOGIC   (howard maryanne)LOPEZ E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.38  
BOUDIN   (cano mun)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.00 4.92  
BABY QUINN   (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.12  
 
ELP-2   07/14/2023 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNCH HARD   (beckman whi)CANNON DECLAN 123 2.50 52% 0.90 0.47 W
MADISON LUVS DUKE   (danner kelsey)TALAMO JOSEPH 123 8.00 7.19  
MUCHO MOJO   (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 9.04  
SMOKIN' HOT   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 3.22  
GULLANE   (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 11.94  
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL   (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00    
SCR  HARD RYE GUY   (grubbs l)BEJARANO R 123 5.00 13% 6.40    
 
ELP-3   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARTDFROMDABOTTOM   (enni)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 3.50 29% 2.40 4.21 W
RACE DRIVER   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.93 P
ONE LAST HAND   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.00 7.61  
YOU VEE CEE   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 4.50 4.20  
MUNI MUNI SLEW   (maker j)LANERIE J 122 8.00 8% 11.20 2.38  
MERLIN'S SONG   (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 122 10.00 12.15  
SCR  ALPINE GHOST   (watkins )RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00    
SCR  KEEN ON YOU   (cundiff waylon)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
 
ELP-4   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGAL TITAN   (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 28% 2.50 5.04 W
  (by ALGORITHMS out of TAYLOR LANE by PARADING)
REAL MEN VIOLIN   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 6.00 3.56  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MEG FITZ by TAPIT)
MUGATU   (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 4.39  
  (by BLOFELD out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
NOBLE GENTLEMAN   (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 10.35  
  (by TAMARKUZ out of LOUVE ROYALE by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
GENEROUS TIPPER   (mcpeek ke)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 2.98  
  (by STREET SENSE out of STOPSHOPPINGDEBBIE by CURLIN)
THE RUSH IS ON   (vosler eugene )HUGHES CARLY 119 30.00 5% 19.00 35.85  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
COMPANY YOU KEEP   (maker mic)TORRES A 119 2.50 33% 2.00 4.07  
  (by AUDIBLE out of WONDER STONE by SUPER SAVER)
VIVA VOCE   (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 5% 19.00 11.63  
  (by AUDIBLE out of HAVEANICEWEEKEND by ADIOS CHARLIE)
SCR  MIDNIGHT STORMY   (minnock wayne )MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of AVA G by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
SCR  PHREDDIE MAC   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 2.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of FINANCIAL RECOVERY by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
ELP-5   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVATED DRAMA   (miller kenny)LANERIE J 120 5.00 10% 8.90 3.13 W
ATTACHE   (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 120 10.00 2.92  
DELLACROCE   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 12% 7.50 4.09 S
LOTS OF MISCHIEF   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 6.00 6.84  
PROSECUTION   (moquett r)TORRES A 120 10.00 12.31  
BOURBON FEVER   (davis chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 51% 0.90 2.16  
SCR  BANDON   (cox h)CHUAN MARTIN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUNDBERG   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 4.00    
 
ELP-6   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD BALI   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 119 1.60 50% 1.00 1.95 W
  (by BAL A BALI out of IN GOOD COMPANY by SOUVENIR COPY)
BRITISH SEA   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 2.69  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
ODE TO BALIUS   (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 10.00 5% 19.00 10.54 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HAIL TO ROCKNROLL by SCAT DADDY)
B D SAINTS   (walden william)HEARD TYLER 119 8.00 10.11  
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
RULEROFTHEUNIVERSE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 2.15  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of BIRIBA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
LEGEND OF THE NILE   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.01  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LEGENDARY STACEY by INCLUDE)
TECHNE   (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 112 30.00 5% 19.00 51.68  
  (by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
SCR  BORN FLASHY   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BORN SPECIAL by EXUBERANT)
SCR  CARD TRICK   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GAME FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  HAM SANDWICH   (mcpeek kenneth )LANERIE J 119 3.50    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of VOODOO LOUNGE by PLEASANT TAP)
 
ELP-7   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIGNIA   (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.00 54% 0.90 0.60 W
HER LADYSHIP   (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 5% 19.00 16.08 P
DRE ME LESS   (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 11.48  
FINE COTTON   (pessin l)LANERIE J 124 8.00 9.34  
TWIN MISCHIEF   (asmussen )TORRES A 120 4.00 23% 3.30 4.01  
DAWNY   (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 5.36  
SCR  HASHTAG WINNER   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 124 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNIFICENT MILE   (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 36% 1.80 4.83 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HUNG THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
CUORE SACRO   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BACCHANAL LADY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
ENOUGH ALREADY   (blair jordan)BEJARANO R 124 6.00 14.21  
  (by TAPIT out of INTERJECT by EMPIRE MAKER)
FASHION KING   (asmussen )TORRES A 119 2.50 20% 4.10 1.37  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of FASHION RUNAWAY by OLD FASHIONED)
ZADORO   (walsh brendan)GARCIA MARTIN 119 10.00 10.33  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BERNARDA by BERNARDINI)
BAYOU SPIRIT   (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 11.74  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BEAUTIFUL DANIELE by A.P. INDY)
TEXAS TOAST   (bicknell whitn)HUGHES CARLY 124 8.00 22.26  
  (by TEXAS RED out of CREDENTIAL by VALID APPEAL)
UNCLE HARRY   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 19% 4.30 4.92  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SHE'S PICKY by MARIA'S MON)
 
ELP-9   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BHOMA   (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 4.53 W
BOUDOIR BURLESQUE   (decker anna)MOJICA JR 122 20.00 6.38  
AALIYAH EZRI   (divito james )TALAMO JOSEPH 124 6.00 4.34  
SWEETS MAKER   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 5.00 32% 2.10 3.52  
REAGAN'S DECISION   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 2.02  
ENCHANTED NILE   (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 10.00 8% 10.80 6.66  
HOLIDAY DECISION   (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 36.64  
SCR  DRAGONERA   (harty eoin)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING   (lukas w)TORRES A 122 6.00    
SCR  JAG WARRIOR   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
SCR  JUMP INTO THE FIRE   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50    
SCR  TAP DANCING LADY   (kahles ronal)RAMOS D 122 12.00    
SCR  UNDER ONE SKY   (cano juan )CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.