Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $7.40  
ELP-2   Win (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $9.54 $9.54 1.54
ELP-3   Win (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $13.26 $13.26 5.26
ELP-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $33.10  
ELP-5   Win (8/1/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.88 $5.88  
ELP-6   Win (5/8/7/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $9.46 $9.46  
ELP-7   Win (6/2/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $19.26  
ELP-8   Win (7/6/3/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $6.62 $6.62  
ELP-9   Win (2/4/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $15.52 $15.52 7.52
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:132 1:254   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COURAGEOUSLY 6 4 54 54¾ 32 1nk 1nk (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50 2.70  
1  CURRENT 1 1 2½ 23 53 42 2nk (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 5.00 27% 2.70 1.52 P
2  MINE OWN STAR 2 6 44 44½ 42½ 3½ 31¼ (knippenberg)TORRES A 123 4.00 43% 1.30 4.73 S
4  MALIBU TIME 4 3 1½ 13 11 2nk 43 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 12.00 7.13  
6  ATTORNEY TIM 5 5 65 66¼ 64½ 64 53¾ (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 2.00 4.56  
3  PRINCESS NINA 3 2 32½ 33 21 52½ 65¼ (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.51  
SCR  BARRISTER TOM               (ewing michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00    
SCR  SPRINKLEHEAD               (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 1.80    
 
ELP-2   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  EDISTRUDIS 4 3 44 43   2nk 12 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 6.00 10% 9.10 3.77 W
7  KRICKLE 6 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 22 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 2.00 24% 3.10 6.63 P
1  SARAH'S DREAM 1 4 31½ 31½   3½ 33 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 34% 1.90 3.95 S
3  BACK ON TRACK 3 6 616 618   68½ 47¼ (jazdzewski jon)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 21.83  
6  SILVER MAJESTY 5 5 55 55   57½ 514 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00 5.50  
2  VEECATION 2 1 1½ 1nk   45 615¾ (hancock jo)RODRIGUEZ A 114 4.00 7% 13.20 1.11  
SCR  HONKEY TONK TIME               (west w)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
 
ELP-3   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUCCI BOY 7 2 3.2 11½   11 1½ (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 19% 4.30 3.91 DQ↓2
2  INEXORABLE 2 6 64¼ 42   21 2½ (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 124 2.00 32% 2.20 5.63 W
6  FOREVER COOL 6 7 74¾ 54   33½ 32¾ (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 18% 4.70 2.20 S
1  NIGHT CHANT 1 3 1nk 32   43½ 48½ (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 4.00 3.51  
4  HEZMORETHANREADY 4 1 43¼ 65½   67½ 514¼ (house gary)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 10% 8.90 16.94  
5  BLUES ADMIRAL 5 4 2nk 21½   54½ 614¼ (moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00 4.10  
3  MAGICAL THINKING 3 5 53¾ 78½   79½ 717 (desormeaux keit)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00 12.84  
 
ELP-4   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:222 :451 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARK'S MISCHIEF 1 2 11½ 1nk   12 12½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 20.00 15.55  
5  ZAMBEZI 4 3 32½ 31   33½ 22½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 19% 4.30 2.19 P
3  STUD LOVIN 2 4 52¾ 55½   56 34 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 5% 19.00 12.68 S
6  MULLIKIN 5 5 42½ 2nk   22 44¼ (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 0.80 58% 0.70 0.60  
4  QUICK HAMMER 3 1 21½ 44   46 55¾ (cox h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00 5.97  
SCR  ELITE FORCES               (cox h)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
 
ELP-5   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:214 :462 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARKROOM 1 7 68½ 68   53¾ 1¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 1.94 W
8  IN A JAM 7 1 1½ 11   12½ 2¼ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.00 48% 1.10 3.82 P
3  COIN MINER 2 6 78½ 78¼   43½ 3¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 19.47 S
4  COACH JIMI D 3 5 47 46   32½ 42¾ (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 4.06  
9  LIAM'S JOURNEY 8 2 57½ 56   22½ 53½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 8.12  
6  YULETIDE GALLOP 5 3 32 21   63¾ 67¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 ★ 5.51  
5  MCVICKER 4 4 2½ 31½   77¼ 716¾ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 8.00 6.87  
7  RED FROST 6 8 811 812¼   815¼ 826½ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00 33.80  
SCR  BOLD FORCE               (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  LIV TO THE MAX (IRE)               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NORMANDY HERO               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00    
 
ELP-6   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:231 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DUPLICITOUS 9 1 3.2 2nk   1nk 13 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 8% 12.20 3.73 W
8  FOREVER HOME 8 7 4¼ 1nk   2nk 23 (shorter aaron)NAVAS YOEL 115 2.00 13% 6.50 3.02 P
3  L. A. STAR 3 9 96½ 65   55¼ 34½ (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00 10.63  
5  JUDY'S WAY 5 6 74½ 75¼   65¼ 46 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 2.50 46% 1.20 3.48  
2  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 2 4 2nk 43½   44¼ 57 (cook b)LANERIE J 122 10.00 6.69  
1  HIGH SPEED 1 8 62½ 31½   34 69 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00 21.88  
6  U SO MONEY BABY 6 3 85 87¾   79¼ 713½ (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00 14.83  
7  MABEE LUCKYNWILD 7 2 1nk 54   89½ 819¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 9% 10.10 4.49  
4  SHAPE OF YOU 4 5 5½ 910¼   913 928¾ (pittman bonni)STILLION BROOKE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 39.65  
 
ELP-7   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :462 :581     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SPONGE BATH 7 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 12½ (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 ★ 8.63  
6  DO YOUR JOB 6 2 32 41¾   33 22½ (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50 50% 1.00 6.95 P
2  AUGUSTINE RED 2 6 54½ 54¼   55¼ 33¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 4.00 27% 2.70 5.32 S
3  SUGA STEVE 3 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 43¼ (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00 10.24 DH
9  THUNDER BALL 8 5 86½ 65¾   67¼ 43¼ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00 8.86 DH
5  KITTY HAWK (GB) 5 8 42½ 31½   45 65¼ (oliver victo)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 2.92  
4  QUIET RUSH 4 4 65 75¾   79¾ 78¼ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00 20.57  
1  SHARPENYOURFAITH 1 9 910½ 99½   913¼ 810¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 9.12  
10  KING BUKELE 9 7 76½ 86   812¼ 914¾ (torres erick )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 5% 19.00 44.26  
12  TANGO YANKEE 10 10 1017½ 1017½   1020¼ 1020¾ (maker micha)TORRES A 119 6.00 3.71  
SCR  ALL YOUR FAULT               (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 8.00    
SCR  MADARAAT               (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE HAPPY               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50    
 
ELP-8   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PENSACOLA 7 1 3.2 11   12 1½ (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 51% 1.00 2.31 W
4  STRAIGHT AND LEVEL 4 5 72 32   22 2½ (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 21.88  
5  RIVALRY 5 7 83½ 74½   32½ 3¾ (cox h)TORRES A 124 8.00 4.66  
3  SHOWDOWN KING 3 6 1nk 21   45 410½ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00 10% 8.70 2.46  
10  GUADALAJARA 9 10 106½ 86   68 512¾ (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.77  
11  GILDED CRAKEN 10 11 95 64½   58 615¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 7.54  
6  ALILNALOT 6 4 61¾ 42½   79½ 717 (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 14% 6.10 10.28  
8  GREAT BARRIER 8 3 117½ 108½   812 818 (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 22.05  
2  DISSOLVED 2 8 2nk 53   913½ 932¼ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 14.67  
1  NORBERT 1 9 5¾ 98   1016 1033¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 36.18  
12  HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM 11 2 4¼ 11100   11100 11100 (lovell dennis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00 38.59  
SCR  SPIELMAN               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.00    
 
ELP-9   07/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:143 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  JOHNY'S FIREBALL 9 5 11 11 11 12 11½ (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00 6.76 W
2  MAHAAMEL (IRE) 2 1 31½ 41½ 31½ 22 21½ (londono gene)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 54% 0.90 2.11 P
1  POLICY OPTION 1 8 97½ 95¾ 84¼ 75¼ 32¼ (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00 4.48  
6  STOLEN BASE 5 3 53 73¼ 53½ 43½ 42¼ (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 ★ 8.25  
8  DHABAB (IRE) 6 9 74½ 63¼ 73¾ 65¼ 52¾ (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00 4.54  
5  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 4 2 64 53 42 33½ 63 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 9.10  
9  MR. BIG NEWS 7 6 42½ 31½ 21 55 74½ (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.19  
4  ALEJANDRO 3 7 86 85¼ 94¾ 85¾ 84½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00 22% 3.70 8.24  
10  TAPAGE 8 4 21 21 63½ 98¾ 98¼ (cano munoz)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 36.46  
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
SCR  THE QUEENS JULES               (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  UNINVITED GUEST               (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.