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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Ellis Park
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-2			WIN	(1/7/5/2)						4	$2.00	$8.00	5		$9.54			$1.54				19%
			EXA	(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-7		$39.56			$15.56				65%
			TRI	(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2)-(1/7/5/2)						24	$0.50	$12.00	5-7-1		$19.38			$7.38				62%
ELP-3			WIN	(2/7/6/4)						4	$2.00	$8.00	2		$13.26			$5.26				66%
			EXA	(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)						12	$2.00	$24.00	2-7		$50.28			$26.28				110%
			TRI	(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)						24	$0.50	$12.00	2-7-6		$31.25			$19.25				160%
			DD	(1/7/5/2)-(2/7/6/4)						16	$1.00	$16.00	5-2		$23.98			$7.98				50%
ELP-5			TRI	(8/1/3/2)-(8/1/6/3/2)-(8/1/6/3/2)						48	$0.50	$24.00	1-8-3		$70.10			$46.10				192%
ELP-9			WIN	(2/4/9/11)						4	$2.00	$8.00	11		$15.52			$7.52				94%
			EXA	(2/4/9/11)-(2/4/9/6/11)						16	$2.00	$32.00	11-2		$46.86			$14.86				46%
			DD	(7/6/3/10/11)-(2/4/9/11)						20	$1.00	$20.00	7-11		$32.63			$12.63				63%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			07/30/2023		5280ft	TURF	RC7	FIRM	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($28K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	COURAGEOUSLY									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						2.50						2.70
1	CURRENT									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 123						5.00		27%		2.70		1.52	P
2	MINE OWN STAR									(knippenbe)TORRES A 123						4.00		43%		1.30		4.73	S
4	MALIBU TIME									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123						12.00						7.13
6	ATTORNEY TIM									(foley greg)LANERIE J 123						2.00						4.56
3	PRINCESS NINA									(hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00		5%		19.00		13.51
SCR	BARRISTER TOM									(ewing micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123						10.00
SCR	SPRINKLEHEAD									(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123						1.80

ELP-2			07/30/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($40K)			2		F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	EDISTRUDIS									(gutierrez)TORRES A 119						6.00		10%		9.10		3.77	W
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of HOME AGAIN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7	KRICKLE									(holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119						2.00		24%		3.10		6.63	P
		(by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
1	SARAH'S DREAM									(casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119						3.00		34%		1.90		3.95	S
		(by HARD SPUN out of RELENTLESS MISS by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3	BACK ON TRACK									(jazdzewski jon)GRAHAM J 119						15.00						21.83
		(by PROSPECT PARK out of PEG'S JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
6	SILVER MAJESTY									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						5.00						5.50
		(by PAYNTER out of SCORECARD by TALE OF THE CAT)
2	VEECATION									(hancock )RODRIGUEZ A 114						4.00		7%		13.20		1.11
		(by MO TOWN out of SURF RIDE by SCAT DADDY)
SCR	HONKEY TONK TIME									(west w)MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00
		(by ANCHOR DOWN out of LEGION OF MERIT by DANZIG)

ELP-3			07/30/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	GUCCI BOY									(hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						5.00		19%		4.30		3.91	DQ↓2
2	INEXORABLE									(contreras ciprian)EMIGH A 124						2.00		32%		2.20		5.63	W
6	FOREVER COOL									(stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124						3.00		18%		4.70		2.20	S
1	NIGHT CHANT									(mott i)GRAHAM J 119						4.00						3.51
4	HEZMORETHANREADY									(house gary)GILLIGAN JACK 119						12.00		10%		8.90		16.94
5	BLUES ADMIRAL									(moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 112						8.00						4.10
3	MAGICAL THINKING									(desormeaux ke)HEARD TYLER 119						10.00						12.84

ELP-4			07/30/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($74K)			3		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	LARK'S MISCHIEF									(asmussen )TORRES A 120						20.00						15.55
5	ZAMBEZI									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 120						3.00		19%		4.30		2.19	P
3	STUD LOVIN									(maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120						10.00		5%		19.00		12.68	S
6	MULLIKIN									(brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 120						0.80		58%		0.70		0.60
4	QUICK HAMMER									(cox brad )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						8.00						5.97
SCR	ELITE FORCES									(cox h)LANERIE J 122						5.00

ELP-5			07/30/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($40K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	DARKROOM									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119						3.00		28%		2.60		1.94	W
		(by ENTICED out of TWENTY BLACK by E DUBAI)
8	IN A JAM									(casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						2.00		48%		1.10		3.82	P
		(by PRESERVATIONIST out of YANKEE UNION by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
3	COIN MINER									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119						20.00		5%		19.00		19.47	S
		(by CLOUD COMPUTING out of REQUIRE by BLAME)
4	COACH JIMI D									(divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						8.00						4.06
		(by GORMLEY out of SHANGHAI SNOOKIE by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
9	LIAM'S JOURNEY									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						15.00						8.12
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of LOUGH DERG by LEMON DROP KID)
6	YULETIDE GALLOP									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						5.00		★				5.51
		(by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of HOLIDAY FOR KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
5	MCVICKER									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 119						8.00						6.87
		(by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LIL' SASHA by WHYWHYWHY)
7	RED FROST									(desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119						20.00						33.80
		(by FROSTED out of BODEE BEAUTIFUL by BODEMEISTER)
SCR	BOLD FORCE									(mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119						20.00
		(by HARD SPUN out of SCATTERED RAIN by SCAT DADDY)
SCR	LIV TO THE MAX (IRE)									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119						12.00		5%		19.00
		(by CARAVAGGIO out of WALL OF SAPPHIRE by LAWMAN (FR))
SCR	NORMANDY HERO									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119						5.00
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of SWAN OF THE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)

ELP-6			07/30/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($7.5K)					Purse ($25K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	DUPLICITOUS									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						4.00		8%		12.20		3.73	W
8	FOREVER HOME									(shorter aaron)NAVAS YOEL 115						2.00		13%		6.50		3.02	P
3	L. A. STAR									(lucas t )RODRIGUEZ A 117						15.00						10.63
5	JUDY'S WAY									(sharp joe)TORRES A 122						2.50		46%		1.20		3.48
2	HOLDONTOYOURTIARA									(cook b)LANERIE J 122						10.00						6.69
1	HIGH SPEED									(delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 122						12.00						21.88
6	U SO MONEY BABY									(cundiff way)PETERSON FERRIN 122						30.00						14.83
7	MABEE LUCKYNWILD									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						6.00		9%		10.10		4.49
4	SHAPE OF YOU									(pittman bon)STILLION BROOKE 122						20.00		5%		19.00		39.65

ELP-7			07/30/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($70K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	SPONGE BATH									(catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 119						5.00		★				8.63
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of FOREVER VOW by BROKEN VOW)
6	DO YOUR JOB									(desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119						2.50		50%		1.00		6.95	P
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of SHAKEDOWN SISTER by PUT IT BACK)
2	AUGUSTINE RED									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119						4.00		27%		2.70		5.32	S
		(by IRISH WAR CRY out of GROUP THERAPY by WESTERN FAME)
3	SUGA STEVE									(bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 114						10.00						10.24	DH
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of HELEN SUNG by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
9	THUNDER BALL									(o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						12.00						8.86	DH
		(by MITOLE out of STRIKE ACCORD by SMART STRIKE)
5	KITTY HAWK (GB)									(oliver vic)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00		5%		19.00		2.92
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of KOMBAT KITTY by WILDCAT HEIR)
4	QUIET RUSH									(arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 119						6.00						20.57
		(by HIGHTAIL out of QUIET BUSINESS by QUIET AMERICAN)
1	SHARPENYOURFAITH									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						8.00						9.12
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of SWAKOPMUND by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
10	KING BUKELE									(torres eric)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119						30.00		5%		19.00		44.26
		(by OUTWORK out of SUPER CUB by OLD TRIESTE)
12	TANGO YANKEE									(maker mic)TORRES A 119						6.00						3.71
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of FOREST LAKE by FORESTRY)
SCR	ALL YOUR FAULT									(miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119						8.00
		(by GREAT NOTION out of WHOS TO BLAME by BLAME)
SCR	MADARAAT									(mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 119						12.00
		(by QURBAAN out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
SCR	UNCLE HAPPY									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						4.50
		(by RUNHAPPY out of VEXED by ARCH)

ELP-8			07/30/2023		4620ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($70K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	PENSACOLA									(brisset ro)CORRALES GERARDO 119						3.50		51%		1.00		2.31	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of STORMY REGATTA by MIDSHIPMAN)
4	STRAIGHT AND LEVEL									(pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00						21.88
		(by KANTHAROS out of FLY SWIFT by CITY ZIP)
5	RIVALRY									(cox brad )TORRES A 124						8.00						4.66
		(by UNCLE MO out of OUR LOVE TAP by TAPIT)
3	SHOWDOWN KING									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119						6.00		10%		8.70		2.46
		(by MINESHAFT out of B ROCKETT by AFTER MARKET)
10	GUADALAJARA									(stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						15.00		5%		19.00		26.77
		(by JUSTIFY out of AGUILERA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11	GILDED CRAKEN									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						10.00		5%		19.00		7.54
		(by MCCRAKEN out of ORMOLU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6	ALILNALOT									(catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 119						8.00		14%		6.10		10.28
		(by TAPITURE out of LIL PRECIOUS by FORESTRY)
8	GREAT BARRIER									(ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						30.00						22.05
		(by CANDY RIDE out of REEF POINT by BON POINT (GB))
2	DISSOLVED									(casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119						8.00						14.67
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of SWEET DREAMS by TRICK ME)
1	NORBERT									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						20.00						36.18
		(by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OH WHAT A PRIZE by BLAME)
12	HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM									(lovell denn)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119						50.00						38.59
		(by RAISON D'ETAT out of REASON TO MEDAL by MEDALLIST)
SCR	SPIELMAN									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119						3.00
		(by HARD SPUN out of SASSY IMAGE by BROKEN VOW)

ELP-9			07/30/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($78K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	JOHNY'S FIREBALL									(casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122						10.00		5%		19.00		6.76	W
2	MAHAAMEL (IRE)									(londono ge)CORRALES GERARDO 122						3.00		54%		0.90		2.11	P
1	POLICY OPTION									(cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						6.00						4.48
6	STOLEN BASE									(maker micha)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						3.50		★				8.25
8	DHABAB (IRE)									(vaughan edwa)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						20.00						4.54
5	CALL ME MIDNIGHT									(desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122						15.00						9.10
9	MR. BIG NEWS									(calhoun willia)SAEZ GABRIEL 122						15.00		5%		19.00		16.19
4	ALEJANDRO									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122						5.00		22%		3.70		8.24
10	TAPAGE									(cano muno)CHUAN MARTIN 122						15.00						36.46
SCR	COMMANDPERFORMANCE									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122						10.00
SCR	SEARCH ENGINE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						8.00
SCR	THE QUEENS JULES									(van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						12.00
SCR	UNINVITED GUEST									(mcgee paul)LANERIE J 122						12.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.