Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (1/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (5/8/7/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (6/2/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (7/6/3/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (2/4/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURRENT May15 May03 Feb04 Dec11 Nov18 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 5.00 27% 2.70    
2  MINE OWN STAR Jun24 May31 Sep25 Aug24 Aug03 (knippenberg)TORRES A 123 4.00 43% 1.30    
3  PRINCESS NINA Jul09 Apr12 Mar17 Feb16 Jan04 (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  MALIBU TIME Jun15 May14 Apr29 Mar18 Feb17 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 12.00    
SCR  BARRISTER TOM Jul06 Jun17 Sep14 Sep01 Jun19 (ewing michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 10.00    
6  ATTORNEY TIM Sep01 Jul16 Jun03 Mar12 Feb10 (foley greg)LANERIE J 123 2.00    
7  COURAGEOUSLY Jul19 May13 Mar02 Feb04 Aug20 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.50    
SCR  SPRINKLEHEAD Jul16 Jun24 May25 Apr29 Apr01 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 1.80    
 
ELP-2   07/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SARAH'S DREAM         (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
2  VEECATION         (hancock jo)RODRIGUEZ A 114 4.00 7% 13.20    
3  BACK ON TRACK         (jazdzewski jon)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
SCR  HONKEY TONK TIME         (west w)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
5  EDISTRUDIS Jun10         (gutierrez f)TORRES A 119 6.00 10% 9.10    
6  SILVER MAJESTY         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00    
7  KRICKLE Jul09 May26 May11 Apr19   (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 2.00 24% 3.10    
 
ELP-3   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHT CHANT Jun22         (mott i)GRAHAM J 119 4.00    
2  INEXORABLE Sep25 Jul16 Jun25     (contreras cipriano)EMIGH A 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
3  MAGICAL THINKING         (desormeaux keit)HEARD TYLER 119 10.00    
4  HEZMORETHANREADY Jul07 May30 May15 Aug26 Jul30 (house gary)GILLIGAN JACK 119 12.00 10% 8.90    
5  BLUES ADMIRAL Mar04 Feb03       (moquett e)NAVAS YOEL 112 8.00    
6  FOREVER COOL Jul02 Jun04 May03 Apr14 Mar11 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
7  GUCCI BOY Jul09 Jun15 Apr08 Feb24 Jan28 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
ELP-4   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARK'S MISCHIEF Jun23 May28 Apr08 Mar03 Jan21 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 20.00    
SCR  ELITE FORCES Jun25         (cox h)LANERIE J 122 5.00    
3  STUD LOVIN May28 May06 Sep08 Aug12   (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUICK HAMMER Jul08 Oct29 Sep16     (cox h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 8.00    
5  ZAMBEZI Jun25 May28 May05 Apr01   (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  MULLIKIN Jul02 May27 Apr08 Feb18   (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 0.80 58% 0.70    
 
ELP-5   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARKROOM         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 3.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  LIV TO THE MAX (IRE)         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  COIN MINER         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  COACH JIMI D Jul15         (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
5  MCVICKER         (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 8.00    
6  YULETIDE GALLOP         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 ★    
7  RED FROST         (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 20.00    
8  IN A JAM Jul15 Jun24       (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
9  LIAM'S JOURNEY         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  BOLD FORCE Jun24         (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  NORMANDY HERO Jul01         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00    
 
ELP-6   07/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGH SPEED Jul09 May26 May14 Apr22 Mar26 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
2  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Jun16 May14 Apr22 Mar23 Feb25 (cook b)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
3  L. A. STAR Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 Dec08 Nov21 (lucas wa)RODRIGUEZ A 117 15.00    
4  SHAPE OF YOU Jun14 May10 Nov21 Nov01 Oct13 (pittman bonni)STILLION BROOKE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  JUDY'S WAY Jun23 May26 Apr28 Mar11 Jan16 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  U SO MONEY BABY Jul12 Jun10 Apr27 Mar17 Feb25 (cundiff waylo)PETERSON FERRIN 122 30.00    
7  MABEE LUCKYNWILD Jun30 Jun09 May19 Apr28 Apr02 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
8  FOREVER HOME Jul07 Jun14 May04 Mar24 Feb24 (shorter aaron)NAVAS YOEL 115 2.00 13% 6.50    
9  DUPLICITOUS Jul09 May28 May10 Apr08 Jan28 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.00 8% 12.20    
 
ELP-7   07/30/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARPENYOURFAITH         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
2  AUGUSTINE RED         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
3  SUGA STEVE Jul03 May25 May03     (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 10.00    
4  QUIET RUSH         (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00    
5  KITTY HAWK (GB)         (oliver victo)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DO YOUR JOB Jul12         (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 2.50 50% 1.00    
7  SPONGE BATH         (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  MADARAAT         (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
9  THUNDER BALL         (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 12.00    
10  KING BUKELE         (torres ale)AYALA ISAIAS 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ALL YOUR FAULT Jul12         (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 119 8.00    
12  TANGO YANKEE         (maker micha)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  UNCLE HAPPY         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50    
 
ELP-8   07/30/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NORBERT Jun18         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00    
2  DISSOLVED         (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
3  SHOWDOWN KING         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
4  STRAIGHT AND LEVEL         (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
5  RIVALRY         (cox h)TORRES A 124 8.00    
6  ALILNALOT Jun10 May13 Mar24 Feb25   (catalano wayne )MORALES EDGAR 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
7  PENSACOLA Aug28         (brisset rodo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 3.50 51% 1.00    
8  GREAT BARRIER Oct23         (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  SPIELMAN Nov26 Oct30 Oct01 Aug21 Jul22 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.00    
10  GUADALAJARA Feb18 Jan21       (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  GILDED CRAKEN May14 Apr22       (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  HOLY MOLY ABRAHAM Jul16 Jun24 May21     (lovell dennis)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 50.00    
 
ELP-9   07/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLICY OPTION Jun24 Jun01 May13 Apr26 Apr12 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 6.00    
2  MAHAAMEL (IRE) Jul09 Jun11 May19 Feb24 Feb11 (londono gene)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  COMMANDPERFORMANCE Jun22 May25 Apr06 Aug07 Jul10 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 10.00    
4  ALEJANDRO Jun11 Apr07 Feb18 Dec11 Nov02 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 5.00 22% 3.70    
5  CALL ME MIDNIGHT Jul01 Jun04 Nov26 Oct23 Sep10 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
6  STOLEN BASE Jul09 May19 Dec26 Nov27 Oct29 (maker michael)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 ★    
SCR  UNINVITED GUEST Jul02 May11 Apr23 Feb11 Jan15 (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
8  DHABAB (IRE)         (vaughan edward)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 20.00    
9  MR. BIG NEWS Jul01         (calhoun william )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  TAPAGE Jul02 Jun18 May13 Mar04 Jan25 (cano munoz)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00    
11  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Jun02 May11 Feb22 Jan14 Feb25 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE QUEENS JULES Jul03 Mar10 Feb09 Dec18 Nov12 (van th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 12.00    
SCR  SEARCH ENGINE May25 Feb28 Feb11 Dec11 Nov04 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.