The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belterra Park
Friday - July 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $20.80 -6.00
    Exacta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-3 2 0 $92.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-3-1 3 0 $120.00 -3.00
BTP-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
    Exacta (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 4-1 2 0 $7.30 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 4-1-6 3 0 $6.40 0.00
    Daily Double (1/4/5)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-4 2 0 $16.10 -6.00
BTP-3   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-6 2 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-6-4 3 1 $9.80 $9.80 6.80
    Pick Three (1/4/5)-(2/4)-(3/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 2-3/4-2/3 3 0 $16.55 -9.00
BTP-4   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $4.00 -4.00
    Exacta (4/7)-(4/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 3-4 2 0 $4.00 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 3-4-5 3 0 $4.30 0.00
    Pick Three (2/4)-(3/4/6)-(4/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 4-2/3-3 3 0 $5.20 -6.00
BTP-5   Win (2/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $23.60 -8.00
    Exacta (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-5 2 0 $28.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8)-(2/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 1-5-8 3 0 $99.90 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/4/6)-(4/7)-(2/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2/3-3-1 3 0 $30.90 -12.00
BTP-6   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
    Exacta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5 2 1 $9.50 $9.50 3.50
    Trifecta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-5-6 3 1 $13.05 $13.05 10.05
    Pick Three (4/7)-(2/5/7/8)-(1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-1-1 3 0 $143.45 -12.00
BTP-7   Win (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Exacta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-8 2 0 $11.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/6/7)-(1/6/7)-(1/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-8-2 3 0 $26.15 -3.00
    Pick Three (2/5/7/8)-(1/5/6)-(1/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1-1-6 3 0 $83.50 -18.00
BTP-8   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-7 2 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
    Trifecta (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-7-5 3 0 $2.90 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/6/7)-(1/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-4 2 1 $6.20 $6.20 -2.80
    Pick Three (1/5/6)-(1/6/7)-(1/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-6-4 3 1 $17.75 $17.75 4.25

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
:252 :493 1:142 1:27   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MOON PIE 2 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 1(beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 120 4.00 9.40  
APRIL'S NO FOOL 3 3 21 2½ 2nk 21 2(miller jerome)PETERSON FERRIN 120 4.50 6.80  
PRINCESSTAPITURE 1 2 3 3 3 33(andrade hugo)COLON H 120 3.00 39% 1.60 3.00 S
SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) 5 6 6 53 4 45 49 (hiles a)MCKEE J 122 1.80 13% 6.40 0.50  
SACRED BEAUTY 4 5 53 43 5 510 516¼ (roberson dennis)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 13% 7.00 12.40  
L. A. STAR 6 4 4 6 68 610½ 616½ (lucas wayne)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 25.00  
 
BTP-2   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
:214 :451 :58     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPGRADE AL 3 1 1 16   16 1(smith larry)OUZTS W 121 2.00 69% 0.40 0.30 W
THE PINK Z 1 2 36 37   26 2(silva fernand)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 6.00 9.10  
JUST TAPIT IN 4 4 421 421   415½ 316 (waltermire bruc)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 6.00 7.80  
IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 2 3 2 26   3417 (bennett c)MCKEE J 121 3.50 6% 15.80 2.70  
SCR  OHIO EAGLE               (zielinski rich)TAPARA BRANDON 123 4.00    
SCR  THAT'S THE WAY               (gorham robe)CORREA L 121 4.50    
 
BTP-3   07/14/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
:224 :464       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NARA 2 3 2½ 2nk   1½ 1(howard d)REYES R 124 1.80 57% 0.80 0.70 W
KOBE BEACH 5 5 5 5   43 2(rodriquez reg)JIMENEZ J 122 5.00 5% 19.00 8.40 P
GOLDEN SURVIVOR 3 4 43 3   33(alessi james)PANAIJO JORGE 122 3.00 16% 5.30 2.40 S
EASILY INFLUENCED 1 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 46 (brafford c)OUZTS W 122 3.50 4.10  
KING T'CHALLA 4 1 32 4   55 5(johnston rebecc)CANUTO THIAGO 122 6.00 14.10  
SCR  CHEESEBURGER               (chain pearl)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 10.00    
 
BTP-4   07/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
:224 :472 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARAH JANE 1 4 4 3   11(bates l)LEBRON VICTOR 124 3.50 1.00  
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 2 2 2 44   44 2(skeens jeremy)COLON H 124 5.00 27% 2.80 1.70 P
BEEBLEGEE 3 3 3 2   23(silva fernand)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00 14.50  
MISS TREATED STAR 4 1 1 1   3416 (smith larry)OUZTS W 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.20  
SCR  A SMILE A DAY               (hobson doug)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.00    
SCR  MY BELLE MICHELLE               (gorham m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 6.00    
SCR  REYS PINA COLADA               (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 8.00    
 
BTP-5   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
:234 :472 1:111 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST FALL 1 1 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 1(hernandez javier)COLON H 118 12.00 10.80  
P K WOOD 4 4 4 52 3 2½ 2(esquivel je)CORREA L 123 2.50 60% 0.70 1.90 P
CROONER 7 7 2 2½ 2½ 32 3(jazdzewski jon)MCKEE J 125 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50 S
DESERT HIGHWAY 2 2 77 7 79 647 (antonuik jerry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 6.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
SILVESTRE 6 5 66 6 67 55(cambray ignaci)CRUZ JUAN 123 5.00 10% 9.00 11.20  
COLOR FIELD 5 6 54 31 43 4610¼ (bahena ismael)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.50 5.70  
ALL ABOUT CROGE 3 3 33 42 5 77 712½ (hernandez javier)REYES R 118 20.00 8.20  
SCR  AMERICAINAED               (gose amy)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 30.00    
SCR  SPECIAL A               (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 123 3.50    
 
BTP-6   07/14/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
:232 :473 1:124 1:403   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POPULIST 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2nk 11 (moquett e)ACHARD ALEX 120 3.00 20% 4.10 2.20 W
RAISON KARTER 4 3 52 4 2nk 1nk 21 (estvanko r)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 1.80 49% 1.00 1.20 P
KNIGHT'S CROSS 5 5 41 31 44 36 38 (van thomas)OUZTS W 120 4.00 8% 12.30 5.70 S
SUBDUED 3 2 3½ 52 55 5411¼ (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 3.50 4.90  
DROPPED ANCHOR 2 4 2nk 2nk 3 4512½ (nations)ULLOA PATRICIO 120 6.00 5.90  
SCR  BRODYTHEOXMAN               (lopez a)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00    
 
BTP-7   07/14/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
:23 :464 1:113 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A KEEPER 4 3 1 1 13 15 1(esquivel je)CORREA L 125 3.50 25% 3.00 1.60 W
JOEZINE 6 6 57 67 5 57 2(macias adolfo)LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.50 3.30  
GAMBI 2 1 45 4 46 33(alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 4.30  
MACI'S GEMSTONE 1 4 68 57 68 44(short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00 15% 5.60 12.30  
AWESOME VALOR 5 5 3 2 23 25 5(adams l)REYES R 125 4.00 34% 2.00 3.20  
LADY BIRD KISSES 3 2 2 34 3 69 616 (royal madelyn)HESS SARA 115 10.00 7.80  
SCR  PINK SOLITAIRE               (kendall elise)MCENTEE GRACE 120 12.00    
SCR  VOGELSANG               (ewing a)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 2.50    
 
BTP-8   07/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:244 :483 1:134 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPREME SONG 2 2 2nk 2nk 1 119 (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 2.50 58% 0.70 0.80 W
SCOTCH NO ROCKS 5 1 1nk 1nk 2 229 (roberson dennis)LEBRON VICTOR 125 4.00 16% 5.20 1.60 P
GOOD SOUL 3 3 4 4 3 3310½ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 4.50 7.20  
EL MIC TIESUN 6 4 5 5 4 49 415¾ (scott l)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 20.00 26.40  
GRASSROOTS 1 5 32 3 5 512 524½ (adams l)REYES R 125 5.00 5% 19.00 7.70  
BENITO 4 6 611¾ 6 6 615 631½ (dailey ronald)BUSH V 120 30.00 43.00  
SCR  NEVER SORRY               (hernandez javier)COLON H 120 8.00    
SCR  PERFECT THUNDER               (esquivel je)CORREA L 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.