The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Ellis Park
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $20.10 -6.00
    Exacta (4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-7 2 0 $165.44 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/5/7)-(4/5/7)-(4/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 1-7-2 3 0 $141.11 -3.00
ELP-2   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.48 $4.48 0.48
    Exacta (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-6 2 0 $12.00 -4.00
    Daily Double (4/5/7)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-1 2 0 $21.65 -6.00
ELP-3   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.96 $7.96 1.96
    Exacta (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-7 2 1 $23.20 $23.20 11.20
    Trifecta (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-7-3 3 0 $26.18 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/5)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2 2 1 $7.36 $7.36 1.36
    Daily Double (1/5)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-5 2 0 $1.86 -6.00
    Pick Three (4/5/7)-(1/5)-(2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 1-1-2 3 0 $58.74 -9.00
    Pick Three (4/5/7)-(1/5)-(2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 1-1-5 3 0 $10.65 -9.00
ELP-4   Win (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 13 1 0 $4.90 -4.00
    Exacta (2/9)-(2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 13-9 2 0 $10.56 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 13-9-2 3 0 $7.53 0.00
    Daily Double (2/4/7)-(2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-13 2 0 $8.73 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/4/7)-(2/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-8 2 0 $3.43 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/5)-(2/4/7)-(2/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 1-2-13 3 0 $16.65 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/5)-(2/4/7)-(2/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 1-2-8 3 0 $5.33 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/5)-(2/4/7)-(2/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 1-5-13 3 0 $2.61 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/5)-(2/4/7)-(2/9) 12 $0.50 $6.00 1-5-8 3 0 $0.95 -6.00
ELP-5   Win (3/5/10/13/14) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $22.18 -10.00
    Exacta (3/5/10/13/14)-(3/5/10/13/14) 20 $2.00 $40.00 2-13 2 0 $164.22 -40.00
    Trifecta (3/5/10/13/14)-(3/5/10/13/14)-(3/5/10/13/14) 60 $0.50 $30.00 2-13-11 3 0 $387.89 -30.00
    Daily Double (2/9)-(3/5/10/13/14) 10 $1.00 $10.00 13-2 2 0 $21.74 -10.00
    Pick Three (2/4/7)-(2/9)-(3/5/10/13/14) 30 $0.50 $15.00 2-13-2 3 0 $74.37 -15.00
    Pick Three (2/4/7)-(2/9)-(3/5/10/13/14) 30 $0.50 $15.00 2-8-2 3 0 $20.55 -15.00
ELP-6   Win (1/2/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.88 $3.88 -4.12
    Exacta (1/2/6/11)-(1/2/6/9/11) 16 $2.00 $32.00 1-4 2 0 $11.18 -32.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6/11)-(1/2/6/9/11)-(1/2/6/9/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-4-2 3 0 $11.12 -24.00
    Daily Double (3/5/10/13/14)-(1/2/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 2-1 2 0 $21.41 -20.00
    Pick Three (2/9)-(3/5/10/13/14)-(1/2/6/11) 40 $0.50 $20.00 13-2-1 3 0 $46.63 -20.00
ELP-7   Win (5/9/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.04 -6.00
    Exacta (5/9/11)-(5/9/11) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-9 2 0 $36.52 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/9/11)-(5/9/11)-(5/9/11) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-9-13 3 0 $38.61 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/11)-(5/9/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $15.82 -12.00
    Pick Three (3/5/10/13/14)-(1/2/6/11)-(5/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 2-1-4 3 0 $52.42 -30.00
ELP-8   Win (1/3/4/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.92 $4.92 -5.08
    Exacta (1/3/4/7/9)-(1/3/4/7/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-4 2 1 $36.08 $36.08 -3.92
    Trifecta (1/3/4/7/9)-(1/3/4/7/9)-(1/3/4/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 1-4-5 3 0 $33.01 -30.00
    Daily Double (5/9/11)-(1/3/4/7/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 4-1 2 0 $22.33 -15.00
    Pick Three (1/2/6/11)-(5/9/11)-(1/3/4/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 1-4-1 3 0 $13.75 -30.00
ELP-9   Win (1/8/9/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $8.46 $8.46 0.46
    Exacta (1/8/9/11)-(1/8/9/11) 12 $2.00 $24.00 11-9 2 1 $37.60 $37.60 13.60
    Trifecta (1/8/9/11)-(1/8/9/11)-(1/8/9/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 11-9-10 3 0 $77.30 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/7/9)-(1/8/9/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 1-11 2 1 $11.83 $11.83 -8.17
    Pick Three (5/9/11)-(1/3/4/7/9)-(1/8/9/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-1-11 3 0 $30.57 -30.00

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
:223 :454 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO VIRTUAL 1 4 4 3   31(gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00 9.05  
I NINETY FIVE 6 2 2½ 2½   22(foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.54 P
COLONEL BARTON 2 3 3 4   43(puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.50 2.25  
PRINCE OF PENNIES 5 1 1½ 1½   14(davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 1.40 64% 0.60 3.00  
LIAMS LAD 4 5 55 5   55(mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50 10% 8.60 1.87  
WICKED REVIEW 3 6 612 611½   6611½ (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 10.06  
SCR  AZTECA STAR               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
 
ELP-2   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
:224 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIP IT 1 1 2 2½   12 17 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.40 51% 1.00 1.24 W
SHES A SECRET 4 2 1 1½   22 27 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 3.40  
TAMARA'S WAY 3 3 34 4   4310½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 20% 3.90 1.34 S
XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 2 4 4 33   3411½ (nihei michelle)NAVAS YOEL 111 15.00 7.80  
SCR  MONOCACY               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
SCR  SOCIAL MANDATE               (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
 
ELP-3   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
:234 :473 1:131 1:264   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY OAK 2 2 31 3.2 1nk 1nk 1nk (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.98 W
ISLE OF HOPE 6 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 26% 2.90 1.55 P
VINO VELOCE 3 6 6 6 4 3½ 3(puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 3.85  
INDY LABEL 1 3 5 4 5 54(barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 25.41  
CLEARLY COPPER 4 1 4 5 31 42 5(asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 30% 2.40 2.49  
INCREDIBLY CHICKI 5 4 1nk 2nk 610¾ 617½ 657½ (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 20.00 24.46  
SCR  HONOR CAT               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SESSA SISU               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
 
ELP-4   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
:242 :472 1:102 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  PROMISE ME A RIDE 5 5 21 2nk 1½ 13 1(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 1.45  
BILLY JACK 3 2 11 1nk 2½ 23 2(asmussen st)TORRES A 120 6.00 11% 7.70 1.20 P
BERRETTINI 1 1 32 3 3 35 310¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 8% 11.60 6.89 S
SINGLE RULER 2 3 5 4 4 4411 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 7.08  
12  DUAL MONARCHY 4 4 43 5 5 58 519 (sharp joe)LANERIE J 120 15.00 8.90  
SCR  SCOOBIE QUANDO               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE               (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00    
SCR  ROJA REDEMPTION               (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
SCR  PROTEGE               (moquett ronald )GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00    
SCR  MY UNCLE LEON               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON               (escobar alison)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS               (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 54% 0.90    
 
ELP-5   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
:224 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINING SUGAR 1 4 5 5   21 1(mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 10.09  
13  ASTERNIA 10 3 2nk 2nk   11 2(morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 34% 2.00 3.03 P
11  DESPO'S DREAM 8 6 31 4   435 (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 8.58  
14  GALLOP D'HERMES 11 7 4 31   345 (zanelli dante)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 5% 19.00 60.81  
HIGH FASHION KATE 2 8 9 9   65(minnock g)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 53.53  
FIELD LASS 6 1 1nk 1nk   56(arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 4.27  
TIPSY RUNNER 3 5 6 6   7713¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 18% 4.60 4.14  
GOLDEN STORM 4 9 11 108   9814 (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 12.00 10.50  
15  MISS PEARL HART 12 10 8 84   8914½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 17.03  
10  SUCRE CECILE 7 2 7 7   101020¾ (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.59  
12  HOT MOCHA 9 12 10 118   1111¼ 1120¾ (mccarthy michae)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 8.94  
MAUI MISTRESS 5 11 12 1210½   1213¼ 1224¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 15.07  
SCR  BELLA VALENTINA               (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 50.00    
SCR  RIPAROUND               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
SCR  TONALITE               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  WONDER WAVE (IRE)               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 1.60    
 
ELP-6   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
:232 :464 1:11 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POBLANO 1 1 1 1 1 11(walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 43% 1.30 0.94 W
METHODOLOGY 4 3 2 2 3 22(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 3.21  
EYES OF GOLD 2 2 32 3 2 3311½ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 32% 2.10 12.79 S
QUEEN OF MISSOULA 8 10 7 43 44 46 412¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 11.95  
LACIE BE GOOD 6 5 9 7 57 5518¾ (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.81  
SALSALITA VERDE 5 6 10 8 7 6618¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 30.70  
11  FLIRTING GIRL 10 8 8 9 6 712¼ 727 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.42  
10  EMPIRICAL VIEW 9 7 64 10 910¼ 813¾ 829½ (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 8.01  
POOL NOODLE 7 4 43 6 810 913¾ 931½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 47.41  
CANCERFREE KIDS 3 9 54 5 1013¼ 1026¼ 1053¼ (hester hal)STRANDBERG MALLORY 118 50.00 90.97  
SCR  NO GUILT               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
:234 :464 1:104 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMUNICATION MEMO 2 2 3 3 4 31 1¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 15.00 5.02  
ENDPOINT 4 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 30% 2.30 2.25 P
13  WINNEMAC AVENUE 6 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 3¾ (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 1.79  
WHAT A BLAST 1 1 4 4 3 443 (maker micha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 7.60  
BASELINE BEATER 3 4 6 5 6 5510 (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 21% 3.80 4.79  
11  PIKE PLACE 5 5 53 6 53 6615¼ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 25% 2.90 9.86  
SCR  MOREAU               (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB)               (engler jeff)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
SCR  LAZARUS               (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
SCR  INTERLOCK EMPIRE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  CADILLAC CANDY               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
SCR  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE               (roussel j)LANERIE J 120 3.00    
 
ELP-8   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:221 :443 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GULFSTREAM WAY 1 3 4 41   31hd (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.46 W
VULCAN 4 2 1nk 1nk   12hd (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.64 P
BROKEN RIB 5 8 8 74   43(amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 5.20  
12  CHATTALOT 9 1 5 3½   24(asmussen st)TORRES A 122 15.00 15.38  
LUGAN KNIGHT 3 6 6 63   55(mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 22% 3.50 4.36  
UNPREDICTABLE BAY 6 7 7 9   76(hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 43.05  
WILLTORUN 7 9 9 8   67(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 9% 10.40 4.14  
OLAZABAL 2 4 3.2 52   98(foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 20.80  
11  INSOLITO 8 5 2nk 2nk   8913 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 124 20.00 18.52  
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
SCR  DON'T WAIT UP               (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS               (fires h)COURT K 122 12.00    
SCR  STONEVICIOUS               (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
SCR  VIOLENT CITY               (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:243 :483 1:121 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GREENER PASTURES 7 4 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 1(mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 123 1.60 33% 2.00 3.23 W
EDDIE M 5 2 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 2(walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 8% 11.60 4.40 P
10  LONG CROW 6 5 4 31 42 43(shorter aar)TORRES A 123 8.00 27.84  
MUCHO MOJO 2 3 32 4 3½ 34(foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 28.16  
MAASAI WARRIOR 3 7 74 63 6 55(leonard iii)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 4.16  
OCEAN POINTE 4 1 53 7 7 65 6(estvanko richa)RAMOS D 120 3.50 11% 8.20 7.42  
TEPEU 1 6 63 5 5 77 712¼ (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 26% 2.90 1.43  
SCR  ALL CHOKED UP               (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 12.00    
SCR  BOCO               (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 123 15.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
SCR  TRIGGER HAPPY               (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.