Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $20.10  
ELP-2   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.48 $4.48 0.48
ELP-3   Win (4/7/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.96 $7.96  
ELP-4   Win (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 13 1 0 $4.90  
ELP-5   Win (13/5/10/14/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $22.18  
ELP-6   Win (1/2/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.88 $3.88  
ELP-7   Win (9/11/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $12.04  
ELP-8   Win (1/3/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.92 $4.92  
ELP-9   Win (11/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $8.46 $8.46 0.46
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :454 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO VIRTUAL 1 4 42½ 32½   31½ 12½ (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00 9.05  
7  I NINETY FIVE 6 2 2½ 2½   21½ 22½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.54 P
2  COLONEL BARTON 2 3 32½ 42½   42½ 32½ (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.50 2.25  
5  PRINCE OF PENNIES 5 1 1½ 1½   11½ 42¾ (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 1.40 64% 0.60 3.00  
4  LIAMS LAD 4 5 55 55½   54½ 53¼ (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50 10% 8.60 1.87  
3  WICKED REVIEW 3 6 612 611½   68½ 611½ (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 10.06  
SCR  AZTECA STAR               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
 
ELP-2   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:224 :46 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHIP IT 1 1 22½ 2½   12 17 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.40 51% 1.00 1.24 W
6  SHES A SECRET 4 2 12½ 1½   22 27 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 3.40  
5  TAMARA'S WAY 3 3 34 44½   45½ 310½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 20% 3.90 1.34 S
2  XTRASAUCEWELLDONE 2 4 44½ 33   34½ 411½ (nihei michelle)NAVAS YOEL 111 15.00 7.80  
SCR  MONOCACY               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
SCR  SOCIAL MANDATE               (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
 
ELP-3   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:131 1:264   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CANDY OAK 2 2 31 3.2 1nk 1nk 1nk (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 2.98 W
7  ISLE OF HOPE 6 5 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 26% 2.90 1.55 P
3  VINO VELOCE 3 6 65¼ 61½ 41¼ 3½ 31¼ (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50 3.85  
1  INDY LABEL 1 3 53¾ 41¼ 52¾ 52½ 42¼ (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 25.41  
4  CLEARLY COPPER 4 1 43½ 51¼ 31 42 52½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 30% 2.40 2.49  
6  INCREDIBLY CHICKI 5 4 1nk 2nk 610¾ 617½ 657½ (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 20.00 24.46  
SCR  HONOR CAT               (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  SESSA SISU               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
 
ELP-4   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:242 :472 1:102 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  PROMISE ME A RIDE 5 5 21 2nk 1½ 13 16¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50 1.45  
9  BILLY JACK 3 2 11 1nk 2½ 23 26¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 6.00 11% 7.70 1.20 P
2  BERRETTINI 1 1 32 31½ 33½ 35 310¼ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 8% 11.60 6.89 S
4  SINGLE RULER 2 3 53½ 42½ 46½ 47½ 411 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 7.08  
12  DUAL MONARCHY 4 4 43 52¾ 56½ 58 519 (sharp joe)LANERIE J 120 15.00 8.90  
SCR  SCOOBIE QUANDO               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE               (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00    
SCR  ROJA REDEMPTION               (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
SCR  PROTEGE               (moquett ronald )GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00    
SCR  MY UNCLE LEON               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON               (escobar alison)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS               (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 54% 0.90    
 
ELP-5   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RAINING SUGAR 1 4 51¾ 51¼   21 12¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 10.09  
13  ASTERNIA 10 3 2nk 2nk   11 22¾ (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 34% 2.00 3.03 P
11  DESPO'S DREAM 8 6 31 41¼   42½ 35 (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00 8.58  
14  GALLOP D'HERMES 11 7 41¼ 31   32½ 45 (zanelli dante)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 5% 19.00 60.81  
3  HIGH FASHION KATE 2 8 95¾ 95½   65¼ 59½ (minnock g)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 53.53  
9  FIELD LASS 6 1 1nk 1nk   52¾ 69¾ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 4.27  
5  TIPSY RUNNER 3 5 62¾ 62¾   75¾ 713¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 18% 4.60 4.14  
6  GOLDEN STORM 4 9 117¾ 108   97¾ 814 (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 12.00 10.50  
15  MISS PEARL HART 12 10 84¼ 84   87¾ 914½ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 17.03  
10  SUCRE CECILE 7 2 73¼ 73¾   109¾ 1020¾ (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.59  
12  HOT MOCHA 9 12 107¾ 118   1111¼ 1120¾ (mccarthy michae)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00 8.94  
7  MAUI MISTRESS 5 11 129¾ 1210½   1213¼ 1224¾ (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 15.07  
SCR  BELLA VALENTINA               (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 50.00    
SCR  RIPAROUND               (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
SCR  TONALITE               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  WONDER WAVE (IRE)               (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 1.60    
 
ELP-6   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:11 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POBLANO 1 1 11½ 11½ 11½ 13½ 19¼ (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 43% 1.30 0.94 W
4  METHODOLOGY 4 3 21½ 21½ 31½ 23½ 29¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 3.21  
2  EYES OF GOLD 2 2 32 31½ 21½ 33½ 311½ (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 32% 2.10 12.79 S
9  QUEEN OF MISSOULA 8 10 74¼ 43 44 46 412¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 ★ 11.95  
6  LACIE BE GOOD 6 5 95¾ 74¼ 57 59½ 518¾ (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 13.81  
5  SALSALITA VERDE 5 6 106¼ 84½ 78½ 69¾ 618¾ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 30.70  
11  FLIRTING GIRL 10 8 85¼ 94½ 67½ 712¼ 727 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00 13.42  
10  EMPIRICAL VIEW 9 7 64 105½ 910¼ 813¾ 829½ (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 8.01  
7  POOL NOODLE 7 4 43 64¼ 810 913¾ 931½ (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00 47.41  
3  CANCERFREE KIDS 3 9 54 53¼ 1013¼ 1026¼ 1053¼ (hester hal)STRANDBERG MALLORY 118 50.00 90.97  
SCR  NO GUILT               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
 
ELP-7   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:104 1:231   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COMMUNICATION MEMO 2 2 31½ 31½ 41½ 31 1¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 15.00 5.02  
9  ENDPOINT 4 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¼ (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 30% 2.30 2.25 P
13  WINNEMAC AVENUE 6 6 2½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 3¾ (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00 1.79  
2  WHAT A BLAST 1 1 41½ 41½ 31½ 42½ 43 (maker micha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00 7.60  
5  BASELINE BEATER 3 4 63¼ 52½ 63½ 57½ 510 (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 21% 3.80 4.79  
11  PIKE PLACE 5 5 53 63½ 53 68½ 615¼ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 25% 2.90 9.86  
SCR  MOREAU               (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB)               (engler jeff)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
SCR  LAZARUS               (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
SCR  INTERLOCK EMPIRE               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  CADILLAC CANDY               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
SCR  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE               (roussel j)LANERIE J 120 3.00    
 
ELP-8   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :443 :564     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GULFSTREAM WAY 1 3 41¾ 41   31½ 1hd (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 38% 1.60 1.46 W
4  VULCAN 4 2 1nk 1nk   11½ 2hd (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 10.64 P
5  BROKEN RIB 5 8 85¼ 74   43½ 31½ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 5.20  
12  CHATTALOT 9 1 51¾ 3½   21½ 42¾ (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 15.00 15.38  
3  LUGAN KNIGHT 3 6 63¼ 63   53¾ 56¼ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 22% 3.50 4.36  
7  UNPREDICTABLE BAY 6 7 74¼ 95¾   76¼ 66¾ (hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00 43.05  
9  WILLTORUN 7 9 95¾ 85½   65¼ 77¼ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 9% 10.40 4.14  
2  OLAZABAL 2 4 3.2 52   96½ 89¾ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 20.80  
11  INSOLITO 8 5 2nk 2nk   86¼ 913 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 124 20.00 18.52  
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL               (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
SCR  DON'T WAIT UP               (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS               (fires h)COURT K 122 12.00    
SCR  STONEVICIOUS               (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
SCR  VIOLENT CITY               (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
 
ELP-9   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:121 1:242   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GREENER PASTURES 7 4 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 11½ (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 123 1.60 33% 2.00 3.23 W
9  EDDIE M 5 2 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 21½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 8% 11.60 4.40 P
10  LONG CROW 6 5 42½ 31 42 43½ 33¾ (shorter aar)TORRES A 123 8.00 27.84  
4  MUCHO MOJO 2 3 32 41½ 3½ 32½ 44½ (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 28.16  
5  MAASAI WARRIOR 3 7 74 63 63¾ 54½ 54¾ (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 123 6.00 4.16  
8  OCEAN POINTE 4 1 53 74½ 74¼ 65 66¼ (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 120 3.50 11% 8.20 7.42  
1  TEPEU 1 6 63 52½ 53½ 77 712¼ (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 26% 2.90 1.43  
SCR  ALL CHOKED UP               (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 12.00    
SCR  BOCO               (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 123 15.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
SCR  TRIGGER HAPPY               (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.