Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Friday - August 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ELP-3   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (9/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ELP-5   Win (13/5/10/14/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (1/2/11/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-7   Win (9/11/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-8   Win (1/3/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (11/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO VIRTUAL Jan01 Dec08 Oct19 Oct01 Sep20 (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 15.00    
COLONEL BARTON Apr29 Apr16 Mar12 Mar03 Feb04 (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.50    
WICKED REVIEW Aug26         (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
LIAMS LAD Jul12 Jun20 May13     (mackey wayne)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 2.50 10% 8.60    
PRINCE OF PENNIES Jul13 Jun15 May17     (davis christ)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 1.40 64% 0.60    
SCR  AZTECA STAR Jun10         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
I NINETY FIVE Jul09 Jun15 Oct05 Sep11   (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-2   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHIP IT Jun24 May27 Apr21 Feb12 Jan01 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 1.40 51% 1.00    
XTRASAUCEWELLDONE Apr27 Mar18 Feb22 Jan26 Jan01 (nihei michelle)NAVAS YOEL 111 15.00    
SCR  MONOCACY Jul06 May27 Jan05 Dec16 Nov25 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
SCR  SOCIAL MANDATE Jun24 May27 Apr27 Apr08 Feb22 (hancock john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 6.00    
TAMARA'S WAY Jul16 Jun18 May26 Jan01 Dec17 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 20% 3.90    
SHES A SECRET Jun24 Jun02 Sep21 Aug06   (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50    
 
ELP-3   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY LABEL         (barkley jason)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
CANDY OAK Jun30         (diodoro rob)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
VINO VELOCE         (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 3.50    
CLEARLY COPPER Jul01 Jun04       (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  HONOR CAT Jun29 May19       (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
INCREDIBLY CHICKI Jul07         (sharp joe)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
ISLE OF HOPE Jul09         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  SESSA SISU         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
 
ELP-4   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PROTEGE Jul15 Apr14 Feb04 Dec17 Nov04 (moquett ronald )GARCIA MARTIN 120 8.00    
BERRETTINI Jun22 May28 Apr20 Sep03   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 8% 11.60    
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE Jul07 May06 Mar25 Mar11   (maker j)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00    
SINGLE RULER Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 May29 Mar25 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00    
SCR  WINSTON WOLF Jul09 Jun17 May17 Aug28   (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 120 15.00    
SCR  SCOOBIE QUANDO Jun03 May06 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 2.50    
SCR  MY UNCLE LEON Jun10 May14 Apr21 Mar25 Mar04 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS Jul09 Jun17 Mar04 Feb11 Jan05 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 54% 0.90    
BILLY JACK Jul02 Jun04 Apr22 Mar25   (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 6.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  ROJA REDEMPTION Jun17 Apr21 Mar25 Feb10   (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
SCR  LE GRIFFON Jul14 May27 Sep07 Aug17   (escobar alison)CANNON DECLAN 120 20.00    
12  DUAL MONARCHY Jun29 May14 Apr08 Mar04 Feb02 (sharp joe)TORRES A 120 15.00    
13  PROMISE ME A RIDE Jul09 May06 Mar19     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.50    
 
ELP-5   08/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RIPAROUND Jun16         (ennis john)GILLIGAN JACK 119 20.00    
RAINING SUGAR         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00    
HIGH FASHION KATE         (minnock g)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WONDER WAVE (IRE) Jul16         (lynch a)BEJARANO R 119 1.60    
TIPSY RUNNER         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
GOLDEN STORM         (o'neill doug)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
MAUI MISTRESS         (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00    
SCR  BELLA VALENTINA Jul06 Jun08 May11     (orantes r)NAVAS YOEL 112 50.00    
FIELD LASS         (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
10  SUCRE CECILE         (davis christ)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  DESPO'S DREAM         (puhich mike)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 10.00    
12  HOT MOCHA         (mccarthy michae)CANNON DECLAN 119 6.00    
13  ASTERNIA         (morse l)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50 34% 2.00    
14  GALLOP D'HERMES         (zanelli dante)CHUAN MARTIN 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
15  MISS PEARL HART         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00    
SCR  TONALITE         (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
 
ELP-6   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POBLANO Nov26 Oct22       (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
EYES OF GOLD Jul22 Nov24 Oct22 Sep22 Aug13 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 32% 2.10    
CANCERFREE KIDS         (hester hal)STRANDBERG MALLORY 118 50.00    
METHODOLOGY Jun24 Jun03       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
SALSALITA VERDE Jun30 Jun08 Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
LACIE BE GOOD Jun10 May20 Oct02 Aug06   (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
POOL NOODLE Jul08         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 118 12.00    
SCR  NO GUILT Jun24 Jun03 May05 Mar17 Feb24 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
QUEEN OF MISSOULA Jul15         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
10  EMPIRICAL VIEW Jul09         (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00    
11  FLIRTING GIRL Jun10 Apr29 Apr07 Oct02   (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-7   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOREAU Jun30 May14 Apr22     (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50    
WHAT A BLAST Jul05 Feb24 Jan20 Dec31 Dec02 (maker micha)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 15.00    
SCR  CADILLAC CANDY Jun23 Aug19 May19 Apr28   (arnold r)GRAHAM J 120 10.00    
COMMUNICATION MEMO Jul08 Jun22 Jan01 Dec16 Nov19 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 15.00    
BASELINE BEATER May14 Apr15 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 (pessin l)CANNON DECLAN 120 12.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  C'EST MAGNIFIQUE Jun02 May07 Nov18 Oct16 Jul30 (roussel j)LANERIE J 120 3.00    
SCR  QUADRA ISLAND Mar25 Jan28 Jan01 Dec02   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
SCR  INTERLOCK EMPIRE Jul09 Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
ENDPOINT Jul07 Dec31 Nov26 Oct20 Sep22 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  LAZARUS Jun18 Jun03 May11 Apr21 Mar10 (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
11  PIKE PLACE Jun12 May23 Mar24 Feb04 Jan07 (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 120 15.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  MOONSTRIKE (GB) Jul19 Jun24 May20 Apr28 Mar25 (engler jeff)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 30.00    
13  WINNEMAC AVENUE Jul09 May04 Apr22 Feb03 Dec31 (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 12.00    
 
ELP-8   08/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GULFSTREAM WAY Jul01 May26 May06 Apr23 Mar30 (casse w)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
OLAZABAL May06 Apr16 Mar25 Jan19 Jan01 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
LUGAN KNIGHT Jun04 May06 Apr07 Mar04 Jan07 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
VULCAN Jun30 May05 Mar17 Feb25 Jan28 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BROKEN RIB Jul01 May25 Feb12 Jan16 Dec10 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
SCR  LEAGUE OF LEGENDS Jun29 Apr28 Apr16 Apr02 Mar19 (fires h)COURT K 122 12.00    
UNPREDICTABLE BAY Jul21 Jul07 May14 Apr18 Jan14 (hammond kim)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  VIOLENT CITY Jul01 Mar30 Feb25 Jul08 Jun12 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 20.00    
WILLTORUN Jun23 May02 Apr08 Feb25 Jan14 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 9% 10.40    
SCR  BRIGADIER GENERAL Jun22 May06 Feb25 Sep17 Aug20 (stewart dalla)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 20.00    
11  INSOLITO Jul06 May21 Apr14 Mar17 Mar04 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 124 20.00    
12  CHATTALOT Jul04 May29 Apr23 Apr15 Mar11 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 15.00    
SCR  DON'T WAIT UP Jul07 Jun18 Jun01 May08 Apr12 (garcia genar)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00    
SCR  STONEVICIOUS May19 May11 Apr08 Mar18 Feb25 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 117 12.00    
 
ELP-9   08/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEPEU Jun22 May13 Apr15 Oct01 Aug13 (walsh brend)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  TRIGGER HAPPY Jul08 Jun15 Jun02 May12 Mar22 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 123 8.00    
SCR  BOCO Jul06 May15 Apr21 Mar24 Feb10 (hamilton troy)ELLIOTT JANE 123 15.00    
MUCHO MOJO Jul14 May24 Apr01 Mar17 Feb18 (foster eri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00    
MAASAI WARRIOR Jul21 Jul08 Jun01 Apr29 Mar02 (leonard georg)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 6.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO Jun29 May20 Apr19 Mar30 Mar04 (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 116 20.00    
SCR  ALL CHOKED UP Jun08 May21       (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 12.00    
OCEAN POINTE Jul19 Jun17 May17 Apr21 Mar25 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 120 3.50 11% 8.20    
EDDIE M Jun25 May28 May03 Nov19 Oct21 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 8% 11.60    
10  LONG CROW Jun24 May26 May11 Apr08 Mar03 (shorter aar)TORRES A 123 8.00    
11  GREENER PASTURES Jul09 Jun04 May21 Apr22 Mar10 (mccarthy michael)CHUAN MARTIN 123 1.60 33% 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.