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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Ellis Park
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-1			WIN	(1/3/5)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$25.58			$19.58				326%
ELP-2			DD	(1/3/5)-(3/4/6)						9	$1.00	$9.00	5-3		$28.95			$19.95				222%
ELP-3			WIN	(9/4/5/3/2)						5	$2.00	$10.00	5		$11.68			$1.68				17%
			EXA	(9/4/5/3/2)-(9/4/5/3/2)						20	$2.00	$40.00	5-2		$44.46			$4.46				11%
			PK3	(1/3/5)-(3/4/6)-(9/4/5/3/2)						45	$0.50	$22.50	5-3-5		$86.25			$63.75				283%
ELP-5			WIN	(3/1/5/6)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$22.92			$14.92				187%
			EXA	(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-1		$76.72			$52.72				220%
			DD	(1/9/7/2)-(3/1/5/6)						16	$1.00	$16.00	1-3		$22.70			$6.70				42%
			PK3	(9/4/5/3/2)-(1/9/7/2)-(3/1/5/6)						80	$0.50	$40.00	5-1-3		$95.30			$55.30				138%
			PK4	(3/4/6)-(9/4/5/3/2)-(1/9/7/2)-(3/1/5/6)						240	$0.50	$120	3/5/7-5-1/5-3		$209.69			$89.69				75%
			PK5	(1/3/5)-(3/4/6)-(9/4/5/3/2)-(1/9/7/2)-(3/1/5/6)						720	$0.50	$360	5-3/5/7-5-1/5-3		$3913			$3553				987%
ELP-6			DD	(3/1/5/6)-(7/3/1)						12	$1.00	$12.00	3-7		$19.04			$7.04				59%
			PK4	(9/4/5/3/2)-(1/9/7/2)-(3/1/5/6)-(7/3/1)						240	$0.50	$120	5-1/5-3-2/4/7		$146.31			$26.31				22%
ELP-7			TRI	(6/5/1/3/8)-(6/5/1/3/8)-(6/5/1/3/8)						60	$0.50	$30.00	6-3-8		$50.70			$20.70				69%
			PK3	(3/1/5/6)-(7/3/1)-(6/5/1/3/8)						60	$0.50	$30.00	3-7-6		$37.82			$7.82				26%
ELP-9			WIN	(9/4/3/11/10)						5	$2.00	$10.00	4		$10.94			$0.94				9%
			EXA	(9/4/3/11/10)-(9/4/3/11/10)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-3		$48.12			$8.12				20%
			PK3	(6/5/1/3/8)-(3/5/7/4/6)-(9/4/3/11/10)						125	$3.00	$375	3-6-4		$660.69			$285.69				76%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			07/23/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($50K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	STEEL RACER									(medina rob)CORRALES GERARDO 118						8.00		19%		4.20		11.79	W
2	OVERINDULGENCE									(casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 118						10.00						7.13
3	ABBREVIATION									(shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 118						4.00		20%		3.90		3.61	S
4	EVIE'S ENCORE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						6.00						5.44
1	SHE'S MAGIC									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118						1.80		26%		2.80		0.56
SCR	NO GUILT									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						2.00

ELP-2			07/23/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($40K)					Purse ($40K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	MERCY WARREN									(devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122						2.00		38%		1.70		0.76	W
2	GUANA CAY									(cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						3.00						2.79
6	MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT									(cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						8.00		16%		5.40		7.32	S
1	LA TOURISTA									(vasquez s)BEJARANO R 122						8.00						7.73
4	TOO PRETTY									(peitz dan)TORRES A 122						4.50		16%		5.10		5.75
SCR	MUSIC AMORE									(vasquez germa)CANNON DECLAN 122						6.00
SCR	WATERS OF MEROM									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						8.00

ELP-3			07/23/2023		5280ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($70K)			2		F		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	FEDERALISM									(kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 119						3.50		22%		3.50		4.84	W
		(by CONSTITUTION out of ANOTHER DAY OF SUN by ARCH)
2	PHAROAH'S WINE									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119						10.00		5%		19.00		1.49	P
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SWEEPING PADDY by PADDY O'PRADO)
6	RACONTEUSE									(wilkes r)BEJARANO R 119						6.00						4.76
		(by MITOLE out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
9	YOU'RE KITTEN ME									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.00		33%		2.00		6.73
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DUPLICATE KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
4	GOLD DEL MAR									(bahena i)RODRIGUEZ A 114						5.00		24%		3.20		8.83
		(by GOLDENCENTS out of DEL MAR BABE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1	MAYBE MAGIC									(ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						12.00						19.29
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of ITERATION by WILD AGAIN)
8	TIANMA									(o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00						14.72
		(by DISTORTED HUMOR out of HOME RULE by EMPIRE MAKER)
7	PURE CONNECTION									(asmussen )TORRES A 119						12.00						19.40
		(by CONNECT out of CARINHOSA by SKY MESA)
10	PANTHERA									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119						8.00						20.28
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of GORGELICIOUS by MORE THAN READY)
3	SCARE									(mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						15.00		5%		19.00		36.85
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of BARTOLETTA by ARCH)

ELP-4			07/23/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($70K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BALTA									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119						2.50		45%		1.20		1.02	W
		(by MUNNINGS out of LAQUESTA by LEMON DROP KID)
9	PONCE DE LEON									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119						2.00		31%		2.30		1.50	P
		(by COPPER BULLET out of ST. JOHN'S RIVER by INCLUDE)
7	FLOTATION STATION									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119						8.00		5%		19.00		20.54	S
		(by EXAGGERATOR out of CHRISTINA'S COMET by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
3	STOKE THE FIRE									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119						5.00		★				8.61
		(by CONSTITUTION out of ON FIRE BABY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
8	ONE SHARP TIZ									(engler j)RODRIGUEZ A 114						12.00						48.20
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of KEMLY by TIZNOW)
2	GREERS FERRY									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						8.00		5%		19.00		30.94
		(by MORE THAN READY out of DEE DEE BERTIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4	SABRES									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 116						15.00						9.78
		(by KANTHAROS out of POTESTA by MACHO UNO)
6	TIZZY INDY									(desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 119						15.00						39.43
		(by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of TIZZY FEVER by TIZNOW)
SCR	HENRO									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						20.00
		(by COLLECTED out of STREET MINSTREL by STREET CRY (IRE))

ELP-5			07/23/2023		5280ft	TURF	RC9	FIRM	Starter Allowance ($50K)					Purse ($37K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	IDRATHERBEBLESSED									(hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						4.00		51%		1.00		10.46	W
1	ARABIAN PRINCE									(barnett bob)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123						3.00		16%		5.40		1.06	P
2	MOON CAT									(davis christo)CANNON DECLAN 118						6.00						7.51
5	TIZ OF THEE									(hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123						10.00		11%		7.80		9.26
8	ROYAL VICKY									(lobo h)RAMOS D 118						6.00						7.08	DQ↓7
4	DEEP STATE									(combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 123						3.50						7.48
6	THREE ON THE TREE									(lovell mi)TORRES A 118						10.00		5%		19.00		6.25
7	JUDO									(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118						8.00						20.58
SCR	SECRET POCKET									(peitz dan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						5.00

ELP-6			07/23/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC11	FAST	Twin Bridges					Purse ($125K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	WICKED HALO									(asmussen )TORRES A 124						1.00		54%		0.90		0.21	W
		(by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
6	NON VIOLENCE									(calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126						8.00						5.78
		(by VIOLENCE out of SINGAVICTORYSONG by HARD SPUN)
3	LAST LEAF									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122						3.00		16%		5.40		6.80	S
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of MY MISS KALLIE by PADDY O'PRADO)
5	DEALING JUSTICE									(mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 122						15.00						24.97
		(by COMMISSIONER out of CLEVER RUN by SMART STRIKE)
1	TAP DANCE FEVER									(calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						8.00		8%		12.10		12.94
		(by TAPITURE out of IT'S HEIDI'S DANCE by GREEN DANCER)
SCR	GUNNING									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 126						6.00
		(by GUN RUNNER out of PUCA by BIG BROWN)
SCR	SPEEDOMETER									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122						15.00
		(by TAPIT out of SPEEDINTHRUTHECITY by CITY ZIP)

ELP-7			07/23/2023		5940ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($74K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MISREAD									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 123						2.00		41%		1.50		1.60	W
3	FIDDLE									(meah m)MACHADO LUAN 123						6.00		5%		17.30		5.71	P
8	LUCY'S CAKES FLY									(stuart s)RODRIGUEZ A 118						20.00		5%		19.00		21.77	S
2	THREE COINS									(hancock john )MORALES EDGAR 123						30.00						64.10
9	UNSTABLE PRINCESS									(santamari)TORRES A 118						20.00						18.61
5	EXIT SOUL									(mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 123						3.00		18%		4.50		2.85
7	MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN									(faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 113						30.00						57.21
4	LOVED REIKO									(arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 123						5.00						7.61
1	CLEVER JOKE									(catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						4.00		13%		6.40		4.63
SCR	MAGIC BUBBLES									(asmussen )TORRES A 118						4.50

ELP-8			07/23/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($78K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	PRESIDENTIAL									(asmussen )TORRES A 122						3.00		32%		2.10		3.87	W
8	KING'S OVATION									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122						8.00						10.50
6	ROMAN CENTURIAN									(hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						10.00		8%		11.00		5.72	S
2	DIGITAL									(hiles rick)LANERIE J 122						15.00						25.16
12	DETERMINEDLY									(casse mark)CANNON DECLAN 118						4.00						6.25
9	MAJOR FED									(foley greg)GRAHAM J 122						15.00						18.59
7	ALLEGE									(asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122						8.00		11%		7.90		7.16
5	HEARTBREAKER									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 126						6.00		11%		7.80		6.27
10	O P FIRECRACKER									(medina rober)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124						25.00						59.87
4	TIWANAKU									(amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 124						8.00		11%		8.00		3.25
1	MR. THUNDERSTRUCK									(von don)TALAMO JOSEPH 122						20.00						29.77
SCR	LIFE IS HARD									(divito jam)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						15.00

ELP-9			07/23/2023		5940ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($70K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	BABA VOSS									(walsh p)BEJARANO R 118						3.50		22%		3.50		4.47	W
		(by EMPIRE MAKER out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
3	NOISES OFF									(lobo paul)TORRES A 118						5.00		18%		4.60		3.71	P
		(by CANDY RIDE out of UZZIEL by HARLINGTON)
2	BRIGADE COMMANDER									(stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						8.00						9.06
		(by HARD SPUN out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5	ROYAL SALUTE									(lynch a)GRAHAM J 118						6.00						5.04
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELOQUENTLY by DANSILI)
9	MY BOY TONY									(kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118						4.00		25%		3.00		3.15
		(by NOBLE MISSION out of BOLD CONTENDER by STRONG CONTENDER)
12	ORBI ONE									(ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						8.00						14.03
		(by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
1	FIRST PLAYER									(howard j)MORALES EDGAR 118						25.00						78.03
		(by THE PLAYER out of BODACIOUS BETS by AFTER MARKET)
11	HOGSLAYERS R I P									(pessin nei)HERNANDEZ J 124						8.00		10%		9.00		8.73
		(by UNION RAGS out of SCATTER GUN by SCAT DADDY)
10	STORMIN MIDNIGHT									(oliver victori)CHUAN MARTIN 118						20.00		5%		19.00		60.68
		(by MIDNIGHT STORM out of LUCY DE by DECARCHY)
7	GORDY'S LABEL									(stall m)LANERIE J 118						15.00						17.48
		(by MO TOWN out of MYBROKENHOME by BROKEN VOW)
6	UNWRAPPED									(engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						30.00						71.43
		(by UNCLE MO out of BELLEOFTHEBEACH by MASTER COMMAND)
8	SIR ROCK									(mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118						25.00						20.67
		(by GUN RUNNER out of SAPUCAI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR	ARCHIE THE GIZA									(medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124						6.00
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of GLORIA S by TAPIT)
SCR	HONOR GOLD									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118						20.00
		(by HONOR CODE out of MISS DOUBLE D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR	QUALIFIED									(mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						15.00
		(by QUALITY ROAD out of LIL INDY by BUCKLEY BOY)
SCR	TESTIMONY TIME									(brumley willia)MACHADO LUAN 124						50.00
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of SILVEREST by CONGRATS)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.