Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (9/4/5/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (1/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (6/5/1/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (3/5/7/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (9/4/3/11/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S MAGIC Jun03 Apr29 Mar26 Sep18   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 1.80 26% 2.80    
2  OVERINDULGENCE Jun11         (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00    
3  ABBREVIATION Jun30 May29 Apr29 Apr07 Feb24 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
4  EVIE'S ENCORE Jun10 May13       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
5  STEEL RACER Jun29 Jun11 Sep29     (medina rober)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  NO GUILT Jun24 Jun03 May05 Mar17 Feb24 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.00    
 
ELP-2   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA TOURISTA Jul07 Jun18 May28 May18 Apr22 (vasquez sr)BEJARANO R 122 8.00    
2  GUANA CAY Jun11 May27 May05 Mar24 Feb25 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00    
3  MERCY WARREN Jun30 Feb25 Jan01 Nov27 Oct29 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 38% 1.70    
4  TOO PRETTY Jul01 May04 Mar17 Mar04 Feb03 (peitz c)TORRES A 122 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  WATERS OF MEROM May02 Mar17 Feb03 Jan25 Dec14 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
6  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT Jun23 Jun11 May14 Apr29 Apr12 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  MUSIC AMORE Jul01 May27 May14 May02 Mar02 (vasquez german )CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
 
ELP-3   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYBE MAGIC         (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
2  PHAROAH'S WINE Jun30         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  SCARE         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GOLD DEL MAR Jun29         (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 114 5.00 24% 3.20    
5  FEDERALISM         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  RACONTEUSE Jun23         (wilkes r)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
7  PURE CONNECTION Jun16         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 12.00    
8  TIANMA         (o'neill doug)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
9  YOU'RE KITTEN ME Jun29 Jun15 May11     (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
10  PANTHERA         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00    
 
ELP-4   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BALTA Jun17         (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  GREERS FERRY         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STOKE THE FIRE         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 ★    
4  SABRES         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 116 15.00    
SCR  HENRO         (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
6  TIZZY INDY         (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 15.00    
7  FLOTATION STATION         (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ONE SHARP TIZ         (engler jef)RODRIGUEZ A 114 12.00    
9  PONCE DE LEON Jun15         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 2.00 31% 2.30    
 
ELP-5   07/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARABIAN PRINCE Jun23 May19 Apr26 Feb03 Jan15 (barnett bobby)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  MOON CAT Jul08 May17 Apr21 Mar11 Feb04 (davis christoph)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00    
3  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Jun29 Jun11 May28 Apr26 Mar12 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 51% 1.00    
4  DEEP STATE Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Sep28 Sep08 (combs bentley)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 3.50    
5  TIZ OF THEE Jun10 Mar17 Feb09 Jan07 Nov03 (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 10.00 11% 7.80    
6  THREE ON THE TREE Jun17 Apr15 Mar19 Jan28 Jan21 (lovell mich)TORRES A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUDO Jun29 May20 Apr16 Mar09 Jan14 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
8  ROYAL VICKY May30 May09 Mar10 Feb17 Jan13 (lobo h)RAMOS D 118 6.00    
SCR  SECRET POCKET Jun29 Jun02 Apr29 Mar24 Feb01 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00    
 
ELP-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Twin Bridges Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP DANCE FEVER May29 Apr29 Mar11 Feb18 Jan14 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
SCR  GUNNING May20 Apr29 Mar31 Mar09 Sep24 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 126 6.00    
3  LAST LEAF May29 Apr29 Mar11 Jan28 Dec03 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  SPEEDOMETER Jun24 May20 Apr21 Mar17 Aug07 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 15.00    
5  DEALING JUSTICE Jun09 Apr21 Mar02 Jan14 Nov11 (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 122 15.00    
6  NON VIOLENCE Jun30 May25 Apr27 Feb12 Jan16 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 126 8.00    
7  WICKED HALO Jun17 May06 Mar31 Nov05 Oct22 (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 1.00 54% 0.90    
 
ELP-7   07/23/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEVER JOKE May12 Mar09 Dec03 Aug28   (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 13% 6.40    
2  THREE COINS Jun17 Jun01 Apr19 Oct07 Sep29 (hancock a)MORALES EDGAR 123 30.00    
3  FIDDLE Jun25 Jun02 Feb11 Dec15 Oct28 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 5% 17.30    
4  LOVED REIKO May18 Oct27 Oct07 Jul29 Jul07 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 123 5.00    
5  EXIT SOUL May27 Apr30 Mar18 Jan29 Apr08 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 123 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  MISREAD Jun25 Jun02 May14 Oct07 May06 (drury thomas)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00 41% 1.50    
7  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Jul13 Jun30 Jun08 Mar23 Feb23 (faircloth aveo)CALLEJA ANDRES 113 30.00    
8  LUCY'S CAKES FLY Jul07 Jun17 Apr23 Feb15 Jan18 (stuart she)RODRIGUEZ A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  UNSTABLE PRINCESS Jun29 May12 Apr22 Apr07 Mar17 (santamaria )TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  MAGIC BUBBLES Jun29 Jun02 Apr29 Apr07 Mar17 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 4.50    
 
ELP-8   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. THUNDERSTRUCK Jun11 May25 Apr29 Apr01 Mar11 (von donni)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 20.00    
2  DIGITAL Jul02 Jun04 May13 Mar26 Feb18 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
3  PRESIDENTIAL Jun11 May06 Apr22 Mar16 Jan29 (asmussen st)TORRES A 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  TIWANAKU Jun10 May11 Mar26 Nov02 Oct01 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00 11% 8.00    
5  HEARTBREAKER Jun22 Jun02 May13 Apr12 Jun17 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 126 6.00 11% 7.80    
6  ROMAN CENTURIAN Jun22 Jun04 May18 Mar11 Feb18 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 10.00 8% 11.00    
7  ALLEGE Jun25 May29 May03 Mar19 Aug01 (asmussen ste)ASMUSSEN J 122 8.00 11% 7.90    
8  KING'S OVATION Jun11 May18 Apr23 Feb02 Nov23 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 8.00    
9  MAJOR FED Jun22 May27 Nov13 Oct20 Sep15 (foley greg)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
10  O P FIRECRACKER Jun10 May28 Apr28 Nov19 Oct01 (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 25.00    
SCR  LIFE IS HARD Jul09 Apr22 Mar17 Feb05 Jun05 (divito james)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
12  DETERMINEDLY Jun04 Apr07 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 (casse mark)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00    
 
ELP-9   07/23/2023 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST PLAYER Jul02         (howard j)MORALES EDGAR 118 25.00    
2  BRIGADE COMMANDER Jun22 May14 Apr16     (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
3  NOISES OFF Jun22 May14 Mar25 Feb24 Jan28 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
4  BABA VOSS Jun22 Aug21       (walsh p)BEJARANO R 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  ROYAL SALUTE Jun22 Dec10 Oct15     (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
6  UNWRAPPED Jun22 May21       (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
7  GORDY'S LABEL Dec03 Oct30       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
8  SIR ROCK May06 Oct30 Sep29     (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 25.00    
9  MY BOY TONY Apr08 Mar10       (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
10  STORMIN MIDNIGHT Jun07 May11 Mar10 Feb03   (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  HOGSLAYERS R I P Jan22         (pessin neil )HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 10% 9.00    
12  ORBI ONE Jun22 May25 May11 Aug06   (ortiz john )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA May28 May04       (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00    
SCR  QUALIFIED May28 May04 Feb25 Sep13   (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
SCR  HONOR GOLD Jul02         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  TESTIMONY TIME Jul07 Jun22 May27 Apr29   (brumley william )MACHADO LUAN 124 50.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.