Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00  6-3 $6.70 $4.70 235%
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-3 $19.60 $13.60 227%
TDN-4   PK3 (6/3)-(2/3/5)-(3/7/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00  6-2-3 $20.40 $2.40 13%
TDN-5   EXA (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $17.10 $5.10 43%
    TRI (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  4-2-9 $34.30 $10.30 43%
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/7/4)-(9/2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  2-3-4 $37.00 $1.00 3%
TDN-7   EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6 $10.90 $4.90 82%
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6-1 $47.10 $41.10 685%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MR LOOOCH 6 2 31½ 2½   13 16 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 121 6.00 0.90  
2  BEAT THE DEALER 2 7 79¾ 76   45½ 26 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 121 8.00 5% 19.00 12.80 P
1  MUTINY 1 3 21½ 32½   34½ 39 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 2.00 32% 2.10 5.40 S
4  RUMBLE STRIP RON 4 5 63¾ 64½   69 49¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50 4.50  
3  STUNT MAN 3 4 42½ 53½   58 59½ (gorham m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 31% 2.30 8.90  
5  ZAKARIA 5 1 11½ 1½   23 610½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 7.50  
7  BETCHAIWILL 7 6 52¾ 43½   79 713¾ (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 9% 10.70 11.60  
 
TDN-2   07/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:234 :473       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SCRIMPER 4 2 12 11½   17 112¾ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 1.80 43% 1.30 1.40 W
  (by KLIMT out of PINCHPENNY by SUPER SAVER)
3  MAY MAYHEM 3 1 22 21½   27 212¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 6.00 29% 2.50 3.40 P
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
2  FACT NOT FICTION 2 4 42½ 31½   37½ 314¾ (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 3.50 1.00  
  (by YOSHIDA out of MOTHER NATURE by WINSLOW HOMER)
1  TADZIO 1 3 32½ 43   415½ 424¼ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 10.00 9.60  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  DOUBLE AGENT               (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PRIVATE CAUSE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
SCR  RUNAWAY HAPPY               (zielins)PILARES P 115 2.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
 
TDN-3   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUIET AMIGO 2 1 11½ 11   11½ 12¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 42% 1.40 4.60 W
3  SUSIE'S KID 3 3 42 21   21½ 22¼ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 15% 5.70 3.40 P
1  ROCK ON KITTEN 1 4 31½ 42   33 33¾ (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 13.90  
4  LUCKY JUNIOR 4 5 54 52   44 43¾ (poole c)BRACHO A 119 6.00 14.20  
6  TONY SMALL 6 2 21½ 31½   55 55¾ (hoffman mark)FELICIANO R 121 3.50 3.80  
5  DARK TIMBER 5 6 67 62¼   66½ 67½ (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 12% 7.70 1.00  
 
TDN-4   07/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :47       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRACTICALLYELUSIVE 2 5 34 1nk   14½ 112¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 1.80 55% 0.80 0.40 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET 4 1 12½ 2nk   24½ 212¼ (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.50 4.80  
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
4  KISS ME QUICK 3 3 22½ 32   36½ 312½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00 11% 8.20 9.30 S
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
2  WILD MARIAH 1 2 54¼ 48   414½ 422¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 3.50 3.50  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
7  HONEY BEE GOOD 5 4 44 59   517 525¾ (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 12.00 11% 8.20 19.50  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of BROADWAY ANNIEROSE by STALWART)
SCR  GOLD HONEY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SCR  NUBLADA               (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
 
TDN-5   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DATTTSAFANCYFOX 2 4 3.2 11   1nk 1nk (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50 16% 5.20 1.90 W
2  MISS EASY 1 1 5¾ 45   31 2nk (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 5.00 19% 4.40 7.70 P
9  WORTHINESS 6 5 4¼ 21   2nk 3.2 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00 39% 1.60 0.80 S
5  MY DANCING QUEEN 3 2 2nk 32   41½ 46 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 12.10  
7  CONTESSINA 5 6 62¾ 57½   57½ 58¾ (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 10.00 9.70  
6  MY D'VALENTINE 4 3 1nk 67½   612 614¼ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.30  
SCR  CARINA'S WAY               (dubie k)PILARES P 119 15.00    
SCR  CHARLOTTES WAY               (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
SCR  PASSINGTHEMISTERY               (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 12.00    
 
TDN-6   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:013     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEART OF RUBY 4 3 31½ 2½   12½ 12 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 3.50 6.50  
3  HAUGHTY PRAISE 3 4 44 32½   33 22 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 2.00 24% 3.20 1.90 P
1  SEE YA SISTA 1 1 11 1½   22½ 35 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 6.00 7.10  
6  EXTRA CRAFTY 6 5 54½ 54½   48 47 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 4.50 2.20  
5  BOOKMASTER 5 6 68½ 67½   611 511½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 20% 4.00 12.30  
2  SHESANOTHERSONG 2 2 21 42½   510 612¼ (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 20% 4.00 3.10  
 
TDN-7   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CUE THE BAND 4 1 12½ 16   13 1½ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 41% 1.40 1.90 W
6  DANZA MAGIC 6 3 56 49½   34½ 2½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.80 26% 2.80 2.00 P
1  PENNY SHOTS 1 5 22½ 26   23 3¾ (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 11% 8.30 7.60 S
2  JETTIN PEGASUS 2 6 611 612¾   611½ 45½ (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 29.70  
3  TWERK 3 4 33½ 39½   510½ 56 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 4.00 2.00  
5  CATABOUT 5 2 44½ 59¾   49½ 67¾ (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 12.10  
 
TDN-8   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:141     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NEED TO KNOW BASIS 2 3 32 33 21½ 2nk 12 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 1.80 70% 0.40 0.20 W
6  KID RUSSELL 4 1 11½ 12 11½ 1nk 22 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 6.00 3.00  
7  RED COMET 5 2 21½ 22 33 34½ 32¾ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00 7% 13.90 9.60 S
5  PLAYING BALL 3 4 43 44½ 47 411½ 48¾ (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 15.80  
1  PRECIOUS JULES 1 5 55½ 57½ 510 513½ 511¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
SCR  CASUAL ATTIRE               (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 3.00    
SCR  IN THE MIDST               (bu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.