Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - July 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2)-(1/3/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2)-(6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3/7/2)-(6/3)-(2/3/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/3)-(6/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 (6/3)-(2/3/5)-(3/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/4/7)-(9/2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7)-(9/2/4/6)-(3/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (9/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6)-(9/2/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (9/2/4/6)-(3/2/5)-(4/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(4/6/1)-(3/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUTINY Jun19 May31 May09 Apr26 Mar20 (skerrett jef)HALDAR J 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
2  BEAT THE DEALER Jun14 May24 Apr29 Apr04 Mar08 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  STUNT MAN Jun24 May17 Apr26 Mar28 Sep06 (gorham m)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50 31% 2.30    
4  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jul04 Jun10 May09 Apr26 Apr13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 2.50    
5  ZAKARIA May06 Apr26 Mar28 Oct25 Oct03 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
6  MR LOOOCH Jun19 Jun01 Oct03 Aug30 Jul28 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 121 6.00    
7  BETCHAIWILL         (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00 9% 10.70    
 
TDN-2   07/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TADZIO         (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 10.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VICTORIAVANQUISHER by WITH DISTINCTION)
2  FACT NOT FICTION         (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 3.50    
  (by YOSHIDA out of MOTHER NATURE by WINSLOW HOMER)
3  MAY MAYHEM Jun20         (radosevich je)BRACHO A 118 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
SCR  DOUBLE AGENT         (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PRIVATE CAUSE by NOBLE CAUSEWAY)
SCR  RUNAWAY HAPPY         (zielins)PILARES P 115 2.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of GREAT GOIN ROSE by ALBERT THE GREAT)
6  SCRIMPER         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 1.80 43% 1.30    
  (by KLIMT out of PINCHPENNY by SUPER SAVER)
 
TDN-3   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCK ON KITTEN Jun15 May15 May03 Jan31 Jan18 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00    
2  QUIET AMIGO Jun24 May31 Dec12 Nov09 Oct10 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
3  SUSIE'S KID Jun24 Jun14 Jun01 May23 Nov12 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 15% 5.70    
4  LUCKY JUNIOR Jun27 Jun19 Jan17 Dec28 Dec13 (poole c)BRACHO A 119 6.00    
5  DARK TIMBER Jun15 May04 Mar24 Mar12 Feb05 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 2.00 12% 7.70    
6  TONY SMALL Jun13 May24 Apr22 Mar05 Feb19 (hoffman mark)FELICIANO R 121 3.50    
 
TDN-4   07/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLD HONEY Jun24         (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 118 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
2  WILD MARIAH Jun24         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 3.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
3  PRACTICALLYELUSIVE         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 1.80 55% 0.80    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TO BE DETERMINED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  KISS ME QUICK         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00 11% 8.20    
  (by FAST ANNA out of HELLUVA NOTION by NOTIONAL)
5  SALTMAKESHERSWEET Jun05         (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.50    
  (by BIRD SONG out of SALTY BREEZE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  NUBLADA         (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
7  HONEY BEE GOOD         (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 118 12.00 11% 8.20    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of BROADWAY ANNIEROSE by STALWART)
 
TDN-5   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHARLOTTES WAY May23 Apr15 Mar24 Mar12 Feb13 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 119 3.00    
2  MISS EASY Jun20 May31 Nov01 Oct13   (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 5.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  CARINA'S WAY Jun19 Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 Aug16 (dubie k)PILARES P 119 15.00    
4  DATTTSAFANCYFOX Jun20 May22 Apr11 Mar20 Mar07 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  MY DANCING QUEEN Jun20 May25 Jan19 Dec29 Nov23 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
6  MY D'VALENTINE Nov09 Oct31 Oct16 Oct05 Aug24 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CONTESSINA Jun20 Nov21 Nov07 Oct10 Sep18 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
SCR  PASSINGTHEMISTERY Nov27 Nov07 Aug03 Jul17 Jun26 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 115 12.00    
9  WORTHINESS Jun26 Jun14 Apr30 Jan08 Dec30 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
TDN-6   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEE YA SISTA Jun19 Jun05 May15 Mar16 Feb15 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 123 6.00    
2  SHESANOTHERSONG Jul03 Jun19 May31 Sep29 Sep14 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  HAUGHTY PRAISE Aug19 Aug08 Jul26 Jul07 Jun28 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 123 2.00 24% 3.20    
4  HEART OF RUBY Oct25 Oct03 Sep14 Jan04   (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 3.50    
5  BOOKMASTER Sep29 Aug31       (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 20% 4.00    
6  EXTRA CRAFTY Jun20 Jun01       (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 4.50    
 
TDN-7   07/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNY SHOTS Jun26 Jun01 May13 Apr26 Mar08 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  JETTIN PEGASUS Jun26 Jun12 May20 May10 Dec01 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
3  TWERK Jun23 Jun02 May10 Oct06 Sep21 (londono odin)HALDAR J 119 4.00    
4  CUE THE BAND Jun24 May24 Apr24 Dec27 Nov17 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
5  CATABOUT Jun26 Jun06 May13 May03 Mar06 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
6  DANZA MAGIC Jun26 May24 Apr10 Apr03 Mar15 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 123 1.80 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-8   07/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRECIOUS JULES Jun14 May20 May08 Dec03 Nov12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IN THE MIDST Jun15 May23 Apr15 Mar15 Feb27 (bu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50    
3  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jun24 Jun02 May05 Apr06 Oct29 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 1.80 70% 0.40    
SCR  CASUAL ATTIRE Jun24 Jun14 May31 Dec30 Oct29 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 110 3.00    
5  PLAYING BALL Jul04 Jun07 May31 Apr27 Mar29 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
6  KID RUSSELL Jun27 Jun15 May16 May09 Apr25 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
7  RED COMET Jul05 Jun24 Jun15 Jun05 May29 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 15.00 7% 13.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.