Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-8   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.00 $3.00 50%
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6 $8.90 $2.90 48%
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-6-1 $20.00 $14.00 233%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOLY SAINT 3 3 2nk 1nk   12 11¾ (urieta jo)BRICENO M 116 2.00 68% 0.50 0.60 W
1  O CIGANO 1 4 33½ 32   22 21¾ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 2.50 1.90  
5  TWICE AS SMART 4 1 1nk 2nk   33½ 36 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 4.50 10.70  
6  TUFF ATTACK 5 2 43¾ 42¼   45½ 49¼ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
2  KHALFANI 2 5 57¾ 59¼   511½ 513 (pattah d)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 18.90 6.20  
SCR  MR LIGHTNING BOY               (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
 
TDN-2   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P SILVER BULLET 1 5 42¼ 31   21 1¼ (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 30% 2.40 1.10 W
5  MURTAGH 5 1 2nk 1nk   11 2¼ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 4.40  
4  BAD LITTLE BEAST 4 3 32 42   45 34¾ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 12% 7.30 2.40 S
3  SMUDGE THE CAT 3 2 1nk 2nk   31 46¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 32% 2.10 3.40  
2  THE WILD FLYER 2 4 56¼ 57   511 513½ (bracho j)BRACHO A 119 4.00 14.50  
 
TDN-3   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:131     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOURBON BUNS 6 5 54 58½ 34½ 21 11¼ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 6.20  
2  ANNMARIA 2 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 11 21¼ (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 11.30  
7  HIGH FIRE 7 7 78 712½ 610½ 55½ 33½ (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 123 2.50 24% 3.20 5.00 S
3  RIGHT TRAPPE 3 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 44¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 16% 5.10 0.90  
5  SHE'S CRAFTY 5 6 66½ 612 711 77 56¾ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 8.00 15% 5.70 15.50  
4  INCESSANT 4 4 32 35 44½ 45 67½ (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 14% 6.30 3.40  
1  SIERRA DIAMOND 1 1 42 47 58½ 66½ 712½ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 35.80  
 
TDN-4   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:011     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 6 65½ 56½   2nk 11¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 11% 7.80 1.40 W
1  MY TWO JAKES 1 2 22 21½   1nk 21¾ (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 21.00  
7  ANGEL'S DESTINY 7 5 33½ 33   3.2 32½ (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 16% 5.40 4.10 S
6  SHESANOTHERSONG 6 1 12 11½   4¾ 49¼ (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 10.10  
3  WICKED REESE 3 3 43½ 46   52¼ 510½ (radcliff dona)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 5.50  
4  RIVERANDFAIRMOUNT 4 7 75¾ 78½   66¼ 611½ (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 26% 2.90 6.20  
5  GOLD APPEAL 5 8 54½ 67   76¾ 713¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 19% 4.20 6.50  
8  LISTEN LINDA LOU 8 4 89¼ 813   810¾ 821¼ (poole m)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00 15.70  
 
TDN-5   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:133     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ALGORIX 4 1 31½ 22 2½ 21 1¾ (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.00 65% 0.50 2.10 W
6  UNIDENTIFIED MAN 6 3 1½ 12 1½ 11 2¾ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 1.50  
5  SAY HEY KID 5 4 55 34 34½ 33½ 34 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 4.20  
3  GEH SCHNELL 3 5 66½ 55½ 46 45 49 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 12.00  
2  OPEN OUT 2 6 44½ 65¾ 68 55 59¼ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
1  KLAATU 1 2 2½ 44 57½ 69 619¾ (sondej amy)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
 
TDN-6   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYRONA 1 3 11 18 19 15 13¼ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 0.20  
4  CANDYMONIUM 4 4 48 512½ 29 25 23¼ (skerrett jeffre)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 35% 1.90 6.80 P
5  SAKONNA 5 6 611 616½ 615 511 36¼ (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 37% 1.70 6.00 S
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 3 5 59½ 412½ 411 310 47 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 12.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
2  GRACIE DANCE 2 2 21 28 39½ 411 58¾ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 13.40  
6  UNESCORTED 6 1 37 311 511 611¼ 69¼ (urieta jo)BRICENO M 110 6.00 24.10  
 
TDN-7   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KISS VALENTINA 3 1 11½ 1½   12 11¼ (castro raquel)BRACHO A 115 8.00 17.60  
6  DEW IT WITH STYLE 6 2 21½ 2½   22 21¼ (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 26% 2.80 2.90 P
1  RATATAT 1 6 32½ 34   35 32¼ (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 13% 6.80 2.40 S
5  KAT TRAX 5 3 43 44   46 45¾ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.00 11% 7.70 1.90  
2  CRIMSON LEGION 2 7 75 67¼   68½ 57¼ (londono o)BRICENO M 114 15.00 56.30  
7  ROARING GINGER 7 4 54 57   58 68¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 30% 2.40 3.00  
4  TITEBLUEJEANS 4 5 64 78¾   710 79¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 10.00 43.80  
 
TDN-8   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  YEARS AGO 4 1 21 2nk   1nk 11½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 13% 6.70 3.50 W
6  MITESSE 6 2 11 1nk   2nk 21½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 1.80 39% 1.60 0.50 P
1  TIME FOR CUPID 1 5 52 51¼   34 35¾ (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 28% 2.60 7.00 S
3  DREAM TO WIN 3 4 31½ 31   46½ 49¼ (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 6.00  
5  MAY BEAU 5 3 41½ 41¼   58½ 510¼ (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 5.00 31.10  
2  DANZING CHICK 2 6 64 63¼   612½ 616½ (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 6.00 18.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.