Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-2   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-3   Win (7/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $14.40  
TDN-4   Win (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TDN-5   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
TDN-6   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $2.40  
TDN-7   Win (7/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $37.20  
TDN-8   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY SAINT 3 3 2nk 1nk   12 1 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 116 2.00 68% 0.50 0.60 W
O CIGANO 1 4 3 32   22 2 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 2.50 1.90  
TWICE AS SMART 4 1 1nk 2nk   3 36 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 4.50 10.70  
TUFF ATTACK 5 2 4 4   4 4 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 121 10.00 5% 19.00 17.00  
KHALFANI 2 5 5 5   511½ 513 (pattah d)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 18.90 6.20  
SCR  MR LIGHTNING BOY               (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
 
TDN-2   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
K P SILVER BULLET 1 5 4 31   21 1¼ (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 30% 2.40 1.10 W
MURTAGH 5 1 2nk 1nk   11 2¼ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 4.40  
BAD LITTLE BEAST 4 3 32 42   45 3 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 12% 7.30 2.40 S
SMUDGE THE CAT 3 2 1nk 2nk   31 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 32% 2.10 3.40  
THE WILD FLYER 2 4 5 57   511 513½ (bracho jr)BRACHO A 119 4.00 14.50  
 
TDN-3   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:131     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON BUNS 6 5 54 5 3 21 1 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 6.20  
ANNMARIA 2 3 1½ 1½ 2½ 11 2 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 11.30  
HIGH FIRE 7 7 78 712½ 610½ 5 3 (wolochuk david)BRACHO A 123 2.50 24% 3.20 5.00 S
RIGHT TRAPPE 3 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 31 4 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 16% 5.10 0.90  
SHE'S CRAFTY 5 6 6 612 711 77 5 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 8.00 15% 5.70 15.50  
INCESSANT 4 4 32 35 4 45 6 (galloway kha)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 14% 6.30 3.40  
SIERRA DIAMOND 1 1 42 47 5 6 712½ (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 35.80  
 
TDN-4   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:011     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 6 6 5   2nk 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 11% 7.80 1.40 W
MY TWO JAKES 1 2 22 2   1nk 2 (gonzalez d)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00 21.00  
ANGEL'S DESTINY 7 5 3 33   3.2 3 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 16% 5.40 4.10 S
SHESANOTHERSONG 6 1 12 1   4¾ 4 (patton luke)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 10.10  
WICKED REESE 3 3 4 46   5 510½ (radcliff donald)TOLEDO S 119 3.50 5.50  
RIVERANDFAIRMOUNT 4 7 7 7   6 611½ (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 26% 2.90 6.20  
GOLD APPEAL 5 8 5 67   7 713¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 19% 4.20 6.50  
LISTEN LINDA LOU 8 4 8 813   810¾ 821¼ (poole m)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00 15.70  
 
TDN-5   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:133     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALGORIX 4 1 3 22 2½ 21 1¾ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.00 65% 0.50 2.10 W
UNIDENTIFIED MAN 6 3 1½ 12 1½ 11 2¾ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 2.50 1.50  
SAY HEY KID 5 4 55 34 3 3 34 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 4.20  
GEH SCHNELL 3 5 6 5 46 45 49 (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 12.00  
OPEN OUT 2 6 4 6 68 55 5 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.10  
KLAATU 1 2 2½ 44 5 69 619¾ (sondej amy)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
 
TDN-6   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TYRONA 1 3 11 18 19 15 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 0.20  
CANDYMONIUM 4 4 48 512½ 29 25 2 (skerrett jeffrey)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 35% 1.90 6.80 P
SAKONNA 5 6 611 616½ 615 511 3 (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 37% 1.70 6.00 S
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 3 5 5 412½ 411 310 47 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 12.00 5% 19.00 35.00  
GRACIE DANCE 2 2 21 28 3 411 5 (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00 13.40  
UNESCORTED 6 1 37 311 511 611¼ 6 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 110 6.00 24.10  
 
TDN-7   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS VALENTINA 3 1 1 1½   12 1 (castro a)BRACHO A 115 8.00 17.60  
DEW IT WITH STYLE 6 2 2 2½   22 2 (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 26% 2.80 2.90 P
RATATAT 1 6 3 34   35 3 (rone)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 13% 6.80 2.40 S
KAT TRAX 5 3 43 44   46 4 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 2.00 11% 7.70 1.90  
CRIMSON LEGION 2 7 75 6   6 5 (londono odi)BRICENO M 114 15.00 56.30  
ROARING GINGER 7 4 54 57   58 6 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 30% 2.40 3.00  
TITEBLUEJEANS 4 5 64 7   710 7 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 10.00 43.80  
 
TDN-8   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEARS AGO 4 1 21 2nk   1nk 1 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 13% 6.70 3.50 W
MITESSE 6 2 11 1nk   2nk 2 (gorham m)DIAZ I 121 1.80 39% 1.60 0.50 P
TIME FOR CUPID 1 5 52 5   34 3 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 28% 2.60 7.00 S
DREAM TO WIN 3 4 3 31   4 4 (brown glenro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 6.00  
MAY BEAU 5 3 4 4   5 510¼ (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 5.00 31.10  
DANZING CHICK 2 6 64 6   612½ 616½ (patt)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 6.00 18.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.