Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - July 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/1/4)-(7/3/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(7/3/5/4)-(4/5/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4)-(7/3/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/4)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(4/1/2)-(5/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(5/4/3)-(7/6/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(7/6/1/5)-(6/1/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-7   WIN (7/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/6/1/5)-(6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O CIGANO Jun07 May17 May03 Apr11 Mar20 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 123 2.50    
2  KHALFANI Jun10 May15 Apr15 Mar28 Mar02 (pattah d)RIVERA R 119 8.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  MR LIGHTNING BOY Jun10 Mar29 Feb08 Jan25 Jan04 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.00    
4  HOLY SAINT Jun15 May08 Apr15 Apr03 Mar14 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 116 2.00 68% 0.50    
5  TWICE AS SMART Jun12 May20 Apr27 Mar30 Feb22 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 4.50    
6  TUFF ATTACK Jun10 May20 Mar24 Feb19 Jan20 (canegata j)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-2   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  K P SILVER BULLET Jun15 May30 May15 Apr27 Sep26 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.50 30% 2.40    
2  THE WILD FLYER May20 Apr27 Apr04 Mar06 Jan28 (bracho j)BRACHO A 119 4.00    
3  SMUDGE THE CAT Jun13 May20 Apr27 Apr03 Jan02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  BAD LITTLE BEAST Jun05 May15 Apr27 Feb21 Feb08 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 12% 7.30    
5  MURTAGH Jun10 Jun13 May09     (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80    
 
TDN-3   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIERRA DIAMOND May30 Apr24 Mar02 Feb02 Jan04 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
2  ANNMARIA Jun13 May22 Jan09 Dec19 Nov30 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
3  RIGHT TRAPPE Jun19 May31 May09 Mar25 Feb12 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 1.80 16% 5.10    
4  INCESSANT May15 Mar14 Feb06 Jan03 Dec19 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 14% 6.30    
5  SHE'S CRAFTY Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 Nov28 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 119 8.00 15% 5.70    
6  BOURBON BUNS May31 May02 Mar07 Feb20 Jan24 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
7  HIGH FIRE Jun12 Sep23 Aug13 Jul21 Jun08 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-4   07/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO JAKES Jun19 Jun10 May31 May11 Apr24 (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 5.00    
2  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Jun20 Jun01 May15 Apr25 Apr10 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 11% 7.80    
3  WICKED REESE Jun19 May15 Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 (radcliff dona)TOLEDO S 119 3.50    
4  RIVERANDFAIRMOUNT Jun10 Jun05 Aug18 Jul05 Jun22 (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 2.50 26% 2.90    
5  GOLD APPEAL Jun19 Jun01 Sep01 Aug01 Jul07 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 19% 4.20    
6  SHESANOTHERSONG Jun19 May31 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
7  ANGEL'S DESTINY Jun20 Jun01 Dec01 Nov15   (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 16% 5.40    
8  LISTEN LINDA LOU Jun19 Jun05 May11     (poole m)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 15.00    
 
TDN-5   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLAATU Jun01 May17 Apr03 Mar14 Feb21 (sondej amy)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  OPEN OUT Jun01 May17 May06 Mar16 Dec29 (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  GEH SCHNELL Jun24 Jun13 May16 Apr10 Mar22 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
4  ALGORIX Jun14 May16 Apr13 Mar14 Feb22 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
5  SAY HEY KID Jun24 Jun01 May17 Apr13 Mar22 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
6  UNIDENTIFIED MAN Jun24 May23 May06 Apr03 Mar17 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 2.50    
 
TDN-6   07/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYRONA Jun20 Jun07 May04 Mar03 Jan14 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
2  GRACIE DANCE Jun10 May25 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 4.00    
3  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Jun20 May25 May11 Apr25 Apr06 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  CANDYMONIUM Jun20 May25 May03 Apr05 Feb20 (skerrett jeffre)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  SAKONNA Jun06 May25 Apr11 Feb15 Dec28 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  UNESCORTED Jun10 May20 May06 Apr05 Mar23 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 110 6.00    
 
TDN-7   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RATATAT Jun19 May31 Sep21     (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 13% 6.80    
2  CRIMSON LEGION Jun14 Nov08 Sep26 Aug30 Aug13 (londono o)BRICENO M 114 15.00    
3  KISS VALENTINA Jun14 May23 May06 Mar27 Mar09 (castro raquel)BRACHO A 115 8.00    
4  TITEBLUEJEANS Jun14 May31 May11 Apr24 Apr06 (rone mike)RIVERA R 121 10.00    
5  KAT TRAX Jun14 May23 Mar21 Mar09 Nov12 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 115 2.00 11% 7.70    
6  DEW IT WITH STYLE May06 May11       (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  ROARING GINGER Jun01 May23 Mar09 Feb06 Dec27 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 30% 2.40    
 
TDN-8   07/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME FOR CUPID Jun10 May23 May10 Apr10 Mar27 (rivera nestor)TOLEDO S 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  DANZING CHICK Jun10 May29 May10 Apr25 Apr06 (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 6.00    
3  DREAM TO WIN Jun14 May23 May10 Apr26 Mar28 (brown glen)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
4  YEARS AGO Jun10 May10 Apr10 Mar28 Mar07 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 13% 6.70    
5  MAY BEAU Jun21 Jun12 May29 May20 May03 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 5.00    
6  MITESSE May30 May10 Mar26 Mar02 Feb09 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 121 1.80 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.