Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Thistledown
Tuesday - June 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $7.50 $1.50 25%
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3-2 $11.70 $5.70 95%
TDN-4   EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2 $10.40 $4.40 73%
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-2-6 $14.30 $8.30 138%

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAST CLIP 4 1 1nk 13   19 112¼ (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 64% 0.60 0.40 W
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 3 5 3 23   29 212¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 5% 19.00 10.00 P
CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY 2 3 54 5   414 317½ (genovese richa)TORREALBA JG 118 2.50 9% 9.70 2.30 S
MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 5 2 4 4   514 420 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ R 119 3.00 9.40  
TRANSPIRED 1 4 2nk 3   313 523 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00 20.80  
SCR  COUNCIL OF FOUR               (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   06/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :471 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRIKE ONE 4 4 1½ 11   1 1 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 2.00 41% 1.40 0.80 DQ↓4
BAILEY ROAD 5 1 2½ 21   2 2 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 7.30  
AFLEET O ME 2 2 35 45   37 39 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.00 17% 4.80 7.30 P
OXBOW'S RIDE 1 3 5 59   4 410½ (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 4.00  
KETTLE KING 3 5 4 35   59 515 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30  
SCR  BIG STOCK WINNER               (inirio carl)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 20.00    
SCR  DAVIS HAT               (weymes andre)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
 
TDN-3   06/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :47       :593   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOTTIE SPOTTIE 8 1 21 21   1nk 1 (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 3.50 8% 12.10 0.80 W
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of SPOTSHOT by BERNARDINI)
RED CHILI PEPPER 2 3 11 11   2nk 2 (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 66% 0.50 2.70 P
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOSSY by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
AFTER SUNRISE 6 8 6 4   36 313 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 118 8.00 24.90  
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of CEYLON SAPPHIRE by MACHO UNO)
MAY MAYHEM 1 5 7 7   712¼ 416½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00 8.00  
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
JAC'S MUSIC 7 7 5 57   6 517¼ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 38.40  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of MARIE'S MUSIC by STRAIGHT MAN)
VECCHI 3 2 4 6   5 618¾ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 5.00 7.10  
  (by VERTIFORMER out of BLUE AS THE NILE by SPUNKY RASCAL)
TAHLEQUAH JOE 4 4 31 34   4 721¾ (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 118 4.00 12.00  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of BE MIND PHIL by PHILANTHROPIST)
MOONSHINE JOE 5 6 8 811   817¼ 827½ (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MOONSHINE PROMISE by WILL HE SHINE)
 
TDN-4   06/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT EXPRESS 3 3 12 14   15 1 (poole m)BRACHO A 121 1.80 28% 2.60 1.90 W
WILDCAT BILL 2 4 32 24   25 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 11% 8.10 4.20 P
GIV'EM THE BIZ 6 1 43 4   47 39 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 3.00 40% 1.50 0.80 S
COUNTRY RUCKUS 1 2 22 3   3 411¾ (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.50 11.50  
IMA BELIEVER 4 6 618½ 522½   616 514¾ (tumblin andre)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00 46.10  
SEASONS END 5 5 517 623   516 615 (mavec kat)GONZALES J 114 12.00 22.90  
 
TDN-5   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMI 5 1 3 31   1nk 1 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.00 6.10  
WHEN IN ROME 4 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 2 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 1.60 62% 0.60 0.20 P
ALWAYS SPRING 3 2 1nk 2nk   3 3 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.00 S
ACESKINGSANQUEENS 1 5 59 46   4 4 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 6.00 5.60  
STREET TRAFFIC 2 4 46 5   57 5 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 8% 11.10 8.80  
SCR  ANDYLITHIC               (cady khali)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
 
TDN-6   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MS. THE LAW 11 1 1nk 1nk   1 11 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 115 6.00 23.00  
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 2 9 5 3   3 21 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.60 P
TYRONA 6 6 7 7   45 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 17% 5.00 0.30 S
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 4 8 2nk 2nk   2 4 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 115 5.00 29% 2.50 23.20  
CANDYMONIUM 3 7 6 6   55 5 (skerrett jeffre)FELICIANO R 121 4.00 4.50  
MY DANCING QUEEN 7 4 8 8   7 6 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00 29.20  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 5 11 118 108   98 7 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 117 20.00 65.40  
CONTESSINA 1 10 95 4   6 89 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 7% 13.80 65.20  
10  LADY GIULIANA 10 2 31 5   8 9 (skerrett jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 30.00 72.60  
BELLAVALENCIA 8 3 4 97   10 1011¼ (fadlovich meg)BRACHO A 119 8.00 21.10  
MISS EASY 9 5 107 1110   1110½ 1111½ (hamm timothy)MEJIAS RICARDO 115 4.50 25% 2.90 13.10  
 
TDN-7   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :444 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UOTTALIKEIT 5 1 11 13   17 114 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.60 51% 0.90 0.10 W
POWERFUL PHIL 3 3 21 23   27 214 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 2.50 13% 6.80 6.60 P
CLASSIC MO 4 2 3 3   3 314¼ (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50 12.90  
MANNFORD 1 4 4 4   410½ 414¼ (murillo rodr)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 16% 5.40 9.10  
TIDE RISING 2 5 56 5   512 516 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 12.00 43.10  
SCR  TIZ A RUSH               (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :454 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUGAR LOVES IT 5 2 33 21   1nk 16 (lopez jacint)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 1.80 40% 1.50 0.50 W
  (by OVERANALYZE out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
COUNTRY STYLE 4 3 12 11   2nk 26 (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 20.40  
  (by TOURIST out of SWEET AND CLEVER by MR. GREELEY)
ONE MORE TANGO 1 5 22 3   34 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 6% 16.20 7.90 S
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of TANGUERAY MISS by COWBOY CAL)
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 6 1 45 4   49 411¾ (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 3.00 33% 2.00 3.30  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MORANT BAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
JUPITER ECLIPSE 3 7 67 510   5 512½ (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00 18.90  
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of FASTEEL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 6 8 812½   612½ 613½ (rivera nestor)GUERERE ANGEL 123 5.00 15.10  
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
ANGEL'S DESTINY 7 8 78 611   716 721¼ (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.40  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of COMEFLYWITHANANGEL by EQUALITY (GB))
EXTRA CRAFTY 8 4 57 712½   818 825½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 12.00 30.10  
  (by PALACE out of CRAFTY TIGRESS by HOLD THAT TIGER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.