Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Tuesday - June 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (2/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-4   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-6   Win (4/9/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-7   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (5/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRANSPIRED Jun06 May25 May10 Apr24 Apr12 (tumblin andr)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 8.00    
2  CAN'T CRASHMYPARTY Jun06 May22 Sep27 Sep05 Aug22 (genovese richard)TORREALBA JG 118 2.50 9% 9.70    
3  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Jun06 May22 Mar21 Feb16 Jan24 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  FAST CLIP May29 May11 Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 64% 0.60    
5  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN Jun06 May22 Mar21 Feb16 Jan26 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ R 119 3.00    
SCR  COUNCIL OF FOUR Feb21 Jan19 Jan04     (radosevich jus)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   06/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG STOCK WINNER May03 Sep08 Aug23 Aug09 Jul06 (inirio carlos)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 20.00    
SCR  DAVIS HAT Jun06 Jan17 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 (weymes andrew )GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 10.00    
3  OXBOW'S RIDE May20 May08 Mar21 Mar01 Feb16 (patt)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50    
4  AFLEET O ME Jun06 May20 Sep27 Sep20 Aug22 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 4.00 17% 4.80    
5  KETTLE KING Dec01 Oct10 Sep22 Sep05 Aug23 (romero j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  STRIKE ONE Jun06 May20       (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 2.00 41% 1.40    
7  BAILEY ROAD Jun06 Dec29 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 (patton luke)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00    
 
TDN-3   06/20/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY MAYHEM         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
2  RED CHILI PEPPER Jun03         (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 2.50 66% 0.50    
3  VECCHI         (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 118 5.00    
4  TAHLEQUAH JOE         (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 118 4.00    
5  MOONSHINE JOE         (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  AFTER SUNRISE         (langley joshu)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 8.00    
7  JAC'S MUSIC         (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  HOTTIE SPOTTIE Jun05         (hamm timothy)TORREALBA JG 113 3.50 8% 12.10    
 
TDN-4   06/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTRY RUCKUS Apr06 Mar22 Mar06 Feb15 Jan17 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 4.50    
2  WILDCAT BILL May25 Dec06 Nov12 Oct14 Oct03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 11% 8.10    
3  WILDCAT EXPRESS May20 May08 Oct13 Sep13 Aug25 (poole m)BRACHO A 121 1.80 28% 2.60    
4  IMA BELIEVER May24 Jan17 Dec14 Nov22 Nov12 (tumblin andrew)BARBARAN ERIK 119 15.00    
5  SEASONS END Oct14 Aug15 Jul28 Jul13 Jun25 (mavec kathl)GONZALES J 114 12.00    
6  GIV'EM THE BIZ May23 May09 Apr24 Apr03 Jan05 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
TDN-5   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ACESKINGSANQUEENS Jun06 Oct14 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 (ott l)TOLEDO S 123 6.00    
2  STREET TRAFFIC May23 May06 Apr25 Jul14 Jun29 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 8% 11.10    
3  ALWAYS SPRING May29 May11 Nov09 Oct18 Oct03 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  WHEN IN ROME Jun06 Mar20 Feb07 Jan30 Jan23 (johnson l)DIAZ I 123 1.60 62% 0.60    
SCR  ANDYLITHIC May29 Mar18 Mar08 Feb02 Jan12 (cady khalil)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
6  DOMI May29 May06 Apr03 Feb22 Jan29 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 2.00    
 
TDN-6   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONTESSINA Nov21 Nov07 Oct10 Sep18 Aug26 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 7% 13.80    
2  DATTTSAFANCYFOX May22 Apr11 Mar20 Mar07 Feb22 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CANDYMONIUM May25 May03 Apr05 Feb20 Aug14 (skerrett jeffrey)FELICIANO R 121 4.00    
4  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS May10 Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 Dec07 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 115 5.00 29% 2.50    
5  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN May25 May11 Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 117 20.00    
6  TYRONA Jun07 May04 Mar03 Jan14 Dec30 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
7  MY DANCING QUEEN May25 Jan19 Dec29 Nov23 Nov09 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
8  BELLAVALENCIA May25 Jul11 Jun11 May31 Mar23 (fadlovich megan)BRACHO A 119 8.00    
9  MISS EASY May31 Nov01 Oct13     (hamm timothy)MEJIAS RICARDO 115 4.50 25% 2.90    
10  LADY GIULIANA May25 May10 Apr25 Mar23 Mar07 (skerrett jeffr)BERRIOS HECTOR 115 30.00    
11  MS. THE LAW May25 May10 Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 115 6.00    
 
TDN-7   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANNFORD Jun06 Apr26 Feb02 Jan16 Dec27 (murillo rodrig)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 16% 5.40    
2  TIDE RISING May23 May08 Apr26 Apr04 Mar08 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 12.00    
3  POWERFUL PHIL Jun07 May23 May08 Dec21 Dec03 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 2.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  TIZ A RUSH May20 Sep20 Sep07 Jul25 Jun30 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 8.00    
5  CLASSIC MO May31 May15 Mar23 Feb21 Jan26 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 4.50    
6  UOTTALIKEIT May23 Apr04 Feb20 Jan28 Apr25 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.60 51% 0.90    
 
TDN-8   06/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MORE TANGO         (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 6% 16.20    
2  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Jun01 May15 Apr25 Apr10 Mar30 (rivera nestor)GUERERE ANGEL 123 5.00    
3  JUPITER ECLIPSE Jun01 May15 Apr25 Aug13 Aug01 (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 6.00    
4  COUNTRY STYLE Jun01         (patt)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
5  SUGAR LOVES IT Jun01 May15 Apr25 Oct05   (lopez jacinto)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
6  MERE BAG OF SHELLS May11 Apr24 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
7  ANGEL'S DESTINY Jun01 Dec01 Nov15     (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  EXTRA CRAFTY Jun01         (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.