Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
TDN-2   Win (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
TDN-3   Win (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $6.40  
TDN-4   Win (8/1/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $7.20 $7.20  
TDN-5   Win (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 5.20
TDN-6   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
TDN-7   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-8   Win (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR BUCKWHEAT 1 6 4¾ 3   1nk 1 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 117 3.00 35% 1.90 3.00 W
PLAYING FOR KEEPS 5 2 1½ 21   2nk 2 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 115 2.50 36% 1.70 0.60 P
PROSECUTOR 7 4 5 4   32 3 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 4.00 9% 10.60 3.70 S
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 6 1 6 66   5 4 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.30  
STARS N SPACE 3 3 3½ 11   4 5 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 14.90  
ATILANO'S THUNDER 4 7 717¾ 718   718¼ 623½ (langley joshua)RIVERA R 121 10.00 40.30  
TURBO POWER 2 5 2½ 5   613¼ 725¾ (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 6.00 38.10  
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN               (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OTIS OTIS OTIS 6 1 31 2   2nk 1¾ (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 38% 1.60 3.10 W
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 5 2 1nk 1   1nk 2¾ (langley joshua)GUERERE ANGEL 110 8.00 31.20  
YOU ARE AWESOME 1 5 4 43   42 3 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50 4.10  
THE COACHMAN 2 4 2nk 32   3½ 42 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 119 6.00 11% 8.00 10.60  
GUN LAP 4 8 5 53   53 53 (jackson james)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 6% 16.00 2.40  
MASAI MAN 3 7 8 8   64 6 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 20% 3.90 4.10  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 8 6 7 6   7 78 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50 5.10  
POWERFUL MOON 7 3 6 75   8 812¾ (ray kevin)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00 70.00  
SCR  BROTHER SKYE               (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 119 12.00    
 
TDN-3   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:221 :461 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE MUCHO 4 7 55 5   5 1½ (radosevich just)BRACHO A 119 4.50 2.20  
DREAM MUSIC 2 4 1 12   13 2½ (urieta johann)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 53% 0.90 2.80 P
VAVITE 7 1 44 4   33 3 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.00 3.00  
TURBIE 3 3 2 22   23 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 22% 3.60 2.70  
PLAYFUL SUMMER 5 6 66 6   6 56 (flores christian)DIAZ I 119 8.00 14.70  
INDY LITES 6 2 7 710   711¼ 612¼ (jack)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 26.50  
SKIRTS KID 1 5 3 33   44 721½ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
 
TDN-4   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR MABEE 7 1 3.2 21   11 11 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 54% 0.90 2.60 W
PISTOL PACKIN BOS 3 6 5 5   31 21 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 121 20.00 21.10  
BISCAYNE BAY 4 9 8 6   4 3 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
11  CITY SIGNS 9 2 4¼ 11   21 4 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50 18.60  
10  LADY ABRIL 8 3 1nk 4   5 56 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 123 6.00 4.10  
CARMEN OHIO 1 7 6 7   6 66 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 4.00 18% 4.60 3.40  
BEST OF YOU 2 8 910½ 9   7 7 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 119 30.00 5% 19.00 61.70  
J J'S FANCY 6 4 7 8   9 812 (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 6% 16.70 4.80  
BAY MAGIC 5 5 2nk 31   8 919¾ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 11.80  
SCR  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE               (skeens jeremy)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
SCR  SWINDLE               (severin rober)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
 
TDN-5   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIMITIVO 2 3 32 3   32 1¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 9% 10.80 5.60 W
FLAG RAISER 7 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 2¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 33% 2.10 1.00 P
LITTLE TOY GUNS 3 4 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (tooley jennifer)BRACHO A 115 3.00 38% 1.60 1.60 S
DANES HEART 5 5 5 55   46 4 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 4.00 9.60  
PLAYING BALL 6 7 8 69   6 5 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00 44.40  
MARCH MAGIC 8 1 4 44   5 6 (brown glenroy)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00 36.80  
ORLEANS STORM 4 8 7 8   712¼ 714½ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 65.60  
HEIDI FIVE 1 6 6 7   812¼ 815 (cline rober)BRICENO M 112 12.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
 
TDN-6   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAREBACK FUN 1 3 1½ 11   1 1 (urieta johanna)GUERERE ANGEL 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.60 W
IMMACULATE HEART 6 1 32 32   2 2 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50 3.80  
JOYFUL NOISE 2 5 4 43   3 3 (cline c)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00 13.10  
TEAM GOLD DIGGER 4 6 6 67   5 4 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 8.00 3.60  
TALK DIRTY 5 4 54 5   4 57 (patton luke)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
SHELLEY'S GEM 3 2 2½ 21   6 610 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 40% 1.50 1.50  
 
TDN-7   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:00     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN I GO TOO 3 3 2nk 2nk   14 110 (murillo rodr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 46% 1.20 0.60 W
PENNIESANDDIMES 2 4 1nk 1nk   24 210 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 5.00 27% 2.70 2.30 P
CEE CEE'S GOT THIS 4 1 3.2 32   3 310¾ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 10.00 3.50  
MILWAUKEE CAT 1 2 4 4   410½ 413¾ (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 10.00 11.50  
SCR  BACOPA BAY               (murillo-rodrigu)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
SCR  COSTUME JEWELRY               (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 3.50    
SCR  DANCING GRACE               (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-8   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET UNIQUE 1 6 1½ 11   12 12 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 117 2.50 47% 1.10 2.00 W
SERGER 6 1 4 43   22 22 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 115 4.00 19% 4.40 0.70 P
STEALTH MODE 3 4 2½ 21   3 3 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 3.50 10% 9.10 5.30 S
QUEENIE ROSE 7 2 66 53   5 4 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 12.00 24.00  
SAVESOMEFORME 2 7 711 7   65 5 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00 15.90  
GETOUTOFTHEHAREM 4 5 5 6   4 6 (meyers shane)VELEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 48.10  
MARGARITA CINCO 5 3 3 3   7 710 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 26.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.