Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Tuesday - July 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/7/6)-(7/3/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/6)-(7/3/2/4)-(2/3/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TDN-2   WIN (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/4)-(2/3/6/1)-(8/1/7/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1)-(2/3/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6/1)-(8/1/7/5/2)-(3/7/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-4   WIN (8/1/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2)-(8/1/7/5/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/5/2)-(3/7/2/1)-(3/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1)-(3/7/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/1)-(3/1/5)-(4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(4/3)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (4/3)-(1/6/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4)-(1/6/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR BUCKWHEAT May25         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 117 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  TURBO POWER Jun12 Apr06 Mar19 Mar05 Feb16 (gonzalez donaciano)PAUCAR E 119 6.00    
3  STARS N SPACE Oct31 Oct13 Sep19 Aug13   (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00    
4  ATILANO'S THUNDER May31 May10 Apr24 Apr12 Dec07 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 121 10.00    
5  PLAYING FOR KEEPS Jun05 Apr27 Apr12 Oct11 Sep23 (ruberto v)RAMGEET R 115 2.50 36% 1.70    
6  THE GOSPEL OF MARK May31 Apr12 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 (vazquez ivan)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PROSECUTOR Jun14 Feb14       (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 115 4.00 9% 10.60    
SCR  GIBBY MY CORN Dec14 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Sep12 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
 
TDN-2   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU ARE AWESOME Jun24 Jun01 May09 Mar22 Mar09 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 119 4.50    
2  THE COACHMAN Jun12 May31 May08 Apr26 Apr04 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 6.00 11% 8.00    
3  MASAI MAN Jun24 Jun05 May18 May04 Apr16 (cash l)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 20% 3.90    
4  GUN LAP May30 May11 Apr26 Aug18 Aug09 (jackson jam)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  BROTHER SKYE Jun05 May16 Dec15 Dec07 Nov09 (langley joshua)YARANGA Y 119 12.00    
6  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Jun20 May10 Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 (langley joshu)GUERERE ANGEL 110 8.00    
7  OTIS OTIS OTIS Jun05 May23 May08 Apr14 Mar26 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 38% 1.60    
8  POWERFUL MOON Jun21 Dec08 Nov14 Oct27 Sep27 (ray kev)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 20.00    
9  RUMBLE STRIP RON Jun10 May09 Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
 
TDN-3   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIRTS KID Jun12 May29 Jul21 Jul04 Jun16 (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  DREAM MUSIC Oct04 Sep14 Sep07 Aug04 Jul28 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 3.50 53% 0.90    
3  TURBIE Jun06 May16 Apr24 Mar18 Mar02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 22% 3.60    
4  MORE MUCHO Jun10 May06 Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 119 4.50    
5  PLAYFUL SUMMER Jun10 May20 May03 Apr05 Mar09 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
6  INDY LITES Jun12 May20 May02 Oct10 Sep20 (ja)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  VAVITE Jun12 May29 May06 Apr24 Feb27 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARMEN OHIO May29 May10 Jan16 Jan05 Nov23 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 121 4.00 18% 4.60    
2  BEST OF YOU Jun12 May29 May22 Apr11 Mar16 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SWINDLE Oct05 Sep08 Aug29 Aug08 Jul21 (severin rob)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
4  PISTOL PACKIN BOS Jun13 May23 May09 Mar27 Jan26 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 121 20.00    
5  BISCAYNE BAY Jun12 May29 May10 Apr26 Apr12 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  BAY MAGIC May29 Apr10 Mar16 Feb16 Jan05 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00    
7  J J'S FANCY Jun13 May30 May17 May03 Nov10 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 6.00 6% 16.70    
8  STAR MABEE May29 May10 Dec21 Dec05 Nov17 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE May26 May13 Feb28 Feb16 Dec30 (skeens jeremy)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
10  LADY ABRIL Jun12 May25 May11 Feb07 Jan18 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 123 6.00    
11  CITY SIGNS Jun06 May22 May03 Apr13 Mar23 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.50    
 
TDN-5   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI FIVE Jun24 May25       (cline rob)BRICENO M 112 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PRIMITIVO Jun06 Apr27 Mar29 Feb27 Feb16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 3.50 9% 10.80    
3  LITTLE TOY GUNS Feb16 Dec30 Dec14 Nov30   (tooley jennif)BRACHO A 115 3.00 38% 1.60    
4  ORLEANS STORM Jun14 Jun07 May24 Jan26 Jan09 (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 119 15.00    
5  DANES HEART Jun14 May10 Apr12 Mar29 Mar13 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 4.00    
6  PLAYING BALL Jun07 May31 Apr27 Mar29 Mar14 (suarez javier)GUERERE ANGEL 119 8.00    
7  FLAG RAISER Jun14 Apr27 Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 33% 2.10    
8  MARCH MAGIC Jun14 May31 Apr27 Apr12 Sep01 (brown glenr)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 15.00    
 
TDN-6   07/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Mar28 Mar15 Feb20 Jan28 Jan04 (urieta johann)GUERERE ANGEL 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  JOYFUL NOISE Jun12 May13 Apr28 Apr15 Dec08 (cline robert)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00    
3  SHELLEY'S GEM May06 Apr24 Feb02 Jan09 Dec08 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
4  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Jun10 May23 Apr26 Mar14 Feb14 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 8.00    
5  TALK DIRTY Jun12 May29 May16 Apr26 Apr10 (patton luke)DIAZ I 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  IMMACULATE HEART Jun12 May29 May02 Dec20 Nov29 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 121 3.50    
 
TDN-7   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILWAUKEE CAT May25 May06 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 10.00    
SCR  DANCING GRACE Jun13 May11 Apr26 Sep06 Jul20 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 8.00    
3  PENNIESANDDIMES May11 Apr27 Apr03 Mar21 Nov12 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
4  CAN I GO TOO Jun13 May25 May11 Apr27 Apr15 (murillo ro)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  COSTUME JEWELRY May25 May16 May06 Dec27 Dec12 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 3.50    
SCR  BACOPA BAY Jun21 Mar08 Jun30 May12   (murillo-rodri)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00    
7  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS Jun13 May25 May11 Apr26 Mar29 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 10.00    
 
TDN-8   07/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET UNIQUE Jun01         (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 117 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  SAVESOMEFORME Mar23 Feb23 Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 3.00    
3  STEALTH MODE Jun05 May25 Apr25 Jul08 Jun22 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 117 3.50 10% 9.10    
4  GETOUTOFTHEHAREM Sep27 Sep08 Aug25 Aug13 Jul29 (meyers shane)VELEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARGARITA CINCO May24 May06 Apr24 Mar21 Feb23 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
6  SERGER May24 Nov30 Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 115 4.00 19% 4.40    
7  QUEENIE ROSE Jan23 Dec29 Dec08     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.