Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   EXA (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-2 $26.10 $14.10 118%
TDN-2   WIN (8/9/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $25.20 $15.20 152%
    DD (1/5/3/2)-(8/9/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-2 $26.80 $6.80 34%
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/5/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $11.20 $1.20 12%
    EXA (3/2/5/7/1)-(3/2/5/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  7-2 $37.60 $17.60 88%
    PK3 (8/9/1/2/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(3/2/5/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100  2-1-7 $160.00 $60.00 60%
    PK4 (1/5/3/2)-(8/9/1/2/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(3/2/5/7/1) 400 $0.50 $200  1-2-1/5-7 $260.00 $60.00 30%
TDN-5   WIN (1/9/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $11.20 $1.20 12%
    TRI (1/9/4/5/8)-(1/9/4/5/8)-(1/9/4/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00  4-9-5 $175.60 $115.60 193%
TDN-8   WIN (3/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $30.00 $22.00 275%
    EXA (3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-8 $43.90 $31.90 266%
    TRI (3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  7-8-3 $152.40 $128.40 535%
TDN-9   EXA (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-2 $18.00 $6.00 50%
    TRI (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-2-3 $53.10 $29.10 121%
    DD (3/8/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-1 $71.80 $55.80 349%
    PK3 (4/5/7/6)-(3/8/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00  4-7-1 $179.00 $115.00 180%
    PK4 (5/6/3/7)-(4/5/7/6)-(3/8/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 256 $0.50 $128  5/7-4-7-1/5/8 $1365 $1237 967%
    PK5 (1/9/4/5/8)-(5/6/3/7)-(4/5/7/6)-(3/8/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 1280 $0.50 $640  4-5/7-4-7-1/5/8 $1365.80 $725.80 113%
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOFTY COWTOWN 1 6 31 11½   14½ 19¾ (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 46% 1.20 1.40 W
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOFTY LIZZY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE 2 4 51¾ 44   24½ 29¾ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20 P
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
6  HALO EFFECT 6 2 41¼ 54½   46 310½ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80 2.20  
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
5  MOST ADORABLE 5 3 11 21½   34½ 416½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 16% 5.50 10.10  
  (by KENNEDY out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
3  CAT'S PURSUIT 3 7 73¼ 710½   710½ 519¼ (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00 12% 7.10 4.90  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WORTHWHILEPURSUIT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  THELMA LUCILLE 4 5 63¼ 68½   69½ 619¼ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 5.00 6.90  
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
7  THE KID'S PRAYER 7 1 21 32   57½ 719½ (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00 13.40  
  (by KISS THE KID out of SUSIE'S PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
 
TDN-2   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:121     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  STAR ENTERTAINER 2 7 64¾ 63¼ 42¼ 21 1nk (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 12.00 7% 13.00 11.60 W
4  AZTEC 4 3 2nk 11½ 12 11 2nk (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 5.60  
1  TIMESATAPPIN 1 9 97¾ 84½ 79¼ 56 35¾ (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 6.00 8% 11.70 13.40 S
5  BLUNDER 5 5 42½ 33 32 35 411¼ (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 121 8.00 26.70  
8  PERMAFROST 8 4 52¾ 53¼ 54¾ 67½ 511¾ (pu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 39% 1.60 2.20  
3  QUARANTINO 3 1 1nk 21½ 22 46 612¾ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 115 5.00 4.00  
7  RED COMET 7 6 85¾ 94½ 89¼ 811 714½ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 20.00 87.60  
9  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR 9 8 74¾ 73½ 65¼ 79 815¼ (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 25% 3.00 1.80  
6  ON SPOT 6 2 31 43 9100 9100 9100 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00 53.30  
 
TDN-3   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL LASS 1 6 43 41¼   1nk 13½ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.00 21% 3.70 0.80 W
2  STARLITESLEW 2 1 32 31   2nk 23½ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50 7.80  
4  I'M JAC'D 4 2 11½ 11   3.2 35 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 17% 4.90 6.60 S
6  TV TIZ GORGEOUS 6 3 53½ 52¾   44¾ 410¼ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 8.00 11% 8.10 3.40  
3  WELLOILEDCAT 3 5 69½ 67¾   66¼ 511½ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 43.30  
7  WEEKENDING 7 4 21½ 21   55¾ 616½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 30% 2.30 3.90  
5  SHANGHAI ROYALTY 5 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:00     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CHILTEPIN 7 4 33 32½   21 1¾ (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 4.60 W
  (by KENNEDY out of CITY BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
2  MY HOMBRE 2 3 1nk 1nk   11 2¾ (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 28% 2.60 2.90 P
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
6  VEGAS PLAYER 6 7 55 46½   54½ 36¾ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 5.00 7.40  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
4  SOMETHING ON TAP 4 8 44½ 56¾   44½ 49 (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 4.50 11.10  
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 3 5 77 68¼   64¾ 511 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 42% 1.40 3.70  
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
5  ORVILLE B 5 6 2nk 2nk   33 614¾ (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 6% 15.80 3.10  
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of REDISTHEROSE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
8  TRANSPIRED 8 1 65½ 711¼   810¼ 717¾ (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00 71.60  
  (by TWINSPIRED out of BACK FOR DINNER by PUT IT BACK)
9  NIKAO 9 2 810 811¾   79¾ 817¾ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 10.00 29.90  
  (by ALWAYS WILDCATIN' out of MADAME ROYALE by LUHUK)
1  TEAM LUCKYTOBALIVE 1 9 919 9100   9100 9100 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WINTERELLO by THUNDERELLO)
 
TDN-5   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:13     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HENRY MAC 4 1 21½ 2½ 3.2 1nk 1¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 21% 3.70 4.60 W
9  SILENCE 9 8 64 52 41¼ 31½ 2¾ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 22% 3.60 1.40 P
5  BOURBON WISDOM 5 7 84½ 83¾ 51¾ 41¾ 31¼ (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.90 S
3  ROYAL DRAGOON 3 9 96 95¼ 83½ 53¼ 42½ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 4.50 4.90  
1  GOLD N SILVER 1 3 43 31½ 1nk 2nk 54¼ (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 33% 2.00 4.00  
8  FIRST HOMESTEAD 8 2 53½ 62¼ 72 64¾ 69¼ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.10  
2  DISTORTED LIMITS 2 6 32 42 61¾ 87¾ 713 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00 11.30  
7  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 7 5 74½ 72¾ 95½ 910¼ 815½ (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00 31.20  
6  THEDAYOFTHEGREY 6 4 11½ 1½ 2nk 76¾ 916 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 23.90  
 
TDN-6   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MERE BAG OF SHELLS 4 5 2nk 2nk   11½ 12¼ (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 2.50 5.20 DQ↓2
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MORANT BAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE 5 2 32 31   21½ 22¼ (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 32% 2.10 0.50 W
  (by LITTLE LUTE out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
1  POLLY PRISSY PANTS 1 4 42¼ 55   33 33½ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 8.00 9.40  
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
8  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 7 3 75¾ 66   55 46¼ (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00 16.70  
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  C MORE PRIDE 3 6 63¾ 44½   66 58 (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 17% 4.90 8.30  
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MOREREADYTHANEVER by MORE THAN READY)
6  BROKEN JEWEL 6 1 1nk 1nk   45 610¾ (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50 19% 4.20 7.20  
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
2  BEAUTIFULLBLACKSKY 2 7 52¼ 77½   714 730¾ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 20.00 47.70  
  (by GRITTANI out of PISTOLANNIE by NOON PROSPECT)
SCR  ONE RICH KITTEN               (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 7% 14.30    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MZ. STINKIN' RICH by COWBOY CAL)
 
TDN-7   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LARSA 4 2 1½ 11   12 13¼ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 37% 1.70 1.30 W
5  DOUBLE EDGED 5 3 2½ 21   22 23¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.70 P
7  SHEZA POP STAR 7 1 31 44   36½ 39½ (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
2  HIGH CUPPER 2 4 52½ 34   47½ 413¼ (brown glen)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00 13.50  
6  BAREFOOT BEACH 6 7 712 710   612½ 516½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
3  LA LA ANGEL 3 6 65 55½   511½ 617¼ (tomlinson rona)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00 14.50  
1  PROPER ETIQUETTE 1 5 42 68   713 720¼ (poole m)BRACHO A 119 15.00 20.10  
 
TDN-8   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:122     1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LATIN SPICE 6 2 11 11 2nk 2nk 1nk (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.00 W
8  ATOMIC TONE 7 4 21 21 1nk 1nk 2nk (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 25% 3.00 1.10 P
3  JOHN'S ROCK 2 3 31 31 3.2 31½ 3.15 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.50 48% 1.10 3.10 S
5  FAT DADDY 4 1 52¼ 42 41¾ 43 43 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50 5.70  
2  NAUGHTY PRINCE 1 6 75¼ 74½ 74¼ 55 55 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
9  OAKS HONEY 8 5 41¼ 63½ 63¾ 67½ 69 (brown glenro)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 17.50  
6  CARILLO 5 7 85¼ 85 85¼ 88¾ 710 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 5.30  
4  LAZARUS PROJECT 3 8 63¾ 53 53¼ 77¾ 811¾ (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00 53.50  
SCR  FIRST CITIZEN               (vecchio caryn)AVILES YAN 121 5.00    
 
TDN-9   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKE'S RYEN 1 8 11 1½   13 1nk (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 23% 3.40 2.20 W
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of BOB'S DYLAN by DAVID)
2  MY TICKET 2 7 44 42½   35½ 2nk (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 15.00 5% 19.00 5.70 P
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
3  COLOR BEARER 3 2 21 2½   23 31½ (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.00 33% 2.00 2.40 S
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BELLA TRELLA by CHEROKEE RUN)
9  NOSEY POWER 7 6 55 53½   57½ 44¼ (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 4.30  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
10  WHY KENNY WHY 8 1 32½ 32   47½ 56¼ (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00 33.40  
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
4  STRIKING AGAIN 4 4 65 67½   69 67½ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 10.00 26.00  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
7  RAISE YOU ONE 6 5 77½ 78   79½ 710½ (mavec kat)GONZALES J 118 20.00 21% 3.80 33.70  
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
6  MY BUDDY MICAH 5 3 87¾ 813   827½ 836¾ (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 4.20  
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
SCR  MOMENT IN THE DARK               (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of LOVE FIRST SIGHT by ALKE)
SCR  SOL OF VAQUERO               (campbell antho)DIAZ I 123 4.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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