Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - July 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/3/2)-(8/9/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/2)-(8/9/1/2/6)-(7/1/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TDN-2   WIN (8/9/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/1/2/6)-(8/9/1/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/1/2/6)-(8/9/1/2/6)-(8/9/1/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (8/9/1/2/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(3/2/5/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
TDN-3   WIN (7/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6)-(7/1/4/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/6)-(3/2/5/7/1)-(1/9/4/5/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
TDN-4   WIN (3/2/5/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7/1)-(3/2/5/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7/1)-(3/2/5/7/1)-(3/2/5/7/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/7/1)-(1/9/4/5/8)-(5/6/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TDN-5   WIN (1/9/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/5/8)-(1/9/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/5/8)-(1/9/4/5/8)-(1/9/4/5/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (1/9/4/5/8)-(5/6/3)-(4/5/7/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
TDN-6   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/5/7/6)-(3/8/7/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/6)-(3/8/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2)-(3/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-9   WIN (3/1/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2)-(3/1/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOFTY COWTOWN Aug31 Aug15       (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOFTY LIZZY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE Jun19 Feb20 Sep29 Aug31 Aug15 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
3  CAT'S PURSUIT         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 10.00 12% 7.10    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WORTHWHILEPURSUIT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  THELMA LUCILLE Jun10 Jan16 Dec27 Dec13 Nov30 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 119 5.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of KARMA'S COMIN by INCLUDE)
5  MOST ADORABLE May31 May11       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.50 16% 5.50    
  (by KENNEDY out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
6  HALO EFFECT Jun24 May31 May11 Dec13 Nov30 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 1.80    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
7  THE KID'S PRAYER Jun19 May31       (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 15.00    
  (by KISS THE KID out of SUSIE'S PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
 
TDN-2   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMESATAPPIN Jun24 Jun05 May17 Apr26 Apr05 (loudin-smith)GONZALEZ KEVIN 115 6.00 8% 11.70    
2  STAR ENTERTAINER Jun24 May29 Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 12.00 7% 13.00    
3  QUARANTINO Jun24 May29 May11 Jul14   (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 115 5.00    
4  AZTEC Jun24 Jun05 May09 Dec28 Dec03 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
5  BLUNDER May29 May06 Mar06 Feb16 Jan23 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 8.00    
6  ON SPOT Jun15 May24 Apr05 Feb07 Dec09 (tumblin andrew)RIVERA R 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  RED COMET Jun24 Jun15 Jun05 May29 May16 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 115 20.00    
8  PERMAFROST Jun24 May29 May11 Apr30 Apr08 (pu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 3.50 39% 1.60    
9  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Jun05 Apr26 Apr08 Mar12 Feb25 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
TDN-3   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEAUTIFUL LASS Jun14 Jun01 May06 Apr05 Mar20 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.00 21% 3.70    
2  STARLITESLEW Jun01 May16 May06 Apr05 Mar20 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.50    
3  WELLOILEDCAT Jun21 May16 Dec19 Oct24 Sep27 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
4  I'M JAC'D Jun14 May31 Jan24 Jan10 Dec21 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Jun05 May16 Apr27 Apr03 Mar16 (hu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
6  TV TIZ GORGEOUS May23 May06 Mar20 Feb16 Jan18 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 119 8.00 11% 8.10    
7  WEEKENDING Jun05 Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 115 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
TDN-4   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEAM LUCKYTOBALIVE Dec07         (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WINTERELLO by THUNDERELLO)
2  MY HOMBRE Jun19 May25 May10 Apr24 Mar13 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
3  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Jun14 May25 May10 Feb14 Jan12 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
4  SOMETHING ON TAP Jun12 Apr12 Mar21 Mar06 Nov14 (doering mark)TOLEDO S 119 4.50    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  ORVILLE B         (keiser debor)KEISER CHELSEY 119 8.00 6% 15.80    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of REDISTHEROSE by SONGANDAPRAYER)
6  VEGAS PLAYER Jun14 May25 May10 Apr12   (poole m)BRACHO A 119 5.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
7  CHILTEPIN Nov30 Nov14       (huffman cand)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of CITY BEAUTIFUL by STORM CAT)
8  TRANSPIRED Jun20 Jun06 May25 May10 Apr24 (tumblin an)SMITH DIOGDINABI 119 15.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of BACK FOR DINNER by PUT IT BACK)
9  NIKAO Jun12 May25       (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 10.00    
  (by ALWAYS WILDCATIN' out of MADAME ROYALE by LUHUK)
 
TDN-5   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD N SILVER Jun14 May16 May02 Apr13 Mar06 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
2  DISTORTED LIMITS Jun13 Feb07 Jan05 Dec13 Nov30 (galloway k)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 8.00    
3  ROYAL DRAGOON May23 Apr15 Apr03 Mar09 Feb21 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 4.50    
4  HENRY MAC Jun13 Nov28 Oct29 Aug31 Jul18 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
5  BOURBON WISDOM Jun24 Jun15 May16 Mar21 Feb21 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Jun02 May23 May06 Apr04 Aug01 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
7  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE Jun24 Jun02 May20 May06 Dec03 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 12.00    
8  FIRST HOMESTEAD Jun15 May23 May03 May04 Apr25 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  SILENCE Jun02 May02 Apr12 Oct29 Sep14 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 22% 3.60    
 
TDN-6   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLLY PRISSY PANTS Jun19 May31 Sep29     (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
2  BEAUTIFULLBLACKSKY May11         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 20.00    
  (by GRITTANI out of PISTOLANNIE by NOON PROSPECT)
3  C MORE PRIDE Jun01         (faulkner r)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of MOREREADYTHANEVER by MORE THAN READY)
4  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jun20 May11 Apr24 Sep29 Sep14 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 2.50    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MORANT BAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
5  MANDOLIN BREEZE Jun19 May31 May11 Nov30 Nov12 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 1.60 32% 2.10    
  (by LITTLE LUTE out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
6  BROKEN JEWEL Jun19 Feb06 Jan10 Dec29   (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 123 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
SCR  ONE RICH KITTEN         (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 7% 14.30    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of MZ. STINKIN' RICH by COWBOY CAL)
8  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ Jun19 May31       (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 15.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
TDN-7   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPER ETIQUETTE May24 May03 Mar16 Dec30 Dec07 (poole m)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
2  HIGH CUPPER Jun12 May29 Oct06 Sep21 Sep06 (brown glen)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 5.00    
3  LA LA ANGEL Jun08 May26 May06 Nov09 Oct25 (tomlinson rona)HOUGHTON D 123 4.00    
4  LARSA Jun26 Jun06 May24 May11 Apr26 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  DOUBLE EDGED Jun19 May03 Mar30 Dec21 Nov23 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  BAREFOOT BEACH Jun12 May24 Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHEZA POP STAR Jun12 Nov19 Oct25 Oct13 Sep13 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-8   07/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST CITIZEN Jun15 May31 May10 May02 Apr11 (vecchio caryn)AVILES YAN 121 5.00    
2  NAUGHTY PRINCE Jun15 May02 Mar30 Feb23 Dec22 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JOHN'S ROCK Jun15 May31 May16 May02 Apr11 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  LAZARUS PROJECT Jun21 Jun13 May31 May16 May08 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 12.00    
5  FAT DADDY Jun21 May31 May16 May02 Nov28 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
6  CARILLO Jun06 May17 Jun22 May27 Apr15 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00    
7  LATIN SPICE Jun15 May29 May17 May02 Mar13 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ATOMIC TONE Jun15 May29 May02 Apr11 Feb23 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
9  OAKS HONEY Jun27 May31 Nov15 Oct27 Oct14 (brown glenro)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00    
 
TDN-9   07/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKE'S RYEN         (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of BOB'S DYLAN by DAVID)
2  MY TICKET Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
3  COLOR BEARER Jun14 May25       (skerrett jeffrey)RIVERA R 119 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BELLA TRELLA by CHEROKEE RUN)
4  STRIKING AGAIN Jun14 May25 May10 Apr24 Aug10 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 10.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
SCR  MOMENT IN THE DARK         (bookman donald)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of LOVE FIRST SIGHT by ALKE)
6  MY BUDDY MICAH Jun12 May25 Dec14 Nov14 Oct11 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of MY POWER BULLET by RED BULLET)
7  RAISE YOU ONE         (mavec kat)GONZALES J 118 20.00 21% 3.80    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
SCR  SOL OF VAQUERO May25 May10 Apr24 Apr12 Feb08 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 123 4.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
9  NOSEY POWER Jun14 Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 Feb23 (spiess)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
10  WHY KENNY WHY Jun14 May25 May10 Apr24 Mar06 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.