The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $29.80 $29.80 23.80
    Exacta (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-7 2 1 $70.60 $70.60 58.60
    Trifecta (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-7-1 3 1 $53.00 $53.00 47.00
PEN-2   Win (9/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $47.40 -8.00
    Exacta (9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/10/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 3-7 2 0 $211.00 -32.00
    Trifecta (9/7/6/5)-(9/7/6/10/5)-(9/7/6/10/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 3-7-6 3 0 $374.00 -48.00
    Daily Double (7/1/5)-(9/7/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 5-3 2 0 $573.80 -24.00
PEN-3   Win (2/1/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $70.80 -8.00
    Exacta (2/1/9/8)-(2/1/9/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-4 2 0 $694.40 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/1/9/8)-(2/1/9/8)-(2/1/9/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-4-9 3 0 $2128.90 -24.00
    Daily Double (9/7/6/5)-(2/1/9/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 3-7 2 0 $3449.40 -32.00
    Daily Double (9/7/6/5)-(2/1/9/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 3-1/8 2 0 $48.20 -32.00
    Pick Three (7/1/5)-(9/7/6/5)-(2/1/9/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 5-3-7 3 0 $4584.40 -24.00
PEN-4   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $20.20 -4.00
    Exacta (3/4)-(3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-3 2 0 $28.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (3/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 1-3-4 3 0 $105.50 -4.00
    Daily Double (2/1/9/8)-(3/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 7-1 2 0 $592.60 -16.00
    Pick Three (9/7/6/5)-(2/1/9/8)-(3/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 3-7-1 3 0 $2737.55 -16.00
PEN-5   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
    Exacta (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-1 2 1 $10.60 $10.60 -1.40
    Trifecta (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-1-5 3 0 $31.30 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/4)-(6/3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-6 2 0 $34.80 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/1/9/8)-(3/4)-(6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-1-6 3 0 $945.00 -12.00
PEN-6   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $15.60 -6.00
    Exacta (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-6 2 0 $102.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-6-2 3 0 $144.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (6/3/1)-(2/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-4 2 0 $60.60 -18.00
    Pick Three (3/4)-(6/3/1)-(2/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 1-6-4 3 0 $28.75 -9.00
PEN-7   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $20.00 -4.00
    Exacta (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1-2 2 0 $41.20 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 1-2-6 3 0 $53.70 0.00
    Daily Double (2/1/3)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $118.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (6/3/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 6-4-1 3 0 $170.05 -9.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   09/14/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:232 :473 1:112 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIVEN BY SPEED 5 5 6 6 5 511 (bullock m)RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 8% 11.80 13.90 W
FILLMORE EAST 7 6 33 34 32 1nk 21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.00 46% 1.20 1.10 P
COMPLETE 1 3 4 4 43 2nk 31 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 25% 3.00 1.00 S
SERENE WARRIOR 6 4 22 22 2nk 31 4(albright amy)CORA D 120 8.00 23.90  
FROSTED WILD RIDE 3 1 12 12 1nk 459 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12.50  
BLIND SIGHT 4 7 5 5 6 66(lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 15.80  
YOURINDENIAL 2 2 7 7 713½ 715¼ 722 (nicholson jun)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 30.00 59.00  
SCR  CAR LADY               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00    
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE               (rubley kell)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  LADY BREXIT               (pattershall ma)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   09/14/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
:214 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIPPY JO 3 4 35 3   23 1hd (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 22.70  
CINQUE AMORE 7 1 14 1   13 2hd (crook-demasi )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 29% 2.50 2.30 P
TRIXIE'S TIME 6 7 811 7   63½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 14% 6.30 3.30 S
10  MY MASTERPIECE 10 2 24 2   34(flores-coba felix )CASTILLO A 120 6.00 9.70  
LUCKY DAY DIVA 1 10 6 58   55(salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 8.20  
KIRBY 2 5 45 4   46(neilson wall)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 61.80 DH
BECKON 5 8 912½ 911   86(synnefias p)RODRIGUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 11.10 DH
POLISHED GAL 9 6 710½ 810   78(mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.10  
MACRELLETTA 8 3 57 6   99(montford leslie)TUNON JORDANO 118 50.00 ######  
HOP TO A DECISION 4 9 1015½ 1019   1021¾ 1033¼ (harigeorgiou ko)ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00 87.60  
SCR  LEVIOSA               (gonzalez-milian )ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
SCR  SMOOTH AS GLASS               (flores-coba felix )CASTILLO A 120 12.00    
 
PEN-3   09/14/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:58
:232 :481       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD CREATION 6 1 11 1½   11 1¾ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00 34.40  
LADY AHAVA 3 5 31 32   32¾ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 12.00 14.40  
UNIVERSAL DESIGN 7 3 21 2½   21 3(kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 5.00 21% 3.80 2.20 S
ELUSIVE EMPRESS 4 6 7 710   746 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 10.00 4.40  
CONTEMPTUOUS MISS 5 2 5 53   45 56 (albright)SMITH DANIEL 109 12.00 27.10  
ZIFFY BUG 2 7 6 68   66(stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00 11.80  
GOLDEN EXPRESS 1 4 43 4   57(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 2.00 35% 1.90 0.90  
SCR  MARY'S REWARD               (crane clovis)CORA D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PAULA'S SURPRISE               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-4   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:24 :473 1:114 1:374   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT ACT 1 4 4 31 2nk 1nk 1(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 9.10  
GRAND WISER 3 1 2½ 21 3 3½ 2(maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 66% 0.50 0.30 P
HERE'S WALDO 4 3 1½ 11 1nk 2nk 32 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 22.40 S
CRITICAL THINKING 5 5 5 5 5 449 (shea lydee)CORA D 122 6.00 12.60  
P JS SILVER DUKE 2 6 611½ 610¾ 611¼ 613½ 517¾ (wolfe jr)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 36.80  
COOL COMEDIAN 6 2 31 4 4 512½ 629½ (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 3.50  
SCR  LIAM'S BLUE MOON               (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00    
 
PEN-5   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:23 :472 1:13 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILL OR WON'T 6 4 23 2 1nk 11(kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 43% 1.30 1.80 W
AFRICAN ANGEL 1 1 55 55 3 22(houghton thomas)CORA D 118 30.00 11% 8.30 1.50 P
DESI'S REWARD 5 2 13 1 2nk 33(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 10.00 33.50  
SUPER DUPER FLY 4 3 3 3 43 4412½ (flores-coba felix )CASTILLO A 120 4.00 6.40  
THE HAUNTED ROOM 3 5 6 6 6 615½ 520½ (pradenas sergi)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 20% 4.10 5.70  
KEYSTONE WARRIOR 7 6 44 4 5 514½ 627¼ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 7.20  
POP THE CLUTCH 2 7 79 711½ 718½ 723½ 736¼ (geist w)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 43.30  
 
PEN-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:23 :47 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER FIFI 4 5 6 5   31(zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 6.80  
DUST BUNNY 6 3 32 21   1nk 2(stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 4.50 9.50  
WISE CHOICE 2 1 1½ 11   2nk 3(salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 35% 1.80 3.00 S
DOCTOR TEE 3 4 2½ 31   44(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 6% 14.50 2.60  
MISSING A SOCK 1 2 42 6   55(miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 34% 1.90 1.50  
WAHINE MEANIE 5 6 5 43   66(fields kevin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 13.60  
 
PEN-7   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:221 :461 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED T 1 5 58 5   42 1(bobadilla f)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 9.00  
PAYNT BY NUMBER 2 2 3 31   32(mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 38% 1.70 0.90 P
FIELD LETTERS 5 4 42 21   11 3(moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 7.10  
ONE TOUGH ROSE 4 3 1nk 11   21 4(beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 6.80  
NOTHINS FREE 3 1 2nk 43   511 520¾ (pino michae)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90  
SCR  JUSTIN TIME               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.