Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Thursday - September 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $29.80 $23.80 397%
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-7 $70.60 $58.60 488%
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5)-(7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-7-1 $53.00 $47.00 783%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   09/14/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:112 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DRIVEN BY SPEED 5 5 64½ 66½ 55½ 51¼ 11 (bullock jordan )RUIZ ELISEO 113 8.00 8% 11.80 13.90 W
7  FILLMORE EAST 7 6 33 34 32 1nk 21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.00 46% 1.20 1.10 P
1  COMPLETE 1 3 43½ 44½ 43 2nk 31 (ness jami)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.80 25% 3.00 1.00 S
6  SERENE WARRIOR 6 4 22 22 2nk 31 47½ (albright amy)CORA D 120 8.00 23.90  
3  FROSTED WILD RIDE 3 1 12 12 1nk 41¼ 59 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12.50  
4  BLIND SIGHT 4 7 54½ 54½ 67½ 66¼ 69½ (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 15.80  
2  YOURINDENIAL 2 2 76½ 78½ 713½ 715¼ 722 (nicholson j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 30.00 59.00  
SCR  CAR LADY               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00    
SCR  GIRL'S ON FIRE               (rubley ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  LADY BREXIT               (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-2   09/14/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:214 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ZIPPY JO 3 4 35 35½   23 1hd (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 22.70  
7  CINQUE AMORE 7 1 14 13½   13 2hd (crook-demas)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 2.50 29% 2.50 2.30 P
6  TRIXIE'S TIME 6 7 811 78½   64¾ 3½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 14% 6.30 3.30 S
10  MY MASTERPIECE 10 2 24 23½   33½ 42½ (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 6.00 ★ 9.70  
1  LUCKY DAY DIVA 1 10 67½ 58   54½ 53½ (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 4.00 8.20  
2  KIRBY 2 5 45 46½   44½ 63¾ (neilson wa)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 61.80 DH
5  BECKON 5 8 912½ 911   88¼ 63¾ (synnefias)RODRIGUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 11.10 DH
9  POLISHED GAL 9 6 710½ 810   77¾ 85¼ (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 118 3.00 33% 2.00 2.10  
8  MACRELLETTA 8 3 57 68½   98¾ 96½ (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 118 50.00 ######  
4  HOP TO A DECISION 4 9 1015½ 1019   1021¾ 1033¼ (harigeorgiou )ROJAS MARTINA 113 20.00 87.60  
SCR  LEVIOSA               (gonzalez-milia)ADORNO ABNER 120 8.00    
SCR  SMOOTH AS GLASS               (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 12.00    
 
PEN-3   09/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:232 :481       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WILD CREATION 6 1 11 1½   11 1¾ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 15.00 34.40  
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of WILD ORATION by ORATORY)
4  LADY AHAVA 3 5 31 32   31½ 2¾ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 12.00 14.40  
  (by FLASHBACK out of MAHALIA by SONGANDAPRAYER)
9  UNIVERSAL DESIGN 7 3 21 2½   21 31¼ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 5.00 21% 3.80 2.20 S
  (by FLASHBACK out of OVIDIENNE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  ELUSIVE EMPRESS 4 6 79¼ 710   79½ 46 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 10.00 4.40  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of EVER ELUSIVE by FORESTRY)
6  CONTEMPTUOUS MISS 5 2 53¼ 53   45 56 (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 109 12.00 27.10  
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of CONTEMPTUOUS by GOLD TOKEN)
3  ZIFFY BUG 2 7 68¼ 68   68½ 68¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 10.00 11.80  
  (by WEST COAST out of SUREMEANTTO by CANDY RIDE)
2  GOLDEN EXPRESS 1 4 43 42½   56½ 78½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 119 2.00 35% 1.90 0.90  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ANOTHER LIKE YOU by JUMP START)
SCR  MARY'S REWARD               (crane clovis)CORA D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of LOVELY SENORITA by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  PAULA'S SURPRISE               (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LOOK DEEP by PETIONVILLE)
 
PEN-4   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:114 1:374   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT ACT 1 4 41½ 31 2nk 1nk 11½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 9.10  
3  GRAND WISER 3 1 2½ 21 31½ 3½ 21½ (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 2.50 66% 0.50 0.30 P
4  HERE'S WALDO 4 3 1½ 11 1nk 2nk 32 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 5% 19.00 22.40 S
5  CRITICAL THINKING 5 5 53½ 52¾ 53¼ 46½ 49 (shea lydee)CORA D 122 6.00 12.60  
2  P JS SILVER DUKE 2 6 611½ 610¾ 611¼ 613½ 517¾ (wolfe j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 36.80  
6  COOL COMEDIAN 6 2 31 41¼ 41¾ 512½ 629½ (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 ★ 3.50  
SCR  LIAM'S BLUE MOON               (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 4.00    
 
PEN-5   09/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:13 1:40   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WILL OR WON'T 6 4 23 21½ 1nk 12½ 13¾ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.50 43% 1.30 1.80 W
1  AFRICAN ANGEL 1 1 55 55 32½ 22½ 23¾ (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 30.00 11% 8.30 1.50 P
5  DESI'S REWARD 5 2 13 11½ 2nk 35½ 38¾ (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 118 10.00 33.50  
4  SUPER DUPER FLY 4 3 33½ 32½ 43 48½ 412½ (flores-coba feli)CASTILLO A 120 4.00 6.40  
3  THE HAUNTED ROOM 3 5 65½ 65½ 68½ 615½ 520½ (pradenas ser)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 20% 4.10 5.70  
7  KEYSTONE WARRIOR 7 6 44 43½ 53½ 514½ 627¼ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 118 6.00 7.20  
2  POP THE CLUTCH 2 7 79 711½ 718½ 723½ 736¼ (geist w)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 43.30  
 
PEN-6   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FOREVER FIFI 4 5 65½ 53¼   32½ 11¾ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 6.80  
6  DUST BUNNY 6 3 32 21   1nk 21¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 4.50 9.50  
2  WISE CHOICE 2 1 1½ 11   2nk 32¾ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 35% 1.80 3.00 S
3  DOCTOR TEE 3 4 2½ 31   43½ 45¾ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 6% 14.50 2.60  
1  MISSING A SOCK 1 2 42 63¼   53¾ 56¾ (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 119 3.00 34% 1.90 1.50  
5  WAHINE MEANIE 5 6 52½ 43   65¼ 69½ (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 5.00 13.60  
 
PEN-7   09/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:221 :461 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED T 1 5 58 54½   42 12¾ (bobadilla j )VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 9.00  
2  PAYNT BY NUMBER 2 2 31½ 31   31½ 22¾ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 38% 1.70 0.90 P
6  FIELD LETTERS 5 4 42 21   11 32¾ (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 7.10  
4  ONE TOUGH ROSE 4 3 1nk 11   21 44½ (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 6.80  
3  NOTHINS FREE 3 1 2nk 43   511 520¾ (pino mich)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 24% 3.20 1.90  
SCR  JUSTIN TIME               (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.